LTA's NBA Plays

[Squirrel Kokomo]

There are?

yes, my paid site has 56%

[No coincidences]

yes, my paid site has 56%

ML or spread?

[shimeon40]

i personally think that bookies want u to think all the money on okc..when in fact they wont let you on okc..juicing to suck as much money out of public on spurs..line and money line at what the public see as great value..because they know its okc/refs vs spurs..infact im now sure okc will win and cover....famous last words...

[shimeon40]

bookie logic..the trick is working out what they are up to i guess.

[SoxSide Irish]

I think you will be able to catch spurs at around +7 at some point. OKC will have a big run at some point and that will be the time to hop on SA.

[Catchn_Picks]

NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs 5/31/2012

Play #1

Spurs (+5)(-120) 1x (Locked)

Bottom line is that I think giving the Spurs 5 points, even at -120, is just too much value to pass up right now on such a complete team. Yes, I know paying -120 long term is not profitable and yes I know the books seem to be begging for spurs money and yes i know that sharp money appears to like OKC in this spot. However, while I do expect the thunder to win, I just don't see them covering the 5 points. At most, the spurs should be +3 and probably closer to +2 so I'm going to take the 5 points with full knowledge of traps and the implied meaning of this game's line movement. To me, OKC is just too sloppy with their turnovers and not deep enough to blow this spurs team out. I am rolling with the Spurs for 1x. Good luck.

Sharp money or not LTA, OKC has now reached new levels of playoff intensity where you must make your shots. Down 2-0, even at home, can be a real burden. I had already played SA before your pick and splashed a small ML play on SA as well. They have the best playoff coach in the league, imo and are a true team in every sense of the word.

SA can play and win on the road. Extra points is just a bonus I believe. If OKC explodes then it is just a loss. But remember, SA knows playoff strategy. They win this series and probably the title with a win tonight. One game for it all. If you were a player on SA, would you play your heart out tonight or let OKC gain momentum with a win?

You will get the best effort from SA tonight, imo. Great pick LTA...let's roll.

BOL all.

[Love The Action]

There are?

http://pregame.com/sportsbook_spy/default.aspx

http://www.scoresandodds.com/casinogrid.html

And those are just free sites....I know Sports Insights shows more wagers on OKC and I am told both Don Best and Sports Options as well.

Not sure what you are looking at. Do you see otherwise?

[Love The Action]

over 206 / under 206 LTA?

Pretty accurate number. No value either way.

[Love The Action]

I think you will be able to catch spurs at around +7 at some point. OKC will have a big run at some point and that will be the time to hop on SA.

I am told that I will have access to live betting soon, but as of right now neither of my locals provide live line options.

[shimeon40]

It's a discussion thread LTA and i'm only discussing ..but do u think its possible bookies are feeding Bullshit information to these where the money is going sites from time to time..

[Tofudog]

Pretty accurate number. No value either way.

Yeah I agree with you LTA. I think it will be close. But.. Im 5/5 (1 halftime bet) for o/u this round, so I grabbed the under when it went up to 206.5 for a few minutes.

What do you think about celtics/heat going over 179? Its now at 180.5

[shimeon40]

i really have the conspiracy theorys happening today..refs on okc side..bookies feeding bs info to where money is going..did we really land on the moon

[Love The Action]

Sharp money or not LTA, OKC has now reached new levels of playoff intensity where you must make your shots. Down 2-0, even at home, can be a real burden. I had already played SA before your pick and splashed a small ML play on SA as well. They have the best playoff coach in the league, imo and are a true team in every sense of the word.

SA can play and win on the road. Extra points is just a bonus I believe. If OKC explodes then it is just a loss. But remember, SA knows playoff strategy. They win this series and probably the title with a win tonight. One game for it all. If you were a player on SA, would you play your heart out tonight or let OKC gain momentum with a win?

You will get the best effort from SA tonight, imo. Great pick LTA...let's roll.

BOL all.

Good luck buddy!

[Love The Action]

It's a discussion thread LTA and i'm only discussing ..but do u think its possible bookies are feeding Bullshit information to these where the money is going sites from time to time..

I think the books move the line in reaction to where the money goes. Now, in certain cases books will take positions on games and increase their risk on a certain side, however, I'm not sure they are "baiting" anyone in this case.

[shimeon40]

Thats the word im after.."baiting".

[shimeon40]

This is ridiculous..okc into 1.43 and san antonio +3.5 $2...if u going to back san antonio may as well "just let it ride"...fukk i may go san antonio now cause i cant make much out of okc.

[shimeon40]

It's a shoot out between the best cappers on sbr forum..LTA/Dad vs Betting Wizard.

[shimeon40]

[shimeon40]

OK..decision final..i'm going with LTA/Dad....bye bye.

[meader99]

Gonna roll with an OKC first quarter believing they come out guns blazing. GL to everyone.

[Love The Action]

Gonna roll with an OKC first quarter believing they come out guns blazing. GL to everyone.

I agree. What's the number? I don't wager on quarters.

[SlickRick1382]

I got on OKC last night. Even got them at -170ML (suckers bet but preferred it over the points)

Almost tempted to arb seeing that I can get +200 on the Spurs atm. Thoughts?

[SlickRick1382]

I agree. What's the number? I don't wager on quarters.

Thunder -2 1Q and Thunder -3 1H

Already on both ...

[meader99]

i agree. What's the number? I don't wager on quarters.

okc -1.5.

[dlunc3]

I got on OKC last night. Even got them at -170ML (suckers bet but preferred it over the points)

Almost tempted to arb seeing that I can get +200 on the Spurs atm. Thoughts?

what is your reasoning behind laying that kind of juice vs a team that has won like 20 straight by an average of 10+ points per game?

[SlickRick1382]

Reasoning that I expect Thunder to win the game but wasn't sure I wanted to lay the points. Had I know what I know now I would of bought the half point and played it at +3.

Regardless, are you saying that the Spurs aren't beatable? Thunder lead Game 1 until the 4th and despite being down 22 pts in Game 2 they made a run and made the game close. I

I'll stick to my guns and think OKC pulls this out. They may lose the series but I'm confident they win Game 3

[Love The Action]

Gonna roll with an OKC first quarter believing they come out guns blazing. GL to everyone.

Flagrant 1 on Sefolosha with 7 secs left. There goes your 1q bet. Sorry dude.

[SlickRick1382]

If Durant keeps on chucking up these horrible shots and not giving up the ball looks like I'll be in for a rough night

[Redscot]

Got Spurs + 7 1/2 like I wanted, but internet spun and spun, didn't get it in

[Love The Action]

Got Spurs + 7 1/2 like I wanted, but internet spun and spun, didn't get it in

That sucks....

[SlickRick1382]

If Durant keeps on chucking up these horrible shots and not giving up the ball looks like I'll be in for a rough night

Sorry bud... Got myself some money on Spurs +7.5 too from 5 Dimes. Also took U206 before game and O197.5 during that same break that had Spurs line ....

[Redscot]

That sucks....

Living in the "3rd world" has its positives, but sometimes it comes back to bite ya in the ass! On another note, this live betting is really something. I was a couple of S.A. buckets away from getting OKC at + $. Schizo baby, but tons of value imo if you do your homework and have a good feel for ebb and flow of NBA.

[dlunc3]

Reasoning that I expect Thunder to win the game but wasn't sure I wanted to lay the points. Had I know what I know now I would of bought the half point and played it at +3.

Regardless, are you saying that the Spurs aren't beatable? Thunder lead Game 1 until the 4th and despite being down 22 pts in Game 2 they made a run and made the game close. I

I'll stick to my guns and think OKC pulls this out. They may lose the series but I'm confident they win Game 3

No, they are def beatable.. and okc could def do it tonight.. but until I see a team even threaten this spurs team, i would be hesitant betting against them, esp at that price. BOL though, I hope you hit it

[meader99]

Flagrant 1 on Sefolosha with 7 secs left. There goes your 1q bet. Sorry dude.

Yep, now they just need to make it up to me and cover the 1st half number......Please???

[SlickRick1382]

No, they are def beatable.. and okc could def do it tonight.. but until I see a team even threaten this spurs team, i would be hesitant betting against them, esp at that price. BOL though, I hope you hit it

Had a chance to Arb when Spurs ML was over 190+ but decided to let it ride. Don't pay juice in basketball but just going on gut and letting it ride. Also had some on Harden point prop like I did Game 2 except they moved the line 2 points.

Just wish Durant would stop forcing shots.