My first ever lock thread. MIZZOU -5

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  • BigDofBA
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-30-09
    • 19313

    #1
    My first ever lock thread. MIZZOU -5
    I graduated from OU. We aren't that good.

    I don't see anyway we stay within five points. Missouri should blow us off of the court. I realize is a horrible spot with Mizzou coming off the Kansas win, it's on the road, etc. but still. I do not see how we keep this close. No one goes to OU basketball games unless we are ranked in the top 10. We have bandwagon bball fans. Lloyd Noble is never packed unless Texas comes to town.

    I'm not playing this game but it looks like free money.
  • YOUNGBUCK
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-16-10
    • 6510

    #2
    Extremely weird line
    Comment
    • BigDofBA
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-30-09
      • 19313

      #3
      Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK
      Extremely weird line
      Yeah. It screams trap, sucker bet, etc. but I don't see any way in hell OU covers here.
      Comment
      • GoBlue77
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-20-11
        • 9166

        #4
        sammich game homie.

        just played kansas which was a war. (let-down-city perhaps) and they have Baylor on deck. ultimate let down, look ahead situation. i like mizzou as well, they murdered OK last time but i wouldnt be surprised to see them not cover or lose outright..
        Comment
        • csknight3
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 03-19-10
          • 629

          #5
          Yeah this line looks as square as can be but Im still going to take it. Nothing big just a normal play though.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Opened at 7. Be careful.
            Comment
            • Dtown13
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-17-11
              • 305

              #7
              Originally posted by BigDofBA
              I graduated from OU. We aren't that good.

              I don't see anyway we stay within five points. Missouri should blow us off of the court. I realize is a horrible spot with Mizzou coming off the Kansas win, it's on the road, etc. but still. I do not see how we keep this close. No one goes to OU basketball games unless we are ranked in the top 10. We have bandwagon bball fans. Lloyd Noble is never packed unless Texas comes to town.

              I'm not playing this game but it looks like free money.
              I agree with everything you are saying because this was the 1st line that jumped out at me. However, this is a very fishy line.
              Comment
              • CWD
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-22-12
                • 7665

                #8
                always go the other way whenever someone plays the "i went to school there or i am a die hard fan and we stink/can't win this game" card. missouri could have a major letdown this line is no trap
                Comment
                • FlipsideRM
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-28-11
                  • 10518

                  #9
                  I'm on OU. Got them at 5, already down to 4.5-4 in some books
                  Comment
                  • TheeArchBishop
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-17-11
                    • 1328

                    #10
                    What about a Missouri Money Line bet ? Is that the safest call here?
                    Comment
                    • dotheopposite
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-12-08
                      • 426

                      #11
                      lock=fade. OU is the bet
                      Comment
                      • grizzlies1
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 726

                        #12
                        Of all the games I have watched this year OU has had the worst home court advantage of any team I have seen. I had them +5.5 baylor...freaking Baylor one of the best teams in the country and from hated rival state Texas and there were loads of empty seats. Then add onto that that it seemed like the seats were a long way from the court AND that most of the people who were there looked like middle aged cowboys and not rowdy college kids.
                        Comment
                        • BernardMadoff
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-12-09
                          • 6679

                          #13
                          Line is right, Id like to know whats wrong with it, wish I got it at 6.
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #14
                            Do not do this. No one will care if this wins, but will bury you if it loses. GL
                            Comment
                            • Big Bear
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-01-11
                              • 43253

                              #15
                              damm maybe i shouldn't bet on this game now i was going to take mizzou but i am superstitious
                              Comment
                              • Big Bear
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 11-01-11
                                • 43253

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TheeArchBishop
                                What about a Missouri Money Line bet ? Is that the safest call here?

                                definitely. much safer ofcourse but you will need to parlay with something.
                                Comment
                                • nammertl
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-06-11
                                  • 1204

                                  #17
                                  i think u mean suspicious.
                                  Comment
                                  • RoadDog
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-11-11
                                    • 2666

                                    #18
                                    Missouri's not just the squarest play I've seen in a long time, its actually rectangular.
                                    Comment
                                    • Owls
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 01-01-12
                                      • 240

                                      #19
                                      One thing i learned a long time ago was to never fade home underdogs in the Big 12. I don't know if its the homer refs or what, but strange things happen to good Big 12 teams on the road. Big 12 probably has the biggest home court advantage of all the power conferences.
                                      Comment
                                      • TwoWays
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-24-10
                                        • 13145

                                        #20
                                        Congrats, B.A. No need for any rebuttal. Can't you all see that it is a lock.
                                        Comment
                                        • RoadDog
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-11-11
                                          • 2666

                                          #21
                                          Nice point Owls
                                          Comment
                                          • grizzlies1
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-17-11
                                            • 726

                                            #22
                                            Im telling you OU doesn't have any home court advantage! Only possible help can come from the refs. I'm not taking Mizzou but I'd find it very hard to take OU either. I think the big 10 has a bigger home court advantage.
                                            Comment
                                            • RoadDog
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-11-11
                                              • 2666

                                              #23
                                              The point is, why would the books just give you Missouri at -4.5. You got 75% of pub on them and you got 97% of pub on them ML. Missouri is just not a smart play tonight whether they win or lose by 100.
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDofBA
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 09-30-09
                                                • 19313

                                                #24
                                                Lol. I already know how often locks lose on this site. I've never posted a Lock either.

                                                I'm not even betting this game!

                                                I'm just telling you guys that OU is an average team. Mizzou is a lot better.

                                                Likewise, we have no homecourt advantage. The only time students pack Lloyd Nobel is when we have a top 10 team, it's Bedlam, or Texas is in town. It's a football school. Fans are more concerned with football recruiting right now than basketball.

                                                Mizzou should win by about 10 points tonight.

                                                I hope my Sooners win but I don't even see them staying within 5.
                                                Comment
                                                • BigDofBA
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-30-09
                                                  • 19313

                                                  #25
                                                  An yes, I understand it's the squarest play of the night and it's a horrible spot for Mizzou coming off the KU win.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ram1502
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-26-08
                                                    • 822

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                    Opened at 7. Be careful.
                                                    Where do u find these off-market opening lines sir? If you don't mind my asking...TIA.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                      • 19313

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by ram1502
                                                      Where do u find these off-market opening lines sir? If you don't mind my asking...TIA.
                                                      I would like to know as well because te first line I saw had -5.

                                                      Who in the hell would pound OU unless they have some kind of inside info?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RoadDog
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-11-11
                                                        • 2666

                                                        #28
                                                        Missouri:
                                                        @ Old Dominion - Won by 7
                                                        @ K State - Lost by 16
                                                        @ Iowa St. - Won by 7
                                                        @ Baylor - Won by 1
                                                        @ Oklahoma St. Lost by 7
                                                        @ Texas - Won by 1

                                                        Doesnt inspire too much confidence that they will cover 5 or 5.5. Feel like this will be a blueprint of the Texas game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BigDofBA
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-30-09
                                                          • 19313

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by RoadDog
                                                          Missouri:
                                                          @ Old Dominion - Won by 7
                                                          @ K State - Lost by 16
                                                          @ Iowa St. - Won by 7
                                                          @ Baylor - Won by 1
                                                          @ Oklahoma St. Lost by 7
                                                          @ Texas - Won by 1

                                                          Doesnt inspire too much confidence that they will cover 5 or 5.5. Feel like this will be a blueprint of the Texas game.
                                                          They also beat CAL by 40 on a neutral court.

                                                          K-State, Iowa State, and Baylor are all a lot harder places to play.

                                                          I guess the books don't trust Mizzou on the road but I doubt the place will even be at 50% capacity tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DerekMadden
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-14-11
                                                            • 1361

                                                            #30
                                                            Perfect spot for OU to shoot lights out.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RoadDog
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-11-11
                                                              • 2666

                                                              #31
                                                              Oklahoma sandwiched in between Kansas and Baylor. A fishy line that makes no sense, and everyone in the world backing Missouri. Just be smart.

                                                              Edit: Not to mention, a fishy like thats going DOWN.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BigDofBA
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-30-09
                                                                • 19313

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by DerekMadden
                                                                Perfect spot for OU to shoot lights out.
                                                                That's our only hope but how do you predict when a team is going to shoot well when they usually don't?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DerekMadden
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-14-11
                                                                  • 1361

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                  That's our only hope but how do you predict when a team is going to shoot well when they usually don't?
                                                                  I can't, that's why I'm not touching this line.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • YouHave2outs
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-02-11
                                                                    • 4448

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                    I'm not even betting this game!
                                                                    get outa here posting your 'first lock thread' and not betting the game. seriously
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                                      • 19313

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by YouHave2outs
                                                                      get outa here posting your 'first lock thread' and not betting the game. seriously
                                                                      I can't bet against my alma mater.
                                                                      Comment
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