A solid night with both the 5 unit first half play on Wisconsin Green Bay +3.5 and the 3 unit full game play on Dayton +3.5 both coming through. Picked up 8 units total on Monday and hopefully this is the start of our seventh winning week in the past eight weeks. Okay enough talk about yesterday time to move on and tackle Tuesday, with a limited college card containing only two games there is not much to pick from, but I did however find one play I like for Tuesday.
Tuesday's Play: North Carolina/UAB UNDER 136 5 units
Trends
The under is 15-4 in North Carolina last 19 overall
The under is 6-2 in North Carolina last 8 as the underdog
The under is 6-2 in UAB last 8 as the favorite
The under is 7-3 in UAB last 10 out of conference play
North Carolina
The Tar Heels went just 3-8 on the road this season and averaged just 68 points per game in those 11 contests on 41 percent shooting from the field and 30 percent shooting from downtown. As for free throw percentage, the Heels only shot 62 percent from the line during these 11 road games. In their past 5, these offensive numbers have gotten slightly worse with the Heels only averaging 67 per game on 41 percent from the field and 29 percent from deep over the past five games. A slight sign of improvement can be found in free throw percentage, where the Heels have bumped this up to 70 percent from the line over their past five games.
As for defense, the Heels allow an average of 75 per game on the road on 42 percent shooting from the field and 36 percent from deep. In their past 5 however these numbers have gotten much better, allowing 70 per game on 41 percent from the field and 33 percent from deep. If you look at their past defensive efforts in the month of March, 74 to Miss St, 72 to William and Mary, 62 to Georgia Tech, 82 to Duke, and 62 to Miami, the style of team they play today, UAB, is more closely reflected to the likes of a Georgia Tech or Miami as opposed to a William and Mary or a Duke. What I mean is UAB tries to beat you on the defensive end, not saying they won't run when given the chance, but their main objective is to beat you in a half court setting. I'll take for instance the W&M game where the opposition was knocking down 3s and NC had to counter this with several 3s of their own, letting the other team dictate the style of play. Today I expect no different and UAB will choose to play a half court game as opposed to what W&M or Miss State would have choose and NC will follow suit with whatever style is chosen by the opposition.
UAB
The Blazers are 15-3 at home this season and average 70 per game on 43 percent shooting, 29 percent from deep, and 71 percent from the line. In their past 5 they have only averaged 59 per game on 40 percent shooting, 25 percent from deep, and 63 percent from the line.
On the defensive end, the Blazers allow an average of 60 per game on 40 percent shooting and 29 percent from deep. In their past five, they have allowed an average of 56 per game on 39 percent from the field and 29 percent from deep; as solid numbers as you will find in this time of the year. UAB has held their last 5 home opponents to 52 NC State, 49 Coastal Carolina, 58 Southern Miss, 52, Tulane 55, and Houston 66. All numbers in the 40s and 50s with the one exception being the furthest back and best offense of the 5 listed, Houston putting up 66 at UAB. In addition, UAB is coming off a 72-52 win over ACC NC State and if they were able to limit the Wolf Pack to just 52, I think they can hold their own on the defensive end against ACC NC.
Tuesday's Play - NC/UAB UNDER 136 5 units
Good Luck
ICE
Comment
hugh4310
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2302
#3
Thanks ICE
Comment
eatdust11
SBR Wise Guy
02-16-09
683
#4
That is my only play of the day as well.. like the under a lot... good luck!
Comment
THE PROFIT
SBR Posting Legend
11-27-09
17701
#5
I have it projected right around that #, at 137. Ill look at it more
Comment
gmoney000
SBR Sharp
02-11-10
251
#6
tailin.. thanks
Comment
Uniondutchmaster
SBR Rookie
03-19-10
35
#7
Been tailing Mr. Profit and you and boy have u guys been helpful. Up alot for a young college kid. Thanks! BOL ill be on this one
Comment
STAY STRONG
SBR MVP
03-07-10
2498
#8
good luck bud
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#9
Final Card
North Carolina/UAB UNDER 136 5 units
Bobcats/Wizards UNDER 182.5 2 units
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Soxsfan9
SBR MVP
11-30-08
3705
#10
I like the under in the UNC game as well, BOL ICE!
Comment
tbone40143
SBR High Roller
09-04-09
123
#11
i like the under as well anyone thinkin bout taken UNC ml they've been playing "good" lately but how long can roy keep his young team rollin?
Comment
jram68
SBR Wise Guy
12-16-09
693
#12
Go Heels!
Comment
twoods215
SBR Wise Guy
09-10-08
699
#13
Thanks for the picks and the writeup ICE. I like the WIZ Bobcats play as well.
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dknight734
SBR MVP
01-10-10
2268
#14
i wanna tail, but not sure
Comment
Maddhatter
SBR MVP
06-12-09
4350
#15
Tailing you on your Bobcats/Wiz under play bud. I had already locked in the NC/UAB under and feel even better knowing you are on it as well.
Comment
freddues
SBR Wise Guy
02-29-08
591
#16
Best of luck ICE!
I like the under on Texas Tech as well I cap it at 151.
Pick:
Texas Tech U156.5
GLA
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#17
Originally posted by freddues
Best of luck ICE! I like the under on Texas Tech as well I cap it at 151. Pick: Texas Tech U156.5 GLA
good luck with the play freddues
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#18
Originally posted by Maddhatter
Tailing you on your Bobcats/Wiz under play bud. I had already locked in the NC/UAB under and feel even better knowing you are on it as well.
Good luck Hatter, lets cash these two tonight
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#19
Originally posted by dknight734
i wanna tail, but not sure
If you are unsure about a play, layoff it, there are always plenty of opportunities in the next coming days to make a play you are more confident about. Good luck.
Comment
Wolf40
SBR Wise Guy
02-09-10
954
#20
Goodluck tonight Ice, get some extra cash for the big show on Thursday!
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#21
Originally posted by twoods215
Thanks for the picks and the writeup ICE. I like the WIZ Bobcats play as well.
Thanks, good luck with the play Woods
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#22
Originally posted by Wolf40
Goodluck tonight Ice, get some extra cash for the big show on Thursday!
Thanks Wolf, good luck to you as well buddy and yes, lets build those units up for the big weekend ahead
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#23
Originally posted by jram68
Go Heels!
good luck with the Heels jram, I lean to the Blazers but feel the under is the strongest play in this match-up.
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#24
Originally posted by tbone40143
i like the under as well anyone thinkin bout taken UNC ml they've been playing "good" lately but how long can roy keep his young team rollin?
good luck tbone, as far as the side I lean to the Blazers but not playing it, just on the under but good luck if you decide to play the Heels ML
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#25
Originally posted by Soxsfan9
I like the under in the UNC game as well, BOL ICE!
thanks Soxs, best of luck tonight buddy
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#26
Originally posted by STAY STRONG
good luck bud
thanks SS, you too
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#27
Originally posted by Uniondutchmaster
Been tailing Mr. Profit and you and boy have u guys been helpful. Up alot for a young college kid. Thanks! BOL ill be on this one
thanks UDM, glad to hear that you are making some coin
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#28
Originally posted by gmoney000
tailin.. thanks
here's to hopefully another profitable night buddy
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#29
Originally posted by THE PROFIT
I have it projected right around that #, at 137. Ill look at it more
I capped it a bit lower than the number and don't expect NC to get out of the 60s, so I feel this one stays under. Good luck tonight Profit.
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#30
Originally posted by eatdust11
That is my only play of the day as well.. like the under a lot... good luck!
thanks eatdust, good luck to you as well
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#31
Originally posted by hugh4310
Thanks ICE
no problem, hope you keep building up that bankroll like you've been buddy
Comment
gwiz
SBR MVP
02-09-10
1790
#32
man home town teams can be tough to cap eh ICE,,
I missed my creighton fade,went for the big one and missed
I like your logic on the heels under,I put a few points on it
Comment
iceminers26
SBR Posting Legend
10-13-08
15600
#33
Originally posted by gwiz
man home town teams can be tough to cap eh ICE,, I missed my creighton fade,went for the big one and missed I like your logic on the heels under,I put a few points on it
Tell me about it buddy, the last 2 times I played a game involving my home town teams I lost, most recently Pitt and before that an under in a Duquesne game that was pretty much over at the half. Don't know what it is, but I struggle capping my hometown teams as well.