CBB best and worst vs spread

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  • Slate
    SBR MVP
    • 12-28-08
    • 1021

    #36
    Originally posted by louisvillekid
    nice info, sucks i like Toledo tonight.

    They could still cover, this is a percentage thing, more should win, but some will lose
    Comment
    • Slate
      SBR MVP
      • 12-28-08
      • 1021

      #37
      Originally posted by Slate
      Tuesday March 3

      PLAY ON

      Auburn..........17-5........77%.........won
      vs
      Alabama

      Weber st.......19-7.......73%..........won
      vs
      Montana st

      Fla state.......16-7........69%..........won
      vs
      Duke

      Tenn-Mar.......17-9.......65%..........won
      vs
      Tenn Tech

      PLAY AGAINST

      Charlotte......8-16........31%........lost
      vs
      Richmond

      Detroit.........8-18........31%........won
      vs
      Cleveland st.

      Loy Ill.........9-17.........34%........lost
      vs
      Wisc-Milw

      6-1 today

      Auburn comes thru again after being down by 10

      and Cleve st misses by 4 points to kill a perfect night lol
      Comment
      • Slate
        SBR MVP
        • 12-28-08
        • 1021

        #38
        Thursday 3 plays

        6-7 yesterday

        38-19 over last 5 days

        Play on

        Louis Tech.........18-8........69%..........lose
        vs
        Idaho

        Play against

        Missouri st........9-18.........33%..........lose
        vs
        Wichita st

        Org..................9-18........33%...........lose
        vs
        USC

        2-1 today
        Comment
        • spongerat
          SBR MVP
          • 10-01-08
          • 2023

          #39
          maybe its just reverting to the mean
          Comment
          • Slate
            SBR MVP
            • 12-28-08
            • 1021

            #40
            Originally posted by spongerat
            maybe its just reverting to the mean

            I guess we will see , and yes it always comes back to the mean, but 38-19, + 17 units, over 5 days is pretty good, but you need to be in it for the duration.
            Comment
            • Smails Kid
              SBR Hustler
              • 02-27-09
              • 86

              #41
              Slate --- for Thursday's games, what about playing Against Kent St. (9-17, 34.6%), too, in its game with Buffalo?
              Comment
              • Slate
                SBR MVP
                • 12-28-08
                • 1021

                #42
                Kent St is actually 10-17, 37%, which is close, and I like Buffalo anyway
                Comment
                • Smails Kid
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 02-27-09
                  • 86

                  #43
                  Slate --- Friday's games (March 6) look to include a few on both sides

                  James Madison (18-10 ATS, 64%) vs. William & Mary (8-14 ATS, 36%)
                  Drexel (18-9, 66.7%) vs. Towson St. (9-16 ATS, 36%)

                  Also, to play ON: Samford (15-8, 65.2%) and Tenn-Martin (17-9, 65.3%)

                  Also, to play AGAINST: Notre Dame (8-16, 33%), Brown (4-14, 22%) and Ga Southern (9-17, 34.6%)

                  Thanks for your work and good luck tonight!
                  Comment
                  • Slate
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-28-08
                    • 1021

                    #44
                    friday has 5 plays

                    Yesterday 2-1

                    40-20 over last 6 days

                    Play on

                    Tenn Mar..............19-9..........68%........lose
                    vs
                    Morehead st

                    Play against

                    Ga, Southern.........9-19.........32%........lose
                    vs
                    Appla st

                    N Dame...............8-16.........33%.........win
                    vs
                    St Johns

                    Brown.................5-17.........23%.........win
                    vs
                    Harvard

                    W + M................8-15.........35%.........lose
                    vs
                    James Mad

                    The others you mentioned after updating records dont fit, but I will check again later

                    2-3 today
                    Comment
                    • Slate
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-28-08
                      • 1021

                      #45
                      Drexel is close but they are only .....18-10........64%
                      vs
                      Towson which is............................11-17........39%, this could work, but I am not counting it

                      Samford is close too but are only.....16-9..........64%

                      I am tyrying to keep everything above 65% and below 35%
                      Comment
                      • curious
                        Restricted User
                        • 07-20-07
                        • 9093

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Slate
                        friday has 5 plays

                        Yesterday 2-1

                        40-20 over last 6 days

                        Play on

                        Tenn Mar..............19-9..........68%
                        vs
                        Morehead st

                        Play against

                        Ga, Southern.........9-19.........32%
                        vs
                        Appla st

                        N Dame...............8-16.........33%
                        vs
                        St Johns

                        Brown.................5-17.........23%
                        vs
                        Harvard

                        W + M................8-15.........35%
                        vs
                        James Mad

                        The others you mentioned after updating records dont fit, but I will check again later
                        When betting against shouldn't we look at the ATS record of the team they are playing? What if the team they are playing is some scrub team that didn't make your best/worst list but is still bad?
                        Comment
                        • Slate
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-28-08
                          • 1021

                          #47
                          Probably would help refine it

                          If a really bad team plays a team at 45% maybe we stay away, you can decide this, I am just putting this up for info
                          Comment
                          • Slate
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-28-08
                            • 1021

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Slate
                            Kent St is actually 10-17, 37%, which is close, and I like Buffalo anyway

                            Had Buffalo last night they were leading with 8 sec gave up a basket then lost in ot
                            Comment
                            • curious
                              Restricted User
                              • 07-20-07
                              • 9093

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Slate
                              Probably would help refine it

                              If a really bad team plays a team at 45% maybe we stay away, you can decide this, I am just putting this up for info
                              I know what will happen if I add that filter, all the games I pass on will win. LOL
                              Comment
                              • Slate
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-28-08
                                • 1021

                                #50
                                Sat 02/28

                                Above 65% teams........3-2
                                Below 35% teams........0-2

                                Sun 03/01

                                Above 65% teams.......8-2
                                Below 35% teams.......11-5

                                Mon 03/02

                                Above 65% teams.......1-0
                                Below 35% teams.......3-0

                                Tues 03/03

                                Above 65% teams.......4-0
                                Below 35% teams.......2-1

                                Wed 03/04

                                Above 65% teams......1-3
                                Below 35% teams......5-4

                                Thur 03/05

                                Above 65% teams......0-1
                                Below 35% teams......2-0

                                Fri 03/06

                                Above 65% teams.....0-1
                                Below 35% teams.....2-2


                                Total

                                Above 65% teams......17-9......65% win
                                Below 35% teams......25-14....64% win
                                Comment
                                • chrisharvard01
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 10-24-08
                                  • 2943

                                  #51
                                  thanks slate
                                  Comment
                                  • Smails Kid
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 02-27-09
                                    • 86

                                    #52
                                    hey Slate --- for Saturday, March 7, here's what an initial glance uncovered, but my teams have not always matched up with yours. Thanks for your insight and confirmation on this research, and good luck today & tonight.

                                    PLAY ON (5 teams)
                                    Pitt, Kansas, Auburn, Central Florida and St. Peters

                                    PLAY AGAINST (9 teams)
                                    Fordham, Fairfield, Georgia Tech, Oregon, Charlotte, Baylor, DePaul, Southern Miss and Air Force

                                    Also of note, 2 just missed at the PLAY ON with 64%, 16-9 ATS in Ole Miss and Stanford, and Oklahoma State is an abysmal 1-8 as a Dog this season.
                                    Comment
                                    • kaspbart
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-30-08
                                      • 421

                                      #53
                                      Simple and Good system great job man
                                      Comment
                                      • Slate
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-28-08
                                        • 1021

                                        #54
                                        Sat

                                        Play who ????

                                        Citadel............20-6.........77%......lose .....on a streak of 7-1
                                        vs
                                        Samford..........17-9.........65%.......win

                                        Play on

                                        Auburn............18-5..........78%......win......on a streak of 8-0
                                        vs
                                        LSU

                                        Kan................17-7..........71%......win.......on a streak of 12-2
                                        vs
                                        Texas

                                        Wisc GB.........19-9...........68%........lose
                                        vs
                                        Cleve

                                        Niagra...........21-10..........68%.........win
                                        vs
                                        Marist

                                        Pitt.................16-8..........66%.........win
                                        vs
                                        Conn

                                        St Peters........16-8...........66%.........lose..... on a streak of 14-2
                                        vs
                                        Rider

                                        N. Colo...........18-9..........66%.........lose .....on a streak of 7-1
                                        vs
                                        Idaho St

                                        UCF................15-8..........65%.......lose
                                        vs
                                        E. Car

                                        J Madison........19-10........65%........lose.......on a streak of 8-2
                                        vs
                                        Old Dom







                                        Play who?????.......neither

                                        G Town.........8-15...........35%.......lose
                                        vs
                                        Depaul.........7-18............28%.......win

                                        Play against

                                        Fordham........6-19...........24%......lose.......on a streak of 2-7
                                        vs
                                        St Joes

                                        Brown...........6-17...........25%.......win
                                        vs
                                        Dart

                                        S Miss..........6-17...........26%......lose
                                        vs
                                        UTEP

                                        Char.............8-18...........31%.....lose
                                        vs
                                        St Bonny

                                        Org..............9-19...........32%......lose
                                        vs
                                        UCLA

                                        Baylor..........7-14............33%.....lose......on a streak of 1-10
                                        vs
                                        Neb

                                        A Force........7-14............33%......win.......on a streak of 3-12
                                        vs
                                        BYU

                                        Tex T...........8-15............35%......win
                                        vs
                                        Iowa St
                                        Comment
                                        • Slate
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-28-08
                                          • 1021

                                          #55
                                          My other plays today

                                          Ariz st -7................6 units.......win
                                          Iowa st -4...............4 units......lose
                                          Wash -7.................4 units.......lose
                                          App st +16..............4 units.......push
                                          Hofstra +6 1/2.........4 units......win
                                          Kentucky +5 1/2.......2 units......lose
                                          W Caro +3..............2 units.......lose

                                          minus 2 units

                                          From above

                                          Pitt -4....................1 unit......win
                                          Iowa st -4...............1 unit......lose
                                          St Joes -12..............1 unit......win
                                          UCLA -20.................1 unit......win
                                          St Bonny +1 1/2.......1 unit.......win
                                          Neb +5 1/2..............1 unit......win
                                          Aub -2.....................1 unit......win
                                          Kansas -8................1 unit......win

                                          7-1
                                          Comment
                                          • BeatTheJerk
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 08-19-07
                                            • 31794

                                            #56
                                            This has always been a logical way to bet during the mid to the end of the season I wonder why myself and others don't use this simple ATS winner/loser system more often great topic "Slate" ....................
                                            Comment
                                            • Slate
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-28-08
                                              • 1021

                                              #57
                                              Evening plays

                                              my other plays

                                              J mad +4 1/2.........2 units......lose
                                              e Tenn st +1..........2 units......win
                                              Wright st + 10.......2 units.......win
                                              Prince +15.............3 units.......win
                                              Stanford +6...........2 units.......lose
                                              Charlotte +3 1/2.....2 units.......win
                                              Atl -3....................2 units........win
                                              Cleve -9................2 units........win

                                              plus 9 units

                                              From above

                                              Niagra -13.............1 unit.......win
                                              Dart +4.................1 unit.......lose
                                              UCF -10.................1 unit.......lose
                                              J Mad +5 1/2..........1 unit.......lose

                                              1-3
                                              Comment
                                              • Slate
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-28-08
                                                • 1021

                                                #58
                                                Night plays

                                                my other plays

                                                W Vir -2 1/2........2 units......lose
                                                Morehead pk.......3 units.......win
                                                Cleve st -1.........2 units.......win
                                                Citadel - 3 1/2....3 units.......lose
                                                Pacific -5............4 units.......win

                                                Plus 4 units

                                                From above

                                                BYU -20..............1 unit.......lose
                                                UTEP - 1/2..........1 unit.......win
                                                W GBay.............Np............lose
                                                St Peters +6........1 unit......lose
                                                N Colo +4 1/2......1 unit......lose


                                                1-4
                                                Comment
                                                • Slate
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-28-08
                                                  • 1021

                                                  #59
                                                  Sat 02/28

                                                  Above 65% teams........3-2
                                                  Below 35% teams........0-2

                                                  Sun 03/01

                                                  Above 65% teams.......8-2
                                                  Below 35% teams.......11-5

                                                  Mon 03/02

                                                  Above 65% teams.......1-0
                                                  Below 35% teams.......3-0

                                                  Tues 03/03

                                                  Above 65% teams.......4-0
                                                  Below 35% teams.......2-1

                                                  Wed 03/04

                                                  Above 65% teams......1-3
                                                  Below 35% teams......5-4

                                                  Thur 03/05

                                                  Above 65% teams......0-1
                                                  Below 35% teams......2-0

                                                  Fri 03/06

                                                  Above 65% teams.....0-1
                                                  Below 35% teams.....2-2

                                                  Sat 03/07

                                                  Above 65% teams.....5-6
                                                  Below 35% teams.....6-4


                                                  Total

                                                  Above 65% teams......22-15......60% win
                                                  Below 35% teams......31-18......63% win
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Smails Kid
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 02-27-09
                                                    • 86

                                                    #60
                                                    Hey Slate, for Sunday, March 8, I like six plays:

                                                    PLAY ON -- Florida State (vs. VaTech)
                                                    PLAY AGAINST -- Kent State (vs. Akron), Arkansas-Little Rock (vs. Denver), South Alabama (vs. Troy), Toledo (vs. Northern Illinois) and Western Michigan (vs. Central Michigan)

                                                    Good luck today everyone!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Slate
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-28-08
                                                      • 1021

                                                      #61
                                                      Sunday 03/08

                                                      Play on

                                                      Niagra............22-10.........69%.......lose..........9-2 run
                                                      vs
                                                      Rider

                                                      Fla St.............17-7...........71%.......win
                                                      vs
                                                      V Tech


                                                      Play against

                                                      W Mich............9-19.........32%.......lose.......1-10 run
                                                      vs
                                                      C Mich

                                                      Toledo............9-20.........31%........win
                                                      vs
                                                      N Ill

                                                      S. Ala............8-18..........33%........win.........2-10 run
                                                      vs
                                                      Troy

                                                      2-3 today
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Slate
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-28-08
                                                        • 1021

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by Smails Kid
                                                        hey Slate --- for Saturday, March 7, here's what an initial glance uncovered, but my teams have not always matched up with yours. Thanks for your insight and confirmation on this research, and good luck today & tonight.

                                                        PLAY ON (5 teams)
                                                        Pitt, Kansas, Auburn, Central Florida and St. Peters

                                                        PLAY AGAINST (9 teams)
                                                        Fordham, Fairfield, Georgia Tech, Oregon, Charlotte, Baylor, DePaul, Southern Miss and Air Force

                                                        Also of note, 2 just missed at the PLAY ON with 64%, 16-9 ATS in Ole Miss and Stanford, and Oklahoma State is an abysmal 1-8 as a Dog this season.

                                                        If you played the plays you put up, you went 8-6 that was ok, better then losing
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Smails Kid
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 02-27-09
                                                          • 86

                                                          #63
                                                          I did make some of those plays (spending time w/ the family, too), and luckily, I talked myself out of the 3 below (Ole Miss, Stan and OK State). While those looked good initially, with them being rivalry games, I threw them off the board. An overall losing day since the games I missed were winners in the early PM. Oh well.

                                                          For today I made plays on Akron, CMich, NIll and FlaSt, plus Den and Troy for tonight already. I'll add the other you found (Niag), plus I like GeMason, too.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Smails Kid
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 02-27-09
                                                            • 86

                                                            #64
                                                            On Sunday, went 5-5-1 on my plays. Lost some juice but we'll try again Monday.
                                                            Picked up Ws on CMichigan, FlaState, Denver, Akron - 1st H, Denver - 1st H.
                                                            Picked up Ls on Troy, NIllinois [by a 1/2 ], GeoMason, Niagara and Duke/UNC o164.5.
                                                            Pushed on Akron/Kent St game as I got it at +4.

                                                            Have a good week.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Smails Kid
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 02-27-09
                                                              • 86

                                                              #65
                                                              For Monday's games, I like two:
                                                              (1) Play ON Niagara and its 66.7% ATS record (22-11) vs. Siena
                                                              (2) Play AGAINST South Alabama and its 33% ATS record (9-18) vs. Ark-Little Rock

                                                              Other plays: Charleston and Gonzaga straight-up in NCAA and New Orleans, Detroit and Houston in NBA

                                                              Seven plays total. Good luck to you all tonight!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Slate
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-28-08
                                                                • 1021

                                                                #66
                                                                Monday 03/09

                                                                Play on

                                                                Niagra.............22-11........66%.........lose
                                                                vs
                                                                Siena


                                                                Play against

                                                                S. Ala..............9-18..........33%.........win
                                                                vs
                                                                Ark LR

                                                                0-2


                                                                I love Charleston. Good luck all
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Slate
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-28-08
                                                                  • 1021

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Tues March 10

                                                                  Play on

                                                                  Weber st..........20-7.......74 %.......lose
                                                                  vs
                                                                  Montana st

                                                                  Play against

                                                                  G town...........8-16........33%........lose
                                                                  vs
                                                                  St Johns

                                                                  Toledo............10-20.... 33%........win
                                                                  vs
                                                                  Akron

                                                                  West Mich........9-20......31%........lose
                                                                  vs
                                                                  Ohio U

                                                                  2-2
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Smails Kid
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 02-27-09
                                                                    • 86

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Tuesday's Games:

                                                                    PLAY ON
                                                                    Weber State ... awesome /// 12 in a row SU and 10 straight ATS ... plays Montana St.
                                                                    Also,
                                                                    Seton Hall
                                                                    ... pretty good at 64% ATS /// covered 12 of the 16 ... plays SFlorida

                                                                    PLAY AGAINST
                                                                    Georgetown ... putrid /// has a streak of missing the spread in 11 of last 13 ... plays St. John's
                                                                    Toledo ... on the upswing /// has covered 4 of last 6 games ... plays Akron

                                                                    Also,
                                                                    DePaul
                                                                    ... are the Demons chicken salad? /// just 8-18 ATS but have covered 4 of the last 5 ... plays Cincinnati ///
                                                                    Western Michigan
                                                                    ... horrid /// 8-18 ATS and have missed covering in 11 of last 12 ... plays Ohio U ///
                                                                    Notre Dame
                                                                    ... underachievers /// 9-16 ATS but have covered 3 of last 5 ... plays Rutgers ///

                                                                    Slate's plays are good to go as usual, and I like Weber State and St. John's, plus Western Michigan and Seton Hall for today.

                                                                    Good luck everyone!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Slate
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-28-08
                                                                      • 1021

                                                                      #69
                                                                      I love Weber st, also Seton Hall, Going with St Johns, and Akron

                                                                      Depaul already won, going big with Ohio U, going to stay away from ND and Rutgers, both are to inconsistent

                                                                      Took Cleve st big
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Smails Kid
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 02-27-09
                                                                        • 86

                                                                        #70
                                                                        And boom goes Georgetown, again ... nice call on the anti-ATS chart, Slate, and a good win for us today.

                                                                        1-0 is a good way to start a Tuesday.
                                                                        Comment
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