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I love underdogs and fading the public, but I can't take SEA tonight
I love underdogs and fading the public, but I can't take SEA tonight
I know the Seahawks are off to a good start, they have a good D, it's a tough place to play, just killed Dallas at home, etc., etc. But I don't want Seattle at +3.5. I don't think I'd even want Seattle at +5.5. Looks like a really good spot to square up and take Green Bay.
Thoughts?
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#2
I see GB -7.5 is only +170. Is that low, or pretty standard? Seems like it should be higher, especially given the low total.
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celticsboy
SBR Wise Guy
01-21-11
736
#3
Gb -3 is the play unless nfl wants to rigged this game too like all the other games that happened on sunday.
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18625
#4
Originally posted by celticsboy
Gb -3 is the play unless nfl wants to rigged this game too like all the other games that happened on sunday.
Seattle is the play but I'll still be taking GB most likely.
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lunchbawks
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-10
12873
#5
Seattle ML is the only option for this game
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freakydave
SBR MVP
02-23-11
1106
#6
Originally posted by k13
Seattle is the play but I'll still be taking GB most likely.
Hey man I was really counting on SF to take out minny--WTF?
GB should win this but it is the NFL.
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Brutus84
SBR Hall of Famer
09-08-11
5188
#7
GB by 14+ I dont care about how they beat a lousy dallas team or tough at home or have a good D. GB defense will cause some turnovers and Rodgers will finally play like Rodgers.
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k13
SBR Posting Legend
07-16-10
18625
#8
Originally posted by freakydave
Hey man I was really counting on SF to take out minny--WTF?
GB should win this but it is the NFL.
I would have told you to stay away if you asked. :/
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compsmoker
SBR High Roller
07-27-12
127
#9
I ended up just taking the over 46 at -110. I was leaning towards GB -3 but the payout is -120 so the over just seemed a better option.
I expect both teams to put up at least 20 so getting that extra 7 FTW seems like a good play. Plus it's great to root for both sides to score. Makes for a very enjoyable game.
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Bbfromgpt
SBR Hall of Famer
09-24-12
6115
#10
Just seems like Vegas is begging all of us to take GB. If I play it it will be Sea or no play. Seattle is the correct play here, but it's hard as hell to take them.
One thing I like is they can run the ball which is one thing GB can't do and can't stop. Also, Seattle has the secondary to slow Rodgers down.
Seattle has outrushed their 1st two opponents 149-46.* Green Bay has been outrushed 140-76.*
Only two plays I'll consider are the Over or Seattle! Good luck guys
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Mercersux
SBR MVP
05-03-12
1523
#11
People need to remember also, GB has had since last Thursday to prep for this game. Week plus for game planning, especially when they were the home team in that Thursday game goes a long way. GB 3-0 w/ a 7.6 pt margin of victory avg since 09' when coming off a Thursday game. Jennings i also a go tonight as well.
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Easy-Rider 66
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-14-12
37325
#12
Originally posted by celticsboy
Gb -3 is the play unless nfl wants to rigged this game too like all the other games that happened on sunday.
What games do you think were rigged?
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HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#13
under
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eatdarich
SBR High Roller
08-21-12
173
#14
The Packers are 7-0 SU and ATS when playing on MNF with extra rest
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newbottles
SBR Sharp
06-22-12
312
#15
I sniffed out the 49ers and Steelers trick lines Sunday and avoided those. But I can't resist the Packers tonight. I bought it down to -3 at -123. I am counting on the front seven that shut down Cutler AND the run game, and Rodgers vs Wilson, all well-rested. A healthy Jennings would just be an added bonus.
I had high conviction betting the Seahawks vs Dallas last week but their home magic is only so potent against a more capable team.
I am not touching the total on this one.
With these officials anything goes so who knows.
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tEABAG
SBR High Roller
11-09-10
160
#16
Do not over think this one. Green Bay is the play.
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freakydave
SBR MVP
02-23-11
1106
#17
Originally posted by k13
I would have told you to stay away if you asked. :/
I didn't bet it I just hate the NFC north also rans.
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dante1
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
10-31-05
38658
#18
No coincidences, after decades of playing the NFL when in doubt I take the dog. I did that yesterday and won a huge majority of my plays. Late game I said screw it I really like the Ravens and played them both on ml and points. Naturally I lost the points bet. I too love the dogs in the NFL. At the end of the season you might not be a big winner but you definitely won't be a big loser.
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KingJD31
SBR Hall of Famer
11-04-11
8167
#19
Seattle giving up 5 sacks with 11 qb hits, GB 8 sacks 10 qb hits but Seattle only has 2 sacks and GB has 11 plus the Aaron Rodgers factor he will get sacked and then next play throw a td. Love the pack
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KingJD31
SBR Hall of Famer
11-04-11
8167
#20
Seattle I think is num 1 in rush d but I don't see that being much of factor, lynch is the only concern
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Deol
SBR MVP
09-01-11
1340
#21
Prolly gonna stay away from this game. Hoping Seattles up by 7ish at half and live bet GB ML for better value.
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R.P. McMurphy
SBR Hall of Famer
06-15-12
9654
#22
Kind of a tough game and Seattle is a tough place to play. Right now leaning with the better team though the Pack. I think Seattle may be a little over-valued here after thumping Dallas last week. The public perceives Dallas as a real good team but it simply is not the case. G.B. does not have to shut down Lynch just keep him to an average night and try to disrupt Wilson much as possible on defense. If they have a decent night on D and Rodgers has a big game I don't see Seattle keeping this closer than 7 and maybe even DD win for Pack. If Pack can get out to an early comfy lead on Seattle's defense then it could spell doom for Hawks who won't be able to utilize the running game so much if playing catchup down by 2/3 scores. Just some early thoughts GL everyone!
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sportcap
SBR Sharp
08-03-10
354
#23
...
Originally posted by No coincidences
I see GB -7.5 is only +170. Is that low, or pretty standard? Seems like it should be higher, especially given the low total.
Local has it -7.5 +150..hmmmm
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JayLA
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-12
7814
#24
I'm looking at the over.
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shift_knob
SBR Sharp
11-15-11
426
#25
i heard jenning's will not play tonight or is banged up? def not 100%
i dont know how the extra rest will factor into this game as the sample size is small right now. but dallas layed an egg, and ny almost got beat by tb when they had the extra rest.
looks like -7.5 +150 books are begging for gb money, is it a trap or are we over thinking?
i got buried yesterday with colts, pits and large on det. so someone help me out
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shift_knob
SBR Sharp
11-15-11
426
#26
wait a min...where te efff are you guys getting -7.5 +150? i see it at .3 in my books
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sportcap
SBR Sharp
08-03-10
354
#27
This is a alternate spread....it can sometimes be telling...
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Big Bear
SBR Aristocracy
11-01-11
43253
#28
should have went with your gut big fella.
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TwoWays
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-10
13145
#29
You should have just waited til final like you usually do and then post some kind of trendy "fact".