SBR's Source for FADEs.... Top Betting Trends

khaden · 04-01-10, 10:52 AM

I thing we can all collectively put our heads together and win alot of games. By no means am I claiming to have this figured out like Houlihans and Angelodebo but Last night I played the Hawks and Okla City and they both cashed. Lakers and Celtics were getting the larger % of the bets and the lines moved slightly against the Hawks and Okla City. The Trailblazers should have been a play but I was happy with going 2-0 on the night to cover some losses from Tuesday. The trailblazers had RLM--Knicks had almost 60% of the action and the line moved on them from +10 to +11

hanco21 · 04-01-10, 06:10 PM

Win alot lose alot while the bookies collect the juice.......ARRRRRRRR

khaden · 04-02-10, 12:31 PM

looks like a play today on the celtics

Houston is the top play of the day and they have been getting almost 80% of the action and the line went from Hou +9 to Hou+11
Celtics are the play

paul8888 · 04-02-10, 01:06 PM

im leaning towards celts too. can someone confirm the fade play today?

BamaCBass · 04-02-10, 01:55 PM

Speaketh, Oh wise Faders...

khaden · 04-02-10, 02:40 PM

I am not the expert on this but I just played the Celtics--Im pretty sure this would meet several of the criteria-the top play for today is on the Rockets with 96% of the action on the spread on one site and 82% on the spread on another site yet the line moved with Houston +9 to +11 at most books (some had it at 10 1/2. I know it is somewhat of a limited card but I am FADING.

doylfish · 04-02-10, 06:14 PM

i'm on the celts as well..gonna be another record night, rondo passing cousy for all time assists in a season

Sunde91 · 04-03-10, 12:11 AM

Saturday FF is a cluster fuk for FADE material.

Butler is #1 on list with just 52% and then the other 3 teams are 2-4 with WVU/Duke being 50-50.

khaden · 04-03-10, 08:40 AM

Well that didn't work out like is was supposed to with Celtics. I think they met the criteria.

HoulihansTX · 04-03-10, 08:47 AM

Originally posted by khaden

I am not the expert on this but I just played the Celtics--Im pretty sure this would meet several of the criteria-the top play for today is on the Rockets with 96% of the action on the spread on one site and 82% on the spread on another site yet the line moved with Houston +9 to +11 at most books (some had it at 10 1/2. I know it is somewhat of a limited card but I am FADING.

Originally posted by khaden

Well that didn't work out like is was supposed to with Celtics. I think they met the criteria.

Wow I have been ignoring this thread.

Fellas The play yesterday wasnt the Celtics. Rockets were a John Morrison bet, and that drove the action on them. The John Morrison system is an overused system, that instructs bettors to Bet on team on a road trip, against 3 consecutive out-of-conference opponents. Its is used by a great number of followers. It throws off the percentages, and should not be considered a FADE opportunity.

I did not look at the list yesterday, so I dont even know what the list had on it.

HoulihansTX · 04-03-10, 08:57 AM

4/3

Their are not enough game today for me to endorse a FADE. Butler has been at the top of the list since yesterday. But the line movement is not fishy, and the betting percentages are balanced. The same with WV/Duke. Line movement is static, and betting percentages are balanced.

So although Butler is at the top of the list, the results are inconclusive. As there are not enough games for a sucker bet to be exploited.

The NBA looks to have a FADE opportunity though, but I will wait until noon to post.

HoldEmHook!! · 04-03-10, 09:26 AM

Fade, Fade, Fade

BamaCBass · 04-03-10, 09:57 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Wow I have been ignoring this thread.

Fellas The play yesterday wasnt the Celtics. Rockets were a John Morrison bet, and that drove the action on them. The John Morrison system is an overused system, that instructs bettors to Bet on team on a road trip, against 3 consecutive out-of-conference opponents. Its is used by a great number of followers. It throws off the percentages, and should not be considered a FADE opportunity.

I did not look at the list yesterday, so I dont even know what the list had on it.

Celtics.... not so much Fader material, one might say. JM said to be exact.

Looking forward to Houli tested and approved Fader material.

paul8888 · 04-03-10, 01:16 PM

yea dont think any ncaab games will fit the fade criteria today....

TheAccountant · 04-03-10, 01:25 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Wow I have been ignoring this thread.

Fellas The play yesterday wasnt the Celtics. Rockets were a John Morrison bet, and that drove the action on them. The John Morrison system is an overused system, that instructs bettors to Bet on team on a road trip, against 3 consecutive out-of-conference opponents. Its is used by a great number of followers. It throws off the percentages, and should not be considered a FADE opportunity.

I did not look at the list yesterday, so I dont even know what the list had on it.

**** your right. Wish I would have checked this - good info though. Looking forward to following this, should be interesting if nothing else.

Walulu · 04-03-10, 03:41 PM

I have never heard of the John Morrison system. Curious from a knowledge standpoint and not to use it as I've heard it knocked in here a few times. Where can you find info on it?

HoulihansTX · 04-03-10, 03:43 PM

4/3

No Official FADE today. Butler is still at the top of the list, but we have already explained that situation.

What I want to introduce today is the Sucker FADE... When a teams ML, and point spread are receiving Greater, or equal to 75% of the bets a Sucker FADE is in action. Today the FADE is strong with Portland/Miami/Hornets. I am going to play Sacramento, but the other teams fit the guildlines as well.

These are not official FADEs, but are about of a unique system I'm working on.

FADERNATION

HoulihansTX · 04-03-10, 03:45 PM

Originally posted by Walulu

I have never heard of the John Morrison system. Curious from a knowledge standpoint and not to use it as I've heard it knocked in here a few times. Where can you find info on it?

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...light=JM+Plays

youngerthree · 04-03-10, 04:24 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Wow I have been ignoring this thread.

Fellas The play yesterday wasnt the Celtics. Rockets were a John Morrison bet, and that drove the action on them. The John Morrison system is an overused system, that instructs bettors to Bet on team on a road trip, against 3 consecutive out-of-conference opponents. Its is used by a great number of followers. It throws off the percentages, and should not be considered a FADE opportunity.

I did not look at the list yesterday, so I dont even know what the list had on it.

Yeah I think the same thing occurred with the Knicks and Jazz earlier this week. Knicks were at the top of the list.

Sunde91 · 04-03-10, 07:27 PM

It's not ideal FADE material (because line has moved with money and it's not #1), but POR -7.5 is on the board with 94% on spread, and 99% on ML against SAC.....

But I've seen too many shit teams lose badly the last week with a similar situation, so idk.

HoulihansTX · 04-03-10, 07:56 PM

First two Sucker Fade plays look strong.

Nets, and Minny competing

TheLock · 04-04-10, 01:31 AM

Minny was looking fantastic and then they completely melted down

paul8888 · 04-04-10, 01:57 PM

you guys using this for MLB too?

youngerthree · 04-04-10, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

First two Sucker Fade plays look strong.

Nets, and Minny competing

Sac also looked strong as well. Did anyone track this today?

paul8888 · 04-05-10, 12:36 AM

any fade opps on the championship game?

HoulihansTX · 04-05-10, 02:32 PM

4/5

Fade Duke
--- ML, and point spread at the top of the list for about two days.

Play on Butler +7.5

MLB FADEs will be coming soon.

tony_come · 04-05-10, 02:53 PM

Taking Butler+7
"Its your money"

thechaoz · 04-05-10, 02:53 PM

Lost Mich state +1.5 (argh) and WV +4 so I'm kind of hurtin. Duke played so well against WV which I know they can't duplicate completely. Not sure about this one at all. Being a degen, I will probably cave and go Butler though. BOL

angelodebo · 04-05-10, 04:26 PM

Hey guys! This is a tough game to chose from. Looks like all the money is coming down on Duke which really doesn't surpise me at all. Duke has played flawless in this tournament and has pounded on every team they have faced.

The only way this game stays close is the refs calling in Butler's favor. With that said, I'm taking Butler b/c I believe the NCAA does not want a blow out. They want this game going down to last shot. So I'm sure the refs will do their best keep it close.

Plus...moneyline and spread are #1 &#2 for the top picks today. I'm a FADER at heart! (even though..this is the national championship game)

Butler +7.5 (small)

khaden · 04-05-10, 04:33 PM

Good Luck Fellow Faders. I can't bring myself to bet against Duke. I have them at -6 so if they win by 7 we are all happy.

HoldEmHook!! · 04-05-10, 07:59 PM

gl to all..........just wonder if this being the only BB game that the degen money messes up the formula for the fade......we shall see

thebestthereis · 04-05-10, 09:04 PM

The real Jimmy Chitwood took Butler. Jimmy likes Butler.

doylfish · 04-05-10, 10:45 PM

butler +7 $$$$$$$$

HoulihansTX · 04-05-10, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

4/5 Fade Duke --- ML, and point spread at the top of the list for about two days. Play on Butler +7.5 MLB FADEs will be coming soon.

The FADE is strong.

Congrats to FADERNATION, and all others out there who FADED

snapstick · 04-06-10, 12:17 AM

Thanks Houlihans...Points above..BOL