1. #176
    matt711
    matt711's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-12
    Posts: 2,205
    Betpoints: 1581

    Florida game runner way under, of coarse OT, damn

  2. #177
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    Unders

    tues. 20-6
    wed. 19-17
    thurs. 15-7. So far

  3. #178
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    54-30 right now

  4. #179
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    Unders 70-49. 59% Tues thru thurs

  5. #180
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    M tenn st leading scorer is out

  6. #181
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    At least its not close losses anymore, these games are under by 10-15 pts in the first half

  7. #182
    matt711
    matt711's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-12
    Posts: 2,205
    Betpoints: 1581

    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    Unders

    tues. 20-6
    wed. 19-17
    thurs. 15-7. So far
    Good info, seems unders come in streaks, especially tournament time.

  8. #183
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    Yeah unders were +money every day in the conf tourneys. Lets see what happens in the ncaa tourney

  9. #184
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,433
    Betpoints: 3120

    I don’t bet a lot of futures, but I played Duke to make the Sweet 16 +155 on DraftKings. They’re -265 vs ORU today so +155 implies roughly a -118 ML in the next round. Duke will be favored by more than that against either Tennessee or Louisiana if they advance. And they’re playing excellent ball right now.

  10. #185
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,433
    Betpoints: 3120

    Betstamp is glitching today. I only played those games once.

  11. #186
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    Unders ncaa tourney

    10-6 thurs
    14-2 friday
    6-2 sat

  12. #187
    Renegades
    Renegades's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-11
    Posts: 5,159
    Betpoints: 21650

    The worst shooting tourney I’ve ever watched. 90% of the games are in the 60’s

  13. #188
    barnstorm
    Pro
    barnstorm's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-11
    Posts: 314
    Betpoints: 2870

    HeeluvaGuy went 263-206-1 (56.4%) in College Hoops this year on BetStamp as tips4tacos.

    After juice, that was good for +41 units.

    Well done.


    Points Awarded:

    matt711 gave barnstorm 25 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  14. #189
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,433
    Betpoints: 3120

    Thanks. I was just coming to post the screen grab but couldn’t find the thread.

    Not my best tournament, but still managed 18-15 for +2.86u.

    Taking some time off to recharge a bit but might fire up some MLB in a few weeks. GL to all!

  15. #190
    barnstorm
    Pro
    barnstorm's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-11
    Posts: 314
    Betpoints: 2870

    Do you do MLB Totals, or sides, or RLs?

    If Totals, do you base it on Umpires? Or Pitcher vs Hitter histories?

  16. #191
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,433
    Betpoints: 3120

    Last season I put together a model for 1st inning runs that did pretty well. Here's a link to those results: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

    The problem I run into with Betstamp on those is that they only offer Caesars lines for Y/NRFI and the success of the model depends greatly on finding the best price available so posting those plays on Betstamp won't yield realistic results. If I decide to run that again and you're interested I can message you the link to the spreadsheet.

    I also play around with props and I pull daily batter v. pitcher numbers and post them here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

  17. #192
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,433
    Betpoints: 3120

    Doubt there’s much traffic here these days but the burnout from hoops has passed and I’ve cranked up the first inning run model for this year. I hope to update it daily, but I have some trips planned that may cause some breaks. I’ll try to note that on the doc when it happens. Here’s the link for anyone interested: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...jC_4o11SY/edit

  18. #193
    coolguy73739
    coolguy73739's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-11-16
    Posts: 1,661
    Betpoints: 9058

    College Basketball total bet is the most difficult bet to win imho. I know you Heeluvaguy is obsessed with totals bet but I'm not sure how you managed to stay on top for all these years with these crazy bets. Imo even books find it hard to handle barring a few games so HATS OFF TO YOU. Pace is the biggest culprit.
    I have chased that passion of total bets for last many years but no success. I'm fully focused on point spread bets for next season.
    Good luck my friend.

  19. #194
    barnstorm
    Pro
    barnstorm's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-13-11
    Posts: 314
    Betpoints: 2870

    Any good NFL or College Football cappers to follow here or on BetStamp?

    College hoops coming up soon!

  20. #195
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 28,889
    Betpoints: 23053

    Quote Originally Posted by barnstorm View Post
    Any good NFL or College Football cappers to follow here or on BetStamp?

    College hoops coming up soon!
    Impressive showing by Heel. Very nice.

    I know this is early. But I'll post one comment:
    *Early Season Coll Bask can present some soft lines.
    ...Reason is pretty obvious. When Oddsmakers has 90% of their resources allocated to Football, some lines can slip thru the cracks.

  21. #196
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,433
    Betpoints: 3120

    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Impressive showing by Heel. Very nice.

    I know this is early. But I'll post one comment:
    *Early Season Coll Bask can present some soft lines.
    ...Reason is pretty obvious. When Oddsmakers has 90% of their resources allocated to Football, some lines can slip thru the cracks.
    Thanks for the compliment. Agree with your assessment of early season lines, especially in totals markets.

    @barnstorm - I haven't found anyone consistent with NCAAF. I have all but given up modeling it and am not even trying this season. I still bet NCAAF, but I don't post them to betstamp because it's pretty unreliable and just for fun at this point. Kind of like coolguy, I'm done banging my head against the NCAAF wall.

    I am planning to post NCAAB to bestamp when the season gets going.

  22. #197
    ChuckyTheGoat
    ChuckyTheGoat's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-04-11
    Posts: 28,889
    Betpoints: 23053

    Salud, Heel. GL to you.

    NCAAFB has been humbling to me this year. Thought I had it figured out. Truth is that those lines are pretty sharp.

    Re: Coll Bask, I have a plan to bet it in the very early going. Per my note above, those early season lines can't possibly be backed by much Science. They just post #s with MOST of the focus on Football.

First ... 3456
Top