I love underdogs and fading the public, but I can't take SEA tonight

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    I love underdogs and fading the public, but I can't take SEA tonight
    I know the Seahawks are off to a good start, they have a good D, it's a tough place to play, just killed Dallas at home, etc., etc. But I don't want Seattle at +3.5. I don't think I'd even want Seattle at +5.5. Looks like a really good spot to square up and take Green Bay.

    Thoughts?
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    I see GB -7.5 is only +170. Is that low, or pretty standard? Seems like it should be higher, especially given the low total.
    Comment
    • celticsboy
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-21-11
      • 736

      #3
      Gb -3 is the play unless nfl wants to rigged this game too like all the other games that happened on sunday.
      Comment
      • k13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-16-10
        • 18104

        #4
        Originally posted by celticsboy
        Gb -3 is the play unless nfl wants to rigged this game too like all the other games that happened on sunday.
        Seattle is the play but I'll still be taking GB most likely.
        Comment
        • lunchbawks
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-31-10
          • 12873

          #5
          Seattle ML is the only option for this game
          Comment
          • freakydave
            SBR MVP
            • 02-23-11
            • 1106

            #6
            Originally posted by k13
            Seattle is the play but I'll still be taking GB most likely.
            Hey man I was really counting on SF to take out minny--WTF?
            GB should win this but it is the NFL.
            Comment
            • Brutus84
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-08-11
              • 5188

              #7
              GB by 14+ I dont care about how they beat a lousy dallas team or tough at home or have a good D. GB defense will cause some turnovers and Rodgers will finally play like Rodgers.
              Comment
              • k13
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-16-10
                • 18104

                #8
                Originally posted by freakydave
                Hey man I was really counting on SF to take out minny--WTF?
                GB should win this but it is the NFL.
                I would have told you to stay away if you asked. :/
                Comment
                • compsmoker
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 07-27-12
                  • 127

                  #9
                  I ended up just taking the over 46 at -110. I was leaning towards GB -3 but the payout is -120 so the over just seemed a better option.

                  I expect both teams to put up at least 20 so getting that extra 7 FTW seems like a good play. Plus it's great to root for both sides to score. Makes for a very enjoyable game.
                  Comment
                  • Bbfromgpt
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-24-12
                    • 6115

                    #10
                    Just seems like Vegas is begging all of us to take GB. If I play it it will be Sea or no play. Seattle is the correct play here, but it's hard as hell to take them.

                    One thing I like is they can run the ball which is one thing GB can't do and can't stop. Also, Seattle has the secondary to slow Rodgers down.

                    Seattle has outrushed their 1st two opponents 149-46.* Green Bay has been outrushed 140-76.*


                    Only two plays I'll consider are the Over or Seattle! Good luck guys
                    Comment
                    • Mercersux
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-03-12
                      • 1521

                      #11
                      People need to remember also, GB has had since last Thursday to prep for this game. Week plus for game planning, especially when they were the home team in that Thursday game goes a long way. GB 3-0 w/ a 7.6 pt margin of victory avg since 09' when coming off a Thursday game. Jennings i also a go tonight as well.
                      Comment
                      • Easy-Rider 66
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-14-12
                        • 36883

                        #12
                        Originally posted by celticsboy
                        Gb -3 is the play unless nfl wants to rigged this game too like all the other games that happened on sunday.
                        What games do you think were rigged?
                        Comment
                        • HoulihansTX
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-12-09
                          • 30566

                          #13
                          under
                          Comment
                          • eatdarich
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 08-21-12
                            • 173

                            #14
                            The Packers are 7-0 SU and ATS when playing on MNF with extra rest
                            Comment
                            • newbottles
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 06-22-12
                              • 312

                              #15
                              I sniffed out the 49ers and Steelers trick lines Sunday and avoided those. But I can't resist the Packers tonight. I bought it down to -3 at -123. I am counting on the front seven that shut down Cutler AND the run game, and Rodgers vs Wilson, all well-rested. A healthy Jennings would just be an added bonus.

                              I had high conviction betting the Seahawks vs Dallas last week but their home magic is only so potent against a more capable team.

                              I am not touching the total on this one.

                              With these officials anything goes so who knows.
                              Comment
                              • tEABAG
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 11-09-10
                                • 160

                                #16
                                Do not over think this one. Green Bay is the play.
                                Comment
                                • freakydave
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-23-11
                                  • 1106

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by k13
                                  I would have told you to stay away if you asked. :/
                                  I didn't bet it I just hate the NFC north also rans.
                                  Comment
                                  • dante1
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 10-31-05
                                    • 38647

                                    #18
                                    No coincidences, after decades of playing the NFL when in doubt I take the dog. I did that yesterday and won a huge majority of my plays. Late game I said screw it I really like the Ravens and played them both on ml and points. Naturally I lost the points bet. I too love the dogs in the NFL. At the end of the season you might not be a big winner but you definitely won't be a big loser.
                                    Comment
                                    • KingJD31
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-04-11
                                      • 8167

                                      #19
                                      Seattle giving up 5 sacks with 11 qb hits, GB 8 sacks 10 qb hits but Seattle only has 2 sacks and GB has 11 plus the Aaron Rodgers factor he will get sacked and then next play throw a td. Love the pack
                                      Comment
                                      • KingJD31
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-04-11
                                        • 8167

                                        #20
                                        Seattle I think is num 1 in rush d but I don't see that being much of factor, lynch is the only concern
                                        Comment
                                        • Deol
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-01-11
                                          • 1340

                                          #21
                                          Prolly gonna stay away from this game. Hoping Seattles up by 7ish at half and live bet GB ML for better value.
                                          Comment
                                          • R.P. McMurphy
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 06-15-12
                                            • 9654

                                            #22
                                            Kind of a tough game and Seattle is a tough place to play. Right now leaning with the better team though the Pack. I think Seattle may be a little over-valued here after thumping Dallas last week. The public perceives Dallas as a real good team but it simply is not the case. G.B. does not have to shut down Lynch just keep him to an average night and try to disrupt Wilson much as possible on defense. If they have a decent night on D and Rodgers has a big game I don't see Seattle keeping this closer than 7 and maybe even DD win for Pack. If Pack can get out to an early comfy lead on Seattle's defense then it could spell doom for Hawks who won't be able to utilize the running game so much if playing catchup down by 2/3 scores. Just some early thoughts GL everyone!
                                            Comment
                                            • sportcap
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 08-03-10
                                              • 354

                                              #23
                                              ...
                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                              I see GB -7.5 is only +170. Is that low, or pretty standard? Seems like it should be higher, especially given the low total.
                                              Local has it -7.5 +150..hmmmm
                                              Comment
                                              • JayLA
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-11-12
                                                • 7806

                                                #24
                                                I'm looking at the over.
                                                Comment
                                                • shift_knob
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-15-11
                                                  • 426

                                                  #25
                                                  i heard jenning's will not play tonight or is banged up? def not 100%

                                                  i dont know how the extra rest will factor into this game as the sample size is small right now. but dallas layed an egg, and ny almost got beat by tb when they had the extra rest.

                                                  looks like -7.5 +150 books are begging for gb money, is it a trap or are we over thinking?

                                                  i got buried yesterday with colts, pits and large on det. so someone help me out
                                                  Comment
                                                  • shift_knob
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 11-15-11
                                                    • 426

                                                    #26
                                                    wait a min...where te efff are you guys getting -7.5 +150? i see it at .3 in my books
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sportcap
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 08-03-10
                                                      • 354

                                                      #27
                                                      This is a alternate spread....it can sometimes be telling...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Big Bear
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 11-01-11
                                                        • 43253

                                                        #28
                                                        should have went with your gut big fella.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TwoWays
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-24-10
                                                          • 13145

                                                          #29
                                                          You should have just waited til final like you usually do and then post some kind of trendy "fact".
                                                          Comment
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