CBB best and worst vs spread

[Slate]

nice info, sucks i like Toledo tonight.

They could still cover, this is a percentage thing, more should win, but some will lose

[Slate]

Tuesday March 3

PLAY ON

Auburn..........17-5........77%.........won
vs
Alabama

Weber st.......19-7.......73%..........won
vs
Montana st

Fla state.......16-7........69%..........won
vs
Duke

Tenn-Mar.......17-9.......65%..........won
vs
Tenn Tech

PLAY AGAINST

Charlotte......8-16........31%........lost
vs
Richmond

Detroit.........8-18........31%........won
vs
Cleveland st.

Loy Ill.........9-17.........34%........lost
vs
Wisc-Milw

6-1 today

Auburn comes thru again after being down by 10

and Cleve st misses by 4 points to kill a perfect night lol

[Slate]

Thursday 3 plays

6-7 yesterday

38-19 over last 5 days

Play on

Louis Tech.........18-8........69%..........lose
vs
Idaho

Play against

Missouri st........9-18.........33%..........lose
vs
Wichita st

Org..................9-18........33%...........lose
vs
USC

2-1 today

[spongerat]

maybe its just reverting to the mean

[Slate]

maybe its just reverting to the mean

I guess we will see , and yes it always comes back to the mean, but 38-19, + 17 units, over 5 days is pretty good, but you need to be in it for the duration.

[Smails Kid]

Slate --- for Thursday's games, what about playing Against Kent St. (9-17, 34.6%), too, in its game with Buffalo?

[Slate]

Kent St is actually 10-17, 37%, which is close, and I like Buffalo anyway

[Smails Kid]

Slate --- Friday's games (March 6) look to include a few on both sides

James Madison (18-10 ATS, 64%) vs. William & Mary (8-14 ATS, 36%)
Drexel (18-9, 66.7%) vs. Towson St. (9-16 ATS, 36%)

Also, to play ON: Samford (15-8, 65.2%) and Tenn-Martin (17-9, 65.3%)

Also, to play AGAINST: Notre Dame (8-16, 33%), Brown (4-14, 22%) and Ga Southern (9-17, 34.6%)

Thanks for your work and good luck tonight!

[Slate]

friday has 5 plays

Yesterday 2-1

40-20 over last 6 days

Play on

Tenn Mar..............19-9..........68%........lose
vs
Morehead st

Play against

Ga, Southern.........9-19.........32%........lose
vs
Appla st

N Dame...............8-16.........33%.........win
vs
St Johns

Brown.................5-17.........23%.........win
vs
Harvard

W + M................8-15.........35%.........lose
vs
James Mad

The others you mentioned after updating records dont fit, but I will check again later

2-3 today

[Slate]

Drexel is close but they are only .....18-10........64%
vs
Towson which is............................11-17........39%, this could work, but I am not counting it

Samford is close too but are only.....16-9..........64%

I am tyrying to keep everything above 65% and below 35%

[curious]

friday has 5 plays

Yesterday 2-1

40-20 over last 6 days

Play on

Tenn Mar..............19-9..........68%
vs
Morehead st

Play against

Ga, Southern.........9-19.........32%
vs
Appla st

N Dame...............8-16.........33%
vs
St Johns

Brown.................5-17.........23%
vs
Harvard

W + M................8-15.........35%
vs
James Mad

The others you mentioned after updating records dont fit, but I will check again later

When betting against shouldn't we look at the ATS record of the team they are playing? What if the team they are playing is some scrub team that didn't make your best/worst list but is still bad?

[Slate]

Probably would help refine it

If a really bad team plays a team at 45% maybe we stay away, you can decide this, I am just putting this up for info

[Slate]

Kent St is actually 10-17, 37%, which is close, and I like Buffalo anyway

Had Buffalo last night they were leading with 8 sec gave up a basket then lost in ot

[curious]

Probably would help refine it

If a really bad team plays a team at 45% maybe we stay away, you can decide this, I am just putting this up for info

I know what will happen if I add that filter, all the games I pass on will win. LOL

[Slate]

Sat 02/28

Above 65% teams........3-2
Below 35% teams........0-2

Sun 03/01

Above 65% teams.......8-2
Below 35% teams.......11-5

Mon 03/02

Above 65% teams.......1-0
Below 35% teams.......3-0

Tues 03/03

Above 65% teams.......4-0
Below 35% teams.......2-1

Wed 03/04

Above 65% teams......1-3
Below 35% teams......5-4

Thur 03/05

Above 65% teams......0-1
Below 35% teams......2-0

Fri 03/06

Above 65% teams.....0-1
Below 35% teams.....2-2


Total

Above 65% teams......17-9......65% win
Below 35% teams......25-14....64% win

[chrisharvard01]

thanks slate

[Smails Kid]

hey Slate --- for Saturday, March 7, here's what an initial glance uncovered, but my teams have not always matched up with yours. Thanks for your insight and confirmation on this research, and good luck today & tonight.

PLAY ON (5 teams)
Pitt, Kansas, Auburn, Central Florida and St. Peters

PLAY AGAINST (9 teams)
Fordham, Fairfield, Georgia Tech, Oregon, Charlotte, Baylor, DePaul, Southern Miss and Air Force

Also of note, 2 just missed at the PLAY ON with 64%, 16-9 ATS in Ole Miss and Stanford, and Oklahoma State is an abysmal 1-8 as a Dog this season.

[kaspbart]

Simple and Good system great job man

[Slate]

Sat

Play who ????

Citadel............20-6.........77%......lose .....on a streak of 7-1
vs
Samford..........17-9.........65%.......win

Play on

Auburn............18-5..........78%......win......on a streak of 8-0
vs
LSU

Kan................17-7..........71%......win.......on a streak of 12-2
vs
Texas

Wisc GB.........19-9...........68%........lose
vs
Cleve

Niagra...........21-10..........68%.........win
vs
Marist

Pitt.................16-8..........66%.........win
vs
Conn

St Peters........16-8...........66%.........lose..... on a streak of 14-2
vs
Rider

N. Colo...........18-9..........66%.........lose .....on a streak of 7-1
vs
Idaho St

UCF................15-8..........65%.......lose
vs
E. Car

J Madison........19-10........65%........lose.......on a streak of 8-2
vs
Old Dom







Play who?????.......neither

G Town.........8-15...........35%.......lose
vs
Depaul.........7-18............28%.......win

Play against

Fordham........6-19...........24%......lose.......on a streak of 2-7
vs
St Joes

Brown...........6-17...........25%.......win
vs
Dart

S Miss..........6-17...........26%......lose
vs
UTEP

Char.............8-18...........31%.....lose
vs
St Bonny

Org..............9-19...........32%......lose
vs
UCLA

Baylor..........7-14............33%.....lose......on a streak of 1-10
vs
Neb

A Force........7-14............33%......win.......on a streak of 3-12
vs
BYU

Tex T...........8-15............35%......win
vs
Iowa St

[Slate]

My other plays today

Ariz st -7................6 units.......win
Iowa st -4...............4 units......lose
Wash -7.................4 units.......lose
App st +16..............4 units.......push
Hofstra +6 1/2.........4 units......win
Kentucky +5 1/2.......2 units......lose
W Caro +3..............2 units.......lose

minus 2 units

From above

Pitt -4....................1 unit......win
Iowa st -4...............1 unit......lose
St Joes -12..............1 unit......win
UCLA -20.................1 unit......win
St Bonny +1 1/2.......1 unit.......win
Neb +5 1/2..............1 unit......win
Aub -2.....................1 unit......win
Kansas -8................1 unit......win

7-1

[BeatTheJerk]

This has always been a logical way to bet during the mid to the end of the season I wonder why myself and others don't use this simple ATS winner/loser system more often great topic "Slate" ....................

[Slate]

Evening plays

my other plays

J mad +4 1/2.........2 units......lose
e Tenn st +1..........2 units......win
Wright st + 10.......2 units.......win
Prince +15.............3 units.......win
Stanford +6...........2 units.......lose
Charlotte +3 1/2.....2 units.......win
Atl -3....................2 units........win
Cleve -9................2 units........win

plus 9 units

From above

Niagra -13.............1 unit.......win
Dart +4.................1 unit.......lose
UCF -10.................1 unit.......lose
J Mad +5 1/2..........1 unit.......lose

1-3

[Slate]

Night plays

my other plays

W Vir -2 1/2........2 units......lose
Morehead pk.......3 units.......win
Cleve st -1.........2 units.......win
Citadel - 3 1/2....3 units.......lose
Pacific -5............4 units.......win

Plus 4 units

From above

BYU -20..............1 unit.......lose
UTEP - 1/2..........1 unit.......win
W GBay.............Np............lose
St Peters +6........1 unit......lose
N Colo +4 1/2......1 unit......lose


1-4

[Slate]

Sat 02/28

Above 65% teams........3-2
Below 35% teams........0-2

Sun 03/01

Above 65% teams.......8-2
Below 35% teams.......11-5

Mon 03/02

Above 65% teams.......1-0
Below 35% teams.......3-0

Tues 03/03

Above 65% teams.......4-0
Below 35% teams.......2-1

Wed 03/04

Above 65% teams......1-3
Below 35% teams......5-4

Thur 03/05

Above 65% teams......0-1
Below 35% teams......2-0

Fri 03/06

Above 65% teams.....0-1
Below 35% teams.....2-2

Sat 03/07

Above 65% teams.....5-6
Below 35% teams.....6-4


Total

Above 65% teams......22-15......60% win
Below 35% teams......31-18......63% win

[Smails Kid]

Hey Slate, for Sunday, March 8, I like six plays:

PLAY ON -- Florida State (vs. VaTech)
PLAY AGAINST -- Kent State (vs. Akron), Arkansas-Little Rock (vs. Denver), South Alabama (vs. Troy), Toledo (vs. Northern Illinois) and Western Michigan (vs. Central Michigan)

Good luck today everyone!

[Slate]

Sunday 03/08

Play on

Niagra............22-10.........69%.......lose..........9-2 run
vs
Rider

Fla St.............17-7...........71%.......win
vs
V Tech


Play against

W Mich............9-19.........32%.......lose.......1-10 run
vs
C Mich

Toledo............9-20.........31%........win
vs
N Ill

S. Ala............8-18..........33%........win.........2-10 run
vs
Troy

2-3 today

[Slate]

hey Slate --- for Saturday, March 7, here's what an initial glance uncovered, but my teams have not always matched up with yours. Thanks for your insight and confirmation on this research, and good luck today & tonight.

PLAY ON (5 teams)
Pitt, Kansas, Auburn, Central Florida and St. Peters

PLAY AGAINST (9 teams)
Fordham, Fairfield, Georgia Tech, Oregon, Charlotte, Baylor, DePaul, Southern Miss and Air Force

Also of note, 2 just missed at the PLAY ON with 64%, 16-9 ATS in Ole Miss and Stanford, and Oklahoma State is an abysmal 1-8 as a Dog this season.

If you played the plays you put up, you went 8-6 that was ok, better then losing

[Smails Kid]

I did make some of those plays (spending time w/ the family, too), and luckily, I talked myself out of the 3 below (Ole Miss, Stan and OK State). While those looked good initially, with them being rivalry games, I threw them off the board. An overall losing day since the games I missed were winners in the early PM. Oh well.

For today I made plays on Akron, CMich, NIll and FlaSt, plus Den and Troy for tonight already. I'll add the other you found (Niag), plus I like GeMason, too.

[Smails Kid]

On Sunday, went 5-5-1 on my plays. Lost some juice but we'll try again Monday.
Picked up Ws on CMichigan, FlaState, Denver, Akron - 1st H, Denver - 1st H.
Picked up Ls on Troy, NIllinois [by a 1/2 ], GeoMason, Niagara and Duke/UNC o164.5.
Pushed on Akron/Kent St game as I got it at +4.

Have a good week.

[Smails Kid]

For Monday's games, I like two:
(1) Play ON Niagara and its 66.7% ATS record (22-11) vs. Siena
(2) Play AGAINST South Alabama and its 33% ATS record (9-18) vs. Ark-Little Rock

Other plays: Charleston and Gonzaga straight-up in NCAA and New Orleans, Detroit and Houston in NBA

Seven plays total. Good luck to you all tonight!

[Slate]

Monday 03/09

Play on

Niagra.............22-11........66%.........lose
vs
Siena


Play against

S. Ala..............9-18..........33%.........win
vs
Ark LR

0-2


I love Charleston. Good luck all

[Slate]

Tues March 10

Play on

Weber st..........20-7.......74 %.......lose
vs
Montana st

Play against

G town...........8-16........33%........lose
vs
St Johns

Toledo............10-20.... 33%........win
vs
Akron

West Mich........9-20......31%........lose
vs
Ohio U

2-2

[Smails Kid]

Tuesday's Games:

PLAY ON
Weber State ... awesome /// 12 in a row SU and 10 straight ATS ... plays Montana St.
Also,
Seton Hall ... pretty good at 64% ATS /// covered 12 of the 16 ... plays SFlorida

PLAY AGAINST
Georgetown ... putrid /// has a streak of missing the spread in 11 of last 13 ... plays St. John's
Toledo ... on the upswing /// has covered 4 of last 6 games ... plays Akron

Also,
DePaul ... are the Demons chicken salad? /// just 8-18 ATS but have covered 4 of the last 5 ... plays Cincinnati ///
Western Michigan ... horrid /// 8-18 ATS and have missed covering in 11 of last 12 ... plays Ohio U ///
Notre Dame ... underachievers /// 9-16 ATS but have covered 3 of last 5 ... plays Rutgers ///

Slate's plays are good to go as usual, and I like Weber State and St. John's, plus Western Michigan and Seton Hall for today.

Good luck everyone!

[Slate]

I love Weber st, also Seton Hall, Going with St Johns, and Akron

Depaul already won, going big with Ohio U, going to stay away from ND and Rutgers, both are to inconsistent

Took Cleve st big

[Smails Kid]

And boom goes Georgetown, again ... nice call on the anti-ATS chart, Slate, and a good win for us today.

1-0 is a good way to start a Tuesday.