UT St/Fres St

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  • Dukebluejms
    SBR MVP
    • 10-21-09
    • 1633

    #1
    UT St/Fres St
    Fresno St +14.5 @ Utah St:
    I am not one to jump teams laying this many points, but this seems too easy… which means it probably is. Utah St has dominated the WAC this season, winning 13 straight. Fresno St on the other hand has been bad, real bad. The Bulldogs were blown away in their last game against a mediocre (at best) San Jose St team by 27. I am usually cautious when betting games like this (small conference games late in the season) because the top teams usually have the conf title wrapped up. Fortunately, the Aggies only have a one game advantage over NM St and need a victory. On the other hand, the Aggies could be looking past Fresno with NM St coming into town this weekend. Having said this, it is either Utah St or no play for me. Fresno is way too bad to put money on having lost to the Aggies by 26 earlier in the season at home. The Aggs made 12 three pointers in that game and held Fresno to 29% shooting. While I do not expect the Aggies to make 12 bombs again, I do expect their defense to hold Fresno to under 60. In their last game, the Bulldogs were held to 25% shooting by a SJST defense that is no where near the level of Utah Sts. I like UTST big in this one.
    Thoughts, plays?
  • Big Dave's Picks
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-21-10
    • 478

    #2
    Hey DukeBlue hope all is well. Haven't posted in awhile but have still been playing and following your picks and results. Probably will get back into posting for conf. tournaments and for only the conf. that I like to play. Anyhow, I have been following Utah St. for the last 3-4 weeks and thier progress is not by luck. I believe they are a serious contender for thier conf. and believe they don't let up tonight. I am not a fan giving so many points but I think they roll tonight. BOL with your picks and look forward to conf. tourn. Big Dave
    Comment
    • Heandog
      SBR MVP
      • 12-30-09
      • 1634

      #3
      nice write up I just can't seem to pull the trigger on this one Good luck anyway,I'm gonna pass
      Comment
      • whatsgood5
        Restricted User
        • 10-13-09
        • 15359

        #4
        I like Utah St big here as well. Not only does Fresno St suck, but they suck even more on the road. That's what pushed me over the edge on this one, good luck!
        Comment
        • fly fisher
          SBR MVP
          • 01-25-10
          • 2587

          #5
          Living in Logan and being a utah state fan, here is my take. they didn't cover in Hawaii although they were up by 15 and missed free throws that would have had them cover the spread. I also hate taking them when the points are that high, but they are playing here in Logan in front of their home crowd. I have seen the last few games start slow, but then see them blow teams out in the 2nd half. I think a big bonus is that they only have a 1 game lead and Stew was pretty pissed when they allowed hawaii to get those late scores and miss free throws at the end. I think the aggies will be refocused and believe they will blow out fresno. I just hope that when Stew puts in the subs they don't give up on the lead. I am taking the aggies to cover, but I am taking FST to cover in the first half. I could be wrong on the first half but the aggies often start out slow and let teams think they are still in the game then blow them out in the 2nd. I am thinking the aggies go in with a 6-7 pt lead then come out after the half and blow out fresno. I am going half in the fist half whatever I go with for the game. Thats my humble opinion.
          Comment
          • Dukebluejms
            SBR MVP
            • 10-21-09
            • 1633

            #6
            Originally posted by fly fisher
            Living in Logan and being a utah state fan, here is my take. they didn't cover in Hawaii although they were up by 15 and missed free throws that would have had them cover the spread. I also hate taking them when the points are that high, but they are playing here in Logan in front of their home crowd. I have seen the last few games start slow, but then see them blow teams out in the 2nd half. I think a big bonus is that they only have a 1 game lead and Stew was pretty pissed when they allowed hawaii to get those late scores and miss free throws at the end. I think the aggies will be refocused and believe they will blow out fresno. I just hope that when Stew puts in the subs they don't give up on the lead. I am taking the aggies to cover, but I am taking FST to cover in the first half. I could be wrong on the first half but the aggies often start out slow and let teams think they are still in the game then blow them out in the 2nd. I am thinking the aggies go in with a 6-7 pt lead then come out after the half and blow out fresno. I am going half in the fist half whatever I go with for the game. Thats my humble opinion.
            Thanks for the insight. I went ahead and locked in the Aggies. Everything is lining up for a blow out. I hope they aren't looking past Fresno with NMST knocking...
            Comment
            • UNCGQ
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-08-09
              • 993

              #7
              17 - 0 to start the game . . .

              that's a good start I suppose
              Comment
              • UNCGQ
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-08-09
                • 993

                #8
                22 - 0

                Utah has not scored in the first 9 minutes of the game (here comes the jinx )
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Is Fresno State going to score?

                  Wow.
                  Comment
                  • odusmykal
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-30-07
                    • 3426

                    #10
                    I lose again..
                    Comment
                    • UNCGQ
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-08-09
                      • 993

                      #11
                      They're only up 26 at the break. Sooo weak

                      Come on Utah St., put your boot on their throat
                      Comment
                      • HoulihansTX
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-12-09
                        • 30566

                        #12
                        Utah St. is favored in the 2nd H

                        Fresno St. is horrible.
                        Comment
                        • Ralphie1412
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-29-08
                          • 13963

                          #13
                          This is officially the worst "sharp" pick of the day.
                          "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                          Goat Milk
                          Comment
                          • Ace333
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 02-15-10
                            • 439

                            #14
                            2nd half wagers? Utah State -3 seems easy pick
                            Comment
                            • Bigcheez
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-02-09
                              • 399

                              #15
                              Fresno st shooting 4-22fg and a nice 0-7 for 3pt. I don't think it's going to get any better for them.
                              Comment
                              • HoulihansTX
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-12-09
                                • 30566

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                This is officially the worst "sharp" pick of the day.
                                Comment
                                • Ralphie1412
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-08
                                  • 13963

                                  #17
                                  Wild Bill already left this game at half time.
                                  "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                  Goat Milk
                                  Comment
                                  • fly fisher
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-25-10
                                    • 2587

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Dukebluejms
                                    Thanks for the insight. I went ahead and locked in the Aggies. Everything is lining up for a blow out. I hope they aren't looking past Fresno with NMST knocking...
                                    Some insight, USU showed up in the first half today, so I was way wrong on that. Stew must have really gotten on their ass after Hawaii. I really thought it would be within 8 that first half then the blow out. Looks like just a damn big blowout on both sides.

                                    Now we just watch till the end.
                                    Comment
                                    • suckerforparlays
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-15-10
                                      • 4536

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by UNCGQ
                                      22 - 0

                                      Utah has not scored in the first 9 minutes of the game (here comes the jinx )

                                      roflmaoo how does that even happen I wish I saw this lol
                                      Comment
                                      • UNCGQ
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 09-08-09
                                        • 993

                                        #20
                                        the game tracker graph looked like a dead person's pulse. 16 points at the half.
                                        Comment
                                        • fly fisher
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-25-10
                                          • 2587

                                          #21
                                          good call Duke. Lets see if the aggies can dismantle NMSU later in the week, should be good, the student section is extra rowdy when they are on TV. There is a huge dislike for NMSU in the home crowd. Should be fun.
                                          Comment
                                          • whatsgood5
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 10-13-09
                                            • 15359

                                            #22
                                            Sad performance by Fresno State, no complaints here though. Nice hit Duke
                                            Comment
                                            • eberetta1
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-27-09
                                              • 1159

                                              #23
                                              wanted to play this moneyline on the fav for 5 bucks to win, but didn't get it done in time.
                                              Comment
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