Wednesday Discussion/Plays

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  • THam12
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-12-13
    • 12640

    #36
    Any thoughts on W&M? Not sure what to think about the line movement
    Comment
    • Louisvillekid1
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-17-07
      • 52143

      #37
      Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
      Ole Miss closed campus today due to snow. Game will be played as UGA arrived yesterday. This should impact attendance as we all know smallest amount of snow cripples the south. It's a late game too. Not even checking tickets at the door tonight so I'm guessing they are expecting fewer attendance. Do students show up? Don't see snow much may say screw the game lets have some toddy's and make some snow angels. UGS getting healthy too. Need to put a lock on Moody though as he is playing well and gave UGA fits in Athens. I'm thinking UGA and pts tonight.
      Thanks for info!
      Comment
      • Big Bear
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 11-01-11
        • 43253

        #38
        silver tounge

        georgia may win BUT....

        Georgia Tech had a total of about 15 fans there Monday night and they almost beat Louisville.
        Comment
        • Louisvillekid1
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-17-07
          • 52143

          #39
          Originally posted by THam12
          Any thoughts on W&M? Not sure what to think about the line movement
          Towson best offense in this game might be the missed shot. W&M should have their way tonight imo...

          If they get out early the route is on... I might keep my eye on this one and try to get a better # 2h

          The over worth a look imo
          Comment
          • Koldazzice
            SBR MVP
            • 11-08-11
            • 2392

            #40
            was glad to get your text that your back Lkid. Maybe I will actually start posting again.

            Just texted you - I lean Lasalle -5 and Uconn -5

            sucks you like other side of uconn - will prob layoff uconn and just take lasalle -5 105/100

            cheers
            Comment
            • Louisvillekid1
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-17-07
              • 52143

              #41
              Originally posted by Koldazzice
              was glad to get your text that your back Lkid. Maybe I will actually start posting again.

              Just texted you - I lean Lasalle -5 and Uconn -5

              sucks you like other side of uconn - will prob layoff uconn and just take lasalle -5 105/100

              cheers
              Im starting to lean Uconn honestly, I just think they will be too much inside... just don't like the idea of laying 5 with a team who really should be that big of a favorite on the road, but I'll tail you per usual if you want.

              Although you against me on Lasalle! lol all good, one of us will win that one!
              Comment
              • Louisvillekid1
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-17-07
                • 52143

                #42
                2 games I'll be watching are W&M & Rhode Island as they could be potential 2H plays.
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #43
                  Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                  After the first run through I got

                  Umass/Duq ML par Risking 1 to win 1.12
                  Fordham +5 risking 0.84 to win 0.8
                  Fordham +2.5 1H risking 0.42 to win 0.4
                  UNCW -3 risking 0.53 to win 0.5
                  UNCW -150 risking 0.75 to win 0.5
                  Wake Forest +7.5 risking 0.84 to win 0.8
                  Wake Forest +4 1H risking 0.42 to win 0.4

                  (line watching Richmond)
                  Tailing Koldy on UConn -5 -105 risking 1.05 to win 1
                  Comment
                  • Koldazzice
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-08-11
                    • 2392

                    #44
                    lets get it!
                    Comment
                    • Louisvillekid1
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-17-07
                      • 52143

                      #45
                      Richmond I've decided to pass on
                      Comment
                      • Louisvillekid1
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-17-07
                        • 52143

                        #46
                        2 small middle/hedge opp's

                        JMU -1.5 0.21/0.2x
                        LaSalle -5 0.21/0.2x

                        And a 2h Play

                        Rhody -3.5 0.63/0.6x

                        So we get Rhody +3.5 now instead of -3.5
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #47
                          whats up brother? been super ass busy this week so havnt been able to post much last week or so.. glad your back homie..

                          most the gms i played already went off, i do like evansville, well i mean i love uni but im fading shockers and uni today with their rematch on deck and laying lot of points to serviceable teams,,indy st still hanging around but might be able to get decent line at the half, i almost never go against uni but like the 12.5 with evansville. like isu to beat baylor, not sure i love the spread, have them in ml parlays. one with ol piss and another with few bigger favs..

                          like ol piss against uga cause they will zone them up and force dawgs to shoot which aint exactly their strong suite. he 1st meeting uga won by 5 dominating the 2nd half but ol piss assist/to ratio was horrible and i would expect those to be flipped this time around. they both shot 3-14 from trey and while i doubt uga improves much i think ol sip will shoot much better at home. uga got a big ot win last time out @ bama but they been inconsistent as all hell and i dont see them winning b2b roadies here..
                          Comment
                          • Louisvillekid1
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-17-07
                            • 52143

                            #48
                            Glad to see you around hope to discuss daily with ya!

                            I'll most likely tail that ole miss or play them ml w/ something
                            Comment
                            • KRIT
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-11-14
                              • 12878

                              #49
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              whats up brother? been super ass busy this week so havnt been able to post much last week or so.. glad your back homie..

                              most the gms i played already went off, i do like evansville, well i mean i love uni but im fading shockers and uni today with their rematch on deck and laying lot of points to serviceable teams,,indy st still hanging around but might be able to get decent line at the half, i almost never go against uni but like the 12.5 with evansville. like isu to beat baylor, not sure i love the spread, have them in ml parlays. one with ol piss and another with few bigger favs..

                              like ol piss against uga cause they will zone them up and force dawgs to shoot which aint exactly their strong suite. he 1st meeting uga won by 5 dominating the 2nd half but ol piss assist/to ratio was horrible and i would expect those to be flipped this time around. they both shot 3-14 from trey and while i doubt uga improves much i think ol sip will shoot much better at home. uga got a big ot win last time out @ bama but they been inconsistent as all hell and i dont see them winning b2b roadies here..
                              I wanted to take UNI in a revenge spot tonight, but just can't with the upcoming game between them and Wichy. Anyone care to guess that line? Wichy -5.5/-6?
                              Comment
                              • Louisvillekid1
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-17-07
                                • 52143

                                #50
                                so
                                UNCW we now have
                                -150 0.75/0.5x
                                -3 0.53/0.5x
                                JMU +9.5 0.21/0.2x

                                Fordham we banked 0.4x 1h and have

                                Fordham +5 0.84/0.8x
                                LaSalle +4 0.21/0.2x
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #51
                                  i have their ml in parlay or 2.. far as whats left i like isu/ol piss ml parlay
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by KRIT
                                    I wanted to take UNI in a revenge spot tonight, but just can't with the upcoming game between them and Wichy. Anyone care to guess that line? Wichy -5.5/-6?
                                    im pretty high on uni, id be all over them at that number. ive had them rated higher all year, if i recall they laid a few in the gm at their house. i think more like shockers-3.5/4ish..id kil for your number tho and would love where that ml be.
                                    Comment
                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-17-07
                                      • 52143

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                      i have their ml in parlay or 2.. far as whats left i like isu/ol piss ml parlay
                                      tailing

                                      Ole Miss/ISU ml par
                                      risking 1 to win 0.82
                                      Comment
                                      • KRIT
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-11-14
                                        • 12878

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                        im pretty high on uni, id be all over them at that number. ive had them rated higher all year, if i recall they laid a few in the gm at their house. i think more like shockers-3.5/4ish..id kil for your number tho and would love where that ml be.
                                        Wasnt shockers favored by like 1 or 2 at UNI? If that is the case, I doubt we see the line you mentioned.
                                        Comment
                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-17-07
                                          • 52143

                                          #55
                                          wake getting rolled that's a loser and looks like a bad idea passing on richmond
                                          Comment
                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-17-07
                                            • 52143

                                            #56
                                            Cmon Umass! get the W
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #57
                                              really tempted to play the over in the udub/ucla gm. udub has no interior presence and have been allowing points like crazy, ucla aint exactly getting up and down the court these days but they been in the 70s at home, id expect high 70s to low 80s with that line. pretty sure udub can give the rest against ucla perimeter d that hasnt been all that special.. full discloser my totals been a inconsistent mess and looks like i am gonna hit the over in the indy/nw gm, dont know if that means this one should be a fade or im having a good total day? lol
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by KRIT
                                                Wasnt shockers favored by like 1 or 2 at UNI? If that is the case, I doubt we see the line you mentioned.
                                                im almost positive i had to lay a couple points with uni in the 1st meeting,. maybe double check but i know i didnt play the ml and i would have if they were dogs..
                                                Comment
                                                • KRIT
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-11-14
                                                  • 12878

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                  im almost positive i had to lay a couple points with uni in the 1st meeting,. maybe double check but i know i didnt play the ml and i would have if they were dogs..
                                                  Just checked, line was Wichita -2. Most likely going to be around -6 on Saturday, maybe even higher.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                    • 52143

                                                    #60
                                                    YEah I hit UNI nicely getting +2 it was a 2x for me,

                                                    And i lean that way on ucla Over, I might add for half unit or something later
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by KRIT
                                                      Just checked, line was Wichita -2. Most likely going to be around -6 on Saturday, maybe even higher.
                                                      right on, never claimed my memory didnt suck. guess thats why i played that one for so much cause i woulda laid points .. ill happily take 6 or more with uni, i havnt paid as much attention to shockers of late but unless they have found adequate replacement/replacements for early ever time ive watched them i feel like they still lacking in the interior and they just have no answer for tuttle..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                        really tempted to play the over in the udub/ucla gm. udub has no interior presence and have been allowing points like crazy, ucla aint exactly getting up and down the court these days but they been in the 70s at home, id expect high 70s to low 80s with that line. pretty sure udub can give the rest against ucla perimeter d that hasnt been all that special.. full discloser my totals been a inconsistent mess and looks like i am gonna hit the over in the indy/nw gm, dont know if that means this one should be a fade or im having a good total day? lol
                                                        holy fukkin hell,, speaking of my totals being a miserable clusterfukk this year. it was mfi'in 40-40 at half and these mf'ers not gonna sniff 133'...wow8 points in 15 minutes for hoosiers after half against a crap nw defense.. my head hurts. have that in such a nice parlay!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • CMNoney
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-07-11
                                                          • 2129

                                                          #63
                                                          Just a disgraceful game by UMASS.

                                                          Feels like they haven't made one defensive stop all game.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-17-07
                                                            • 52143

                                                            #64
                                                            YEah fukkin umass messing up big night so far
                                                            Comment
                                                            • 2daBank
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-26-09
                                                              • 88966

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by CMNoney
                                                              Just a disgraceful game by UMASS.

                                                              Feels like they haven't made one defensive stop all game.
                                                              that team is so much worse than they were capable of being.. the fact they allergic to defense at times certainly part of it, the fact they have a 4 and 5 who are matchup headaches for almost anyone and their guards wanna run up and down the floor w/o getting them touches the biggest problem. kellog did a poor job with that team if ya ask me..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #66
                                                                hoosiers foul gm got me a over that shoulda been easy! at least it hit!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • CMNoney
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-07-11
                                                                  • 2129

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                  that team is so much worse than they were capable of being.. the fact they allergic to defense at times certainly part of it, the fact they have a 4 and 5 who are matchup headaches for almost anyone and their guards wanna run up and down the floor w/o getting them touches the biggest problem. kellog did a poor job with that team if ya ask me..
                                                                  Tonight was disgraceful. Zero answer for Bembry.

                                                                  I feel like such a sucker playing the ML. This team clearly didn't give a f*ck tonight.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                                    • 52143

                                                                    #68
                                                                    VCU wow crazy ending, glad i passed on richmond now WOW
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 10-17-07
                                                                      • 52143

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Recap After early games:

                                                                      Wake got rolled 0-2 in that game -1.26x (bad pick by me)
                                                                      UNCW easy winner 2-1 in that game (lost .21 middle/hedge opp) +1.05x
                                                                      Fordham easy winner 2-1 in that game (also lost .21 middle/hedge opp) +1.05x
                                                                      ML Par Lost as Dukes won but UMASS shit the bed and bembry just went off 0-1 -1x
                                                                      Rhode Island 2h cashes (glad I waited to 2H for better line) 1-0 +0.6x
                                                                      UConn wins 1-0 +1

                                                                      looks like 6-5 +1.44x so far

                                                                      Pending:
                                                                      Ole Miss/ISU ML Par risking 1 to win 0.82
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Louisvillekid1
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 10-17-07
                                                                        • 52143

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Vcu such a sick game
                                                                        Comment
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