What impact do you expect to see with the experimental rules in the NIT? Specifically around the totals for games, has anyone noticed an adjustment yet between March Madness totals vs. NIT?
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Looks like oversComment -
I haven't looked closely at this, but my initial impression is that it is going to be very team/matchup sensitive. Since it's would be theoretically possible to have 20 defensive fouls per half without a single free throw (compared to a theoretical 14 under current rules). In that sense, teams that don't get to the line a lot should get to the line less (theoretically). That could result in lower scores.
Of course, the second part of this wrinkle is that there is no more 1 and 1. So in matchups where teams foul a lot and draw a lot of fouls, scores could be way up.
A particularly interesting matchup tonight is Ole Miss/Monmouth. I have this right around 160 using "normal" rules. But I think these two teams fall into the second category I mentioned above. The line is up to 164, and I wouldn't be surprised to see it go higher.Comment -
HG - Thanks for the insight, I enjoy your total posts. I believe it's after the 4th foul, a team will then shoot 2 free throws vs. 1-1. Also, I like that the shot clock will move to 20 seconds when inbounding the ball in the front court, this will definitely help with the pace.Comment -
You're absolutely right about the fouls. That's what I get for doing too many things at once. We're not gonna get enough of a sample size to figure out much here, but it'll be interesting to monitor. I will say that the 20 second rule is a welcomed addition. However, it will only speed up teams that routinely run the clock to 10 seconds or so. It won't speed up a team like Monmouth, for example.Comment