LTA's NBA Plays
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ANGRYBLACKSBR MVP
- 03-16-10
- 1148
#11411Comment -
1Time!SBR Wise Guy
- 12-24-08
- 588
#11412They are associated with Paddy Power who opened at 200 so they did too.. They traded at 200 & then again at 197 & 194 before dropping to 178.5.
They just called again to sincerely apologise & explain that they got the wrong info or something & then once they were corrected they had to start again. I assume all the good will is because they traded at those numbers for up to 12 hours & then it was another 12 hours before canceling - obviously whilst they figured a bail out game plan.. You could make a case for why they opened at 200 as, apart from the final game, the 2 teams averaged 202.5 production & Boston seem to push the offense on the road.
At the end of the day I'm on for 3x at o178.5 & 3 free betsComment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#11413They are associated with Paddy Power who opened at 200 so they did too.. They traded at 200 & then again at 197 & 194 before dropping to 178.5.
They just called again to sincerely apologise & explain that they got the wrong info or something & then once they were corrected they had to start again. I assume all the good will is because they traded at those numbers for up to 12 hours & then it was another 12 hours before canceling - obviously whilst they figured a bail out game plan.. You could make a case for why they opened at 200 as, apart from the final game, the 2 teams averaged 202.5 production & Boston seem to push the offense on the road.
At the end of the day I'm on for 3x at o178.5 & 3 free bets. As others have pointed out, some books would have red flagged you for attempting to take advantage of an obvious bad line ( I am not condemning you here). Let it go bro, they have done more than most books would to try and put it right.
P.S. I hope you hit big and take them for what they're worth thoughComment -
1Time!SBR Wise Guy
- 12-24-08
- 588
#11414Lol I meant they had a chance to "correct" themselves 3 times if they were getting smashed..
I let it go & am content - others want to take them further haha!
Now if i can hit the over for 3x & then use the freebies on some longshots ponies then I'll be the cat that got the cream! Haha!
What's everyone liking tonight?Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#11415Lol I meant they had a chance to "correct" themselves 3 times if they were getting smashed..
I let it go & am content - others want to take them further haha!
Now if i can hit the over for 3x & then use the freebies on some longshots ponies then I'll be the cat that got the cream! Haha!
What's everyone liking tonight?. Dunno myself. Kinda like the first round in a boxing match, some feel out here. Waiting to see if LTA has any leans......lately have been doing well going into the games with a game plan and hitting the live lines if something presents itself.
Comment -
1Time!SBR Wise Guy
- 12-24-08
- 588
#11416I believe LTA had an early lean to the over when the "200" line was brought up but he had missed the opening lineComment -
meader99SBR MVP
- 10-30-10
- 4223
#11417I believe LTA said a 200 o/u would be worth about 10 units on the under. I also believe he was "leaning" over for game 1 in the 179 range, however I will wait for confirmation.Comment -
1Time!SBR Wise Guy
- 12-24-08
- 588
#11418Thats what I meant.. Sorry guys, trying to discreetly use the iPhone to post & work at same time!Comment -
RedscotSBR MVP
- 05-16-11
- 2571
#11419I know Barbie doll is hurting (don't see why that should effect his FT's though), but if he doesn't show up in some shape or form, this is gonna be a brief series. That goes for Peirce too.Comment -
jj108SBR Rookie
- 05-18-12
- 14
#11420what up LTAComment -
Pick'nParlaysSBR MVP
- 02-22-08
- 3134
#11421come on LTA lets see it
Spurs/Thunder over 201.5Comment -
bleedtoledoSBR Wise Guy
- 08-29-10
- 513
#11422This one stays under. Again.Comment -
SlickRick1382SBR MVP
- 10-15-11
- 3838
#11423I actually liked the over initially in this game but seems like 73% on the over.Comment -
aussieHSBR MVP
- 02-04-11
- 1188
#11424Does the heat have home court advantage if they win through to the finalComment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#11428NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs 5/29/2012
Play #1
Thunder/Spurs over (201.5) 1x (Locked)
Had I locked this in at 201, I may have gone bigger but with the hook I will play it safe. We had three poor offensive quarters in the last game with a furious scoring finish that fell 5 points short of cashing the over. However, the overall PACE was fast at 95.2 and I expect better shooting in this game after both teams shook off the rust. We might play the under as the series progresses, but we need to get that high scoring game out of the way first and I expect that to come tonight. We have brothers and garretson as refs which is about as good as you can get for playoff refs that favor the over and I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.Comment -
zilchySBR Wise Guy
- 03-31-12
- 695
#11430On this as well LTA.
And don't feel bad about missing 201, we still might beat the closer by more than a point the way this is going up.Comment -
SlickRick1382SBR MVP
- 10-15-11
- 3838
#11431Zig-Zag approach in effect, lets go....Comment -
Catchn_PicksSBR MVP
- 09-02-11
- 2984
#11432NBA 2011-2012 Playoffs 5/29/2012
Play #1
Thunder/Spurs over (201.5) 1x (Locked)
Had I locked this in at 201, I may have gone bigger but with the hook I will play it safe. We had three poor offensive quarters in the last game with a furious scoring finish that fell 5 points short of cashing the over. However, the overall PACE was fast at 95.2 and I expect better shooting in this game after both teams shook off the rust. We might play the under as the series progresses, but we need to get that high scoring game out of the way first and I expect that to come tonight. We have brothers and garretson as refs which is about as good as you can get for playoff refs that favor the over and I am rolling with the over for 1x. Good luck.
Great line you got. Gonna have to lay money on a higher total. Let's get em...BOL.Comment -
SlickRick1382SBR MVP
- 10-15-11
- 3838
#11433Already at 202.5 at my book which uses CRISComment -
SlickRick1382SBR MVP
- 10-15-11
- 3838
#11434LTA any thoughts about the refs?
Tonight's refs -- M. McCutchen, T. Brothers, R. Garretson
Did an experiment on Bet Labs with them and Garretson seems like an under ref but neutral in the 44 games he ref'ed where OKC or SA were involved (20-24 O/U).
McCutchen was pretty even as was Brothers. Only interesting fact is Brothers. Although he was a neutral ref he went 27-14 O/U in games involving OKC or SAComment -
upscopeSBR MVP
- 04-26-11
- 2837
#11435Just out of curiosity did those books offer a refund & 3 free $80 bets to anybody that bet OVER the bad line of 200??
Comment -
VitoochSBR MVP
- 09-26-11
- 3470
#11436Any value in over 202 1/2?Comment -
bmanquen45SBR Rookie
- 05-04-12
- 4
#11437How do u feel about 203? under or over?Comment -
CheeseHeadSBR Sharp
- 12-03-10
- 439
#11438If he likes over 201.5, there's obviously no chance he would take the under at 203. Let's have a little common sense.
I think LTA would say that at 202.5, there's less value than the line he got it at...either no play or bet the over still though. I'd be a lot less worried about getting a "bad" total line rather than losing value on the spread. Spreads tend to be sharper IMO.
Let's get this one tonight. It's nice to be able to cheer for scoring rather than to be pissed off that they keep hitting shots.Comment -
Love The ActionSBR Posting Legend
- 11-08-10
- 10952
#11439LTA any thoughts about the refs?
Tonight's refs -- M. McCutchen, T. Brothers, R. Garretson
Did an experiment on Bet Labs with them and Garretson seems like an under ref but neutral in the 44 games he ref'ed where OKC or SA were involved (20-24 O/U).
McCutchen was pretty even as was Brothers. Only interesting fact is Brothers. Although he was a neutral ref he went 27-14 O/U in games involving OKC or SAComment -
5mike5SBR Aristocracy
- 09-21-11
- 51987
#11442was think thunder TT over 98.5
torn between total and ttComment -
meader99SBR MVP
- 10-30-10
- 4223
#11443Like the over hear as well as I think KD is going to get cals tonight that he didn't get in game 1. Lots of free throws for KD tonight.Comment -
Catchn_PicksSBR MVP
- 09-02-11
- 2984
#11444
They can cancel any bet for virtually any reason. Getting a very good line is just one of those reasons.Comment -
Catchn_PicksSBR MVP
- 09-02-11
- 2984
#11445Tony Parker has replaced Ray Allen as the sweetest jump shot in the NBA, imo.Comment
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