Gwills 12-13 college hoops

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  • jinxpro13
    SBR MVP
    • 01-31-12
    • 1434

    #351
    we look at anything for wednesday?
    Comment
    • tarrasch117
      SBR Rookie
      • 02-29-12
      • 15

      #352
      Originally posted by gwills
      Thanks. Is "don't forget to breathe" a reference to Andy McKee?
      No but I'll have to look him up. On 'Dog Whisperer', it's Cesar Millan's way of telling anxious dog owners to calm down.
      Comment
      • gwills
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-22-11
        • 948

        #353
        Plays for tomorrow:

        Boise State -4.5
        Florida -4.5

        These look like square plays, but I just like 'em too much. Thats it for tomorrow boys, I always seem to lose those picks that I make later on, so I'm gonna try and stick with what works.
        Comment
        • pimpinaces
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-25-10
          • 739

          #354
          Can you explain flordiA here?? I'm square and don't know much about collage hoops but this line looks about 4pts off?
          Comment
          • gwills
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-22-11
            • 948

            #355
            Sure, Florida is an elite-level team so far this year in my opinion, and I think FSU came into this season over-hyped. They clearly are having their struggles as they just lost to Mercer. That is hard to bounce back from and not get down on yourself. This team never would have come into this season thinking they'd lose to South Alabama and Mercer at home, plus get beaten fairly-soundly by Minnesota (who is good, very good btw). I think their spirits are low and the energy around the program is not very high right now. Personally I think they are really missing James down low this year, and that white guy that could shoot the lights out last year (can't remember his name, Dulkys?). That took a lot of pressure off of Snaer. FSU plays good defense but that rarely seems to matter against Florida. Wisconsin is BUILT on defense and Florida put 74 on them and won by 18. They are rolling, Scottie Wilbiken is back, and they have a great inside game which they haven't had in a while (with Young, and then Murphy has been a surprise). I think you're right and this spread should be more like 7.5. Doesn't matter that its on the road in my opinion. Elite level teams don't notice it, Florida is one of those this year by my standards.
            Comment
            • gwills
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-22-11
              • 948

              #356
              Boise State is a team that I may ride a lot this year in some good spots. They are definitely going to make the tournament and surprise some people. Sure, people will call this a square pick on the 3rd leg of consecutive road games, but I honestly don't care. I will lay the points with a hot team. I'd be shocked if these guys aren't in the top-25 soon. Utah is just, blah. Beating other blah teams (who have only beaten blah teams) at home means nothing. They might lose by 15-20. Too many options for Boise.
              Comment
              • Catchn_Picks
                SBR MVP
                • 09-02-11
                • 2984

                #357
                Finally a last minute meaningless basket goes in our favor!!

                gl
                Comment
                • ZachShalack420
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-30-12
                  • 730

                  #358
                  Gwills, you may be the best asset on the entire SBR forum!!! Thanks for making me BANK AGAIN on my B-day!!

                  Also, threw 3units on each of the 4 plays, and 3units on Thunder Over that hit!
                  Pretty sweet start to my B-day! 25 year old today



                  Edit: OBV. fading both games with ya tonight, lets make some more bank!!
                  Comment
                  • bald_guy
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-02-12
                    • 990

                    #359
                    Originally posted by gwills
                    Boise State -4.5
                    Florida -4.5
                    These lines are really moving. Which Is a good sign others also seen a lot of value here. Sadly, I can't even bet on them yet, and when they finally do open up there lines, the value will be gone. I'll prob just do 50-60% of a unit on each with a teaser.

                    I long for the day when I save up enough to be able to be a 5 dimes customer. Late lines suck (Bovada) when a hot tip comes out.

                    Update: Bovada finally opened up there lines and both are at -6. So went with a 2 game teaser (2 units) with -1 on both games.

                    So will be all or nothing for me tonight. Good luck everyone. Hope we all get to cash.

                    Comment
                    • gwills
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-22-11
                      • 948

                      #360
                      Originally posted by bald_guy
                      These lines are really moving. Which Is a good sign others also seen a lot of value here. Sadly, I can't even bet on them yet, and when they finally do open up there lines, the value will be gone. I'll prob just do 50-60% of a unit on each with a teaser.

                      I long for the day when I save up enough to be able to be a 5 dimes customer. Late lines suck (Bovada) when a hot tip comes out.

                      Update: Bovada finally opened up there lines and both are at -6. So went with a 2 game teaser (2 units) with -1 on both games.

                      So will be all or nothing for me tonight. Good luck everyone. Hope we all get to cash.

                      Yeah, thats tough. I like that teaser though.
                      Comment
                      • bald_guy
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-02-12
                        • 990

                        #361
                        RAS picked 2 losers last night. I wouldn't be surprised if they trailed you tonight, and thus the big line movements. I'll check tomorrow to see.
                        Comment
                        • gwills
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-22-11
                          • 948

                          #362
                          Adding in: Toledo +11.5
                          Comment
                          • Catchn_Picks
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-02-11
                            • 2984

                            #363
                            got em and ready to rock!
                            Comment
                            • gwills
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-22-11
                              • 948

                              #364
                              Guys so far today we have:

                              Toledo +11.5
                              Boise -4.5
                              Florida -4.5


                              There is one more late game I have had my eye on all day and it keeps moving in my favor. Its a late game, so stay tuned...
                              Comment
                              • gwills
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-22-11
                                • 948

                                #365
                                Looking good so far tonight guys. I am adding in this play:

                                New Mexico -7 (-120)

                                Again, I don't care if it looks square. My picking system has worked so far this year and I see a huge value here. This bet passes the eye-test with EASE. People are all over USC, but I have seen them play many times and I don't see a good team. They are okay defensively, but that will not matter on the road (in one of the toughest venues in not only the nation, but in college basketball history). UNM scores with ease at home, and the crowd is HUGE. I promise you, USC will get rattled. UNM will win by double digits. They always shoot well at home. Plus they play good D. Steve Alford is a great (not good, great) coach. I'm buying the hook here to -7 and I love it.
                                Comment
                                • bald_guy
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-02-12
                                  • 990

                                  #366
                                  All is going as planned cept that BSU game. Hopefully they are just a very slow starter?
                                  Comment
                                  • gwills
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-22-11
                                    • 948

                                    #367
                                    Originally posted by bald_guy
                                    All is going as planned cept that BSU game. Hopefully they are just a very slow starter?
                                    Yeah, looks like they're laying an egg...
                                    Comment
                                    • bald_guy
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-02-12
                                      • 990

                                      #368
                                      Originally posted by gwills
                                      Yeah, looks like they're laying an egg...
                                      I only need them to win by 1 point. Hopefully they will get serious and get it together.
                                      Comment
                                      • tysingleton34
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 09-16-11
                                        • 11

                                        #369
                                        Florida is good this year. REAL good
                                        Comment
                                        • wizcodlifa
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-10-12
                                          • 921

                                          #370
                                          followed ya today gwills. Boise was a solid pick, dont no what the hell is goin on wit them
                                          Comment
                                          • ZachShalack420
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-30-12
                                            • 730

                                            #371
                                            DAMMIT!! Can't believe I didn't check your thread again b4 work(or on my phone...) and faded your 2nd plays... retarded mistake by me, pulling for the Zags -11 to break my 1-1 day..
                                            Comment
                                            • bald_guy
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-02-12
                                              • 990

                                              #372
                                              Originally posted by gwills
                                              Boise State is a team that I may ride a lot this year in some good spots.
                                              You might want to re-evaluate this. They sure didn't look like they wanted a win very bad tonight to say the least.
                                              Comment
                                              • jinxpro13
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-31-12
                                                • 1434

                                                #373
                                                nice night again gwills! thanks.
                                                ready for more
                                                Comment
                                                • gwills
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-22-11
                                                  • 948

                                                  #374
                                                  Boise State -4.5
                                                  Florida -4.5
                                                  New Mexico -7
                                                  Toledo +11.5

                                                  3-1, 48-25-1 for the season.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pimpinaces
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 08-25-10
                                                    • 739

                                                    #375
                                                    Good shit man...I'm not an expert by any means. Figure I'd just run my plays through you from now on. Really like Neb and home tomorrow getting 8. Leaning towards cinncy but points might be to much
                                                    Comment
                                                    • wizcodlifa
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-10-12
                                                      • 921

                                                      #376
                                                      by the way gwills i learned to never play black jack on 5dimes... its a scam
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hkarmy_kenny
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-25-12
                                                        • 248

                                                        #377
                                                        Originally posted by gwills
                                                        Boise State -4.5
                                                        Florida -4.5
                                                        New Mexico -7
                                                        Toledo +11.5

                                                        3-1, 48-25-1 for the season.
                                                        Great plays gwills. I had Boise today too - I think after their creighton win last week they decided to get high for the next 7 days. Boise gets an A for effort
                                                        Comment
                                                        • gwills
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-22-11
                                                          • 948

                                                          #378
                                                          People have commented about missing my picks, for instance if I add one on the late card after the primary picks have been made. If you want a fix for this, PM me your phone number, we can exchange, and you can text me for any additional ones if you can't check the forum.

                                                          Thursday picks coming shortly...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gwills
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 10-22-11
                                                            • 948

                                                            #379
                                                            My only play for Thursday is Nebraska +8

                                                            I like what I've seen so far from Nebraska this year under their new coach. They will always play solid defense, and being at home (coupled with that D) will help them slow down Creighton. The key for them will be to dictate the pace and keep Creighton out of easy transition buckets. One main reason I like this is because Nebraska shut down Valpo at home, holding them to 48 points. Scott Drew runs a very similar style to Creighton. Lots of outlet passes, drive and kick for 3's in transition. A lot of screens and back cuts in half court sets. Nebraska slowed them down considerably. At home, with what is SURE to be a good crowd, I like them to do the same. Nebraska will have to capitalize on offense, but I have really liked what I've seen from Gallegos, Talley, Ubel, etc...these guys have some options and are not the team you've seen over the last couple of years that can't score.

                                                            I'm also putting .25 Units on Nebraska ML. I'm not counting it as a play to my record but thought it might be relevant if someone wanted to tail.

                                                            - GWills
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ZachShalack420
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-30-12
                                                              • 730

                                                              #380
                                                              IN, thanks again Gwill!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Catchn_Picks
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-02-11
                                                                • 2984

                                                                #381
                                                                great season...you have become a go to capper for me gwills...ty for sharing..gl to NEB
                                                                Comment
                                                                • bald_guy
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-02-12
                                                                  • 990

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Just signed up to 5 dimes and found something very shocking. Making my account and logging in, it didn't put the browser in secured mode. Https. Also the mobile version is a joke.

                                                                  Debated to say anything here, as its not a book talking thread, but did want to warn people who use 5 dimes to be carefull where they do there betting and such. As a computer geek, security is important when dealing with that type of information. (least to me).

                                                                  Bovada goes into secure mode as soon as you log in. I would have thought all of them would do this?

                                                                  Anyway, will deal with the late lines for now. Just wanted to warn 5 dimes users here to be careful. Thanks.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • hkarmy_kenny
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-25-12
                                                                    • 248

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Originally posted by gwills
                                                                    My only play for Thursday is Nebraska +8

                                                                    I like what I've seen so far from Nebraska this year under their new coach. They will always play solid defense, and being at home (coupled with that D) will help them slow down Creighton. The key for them will be to dictate the pace and keep Creighton out of easy transition buckets. One main reason I like this is because Nebraska shut down Valpo at home, holding them to 48 points. Scott Drew runs a very similar style to Creighton. Lots of outlet passes, drive and kick for 3's in transition. A lot of screens and back cuts in half court sets. Nebraska slowed them down considerably. At home, with what is SURE to be a good crowd, I like them to do the same. Nebraska will have to capitalize on offense, but I have really liked what I've seen from Gallegos, Talley, Ubel, etc...these guys have some options and are not the team you've seen over the last couple of years that can't score.

                                                                    I'm also putting .25 Units on Nebraska ML. I'm not counting it as a play to my record but thought it might be relevant if someone wanted to tail.

                                                                    - GWills

                                                                    Creighton would still score 70+ on Valpo. I just got Creighton -7 here. BOL G Wills!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • gwills
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-22-11
                                                                      • 948

                                                                      #384
                                                                      Originally posted by hkarmy_kenny
                                                                      Creighton would still score 70+ on Valpo. I just got Creighton -7 here. BOL G Wills!
                                                                      Wasn't saying Creighton wouldn't beat Valpo. I was saying Creighton is a lot like Valpo in playing style and Nebraska shut down Valpo.

                                                                      GL
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ZachShalack420
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-30-12
                                                                        • 730

                                                                        #385
                                                                        At work so can't watch the game, whys the score so low?? is it good D or is everyone brickin?
                                                                        Comment
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