LKid1's 2013-2014 NCAA Hoops Thread

[Louisvillekid1]

Glad decided to pull trigger on Ill-Chi/Sd 1h u @ 63, its 61.5 now...

[rolltideroll0]

u guys moved the line down to 61.5

[dmac2132]

like the cal pick... im going with SD-4 1st half and MORG -1.5 1st half as well... like the under in the SD game but my book is slacking LETS ALL MAKE MONEY TODAY

[Louisvillekid1]

5D dropped the 1h total on Morgan St literraly last minute... Was leaning over, lol books scared of ncaa totals

[dmac2132]

my book has cal at -5...I am going take cal but I cant decide to buy a pt at -130 or just take them at -5... what do you think?

[BIGDAY]

Minny/Cuse line is puzzling to me.

Wanted to hit Gophers thinking they'd be +6-8. Wtf.

[Louisvillekid1]

my book has cal at -5...I am going take cal but I cant decide to buy a pt at -130 or just take them at -5... what do you think?

I rarely ever buy a full point, just bought the hook because I hit it 2x so should wanted that extra security. I think Arky hangs tough for the first half and Cal pulls away in the second to win by 8-10.

That's gotta be your call.

I think Vandy might be in a position to be upset this afternoon. The line has shifted from 4-6 so I'm not sure if I should pull the trigger quite yet. Can't imagine it going up any higher.

LMU should have an edge on the glass and a huge edge at the Free Throw line. Vandy can't make a foul shot. Sr Guard Anthony Ireland can single handily keep his squad in this one to the end. He has been red hot averaging 25 in St Thomas up to this point.

Just seems like a good spot in the 4th place game on the Island for LMU to play really strong against a big name opponent who is very young

[Louisvillekid1]

Minny/Cuse line is puzzling to me.

Wanted to hit Gophers thinking they'd be +6-8. Wtf.

I lean toward Minny as well , Lil ricky

[Louisvillekid1]

11/25/13 5:00pm College Basketball 737 Loyola Marymount +6 -110* vs Vanderbilt 1x

[Louisvillekid1]

Loser on ILL-CHI/SD 1h u Loser by a point surprised the Toreros gave up 33 in the first to lowly Ill-Chi

Anyway moving on

[dmac2132]

SD-5.5 2nd half I likey

[Louisvillekid1]

11/25/13 5:30pm Reduced Basketball 745 Minnesota U +3 -101* vs Syracuse 2x

Richard Pitino has learned from the 2 of the best zone Offensive minds in Billy Donavan and Rick Pitino. Minnesota is the better team in this matchup and the +3 seems like an must 2x play.

Richard gonna apply the press and lets see how the freshman PG handles it.

[Louisvillekid1]

11/25/13 7:30pm Reduced Basketball 740 La Salle -2½ -105* vs Northern Iowa 1x

[jessetk313]

How is Illinois Chicago staying in this game haha. I like the Minnesota play Lkid.

[Louisvillekid1]

How is Illinois Chicago staying in this game haha. I like the Minnesota play Lkid.

of course neither team can find the bottom of the net now

[jessetk313]

Yea I know its unreal!

[Ronald S.]

LKid, you like the Minnesota ML?

[Louisvillekid1]

11/25/13 5:00pm College Basketball 752 Norfolk State -13 -110* vs Fairleigh Dickinson 1x

[Louisvillekid1]

LKid, you like the Minnesota ML?

Yeah i they win but taking the 3 (shoulda waited for the 3.5 but didn't think it was going to go back up after the re-drop)

[Louisvillekid1]

Cal takes care of the ball and should get several second chance opportunities on the offensive glass. Arky is much better from the line and the deeper team. Think it comes down to how well the Razorbacks shoot the 3 ball. Cal is untested up to this point and the first time outside of their gym, but big advantage on the inside.

Arky wants to run and gun and Cal wants to grind you down low and play solid defense while taking care of the rock.

Montgomery gets a week to prep for the press (which could always put cal at the line early) and they already take pretty good care of the ball.

I question Arky's leadership early in the season and they are something awful like 2-22 on the road/neutral games under Anderson.

11/25/13 3:00pm College Basketball 744 California -4 -120* vs Arkansas 2x

Cash it

2-1 + 1.9 so far

PENDING:

11/25/13 5:00pm College Basketball 737 Loyola Marymount +6 -110* vs Vanderbilt 1x
11/25/13 5:30pm Reduced Basketball 745 Minnesota U +3 -101* vs Syracuse 2x
11/25/13 7:30pm Reduced Basketball 740 La Salle -2½ -105* vs Northern Iowa 1x
11/25/13 5:00pm College Basketball 752 Norfolk State -13 -110* vs Fairleigh Dickinson 1x

More to come

[firedawg]

gl pal

[Louisvillekid1]

11/25/13 8:30pm Reduced Basketball 733 St. Bonaventure -5 -105* vs Southern Illinois 1x
11/25/13 7:30pm Reduced Basketball 763 Pittsburgh -11 -108* vs Texas Tech 1x

[Louisvillekid1]

Marymount & Norfolk blow the covers late

2-3 -0.15

[Koldazzice]

my book has cal at -5...I am going take cal but I cant decide to buy a pt at -130 or just take them at -5... what do you think?

Buying points in any Sport is the kiss of death. I'm a math guy and its not hard to figure out what % you would need to win money at laying -120-130. The odds of that half point or full point making a difference will not make up for the losses thus the reason they are willing to sell it to you.

NEVER EVER buy any points in hoops its just bad ROI, If you don't like the number don't bet it.

there is a rare occasion to buy a half to +3 in football but if you look over past history of just playing the 2.5 dog and ML you will make money.

Buying points is bad - shop for the best line - if that line doesn't give you EV then don't bet it.

just my opinion but I have been at this a long time and had many losing hard knock seasons to learn from those type of mistakes.

on a brighter note good to see you back at it LK keep firing! The cream will rise to the top!

[Louisvillekid1]

Minnesota another tough loss, 4 losses by a combined 5 possessions.

They don't even get a shot up on 4 str8 possession down the stretch and then a bullshit flagrant foul call.

Moving on

[alamo]

Only a matter of time before the ship is steadied bud.

[BIGDAY]

Minny couldn't get the right calls.
Walker was also missed.

We'll get the next one.

[Regul8er]

Tough ones LKid.........the worst would have been Marymount. I was watching and they were up 3, with about 4 mins to go. Vandy proceeded to go on like a 13-2 run, and couldnt miss a free throw. I remember vs Butler last week, Vandy couldnt make a free throw which costed Vandy backers by half a point.

[Louisvillekid1]

Yeah after the score this past weekend I'm going to take some shots and just try and profit each day.

Lost 1.35 units yesterday... Was the most confident picks I had all year. Not gun shy at all now.

My unit size is now doubled since a few day ago so my record keeping is all fukked up.

I'm gonna study the card now and try and find some early action.

[Regul8er]

Thinking 10.5 is too many points for Bowling Green to be favorite by. I mean, they lost at home to a bad South Florida team by 14.

I'm not saying Presbyterian is any good......but double digits is a lot for BGSU.

[Louisvillekid1]

Thinking 10.5 is too many points for Bowling Green to be favorite by. I mean, they lost at home to a bad South Florida team by 14.

I'm not saying Presbyterian is any good......but double digits is a lot for BGSU.

Yeah hard to find something to really like in the first 2 early games

Rolling w/ 11/26/13 12:00pm College Basketball 529 NC Greensboro/San Diego U 1st Half Under 69 -110* 1x

[t-wizzle]

Yeah after the score this past weekend I'm going to take some shots and just try and profit each day.

Lost 1.35 units yesterday... Was the most confident picks I had all year. Not gun shy at all now.

My unit size is now doubled since a few day ago so my record keeping is all fukked up.

I'm gonna study the card now and try and find some early action.

Uhh what?

[Louisvillekid1]

Minny -4 -120 2x

[Louisvillekid1]

Uhh what?

My roll is much bigger now so I'm betting much more per game

[Matty Mo]

I am all chalk today Kid... rolling with Minny, Cuse, Wisco and Texas to all cover. What do you think? They all are lower spreads vs teams I think they shouldn't have much trouble with