Indiana +6.5 (Bodog) (5U)
Want to go more, but also don't want to flush a profitable day.
Want to go more, but also don't want to flush a profitable day.
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Be careful Coin,I don't see the edge of taking Indiana............Comment -
More value in Long Beach St., IMO. But was looking at Indiana as well.Comment -
Well, I don't like that it just moved to 6 at The Greek.Originally posted by PAULYPOKERComment -
NoCoin, I dont know if anyone asked already but if I may...
It seems you and I use similar strategies. I think it would be a lot better if you just waited 5 mins before game time to put these bets in. Then again, if you dont agree just tell me to shut the f up and i wont bring it up again lol.Comment -
Man, Troy is getting blown up.Comment -
No, you're right. But there are times where I realize I need to just trust my capping and try to beat the closing number.Originally posted by RoadDogComment -
I know. I did that with that ridiculous Iowa Iowa St over last night. I capped it and thought theres no way these teams sniff 150. Then...well you know what happened. (Hope you watched the final minute of that game, very insightful lol)Comment -
this is a Hell of a game so far,
I'm rootin for ya Coin........Comment -
I love Dick Vitale, but jeez man. I have a headache lol.Comment -
what do ya think, Kentucky gonna pull through?Comment -
Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
We'll see. Of course I feel like I should have played the 1H.Comment -
About the Upcoming Games:
Davidson -3 @Charlotte 4:05est
Boise St +1.5 @Lsu 5:05est
or
nevada -3.5@Montana 6:05est
I like Boise and Davidson, and TCU Pk v Nebraska 5:05est
Thoughts, comments??????Comment -
LBSU +16.5 (1U)
Charlotte +3 (1U)Comment -
Cash IU. Would've gone bigger if my confidence wasn't shot going into today.
5-3, +9.6U so far today with LBSU and Charlotte pending.Comment -
Portland U
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Originally posted by RoadDogPortland U
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No Coin.. dont worry about it... important thing is to not let pass outcomes deter your focus on the CURRENT DAY...
im gonna post this... not sure if your familiar with Sawyer in the Hockey form, but hes a solid capper with wisdom for all players... this is gonna be kinda long but its a great post he did......
so next time u lose confidence, DONT... just look at the numbers, do your process and have confidence in the system you have shown to have good results...Originally posted by Sawyer
Guys, Do You Know Your Real Enemy?
LVSC? Bookie? Betting Public? Brandon Lang? IRS?
No.
It's YOU!
That's right.
In sports betting, your biggest enemy is yourself.
Emotions..enemy.
Greed..is your enemy.
These are dangerous feelings. May destroy your bankroll even in one day..
I don't say it's an universal truth; it's just my opinion. There may be cappers who are doing fine with gutfeeling, but not me.
In my opinion,
We must BET LIKE A ROBOT!
That's right. Zero emotions. Betting like a robot.
Hi. My name is R2D2. Pick Colorado +120 tonight.
A friend of mine says he got 2 bets for today. Fine. He goes 0-2 and he places another wager on 10 AM baseball game. WTF? If you were 2-0, would you still make this bet? No, he says. Don't chase your loses. Don't try to get breakeven for the day. There may be much better games tomorrow.
Guys, sports betting is a tough job if you're capping games with gutfeeling.
Why I like betting like a robot?
Because you avoid all emotions.
Maybe, you had a discussion with your wife and you're not in a good mood. You had a bad day at office. Maybe you lost your cat/dog. You learned Becky Hammon is married (hopefully not).
These things may effect your mind. These things may effect your handicapping, your decisions.
But if your selections are based on a system/handicapping model (or some rules), these "bad" things won't matter. They won't effect your picks..
Let the numbers do the work.
The best thing about following a handicapping model/system is, you never ask yourself which bet you should take. All picks are clear. Let's say you're capping games and making your selections with gutfeeling, because you liked it, because Halladay is invincible etc. You like 6 games on board. But you don't feel too confident (emotions again) about all of them. So you bet 3 of them. You go 1-2. Other 3 picks you didn't picked go 3-0. It happens. Bets that you don't pick usually win, Strange but true. You blame yourself for picking Lakers, you say why I didn't picked Boston. Emotions again..
It can be frustrating..specially when you're on a losing streak. We, sports bettors are very streaky in nature. Do you know why? It's related with psychology. During a glorious winning streak, you feel yourself invincible. Positive Energy, Yeah! You make better predictions, better analysis..and you keep winning! Becase your expectations are also positive. Everything you touch turns to gold.
On the other side, when you're on a losing streak, you may lose your confidence..It effects your decisions, your picks. You're cold as ice. You may not make healthy decisions.
After a disastrous streak, you may even don't want to make picks..
Conclusion
Developping a handicapping model or a betting system is not the whole thing. You gotta stick with it! Remember, zero emotions. Believe me, sticking with your system/model is harder then developping it! Seriously..
Greed is not good. Greed is evil. Patience is golden. Patience is the key. Make sure you got these four elements..
* Patience
* Discipline
* Bankroll
* A Plan (Handicapping Model/System)
And numbers will take care of the rest. I wish you all a profitable season.
Take care,
Sawyer
im glad to be folowing your thread, its one of the few quality ones in here...Comment -
Haha Coin, I dont even have to tell you, bro. You know whats up.Comment -
Originally posted by Ch Br
I've seen that. Sawyer's a quality cat, and that's a great post.Comment -
Im with ya RoadDog, it doesnt hurt to give ppl their due every once and a whileOriginally posted by RoadDog
Youre not too bad urself Dog
ahahahahh
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Nebraska -110 (1U)Comment -
Wait, did i not give someone their due? Explain lolOriginally posted by Ch BrIm with ya RoadDog, but it doesnt hurt to give ppl their due every once and a while Youre not too bad urself Dog ahahahahhComment -
didnt mean to put the 'but' in there... prolly just typin too fast ahhaahah and edited outta the original LOLComment -
Hahaha I was like oh s****, what did i say???
Thanks bro, lets keep this train rollinComment -
Nice call on the Charlotte contest....Originally posted by No coincidencesComment -
7-3, +11.6U today with Nebraska pending.Originally posted by No coincidencesComment -
Originally posted by No coincidences We'll see. Of course I feel like I should have played the 1H.
What a finish,3 at the buzzer!Comment -
Nice day No Coin keep it rolling
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Hope so. Looking at Portland to finish the night, but I missed good numbers with them (had them pegged at +4.5 last night).Originally posted by Hoopster17Nice day No Coin keep it rollingComment -
Cash Nebraska.
8-3, +12.6U today
53-56, -13.4U season
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Portland +3 (2U)
Would've been 3-4U had I gotten the 4.5 last night.Comment -
Nice day today, NC.Comment -
Thanks JB.Originally posted by JamesBrown
Any NFL Sunday?Comment -
I'm looking now...I'll shoot you some leans later on....let me know what you like...Comment