North Carolina vs. Florida State - Whats the play?

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  • hustlehard617
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-05-12
    • 574

    #36
    Originally posted by RollinDo
    Easy money = go with the other team. Happens about 75% of the time when "easy money" is posted.

    Not this year seems like Vegas has gift wrapped a lot games this year
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #37
      Originally posted by Tommy Karate
      gotta pay

      The page you are requesting is available to subscribers only.
      So? Pay the 20 fawking bucks. Will be the best $20 you ever spend.
      Comment
      • bradleysnyder
        Restricted User
        • 04-18-07
        • 6662

        #38
        Originally posted by No coincidences
        So Carolina's red hot (six straight wins both SU and ATS), they have a much better record than FSU, and obliterated FSU twice last year while sweeping the season series (all three games counting the ACC tourney). Yet they're +1 here?

        Interesting.
        Have to agree with this.I think FSU is the side here and its a bait too take UNC....LET DOWN SPOT FOR UNC.
        Comment
        • I am the one
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-29-13
          • 503

          #39
          I hate and dispiese the theory of "let downs"
          Comment
          • King tut
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-13-13
            • 814

            #40
            Lay off this game guys can`t you see its a flip of the coin. No capping this one
            Comment
            • LT Profits
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-27-06
              • 90963

              #41
              Biggest advantage I see for Florida State here is they are seventh in the country in two-point defense, and North Carolina gets 62.2 percent of its points with two-point baskets, which is the second highest percentage in the country.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #42
                Originally posted by I am the one
                I hate and dispiese the theory of "let downs"
                But you can't ignore them, they are very real. Otherwise the better team would simply win every game and everybody would be rich.
                Comment
                • Tommy Karate
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-12-13
                  • 13445

                  #43
                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                  So? Pay the 20 fawking bucks. Will be the best $20 you ever spend.
                  nah - i can read thru kenny the nerd
                  Comment
                  • Tommy Karate
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-12-13
                    • 13445

                    #44
                    Originally posted by King tut
                    Lay off this game guys can`t you see its a flip of the coin. No capping this one
                    i never understand when people say a game is a coin flip.
                    what game isnt really a coin flip?
                    obviously to you, this is a 50/50 game.
                    others opinions (like me) its more like a 60/40. doesnt mean i will win, but to me , its a stronger play.
                    i may think okl st/baylor is a flip, yet you may feel its a 70% edge for okie st..
                    Comment
                    • I am the one
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-29-13
                      • 503

                      #45
                      ^ guys right, whats the play Sir
                      Comment
                      • dumdum214
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-29-13
                        • 159

                        #46
                        Line is moving in UNC favor
                        Comment
                        • Dilo
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-01-13
                          • 1384

                          #47
                          It's in the air tonight. UNC is about to get bitch-slapped back to North Carolina.
                          Comment
                          • RavensFan2k3
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-18-12
                            • 17378

                            #48
                            Originally posted by theforce
                            Under
                            This may be the best play
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 65724

                              #49
                              Game 705-706: North Carolina at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 68.976; Florida State 64.957
                              Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 4; 138
                              Vegas Line: Florida State by 1; 143
                              Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+1); Under
                              Comment
                              • I am the one
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-29-13
                                • 503

                                #50
                                O MY GOD ITS STEVE NASH!!!!!


                                STEVE DUDE LET ME TEA BAG U PLEaseeeeeeeeee
                                Comment
                                • coitus_maximus
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-05-12
                                  • 870

                                  #51
                                  Not going to play this game, but if you look at UNC conference road record, they only beat GT and ND. Have 3 conference road losses with Duke on board in a sandwich game with ESPN hype, FSU having good 2pt D and UNC not able to hit free throws, with the line as a pk? Would have to side with FSU on this if playing, but FSU is NOT a good team this year.
                                  Comment
                                  • aman86
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-29-09
                                    • 3115

                                    #52
                                    nice locked in my +1 unc..... won't matter e z cash money

                                    fsu blows y'all will see
                                    Comment
                                    • burmaldo
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 02-07-14
                                      • 221

                                      #53
                                      Hoping for a +3.. but will be on FSU at best # available
                                      Comment
                                      • DennisT
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-11-09
                                        • 2025

                                        #54
                                        Lots of good info.Biff said it best FSU -1 or nothing. That will be my play! lol all!
                                        Comment
                                        • grease lightnin
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-01-12
                                          • 16015

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by King tut
                                          Lay off this game guys can`t you see its a flip of the coin. No capping this one
                                          Nice gonzo peeping tom avatar.
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Tommy Karate
                                            gotta pay

                                            The page you are requesting is available to subscribers only.
                                            Oh yea. I've paid for it since he started asking few years ago. Only hadicapping tool I pay for but I mean it 20 bucks and I'd be lost w how I cap the games w/o his metrics.. I don't really care bout the score predictions cept for using them to assume the line will be close to that but all the adjusted efficiency ratings and awesome numbers all right there is worth whatever he asks to me, luckily it not shit..
                                            Comment
                                            • stevenash
                                              Moderator
                                              • 01-17-11
                                              • 65724

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by I am the one
                                              O MY GOD ITS STEVE NASH!!!!!


                                              STEVE DUDE LET ME TEA BAG U PLEaseeeeeeeeee
                                              Seek help.
                                              It's not too late.
                                              Comment
                                              • stevenash
                                                Moderator
                                                • 01-17-11
                                                • 65724

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by aman86
                                                nice locked in my +1 unc..... won't matter e z cash money

                                                fsu blows y'all will see
                                                Dunkel has been like 62 percent all year.
                                                I was leaning under, checked Dunkel's math, he says the total is five points off, he's on the same page as me in this game, I'm sold.
                                                Under.
                                                Comment
                                                • grease lightnin
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-01-12
                                                  • 16015

                                                  #59
                                                  UNC at -1, gonna pull the trigger, Banker?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mac_514
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-31-14
                                                    • 532

                                                    #60
                                                    going with unc
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KRIT
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-11-14
                                                      • 12878

                                                      #61
                                                      If you like to spot bet, then take Florida St. Great spot to take them and fade UNC.

                                                      If you like to go with the better team and matchups, then go with UNC.

                                                      Fla St or pass for me.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Squidder
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 01-28-14
                                                        • 102

                                                        #62
                                                        $200 on unc
                                                        Comment
                                                        • labones00
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-20-12
                                                          • 1555

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          Really no reason at all for Carolina to not be at least -2 here. I personally expected -3.
                                                          We seem to forget that line makers more often than not are NOT trying to predict the outcome of the game. It's all about even money on both sides, if you think UNC should be -3 then jump on the -1.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • labones00
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-20-12
                                                            • 1555

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by aman86
                                                            nice locked in my +1 unc..... won't matter e z cash money

                                                            fsu blows y'all will see
                                                            and UNC is god awful on the road, hence the line
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KRIT
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-11-14
                                                              • 12878

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by labones00
                                                              We seem to forget that line makers more often than not are NOT trying to predict the outcome of the game. It's all about even money on both sides, if you think UNC should be -3 then jump on the -1.
                                                              If books were all about even money on both sides, then UNC would be -3. C'mon bro.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • I am the one
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-29-13
                                                                • 503

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by stevenash
                                                                Seek help.
                                                                It's not too late.
                                                                Steve, please i tea bag with the best of them, let me show you!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • labones00
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-20-12
                                                                  • 1555

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by KRIT
                                                                  If books were all about even money on both sides, then UNC would be -3. C'mon bro.
                                                                  Over 80% of the public is on UNC
                                                                  FSU gets it done
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • derekjetr02
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 02-09-14
                                                                    • 26

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Two glaring stats I see...Florida State's turnover % on offense (21% per game which is 322nd in the nation) vs UNC turnover defense (20% per game, 77th in the nation)...also, UNC is grabbing 39% of their offensive rebounds. FSU allows opponents to grab 35% of their offensive rebounds.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • grease lightnin
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-01-12
                                                                      • 16015

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by derekjetr02
                                                                      Two glaring stats I see...Florida State's turnover % on offense (21% per game which is 322nd in the nation) vs UNC turnover defense (20% per game, 77th in the nation)...also, UNC is grabbing 39% of their offensive rebounds. FSU allows opponents to grab 35% of their offensive rebounds.

                                                                      ooo I LIKE these stats, guy. I am on UNC ml +100. Let's hope we the people take Vegas' $$$ tonight. Here's to my cash out.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Tommy Karate
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-12-13
                                                                        • 13445

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by dumdum214
                                                                        Line is moving in UNC favor
                                                                        public was all over NC as expected....did what it should have imo...
                                                                        Comment
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