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that angle has been good to me in April, but there are plenty more of those plays in the next few weeks.Yes, but wasn't really worried about it because Philly is 9 or 10 deep with Collins generally distributing minutes evenly and they really needed this game while Toronto just might tank it from here on out. I didn't think fatigue would be a factor tonight.
You're right though, I generally like to fade the team with fatigue such as 4 in 5, but those plays have not been hitting for me since March so I have laid off that angle of late.
I don't know about you, but I can't wait for the regular season to get over with and start the playoffs. Last month has killed me and I gotta get myself on a roll. Good luck buddy
from a betting perspective i dont care about the playoffs - NFL playoffs are what i seem to have an edge in for whatever reason, but not the NBA. I do love the NBA playoffs from a fans perspective.Comment -
Agreed. After so many bad beats I've been enjoying an epic run of good fortune.
Had the under at 179 & Hawks +3 both luckily cash and looks like the Yankees -1.5 may somehow cash after a 2 run blast in the 10th from Nick Swisher.Comment -
Wow lol i was at this celtics game.
im a season ticket holder usually the loudest one in the section.
fellow season ticket holders had to make sure i was okay because of how quiet i was wen it went to OT/during OT lolComment -
welback on trackComment -
good call on philComment -
Would be interesting to post your record until now, if you keep one. Really unfair to make ironic comments onto someone's record without giving him a similar chance providing him with your record
It would also be a great idea to start a new thread entitled "LTA's Haters" in order to avoid spamming this one with all these crap
I apologize for the off-topicComment -
Not sure why you are talking shit paco....always thought we were cool. I'll remember that comment though. Apparently you are feeling pretty good about yourself right now, but there's a lot of season left and right when you start talking shit and feeling overconfident is when karma will hit you by knocking you down a peg or two. Personally, im up $5K right now in the NBA after being up over $10K. I'll get back there. There's no need for you to worry about my money. I made over $25K last year from sports investing and I'll be at that level again this year.
Man its crazy how people change around here....Last edited by Love The Action; 04-12-12, 05:44 AM.Comment -
NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season Recap 4/11/2012
2 - 0 = +2x
NBA 2011-2012 Season
130 - 115 = +8.55x
Good luck on Thursday.Comment -
I have nothing to prove to anyone. Ive already proven myself to be a long term profitable player with over 1,500 plays posted publicly on SBR in all sports. Ive won well over +100x for people that followed my NBA playoffs thread last year and in my other threads since in MLB and football. Plus, I did that with minimum risk....not betting 50x air bombs. Ive already said I am sticking around till the end of the NBA season, so no, I dont feel like I have anything to prove. I am in the rare 1% of long term winners in this business.Comment -
Love your work LTA and they way you handle yourself on here....
It's all business on here and why waste time replying to knockers when that time could be spent with your family man.
Appreciate you sticking around rest of season because I feel you have some unfinished business concerning this NBA season.
Cmon bring it on LTA , let's get this shit !!!Comment -
Hey lta. Without raising the conspiracy any thoughts on going tout to justify dedicating your time to helping those of us that value your plays. I know you said that was never your intention but things change.
Hope this does not disrupt the thread with all the haters etc but interested in your thoughts.
Lets face it, if you do withdraw from this forum we are not left with much good advice to follow. it is actually pretty depressing that thought!
Sweetjones55 was fun but his lines were unreliable!!!!
bl great capper but missing in action. Hope the dude is okay
lakercrazy good guy but also gone.
Sorry if I missed any other worthwhile threads but they do not come to mind
Let the haters begin.........Comment -
No hating from here Aussie H... Would def be interested.
Increase the BR and pound the F*k out of the books down here in Oz.
F*k the haters.Comment -
Lta, i apologize for my comment. At least i
threw this poor attempt at humor out on a
2-0 night. bol
Last edited by pacocn; 04-12-12, 08:10 AM.Comment -
Lta, come by my thread "get on board"
and i have translated my winnings in $ per. hour.Comment -
Nice run LTA! Interesting that we both went through bad streaks and now have good streaks, because our styles are different in capping.
Can't say I like today's card too much. Any early thoughts on the games?Comment -
Great night LTA !Comment -
NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 4/12/2012
Play #1
Heat/Bulls under (187) 1x (Locked)
I like this with or without rose and have this game set at 184 so I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.Comment -
LTA thanks for the plays yesterday i appreciate them. I follow both your baseball and Nba picks.Comment -
Looks like Rose is gonna play. Think the total will go back up to 187/187.5 bc of public perception LTA?Comment -
Wow, obviously had my eyes in the under on this one since yesterday, can't believe Im still getting such a good number even though I just arrived home. I will even wait to see if it goes up a bit as I had this play at 185 so I'm willing to take the risk at 185.5.Comment -
Rose is gonna play..I think the under looks good. goodluckComment -
Good luck LTA, but I see no value on this total one way or the other. Two results this season were 190 points and 208 points, so clearly they can put points on scoreboard one against the other.
Rose should slow the game down a bit, but I don't think that angle alone is enough to make me bet the Under.
Game should be close, so in the end, OT or a lot of FT's are a strong possibility as well.
Both teams can score 90+ points and if that's the case, to hope for 94 - 91 result can be a bit risky.
I see it as 50/50 chance, but I will watch the game and hold my fingers crossed for you.
Good luck and hope/ believe you will finish the regular season on a high note!Comment -
Good luck to you as well. However just because teams scored 190 & 208 does not mean this game goes over. Thats a ridiculous assertion. The books knew about those results and yet opened this game at 187 well below the 190+ openers of the previous games. Why do think that is? You gotta look beyond obvious trends and past results because those are not long term winning angles. Moreover, the rest of the market is at 185.5, down from the 187 I bought, despite the majority on the over. That alone implies a better than 50/50 shot at hitting this play if you calculate the expected value. GL, hope you end the season strong as well.Comment -
Obviously the fact that two games went Over, doesn't mean this one will go as well, but it is an indication that teams are fully capable of scoring that much.
Not only that, but I believe, that in such cases, you need special reason to take the Under. Why should today be different? It can be different and it can be the same, but at least I can't see the difference in this game in particular.
On top of that, Miami are 5O - 1U in their six road games in the first leg of B2B and both teams shoot pretty much the same both at home and on the road. Both teams combined shoot around 190 points home/road and around 188 in their last 5 games.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that Over is the right play here and that you're wrong.
I just don't have any opinion on this game and trying to be devil's advocate, while understanding why some would choose to play the Under as well.
Really 50 - 50 chance on the total from my point of view.Comment
the hate people carry around...
