North Carolina vs. Florida State - Whats the play?
What side are you on?
theforce
SBR High Roller
01-22-14
218
#2
Under
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Dilo
SBR MVP
03-01-13
1384
#3
Well, if you know what side Vegas is on, then that's probably the right side
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jds07v
SBR MVP
10-19-09
1335
#4
UNC +1.5 (3x)
FSU student here. Love my noles but we have been struggling bad lately. Got waxed by Maryland, lost to Miami at home, and struggled with Wake (down 16 at one point.)
Unc has gotten their stuff together the last month. They're really coming on now. Not buying the look ahead spot with Duke, thats 3 days away.
Think UNC's bigs can have their way with FSU inside. FSU is awful on the defensive glass, and 7'2 Bojanovsky gets pushed around too much. The only thing that concerns me is UNC's awful free throw shooting.
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No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#5
So Carolina's red hot (six straight wins both SU and ATS), they have a much better record than FSU, and obliterated FSU twice last year while sweeping the season series (all three games counting the ACC tourney). Yet they're +1 here?
Interesting.
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MarcusPaige
SBR Sharp
02-16-14
272
#6
Line definitely does not make any sense, which is certainly a bad sign for my heels. They are playing very well after a schizophrenic start, and FSU at 14-10 overall seemed like a formality heading into the dook game. I really thought we would be favored every game the rest of the regular season except the two dook games so being a dog to a mediocre FSU is a shocker to me.
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MarcusPaige
SBR Sharp
02-16-14
272
#7
Logically, I think most of the public would have put UNC at a 5-6 point fav in this game. It's a very odd line.
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Tommy Karate
SBR Posting Legend
10-12-13
13445
#8
what time are the new rankings released? i assume NC is in the top 25 now...
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THam12
SBR Posting Legend
03-12-13
12640
#9
Tough spot for UNC. Played yesterday, travelled to Florida.... Have to fly back and prepare for duke.. Tough tough spot. I think it explains the line
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No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#10
Originally posted by MarcusPaige
Line definitely does not make any sense, which is certainly a bad sign for my heels. They are playing very well after a schizophrenic start, and FSU at 14-10 overall seemed like a formality heading into the dook game. I really thought we would be favored every game the rest of the regular season except the two dook games so being a dog to a mediocre FSU is a shocker to me.
Really no reason at all for Carolina to not be at least -2 here. I personally expected -3.
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GHSCREW
SBR MVP
10-25-13
1644
#11
Unc +1
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PhilTheTHRILL
SBR MVP
10-07-13
1169
#12
This line still baffles me. Every single part of me feel like I woulda taken unc -6 or 7.
And yet I'm getting +1...
I'm lost.
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Tommy Karate
SBR Posting Legend
10-12-13
13445
#13
Originally posted by THam12
Tough spot for UNC. Played yesterday, travelled to Florida.... Have to fly back and prepare for duke.. Tough tough spot. I think it explains the line
forgot about the duke make up game.
sandwich classic...
fsu heavy...
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PhilTheTHRILL
SBR MVP
10-07-13
1169
#14
Originally posted by Tommy Karate
forgot about the duke make up game.
sandwich classic...
fsu heavy...
It doesn't mean they'll just lay down for FSU. They won't come off a big win and lay down for FSU to focus on Duke. Doesn't make any sense.
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Tommy Karate
SBR Posting Legend
10-12-13
13445
#15
Originally posted by PhilTheTHRILL
It doesn't mean they'll just lay down for FSU. They won't come off a big win and lay down for FSU to focus on Duke. Doesn't make any sense.
the way i think, it makes more sense to me that they would sleep walk though a game like tomorrow. off a big win, huge game up next. its tough for even college athletes to play at a max level each and every game.
would be nice if kenny pom gave us fsu backers a few points...
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#16
Originally posted by Tommy Karate
the way i think, it makes more sense to me that they would sleep walk though a game like tomorrow. off a big win, huge game up next. its tough for even college athletes to play at a max level each and every game.
would be nice if kenny pom gave us fsu backers a few points...
Agree, FSU -1 or nothing. UNC has their biggest game of the season on deck and has been in great form, FSU needs this game much more. Line says it all (not because Heels will lay down but because the extra game creates such a tough motivational spot). BTW, Kenpom has Noles, 74-71.
Also like Towson tomorrow.
Game that i cannot figure out is Okie State/Baylor. Gotta figure that Okie State gave max effort vs Sooners Saturday and will be down after blowing that game late. At the same time, Baylor is borderline unbackable until they hire a coach (though worth noting that they have owned Pokes in recent meetings, covering 5 of 6).
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SSSuperSergSSS
SBR High Roller
02-05-14
115
#17
Agree with towson mate, think the 3.5 they giving wont be enough , im locking the -3.5
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SSSuperSergSSS
SBR High Roller
02-05-14
115
#18
Fsu or leave this game, played well against wake and should follow up with a 3-5 point win here
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R.P. McMurphy
SBR Hall of Famer
06-15-12
9654
#19
Tough to call line def off but we have seen Vegas gift wrapping bets for squares in recent days Cuse at Pitt and Gators at Kuntucky to name a couple big ones. Sometimes it just makes sense to back the better or hotter team at times. It is Monday tho and fading Vegas on Monday is a losing proposition overall. Lean Noles slightly here
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grease lightnin
SBR Posting Legend
10-01-12
16015
#20
Trap line in a trap game.....UNC ML for me. Gonna fade the forum sharps (not fading just to fade--think unc wins) and if I win, I will cash out tomorrow.
PS- I was on Cuse at Pitt and had the Florida ML at KY. lmao
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grease lightnin
SBR Posting Legend
10-01-12
16015
#21
Site I use says 92% on UNC with UNC as top public bet and FSU still 3rd place public bet. And the line has not moved.....pulled the trigger last night as soon as I saw the line. I will say that although I usually try to ignore this type of thing (sharp vs square) but if I hadnt pulled the trigger already, I might have gone the other way....
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CappinTerp
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
9650
#22
Small play on FLD. ST.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#23
If unc closes as favs ill prob play fsu, if line holds at fsu-1 or pk it a pass for me..
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Tommy Karate
SBR Posting Legend
10-12-13
13445
#24
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
Agree, FSU -1 or nothing. UNC has their biggest game of the season on deck and has been in great form, FSU needs this game much more. Line says it all (not because Heels will lay down but because the extra game creates such a tough motivational spot). BTW, Kenpom has Noles, 74-71.
Also like Towson tomorrow.
Game that i cannot figure out is Okie State/Baylor. Gotta figure that Okie State gave max effort vs Sooners Saturday and will be down after blowing that game late. At the same time, Baylor is borderline unbackable until they hire a coach (though worth noting that they have owned Pokes in recent meetings, covering 5 of 6).
where do you see ken poms score or line predictions?
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#25
Originally posted by Tommy Karate
where do you see ken poms score or line predictions?
Under "fanmatch",, doesn't work on phone tho. If u on phone u gotta type in team then go to schedule and it will have his projected score.
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Tommy Karate
SBR Posting Legend
10-12-13
13445
#26
Originally posted by grease lightnin
Site I use says 92% on UNC with UNC as top public bet and FSU still 3rd place public bet. And the line has not moved.....pulled the trigger last night as soon as I saw the line. I will say that although I usually try to ignore this type of thing (sharp vs square) but if I hadnt pulled the trigger already, I might have gone the other way....
ha....thats funny. i guess no one cares about games like david vs citadel tonight.
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Tommy Karate
SBR Posting Legend
10-12-13
13445
#27
Originally posted by 2daBank
Under "fanmatch",, doesn't work on phone tho. If u on phone u gotta type in team then go to schedule and it will have his projected score.
gotta pay
The page you are requesting is available to subscribers only.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#28
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
Agree, FSU -1 or nothing. UNC has their biggest game of the season on deck and has been in great form, FSU needs this game much more. Line says it all (not because Heels will lay down but because the extra game creates such a tough motivational spot). BTW, Kenpom has Noles, 74-71.
Also like Towson tomorrow.
Game that i cannot figure out is Okie State/Baylor. Gotta figure that Okie State gave max effort vs Sooners Saturday and will be down after blowing that game late. At the same time, Baylor is borderline unbackable until they hire a coach (though worth noting that they have owned Pokes in recent meetings, covering 5 of 6).
Well, there's your answer.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#29
Originally posted by 2daBank
If unc closes as favs ill prob play fsu, if line holds at fsu-1 or pk it a pass for me..
This.
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jds07v
SBR MVP
10-19-09
1335
#30
Yes you have to pay the $20 but it gives you access to other parts of the data bank as well.
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I am the one
SBR Wise Guy
10-29-13
503
#31
FSU (pk) who's feeling that?
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jhack704
SBR Hall of Famer
06-04-09
5346
#32
when a line is fishy=vegas fix in, fsu all the way.. like temple yesterday
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aman86
SBR MVP
08-29-09
3115
#33
unc... easy money. game set match
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I am the one
SBR Wise Guy
10-29-13
503
#34
Fsu -1
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RollinDo
SBR Posting Legend
09-04-13
13322
#35
Originally posted by aman86
unc... easy money. game set match
Easy money = go with the other team. Happens about 75% of the time when "easy money" is posted.