My first ever lock thread. MIZZOU -5

[BigDofBA]

I graduated from OU. We aren't that good.

I don't see anyway we stay within five points. Missouri should blow us off of the court. I realize is a horrible spot with Mizzou coming off the Kansas win, it's on the road, etc. but still. I do not see how we keep this close. No one goes to OU basketball games unless we are ranked in the top 10. We have bandwagon bball fans. Lloyd Noble is never packed unless Texas comes to town.

I'm not playing this game but it looks like free money.

[YOUNGBUCK]

Extremely weird line

[BigDofBA]

Extremely weird line

Yeah. It screams trap, sucker bet, etc. but I don't see any way in hell OU covers here.

[GoBlue77]

sammich game homie.

just played kansas which was a war. (let-down-city perhaps) and they have Baylor on deck. ultimate let down, look ahead situation. i like mizzou as well, they murdered OK last time but i wouldnt be surprised to see them not cover or lose outright..

[csknight3]

Yeah this line looks as square as can be but Im still going to take it. Nothing big just a normal play though.

[No coincidences]

Opened at 7. Be careful.

[Dtown13]

I graduated from OU. We aren't that good.

I don't see anyway we stay within five points. Missouri should blow us off of the court. I realize is a horrible spot with Mizzou coming off the Kansas win, it's on the road, etc. but still. I do not see how we keep this close. No one goes to OU basketball games unless we are ranked in the top 10. We have bandwagon bball fans. Lloyd Noble is never packed unless Texas comes to town.

I'm not playing this game but it looks like free money.

I agree with everything you are saying because this was the 1st line that jumped out at me. However, this is a very fishy line.

[CWD]

always go the other way whenever someone plays the "i went to school there or i am a die hard fan and we stink/can't win this game" card. missouri could have a major letdown this line is no trap

[FlipsideRM]

I'm on OU. Got them at 5, already down to 4.5-4 in some books

[TheeArchBishop]

What about a Missouri Money Line bet ? Is that the safest call here?

[dotheopposite]

lock=fade. OU is the bet

[grizzlies1]

Of all the games I have watched this year OU has had the worst home court advantage of any team I have seen. I had them +5.5 baylor...freaking Baylor one of the best teams in the country and from hated rival state Texas and there were loads of empty seats. Then add onto that that it seemed like the seats were a long way from the court AND that most of the people who were there looked like middle aged cowboys and not rowdy college kids.

[BernardMadoff]

Line is right, Id like to know whats wrong with it, wish I got it at 6.

[HoulihansTX]

Do not do this. No one will care if this wins, but will bury you if it loses. GL

[Big Bear]

damm maybe i shouldn't bet on this game now i was going to take mizzou but i am superstitious

[Big Bear]

What about a Missouri Money Line bet ? Is that the safest call here?

definitely. much safer ofcourse but you will need to parlay with something.

[nammertl]

i think u mean suspicious.

[RoadDog]

Missouri's not just the squarest play I've seen in a long time, its actually rectangular.

[Owls]

One thing i learned a long time ago was to never fade home underdogs in the Big 12. I don't know if its the homer refs or what, but strange things happen to good Big 12 teams on the road. Big 12 probably has the biggest home court advantage of all the power conferences.

[TwoWays]

Congrats, B.A. No need for any rebuttal. Can't you all see that it is a lock.

[RoadDog]

Nice point Owls

[grizzlies1]

Im telling you OU doesn't have any home court advantage! Only possible help can come from the refs. I'm not taking Mizzou but I'd find it very hard to take OU either. I think the big 10 has a bigger home court advantage.

[RoadDog]

The point is, why would the books just give you Missouri at -4.5. You got 75% of pub on them and you got 97% of pub on them ML. Missouri is just not a smart play tonight whether they win or lose by 100.

[BigDofBA]

Lol. I already know how often locks lose on this site. I've never posted a Lock either.

I'm not even betting this game!

I'm just telling you guys that OU is an average team. Mizzou is a lot better.

Likewise, we have no homecourt advantage. The only time students pack Lloyd Nobel is when we have a top 10 team, it's Bedlam, or Texas is in town. It's a football school. Fans are more concerned with football recruiting right now than basketball.

Mizzou should win by about 10 points tonight.

I hope my Sooners win but I don't even see them staying within 5.

[BigDofBA]

An yes, I understand it's the squarest play of the night and it's a horrible spot for Mizzou coming off the KU win.

[ram1502]

Opened at 7. Be careful.

Where do u find these off-market opening lines sir? If you don't mind my asking...TIA.

[BigDofBA]

Where do u find these off-market opening lines sir? If you don't mind my asking...TIA.

I would like to know as well because te first line I saw had -5.

Who in the hell would pound OU unless they have some kind of inside info?

[RoadDog]

Missouri:
@ Old Dominion - Won by 7
@ K State - Lost by 16
@ Iowa St. - Won by 7
@ Baylor - Won by 1
@ Oklahoma St. Lost by 7
@ Texas - Won by 1

Doesnt inspire too much confidence that they will cover 5 or 5.5. Feel like this will be a blueprint of the Texas game.

[BigDofBA]

Missouri:
@ Old Dominion - Won by 7
@ K State - Lost by 16
@ Iowa St. - Won by 7
@ Baylor - Won by 1
@ Oklahoma St. Lost by 7
@ Texas - Won by 1

Doesnt inspire too much confidence that they will cover 5 or 5.5. Feel like this will be a blueprint of the Texas game.

They also beat CAL by 40 on a neutral court.

K-State, Iowa State, and Baylor are all a lot harder places to play.

I guess the books don't trust Mizzou on the road but I doubt the place will even be at 50% capacity tonight.

[DerekMadden]

Perfect spot for OU to shoot lights out.

[RoadDog]

Oklahoma sandwiched in between Kansas and Baylor. A fishy line that makes no sense, and everyone in the world backing Missouri. Just be smart.

Edit: Not to mention, a fishy like thats going DOWN.

[BigDofBA]

Perfect spot for OU to shoot lights out.

That's our only hope but how do you predict when a team is going to shoot well when they usually don't?

[DerekMadden]

That's our only hope but how do you predict when a team is going to shoot well when they usually don't?

I can't, that's why I'm not touching this line.

[YouHave2outs]

I'm not even betting this game!

get outa here posting your 'first lock thread' and not betting the game. seriously

[BigDofBA]

get outa here posting your 'first lock thread' and not betting the game. seriously

I can't bet against my alma mater.