Looking ahead to Saturday

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  • Frisco
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-27-12
    • 6138

    #1
    Looking ahead to Saturday
    Don't really care for any of the games the next 2 days. What do you guys think the line will be when Minny goes to USC? -5.5? If NM is -8.5 at home against them I wouldn't think it would be higher than that #. Also can't wait to see the lines in these games: Temple/Duke, Illini/Zags, Utah/BYU, Valpo/NM, San Fran/Pacific. Get a battle of the most overrated when UCLA plays Texas! If only it could be a most overrated tourney then we could throw in Kentucky and USC.
  • MrVJP
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-28-12
    • 301

    #2
    USC-Minn projected -8.5.
    Temple-Duke -9
    Ill-Gonz -7.5
    Utah-BYU -10
    Val-NM -11.5
    USF-Pac +3.5
    UCLA-UT -5

    Odd numbers for some of these but that's what the cpu spits out when projecting on 12/5, clearly will change somewhat since some played on 12/5 and some will play 12/6 but should be around there
    Comment
    • HOT WINGS
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-29-10
      • 8055

      #3
      Loyola MD on Saturday should be a good play. Fading St. Peters after a huge win against Iona for them and Loyola losing to Niagara at home. Probably around -4.5 I am guessing. What's comp say on that one MrVJP?
      Comment
      • MrVJP
        SBR Sharp
        • 10-28-12
        • 301

        #4
        New numbers after yesterday's stuff were put in..
        USC-Minn now at -9
        Temple-Duke -7.5
        Ill-Gonz -9.. I don't understand how this gap widened.
        Utah-BYU -7
        Val-NM -10.5
        USF-Pac +3.5 same
        UCLA-UT -5 same

        Hot Wings, oddly enough, STPT-LMAR is showing -7.5

        The comps don't take into effect mindsets, emotions, traveling distance, extra events- just pure numbers. The guys who make the lines do take these into account but they don't usually deviate THAT much from it. However, FLA-FSU was spitting out -11.5 and some genius decided to make it -4. Charlotte-Davidson was +3 but they made it +9.
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        • isotopes
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-04-08
          • 654

          #5
          if Minnesota opens at -5.5 pound the hell out of it, that is a gift like the FL spread was yesterday. The books have to be sick of getting pounded by USC. I will guess it will be at least -7.5 to -8 which is still a good play.
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          • uncynd
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-14-11
            • 798

            #6
            I'm hoping to see -2 on Loyola, nice thread
            Comment
            • THoll702
              SBR High Roller
              • 02-21-10
              • 180

              #7
              I think the Illinois/Gonzaga will be around: Gonzaga -4 to -5 @ Spokane,Wa. Not alot going on today and tommorrow.GL Frisco.
              Comment
              • HOT WINGS
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-29-10
                • 8055

                #8
                Originally posted by uncynd
                I'm hoping to see -2 on Loyola, nice thread
                You and me both. Don't think it wail be that lo ow though
                Comment
                • HOT WINGS
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-29-10
                  • 8055

                  #9
                  Originally posted by MrVJP
                  New numbers after yesterday's stuff were put in..
                  USC-Minn now at -9
                  Temple-Duke -7.5
                  Ill-Gonz -9.. I don't understand how this gap widened.
                  Utah-BYU -7
                  Val-NM -10.5
                  USF-Pac +3.5 same
                  UCLA-UT -5 same

                  Hot Wings, oddly enough, STPT-LMAR is showing -7.5

                  The comps don't take into effect mindsets, emotions, traveling distance, extra events- just pure numbers. The guys who make the lines do take these into account but they don't usually deviate THAT much from it. However, FLA-FSU was spitting out -11.5 and some genius decided to make it -4. Charlotte-Davidson was +3 but they made it +9.
                  Thanks pal don't see how that zags line is that big.
                  Comment
                  • casinobones
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 01-15-12
                    • 233

                    #10
                    Originally posted by THoll702
                    I think the Illinois/Gonzaga will be around: Gonzaga -4 to -5 @ Spokane,Wa. Not alot going on today and tommorrow.GL Frisco.

                    You better pound the hell out of Illinois too,if gonz is fav by 4 0r 5,Hell they barely bet Wash St last night,Not impressed with them.Illini defense and hustle,and outside shooting will win this one!IMHO
                    Comment
                    • MrVJP
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-28-12
                      • 301

                      #11
                      Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                      Thanks pal don't see how that zags line is that big.
                      Same, in terms of power ratings, Ill is #19 and Gonzaga is #13 so 9 points is too large for my tastes. By calculations, it seems its largely due to Gonzaga home win margin over Ill true road win margin (1pt over Hawaii) and strength of schedule. Still think the peeps who set the lines will approach it like the Michigan-NCState game where the cpu's sent out a large number around -11 and I think they set it to -7.5 Mich.
                      Comment
                      • MrVJP
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-28-12
                        • 301

                        #12
                        USC-Minn now at -9... Actual Open: -7 (closer to original -8.5)
                        Temple-Duke -7.5... Actual Open: -8
                        Ill-Gonz -9... Actual Open: -11.5 (Even further..)
                        Utah-BYU -7... Actual Open: -12 (closer to original -10)
                        Val-NM -10.5... Actual Open: -10
                        USF-Pac +3.5... Actual Open: -2.5 (Guess home court built this line)
                        UCLA-UT -5... Actual Open: +5.5 What the hell?
                        STPT-LMAR -7.5... Actual Open: -6
                        Comment
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