Want to go more, but also don't want to flush a profitable day.
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#527
Be careful Coin,I don't see the edge of taking Indiana............
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#528
More value in Long Beach St., IMO. But was looking at Indiana as well.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#529
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
Be careful Coin,I don't see the edge of taking Indiana............
Well, I don't like that it just moved to 6 at The Greek.
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#530
NoCoin, I dont know if anyone asked already but if I may...
It seems you and I use similar strategies. I think it would be a lot better if you just waited 5 mins before game time to put these bets in. Then again, if you dont agree just tell me to shut the f up and i wont bring it up again lol.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#531
Man, Troy is getting blown up.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#532
Originally posted by RoadDog
NoCoin, I dont know if anyone asked already but if I may...
It seems you and I use similar strategies. I think it would be a lot better if you just waited 5 mins before game time to put these bets in. Then again, if you dont agree just tell me to shut the f up and i wont bring it up again lol.
No, you're right. But there are times where I realize I need to just trust my capping and try to beat the closing number.
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#533
I know. I did that with that ridiculous Iowa Iowa St over last night. I capped it and thought theres no way these teams sniff 150. Then...well you know what happened. (Hope you watched the final minute of that game, very insightful lol)
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#534
this is a Hell of a game so far,
I'm rootin for ya Coin........
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#535
I love Dick Vitale, but jeez man. I have a headache lol.
Comment
Ch Br
SBR Sharp
12-06-11
425
#536
what do ya think, Kentucky gonna pull through?
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#537
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
this is a Hell of a game so far,
I'm rootin for ya Coin........
We'll see. Of course I feel like I should have played the 1H.
Comment
Ch Br
SBR Sharp
12-06-11
425
#538
About the Upcoming Games:
Davidson -3 @Charlotte 4:05est
Boise St +1.5 @Lsu 5:05est
or
nevada -3.5@Montana 6:05est
I like Boise and Davidson, and TCU Pk v Nebraska 5:05est
Thoughts, comments??????
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#539
LBSU +16.5 (1U) Charlotte +3 (1U)
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#540
Cash IU. Would've gone bigger if my confidence wasn't shot going into today.
5-3, +9.6U so far today with LBSU and Charlotte pending.
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#541
Portland U
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#542
Originally posted by RoadDog
Portland U
Comment
Ch Br
SBR Sharp
12-06-11
425
#543
No Coin.. dont worry about it... important thing is to not let pass outcomes deter your focus on the CURRENT DAY...
im gonna post this... not sure if your familiar with Sawyer in the Hockey form, but hes a solid capper with wisdom for all players... this is gonna be kinda long but its a great post he did......
Originally posted by Sawyer
Guys, Do You Know Your Real Enemy?
LVSC? Bookie? Betting Public? Brandon Lang? IRS?
No.
It's YOU!
That's right.
In sports betting, your biggest enemy is yourself.
Emotions..enemy.
Greed..is your enemy.
These are dangerous feelings. May destroy your bankroll even in one day..
I don't say it's an universal truth; it's just my opinion. There may be cappers who are doing fine with gutfeeling, but not me.
In my opinion,
We must BET LIKE A ROBOT!
That's right. Zero emotions. Betting like a robot.
Hi. My name is R2D2. Pick Colorado +120 tonight.
A friend of mine says he got 2 bets for today. Fine. He goes 0-2 and he places another wager on 10 AM baseball game. WTF? If you were 2-0, would you still make this bet? No, he says. Don't chase your loses. Don't try to get breakeven for the day. There may be much better games tomorrow.
Guys, sports betting is a tough job if you're capping games with gutfeeling.
Why I like betting like a robot?
Because you avoid all emotions.
Maybe, you had a discussion with your wife and you're not in a good mood. You had a bad day at office. Maybe you lost your cat/dog. You learned Becky Hammon is married (hopefully not).
These things may effect your mind. These things may effect your handicapping, your decisions.
But if your selections are based on a system/handicapping model (or some rules), these "bad" things won't matter. They won't effect your picks..
Let the numbers do the work.
The best thing about following a handicapping model/system is, you never ask yourself which bet you should take. All picks are clear. Let's say you're capping games and making your selections with gutfeeling, because you liked it, because Halladay is invincible etc. You like 6 games on board. But you don't feel too confident (emotions again) about all of them. So you bet 3 of them. You go 1-2. Other 3 picks you didn't picked go 3-0. It happens. Bets that you don't pick usually win, Strange but true. You blame yourself for picking Lakers, you say why I didn't picked Boston. Emotions again..
It can be frustrating..specially when you're on a losing streak. We, sports bettors are very streaky in nature. Do you know why? It's related with psychology. During a glorious winning streak, you feel yourself invincible. Positive Energy, Yeah! You make better predictions, better analysis..and you keep winning! Becase your expectations are also positive. Everything you touch turns to gold.
On the other side, when you're on a losing streak, you may lose your confidence..It effects your decisions, your picks. You're cold as ice. You may not make healthy decisions.
After a disastrous streak, you may even don't want to make picks..
Conclusion
Developping a handicapping model or a betting system is not the whole thing. You gotta stick with it! Remember, zero emotions. Believe me, sticking with your system/model is harder then developping it! Seriously..
Greed is not good. Greed is evil. Patience is golden. Patience is the key. Make sure you got these four elements..
* Patience
* Discipline
* Bankroll
* A Plan (Handicapping Model/System)
And numbers will take care of the rest. I wish you all a profitable season.
Take care,
Sawyer
so next time u lose confidence, DONT... just look at the numbers, do your process and have confidence in the system you have shown to have good results...
im glad to be folowing your thread, its one of the few quality ones in here...
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#544
Haha Coin, I dont even have to tell you, bro. You know whats up.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#545
Originally posted by Ch Br
No Coin.. dont worry about it... important thing is to not let pass outcomes deter your focus on the CURRENT DAY...
im gonna post this... not sure if your familiar with Sawyer in the Hockey form, but hes a solid capper with wisdom for all players... this is gonna be kinda long but its a great post he did......
so next time u lose confidence, DONT... just look at the numbers, do your process and have confidence in the system you have shown to have good results...
im glad to be folowing your thread, its one of the few quality ones in here...
I've seen that. Sawyer's a quality cat, and that's a great post.
Comment
Ch Br
SBR Sharp
12-06-11
425
#546
Originally posted by RoadDog
Haha Coin, I dont even have to tell you, bro. You know whats up.
Im with ya RoadDog, it doesnt hurt to give ppl their due every once and a while
Youre not too bad urself Dog ahahahahh
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#547
Nebraska -110 (1U)
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#548
Originally posted by Ch Br
Im with ya RoadDog, but it doesnt hurt to give ppl their due every once and a while Youre not too bad urself Dog ahahahahh
Wait, did i not give someone their due? Explain lol
Comment
Ch Br
SBR Sharp
12-06-11
425
#549
didnt mean to put the 'but' in there... prolly just typin too fast ahhaahah and edited outta the original LOL
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#550
Hahaha I was like oh s****, what did i say???
Thanks bro, lets keep this train rollin
Comment
Ch Br
SBR Sharp
12-06-11
425
#551
Originally posted by No coincidences
Charlotte +3 (1U)
Nice call on the Charlotte contest....
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#552
Originally posted by No coincidences
Cash IU. Would've gone bigger if my confidence wasn't shot going into today.
5-3, +9.6U so far today with LBSU and Charlotte pending.
7-3, +11.6U today with Nebraska pending.
Comment
PAULYPOKER
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-06-08
36581
#553
Originally posted by No coincidences
We'll see. Of course I feel like I should have played the 1H.
What a finish,3 at the buzzer!
Comment
Hoopster17
SBR High Roller
06-01-10
238
#554
Nice day No Coin keep it rolling
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#555
Originally posted by Hoopster17
Nice day No Coin keep it rolling
Hope so. Looking at Portland to finish the night, but I missed good numbers with them (had them pegged at +4.5 last night).
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#556
Cash Nebraska.
8-3, +12.6U today
53-56, -13.4U season
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#557
Portland +3 (2U)
Would've been 3-4U had I gotten the 4.5 last night.
Comment
JamesBrown
SBR MVP
04-07-08
3860
#558
Nice day today, NC.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#559
Originally posted by JamesBrown
Nice day today, NC.
Thanks JB.
Any NFL Sunday?
Comment
JamesBrown
SBR MVP
04-07-08
3860
#560
I'm looking now...I'll shoot you some leans later on....let me know what you like...