You have to start paying better attention. The line is 4.5 across the board. And the line went down with the money when the line was released. The line is moving with the money again.
Plus there is nothing such as .5 RLM. Really dude you tried this stuff with Baylor. You could really lead people astray with this shit.
Down with the money? Yeah maybe 24 hours ago for about a hour. Public was on Baylor and it moved to 5 from 4.5 and all books except pinny closed at -5.
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#177
Originally posted by Sunde91
Down with the money? Public was on Baylor and it moved to 5 from 4.5 and all books except pinny closed at -5.
Pinny closed at -4.5
Matchy closed at -4.5
5Dimes closed @ -4.5
Greek closed @ -5
The crux of my argument is that there is nothing significant about a .5 line move.
Comment
angelodebo
SBR Wise Guy
12-04-08
671
#178
yea..If you at SBR odds most books have the line at 5 ..some have it at 4.5.
I took Duke b/c my FADE theory is whenever underdogs catch more action than a favorite I usually FADE the popular dog. Unless of course, Vegas moves the line towards the dog.
I'm a little aprehensive with this game b/c FADING the public has been on such a great run. Trust me...FADING the public isn't a 100% guarantee of victory. But if you stick with the sytem, I've found out that you will win more than you lose.
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#179
The books are not choosing a side in this game. Everyone just had to go ahead and do some handicapping.
Comment
Sunde91
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
8325
#180
Originally posted by HoulihansTX
The crux of my argument is that there is nothing significant about a .5 line move.
Of course it's significant. It's significant if huge action is on a line and it doesn't move, and if it moves .5 the other way, than it's even more significant.
I'm not saying Duke was the unambiguous call here because of the movement/non-movement, but it was a leg for my reasoning of rolling them.
Comment
angelodebo
SBR Wise Guy
12-04-08
671
#181
2-0 Again today boys..FADERNATION strikes again! whenever the public jumps all over an underdog, you got to FADE and take the favorite!
Nice job guys!
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#182
Congrats faders.
Comment
thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#183
I have been streaking up and down my neighborhood promoting truth, justice and the fadernation way. Some people think I am a lunatic but all I do is fade them; I am impervious to non faders.
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#184
Originally posted by thebestthereis
I have been streaking up and down my neighborhood promoting truth, justice and the fadernation way. Some people think I am a lunatic but all I do is fade them; I am impervious to non faders.
Comment
Sunde91
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
8325
#185
The FADE is freaking magic.
BOS and GS were at the top of the list after CBB (w/o SA/LAC on it) at 80% action and both are now getting killed.
We need documented stats on how often these things hit, I'd say 70% + easy.
Comment
khaden
SBR MVP
01-19-09
1864
#186
nice work gentlemen--I wish I would have been following this thread sooner! Do you guys use this for baseball?
Comment
youngerthree
SBR Wise Guy
01-13-10
570
#187
Awesome day! What list were BOS and GS at the top of? I only see College Basketball.
Comment
thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#188
Clippers vs Warriors is when two people take a shit and then those pieces of shit play each other
Comment
malay76
SBR Sharp
09-10-09
262
#189
St. Louis looks like the fade along with the knicks....great day yesterday
Comment
thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#190
vcu is a play but not many games on the ticket tonight. if you bet st.louis take a marker out a right sucker on your forehead. you can't bet them. i may take nothing.
Comment
BamaCBass
SBR MVP
10-07-09
1252
#191
Unfortunately, just now checking out this thread. It's crackin me up for real. So basically, you use the SBR odds (line movement & trends) or a book to see where all the "action" is going, and then go the other way. Correct?
Comment
rolltide10
SBR Sharp
11-01-09
270
#192
Originally posted by BamaCBass
Unfortunately, just now checking out this thread. It's crackin me up for real. So basically, you use the SBR odds (line movement & trends) or a books to see where all the "action" is going, and then go the other way. Correct?
Yea and it is legit... I have just been tailing lately but it has been killing it during the tourney. I don't know if its just clicking right now but I am riding this train until the luck runs out. I can't wait to use this on football.
Houli, will you get a better sample during football? It just seems the fade would be more definite if you have a weeks worth of betting to hit a game.
Houli and debo thanks for bringing this up... saved my ass yesterday with Duke and Saturday with WVU. Props
Comment
BamaCBass
SBR MVP
10-07-09
1252
#193
Originally posted by rolltide10
Yea and it is legit... I have just been tailing lately but it has been killing it during the tourney. I don't know if its just clicking right now but I am riding this train until the luck runs out. I can't wait to use this on football.
Houli, will you get a better sample during football? It just seems the fade would be more definite if you have a weeks worth of betting to hit a game.
Houli and debo thanks for bringing this up... saved my ass yesterday with Duke and Saturday with WVU. Props
Awesome! Very eager to follow this thread.
Comment
thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#194
it is legit walk down the vegas strip and you'll see. the only way you will lose is chasing and changing your bet sizes. if you lose 3 in a row always bet the same on every play no matter what.
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#195
FADERNATION
Mondays Plays
VCU-9.5
--- Notice all the action St. Louis is getting, and the line is not moving with the money.
Utah-11
--- Tread lightly with this fade, as Knicks are a John Morrison bet. This is driving all the action on the Knicks. I'm still laying the 11, since Utah has a strong home court. Also I believe Knicks could give two shits about winning a game.
Record (8-1)
Comment
thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#196
vcu line is -10 in some spots which is a good thing too as much as that doesn't make any sense.
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#197
Originally posted by thebestthereis
vcu line is -10 in some spots which is a good thing too as much as that doesn't make any sense.
Exactly
Comment
kchien
SBR High Roller
07-18-09
149
#198
what about new jersey? san antonio is on there as ML and spread
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#199
Originally posted by kchien
what about new jersey? san antonio is on there as ML and spread
I double Dog dare you to bet on New Jersey
Comment
kchien
SBR High Roller
07-18-09
149
#200
haha, I was just saying
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#201
Originally posted by kchien
haha, I was just saying
Understood, but I see two better fading opportunities. If you would like to FADE the Spurs, they do fit parameters
Comment
kchien
SBR High Roller
07-18-09
149
#202
lines dropping. oh well, i'll put a small amount on nj.
Comment
khaden
SBR MVP
01-19-09
1864
#203
This is a question for those that know--the top bets for today are:
1. Knicks-89%-spread
2.St. Louis 70% spread
3. Spurs ML 98%
4. Spurs 61% spread
So, would the plays be:
Jazz
VCU
and (gulp) the Nets
Comment
doylfish
SBR MVP
03-03-10
2484
#204
whether the nets meet the fade criteria or not, i just can't bring myself to back them against the spurs even with manu out
Comment
angelodebo
SBR Wise Guy
12-04-08
671
#205
hea guys. Glad to see everyone was FADING St.Louis. I just got in from work so I couldn't comment on the games tonight. I got a small play on VA Commonwealth cuz a dog was catching more action than a favorite and the line didn't move.
I never FADED the NBA because I never bet it. Overall, the NFL was a crap shoot. Later in the year, the FADE worked wonders. But early on, it was 50/50.
The best sports for the FADE system is NCAA Football & Baketball.
Lets go VA Comm
Comment
khaden
SBR MVP
01-19-09
1864
#206
Well done-VCU covers! Everbody including most touts were on St. Louis! Lets go Jazz.
Comment
angelodebo
SBR Wise Guy
12-04-08
671
#207
sweet! VA winner! What a streak...honeslty... normally the FADE doesn't hit at a rate like this. But it sure is sweet when does!
Comment
thebestthereis
SBR Posting Legend
03-01-09
11459
#208
when i say the word fade out loud it makes me tingle inside