Mountaineers look to add to Pitt's slump

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  • Willie Bee
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-14-06
    • 15726

    #1
    Mountaineers look to add to Pitt's slump
    Mountaineers look to add to Pitt's slump

    Slowly but surely the Mountaineers have been climbing out of the slump that greeted them with the new year. Da'Sean Butler and West Virginia now look to add to Pittsburgh's recent hard times.

    Less than three short weeks ago the Pitt Panthers were the talk of the Big East. Now they're in danger of falling out of the rankings, and considering their task at hand on the road in Morgantown, that's a very real possibility.



    The No. 22 Panthers head to West Virginia to face the No. 6 Mountaineers on Wednesday night with a lot at stake for both clubs. Villanova sits atop the Big East with a perfect 8-0 conference mark, and Syracuse is hot on the Wildcats' tail at 8-1. Neither of those clubs is showing any signs of letting up, meaning neither Pitt nor West Va can afford to fall any further behind.

    Pittsburgh (16-5, 6-3 in Big East) was not supposed to mount much of a challenge in the Big East this season after losing its top three players from last years team. Sam Young, DeJuan Blair and Levance Fields took the Panthers into last March's dance as a No. 1 seed before they lost out in the Elite Eight to 'Nova.

    Jamie Dixon's troops never got that memo, however, and Pitt stormed out of the gate this season on its way to a 15-2 overall record and 5-0 start to conference play. Included in those five Big East wins were three during a brutal road stretch at Syracuse, Cincinnati and UConn. A home win over Louisville on Jan. 16 pushed the Panthers into the AP's Top 10.

    That was just 18 days ago, and as the Panthers have discovered, a lot can change in 18 days.

    Since then Pittsburgh has dropped three of four, including two relatively 'easy' road stops on the Big East schedule at Seton Hall and South Florida. The defeat at the hands of the Bulls on Sunday, 70-61, came as three-point favorites and left the Panthers 10-7-2 at the window this season.

    Making it even tougher on Pitt for this one is senior Jermaine Dixon will be a game-time decisions for the Panthers after he injured his right foot in last Thursday's win over St. John's.

    West Virginia (17-3, 6-2 in Big East) hit a similar rough patch as Pitt is going through now, but the Mountaineers have bounced back in fine shape. After bolting to an 11-0 start to the season Bob Huggins' boys didn't find the start of the 2010 calendar year to their liking with three losses during a five-game stretch.

    West Va. fell hard at Purdue on New Year's Day, dropped its first conference game at Notre Dame on Jan. 9 and then lost a tough one at home to Syracuse, 72-71, on Jan. 16 just when Pitt was reaching its peak.

    Since then WVU has responded with four consecutive triumphs that includes last Saturday's 77-74 home thriller vs. Louisville. Thanks to Da'Sean Butler's season-high 27 points and late 11-0 run ignited by Kevin Jones, the Mountaineers overcame a four-point halftime deficit to stave off the Cardinals' upset bid.

    Huggins & Co. have not been kind to their backers this season or recently, going 7-12 at the window overall and covering just one of their five previous efforts. The Mountaineers have also been general fade material at WVU Coliseum where they have cashed just twice in the last seven in front of the home fans.

    West Virginia has also had trouble against the spread in this series. Pitt owns a 7-3 straight up mark the past 10 meetings, and the ATS numbers are fairly equal at 5-4-1 in the Panthers' favor. But that stat is a bit misleading in more recent times with Pitt up 5-3 ATS since March 2006, and 6-3 ATS at Morgantown the last nine times the Panthers have made the trip.

    Pittsburgh won and covered both regular season contests a year ago before West Virginia pulled the upset in the opening round of the conference tournament last March, 74-60. Blair got in early foul trouble and only managed 18 minutes for the Panthers before hitting the pines with his fifth flag. West Virginia, 4 ½-point underdogs, outscored Pitt 24-14 at the charity stripe and held the Panthers scoreless on eight attempts from outside the three-point arc.

    West Virginia got the tag as a 7 ½-point favorite for this one when Bookmaker initially released its lines. That spread has risen to nine points at most shops. Likewise, the total opened at 125 ½ and has since shifted up to 127 ½.
  • Shortstop
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 01-02-09
    • 27281

    #2
    I would be surprised if West Virginia doesn't win by at least 9 tonight.
    Comment
    • Busterflywheel
      SBR MVP
      • 12-13-09
      • 3991

      #3
      They way Pitt has been playing I almost agree with Shortstop..
      Comment
      • jeffbuff73
        SBR High Roller
        • 12-06-08
        • 248

        #4
        I have to disagree. The last 10 games in this matchup Pitt is 7-3. Pitt is 7-2-1 ATS (4-1 ATS away) in their last 10 games. They have been playing bad lately, but I think they can easily keep it inside 9 points in this matchup. I look for Pitt to get back on track tonight, WV hasn't been to stellar at home this year and there offense has struggled at times and Pitt matches up well with WVU. If Pitt can stay close to WV on the boards, this could be a close game and even Pitt winning outright. Just my opinion of course, but in the Big East 9 points is alot........
        Comment
        • bradleysnyder
          Restricted User
          • 04-18-07
          • 6662

          #5
          i like west va at home.tough place to play.i see a 7 pt cover
          Comment
          • Willie Bee
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-14-06
            • 15726

            #6
            Yeah, the two numbers (spread and total) both jumped up from Bookmaker's openings rather quickly. More than the spread, I like the 'over' still, keep seeing 130-132 for the final combined tally.
            Comment
            • jeffbuff73
              SBR High Roller
              • 12-06-08
              • 248

              #7
              yea, over looks good as well. I can see these teams scoring 140 total points......
              Comment
              • Shortstop
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 01-02-09
                • 27281

                #8
                Pitt is on a downward spiral right now and this trip south to Morgantown will only accelerate their descend.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388179

                  #9
                  I just guessed and Played the dog for action and to watch.
                  Comment
                  • MartinBlank
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-20-08
                    • 8382

                    #10
                    I like this pick a lot Willie.

                    WVU is going to be a crazy atmosphere for Pitt.

                    Good luck and nice write-up.
                    Comment
                    • coloradobuff
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-22-09
                      • 1488

                      #11
                      sure seems like alot of points
                      Comment
                      • THE PROFIT
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-27-09
                        • 17701

                        #12
                        I think it is too many points, I think Pitt can stay within that number & possibly win. With that said I will take W.VA-10' because I think too much!!! LoL!
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          i made huge mistake sleeping on this 1 as i want WVU at -8 but it went to 8.5 figured id wait to see if it would go back down i really didnt expect to wake up to -10 , 10.5 , now i doubt i can play
                          Comment
                          • StraitShooter
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-22-09
                            • 10464

                            #14
                            Ah..anybody beats anybody in the big East..

                            I say the percentage and trend play is Pitt

                            Too bad ESPN wont have the game on here..I got 2 nba and Depaul-Marquette and Kansas-Colorado on the deuce
                            Comment
                            • LTCOL27
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-03-09
                              • 511

                              #15
                              I like West Virginia here as well, especially with Dixon still gimpy from the injured ankle, whether he plays or not.

                              I also noticed that the line actually just dropped to 10 at my book, with 65% of the bets on Pitt. My online site alone reflects 81% of the bets being placed with them on Pitt. There will be some more takers on those 10 points between now and game time, and it definitely looks like they are making Pitt and those 10 points a very easy trap that they want us to fall into. I have a feeling that the sportsbooks will profit on this game tonight, and that West Virginia wins and covers.
                              Comment
                              • Ralphie1412
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-08
                                • 13963

                                #16
                                No way in hell im giving pitt ten points and taking WVU.
                                "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                Goat Milk
                                Comment
                                • 3PtShooter
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-13-08
                                  • 3936

                                  #17
                                  both teams seem to always try to give away their games ,,,
                                  Comment
                                  • MJT1212
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-16-09
                                    • 5124

                                    #18
                                    I'd be very surprised if WVA doesn't win by exactly 13, very surprised.
                                    Comment
                                    • Shortstop
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 01-02-09
                                      • 27281

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Shortstop
                                      I would be surprised if West Virginia doesn't win by at least 9 tonight.
                                      Originally posted by Shortstop
                                      Pitt is on a downward spiral right now and this trip south to Morgantown will only accelerate their descend.
                                      Too easy. Total domination.
                                      Comment
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