Trap trap trap. Please read.

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  • KnownUnknown
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-20-14
    • 150

    #36
    Originally posted by trytrytry
    easiest game in the universe to handicap (all you need to do is look up a few numbers on a few charts if you dont already know) and win it. I think its more like 38 of 44 depending on how you grade defense but same idea...if you go against this you better have a super good reason, not saying one could not exist but better have a really good reason. and this is winning not just covering...granted this game is only 1 points now.
    You might have a point here if Seattle's numbers aren't "illusory" (built on a weak foundation of beating weak offensive opposition).
    Comment
    • AchillesTG
      SBR MVP
      • 07-19-13
      • 1648

      #37
      Originally posted by mikestu
      Seriously.... There is something flat out comical with what's going on in this years super bowl.

      Let's start with how everyone thinks the public is on New England.. Go to the NFL consensus part of this website and you will see 5.6 million on SEA and only 3 million on New England. The media is trying to limit the amount of money on the Pats with the deflate bs and then "Tom Brady has a flu" bs.

      Call me paranoid, but this is a BILLION dollar business and I think we are witnessing one big trap. I know for a fact that there is way more money on Seattle than New England so if you think you're public fading you're wrong.

      This reminds me of the Niners vs Ravens game a couple years ago. 55% of the public was on the Ravens BUT all of the big money was on the Niners. Public % is irrelevant it's the big $ bets that matter. We all know what happened that game.
      Not quite sure I am following your logic here!

      I tend to follow the money. A couple of places show ATS 70% on the Pats, Money - 5.6 million on SEA and only 3 million on New England.

      It seems you should be following the big money on Seattle and not following the Public's $25 to $100 bets.
      Comment
      • mikestu
        SBR Hustler
        • 01-30-15
        • 83

        #38
        Originally posted by AchillesTG
        Not quite sure I am following your logic here!

        I tend to follow the money. A couple of places show ATS 70% on the Pats, Money - 5.6 million on SEA and only 3 million on New England.

        It seems you should be following the big money on Seattle and not following the Public's $25 to $100 bets.
        That's exactly what I'm doing. The big money is on Seattle and the big money never wins for the Super bowl.
        Comment
        • AchillesTG
          SBR MVP
          • 07-19-13
          • 1648

          #39
          OK, I get it.

          You do realize that the SBR Consensus is Contest Players and Air Bettors, not actual wagers. So, basically you are fading Air Bettors which is not a bad strategy.
          Comment
          • mikestu
            SBR Hustler
            • 01-30-15
            • 83

            #40
            Originally posted by AchillesTG
            OK, I get it.
            You do realize that the SBR Consensus is Contest Players and Air Bettors, not actual wagers. So, basically you are fading Air Bettors which is not a bad strategy.
            How is that possible?
            Comment
            • AchillesTG
              SBR MVP
              • 07-19-13
              • 1648

              #41
              SBR shows $10 million bet right now. Hell Floyd Mayweather alone could bet that much. Vegas Sportsbooks alone did $120 Million last year. Worldwide and Offshore there is no telling how much is actually bet.
              Comment
              • aston
                SBR MVP
                • 11-05-08
                • 1185

                #42
                Comment
                • Amadeo-Picks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-20-14
                  • 1084

                  #43
                  Originally posted by mikestu
                  Seriously.... There is something flat out comical with what's going on in this years super bowl.

                  Let's start with how everyone thinks the public is on New England.. Go to the NFL consensus part of this website and you will see 5.6 million on SEA and only 3 million on New England. The media is trying to limit the amount of money on the Pats with the deflate bs and then "Tom Brady has a flu" bs.

                  Call me paranoid, but this is a BILLION dollar business and I think we are witnessing one big trap. I know for a fact that there is way more money on Seattle than New England so if you think you're public fading you're wrong.

                  This reminds me of the Niners vs Ravens game a couple years ago. 55% of the public was on the Ravens BUT all of the big money was on the Niners. Public % is irrelevant it's the big $ bets that matter. We all know what happened that game.
                  10000% agree with you that vegas NEVER looses . Nvm all the stats and numbers I'm riding patriots because they have been my pick all year and most profitable .
                  Comment
                  • mikestu
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 01-30-15
                    • 83

                    #44
                    The majority of the public is now on Seattle after the whole deflategate fiasco. That was the only point I'm trying to make. It's just funny to me that people think they are public fading taking Seattle.
                    Comment
                    • WildCelticsFan
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-19-14
                      • 5420

                      #45
                      Russell Wilson is a proven winner. Lynch is gonna have a good game. Wilson had one of his worst games ever and they still won. He has an OK game vs the pats and they could still win.
                      Comment
                      • mikestu
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 01-30-15
                        • 83

                        #46
                        Originally posted by wildcelticsfan
                        russell wilson is a proven winner. Lynch is gonna have a good game. Wilson had one of his worst games ever and they still won. He has an ok game vs the pats and they could still win.
                        ne will outcoach seattle on sunday.
                        Comment
                        • SEAHAWKHARRY
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-29-07
                          • 26069

                          #47
                          So bellachick will out coach SEATTLE like he did against NY AND GREEN BAY
                          Comment
                          • SEAHAWKHARRY
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-29-07
                            • 26069

                            #48
                            This game is a tossup
                            Turnovers will decide this
                            Last drive will decide this

                            I'm on sea +1
                            SEATTLE most pts scored by team 4th qtr
                            Lynch over 87.5 yrds
                            Lynch over 2 Tds
                            Still looking at more props
                            Comment
                            • aston
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-05-08
                              • 1185

                              #49
                              Originally posted by seahawkharry
                              this game is a tossup
                              turnovers will decide this
                              last drive will decide this

                              i'm on sea +1
                              seattle most pts scored by team 4th qtr
                              lynch over 87.5 yrds
                              lynch over 2 tds
                              still looking at more props
                              seahawkharry a good prop bet is 2.5 *over* field goals (payout 1.66)
                              Comment
                              • mikestu
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 01-30-15
                                • 83

                                #50
                                Originally posted by aston
                                seahawkharry a good prop bet is 2.5 *over* field goals (payout 1.66)
                                New England Moneyline 100% lock.
                                Comment
                                • Fed_42420
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-12-09
                                  • 976

                                  #51
                                  The public is on NE, that just means most bets placed are for NE. It doesn't mean the most money is on NE.
                                  Comment
                                  • mikestu
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 01-30-15
                                    • 83

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by Fed_42420
                                    The public is on NE, that just means most bets placed are for NE. It doesn't mean the most money is on NE.
                                    Exactly my point.
                                    Comment
                                    • boomer62
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-10-11
                                      • 1500

                                      #53
                                      What is your point? How FUKING old are you newbie? You make no sense and FYI sometimes the public is right. BTW most sharps on Seattle and STFU already with your public and media nonsense.
                                      Comment
                                      • casinolyrics
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-29-15
                                        • 44

                                        #54
                                        Bodog is all over the Patriots, more than any book in Nevada or offshore. That's a bad look for Mike and Stu. Go ahead, do your Bodog things. I don't know you, but you probably should know better.
                                        Comment
                                        • mikestu
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 01-30-15
                                          • 83

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by boomer62
                                          What is your point? How FUKING old are you newbie? You make no sense and FYI sometimes the public is right. BTW most sharps on Seattle and STFU already with your public and media nonsense.
                                          Oh the Sharps are on Seattle? Oh okay. They were also on the Colts +7 and Seattle -8 two weeks ago. Oh they were also on Denver last year in the Super Bowl. Sharps have been absolutely pounded this year in the NFL. Stfu.
                                          Comment
                                          • casinolyrics
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 01-29-15
                                            • 44

                                            #56
                                            And Bodog is "sharp" too? Wake up, take the hit on the vig, soon it will be to late.
                                            Comment
                                            • mikestu
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 01-30-15
                                              • 83

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by casinolyrics
                                              And Bodog is "sharp" too? Wake up, take the hit on the vig, soon it will be to late.
                                              0% chance Seattle wins this game. Too much money on them, the better coach will win his 4th ring tomorrow.
                                              Comment
                                              • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-29-07
                                                • 26069

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by mikestu
                                                0% chance Seattle wins this game. Too much money on them, the better coach will win his 4th ring tomorrow.
                                                Funny same thing was said last year

                                                You seem unsure of your bet and no confidence
                                                Is this the reason for your post

                                                I think the game is a tossup
                                                I just put 1unit on my hawks because I'm a huge homer not going large on em

                                                I'm putting up a list of props though that I love
                                                But really you don't know who's going to win you haven't a clue either do I
                                                This game will come down to turnovers and last drive

                                                If u say diffent your just trying to gain confidence in your pats bet imho
                                                Comment
                                                • casinolyrics
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 01-29-15
                                                  • 44

                                                  #59
                                                  Ok, lmfao, first off, you're wrong, so wrong on which side the most money is on. That doesn't really matter. There is no way this Patriots offense playing this Seahawks defense can match the points this Seattle running game will generate in this game, not even close. I'm starting to feel sorry for you, maybe you should get some help.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • R.P. McMurphy
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 06-15-12
                                                    • 9654

                                                    #60
                                                    2 newbs show up right before SB and start saying where all the $ is and guaranteeing victory on opposite sides. Um exit thread now.....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • WildCelticsFan
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-19-14
                                                      • 5420

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by mikestu
                                                      0% chance Seattle wins this game. Too much money on them, the better coach will win his 4th ring tomorrow.
                                                      OK well give me your 17 points if seattle wins, I'll give 40 of mine if they lose
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mlb
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-04-09
                                                        • 10509

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by mikestu
                                                        I know more than any of you combined. I try to help, and you all pounce on me. It's your funeral, I can care less.
                                                        these don't get old, ever
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Linesensei
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 09-18-12
                                                          • 6

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by mikestu
                                                          Vegas refuses to lose the super bowl. I have yet to see in my lifetime the public hammer a team and win. They always lose. This year everyone is hammering Seattle convincing themselves it's a sharp play. Pats are the right pick and with all of this media bs they refuse to let you see it clearly.
                                                          the public was on green bay in their win vs pittsburgh. vegas took a beating that game.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KnownUnknown
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 07-20-14
                                                            • 150

                                                            #64
                                                            I find this on every site that I'm on and it never fails to make me laugh. What does how may posts a person has in a forum have to do with the validity of what they suggest about capping game (or anything else)? I happen to have a limited amount of posts on this site because I only post when something is of interest to me. I could have thousands of posts and either my ideas would be accurate or they would not. To knock someone down for something as simple as that is really ridiculous. This is as true for me as it holds for anyone else.

                                                            "What Is-Is, What Isn't-Isn't. Go with What Is.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KushMoney
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 07-11-11
                                                              • 658

                                                              #65
                                                              They've made their money back %200 since then
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mikestu
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 01-30-15
                                                                • 83

                                                                #66
                                                                Sbr NFL consensus shows 65% of the money on Seattle.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • xelemental
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 04-22-07
                                                                  • 602

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Track NFL public betting trends with up-to-date betting percentages for every game. See which teams bettors are backing and make smarter football wagers.


                                                                  This is a very accurate site. Public HUGE on Pats. I would be careful.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Spoiler
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-20-13
                                                                    • 1193

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Dude a) I don't know why you care to save these people and b) there are probably so many moles on here trying to discredit you for their own agenda that it's pathetic. Don't try to save people. Just bet what you know and ignore these fools
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mikestu
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 01-30-15
                                                                      • 83

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by Spoiler
                                                                      Dude a) I don't know why you care to save these people and b) there are probably so many moles on here trying to discredit you for their own agenda that it's pathetic. Don't try to save people. Just bet what you know and ignore these fools
                                                                      Yeah you're right. ill be in here after the game ends though and NE lifts the trophy up. Vegas never loses.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mikestu
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 01-30-15
                                                                        • 83

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Just asked 3 of the biggest suckers I know. All 3 said Seattle. I rest my case.
                                                                        Comment
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