LTA's NBA Plays

**pokerwhiz90** · 04-12-12, 04:44 PM

this is the perfect game to take the under 2h after a huge 1st half, or vice versa

**burchfield** · 04-12-12, 05:32 PM

Where do you find the ref assingments? I got dail up so cant just google and click every link

**jas19illini** · 04-12-12, 05:34 PM

Covers.com

**G-manFan** · 04-12-12, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by burchfield

Where do you find the ref assingments? I got dail up so cant just google and click every link

Wow, still with dial up. Ouch. How do you tolerate that. Would drive me crazy

**burchfield** · 04-12-12, 06:14 PM

Only time use dial up is at home. Use phone everywhere else but poor phone reception at my house. But yes Dail - Up is horrible.......Sorry for the off topic I noticed NBA.com has it listed too.

**Vasco** · 04-12-12, 06:29 PM

Tough card tonight, see any value in the later games? Will the T-Wolves really get blown out of their building even without Love? Line is up to +8. Interesting, but probably too much of a tossup.

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 06:41 PM

over in there oppositions team total seems ok

**JM92** · 04-12-12, 06:48 PM

Originally posted by Vasco

Tough card tonight, see any value in the later games? Will the T-Wolves really get blown out of their building even without Love? Line is up to +8. Interesting, but probably too much of a tossup.

I saw.. last night. Man I should take clippers and mavs - 5.5. I don't see how at least one of those doesn't hit.

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 08:30 PM

anhyone have the idea to middle this game at 91? I think that hits easy....still 20 points of middle wiggle room, worst comes to worst we break even.

the bulls struggled last time rose came back early on and picked it up in the 2H.
shooting 35% for the bulls or 40% for the beat, WITH great 3 pt fg%

should be close

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 08:31 PM

But, i am going to stick with 1x on the under and take the profit barring a 110 pt half

**TC Woods** · 04-12-12, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by mikea33

But, i am going to stick with 1x on the under and take the profit barring a 110 pt half

I took the U 91 1/2

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 08:54 PM

tc woods bol i didnt touch either side hopin for a 4th quarter of under 60 lol

**burchfield** · 04-12-12, 09:21 PM

I also took the Under 91.5

**remypom** · 04-12-12, 09:48 PM

Omfg.. Ot And I got em at 185.5

**eastern2** · 04-12-12, 09:49 PM

wow terrible luck

**beebest** · 04-12-12, 09:51 PM

Originally posted by remypom

Omfg.. Ot And I got em at 185.5

Yeahhh me too... LBJ last free throw should sealed the game but he missed the first one.. OMG..

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 09:51 PM

wish i middledn it. I had this idea in my head i was going to get ****** one way or another.

**** ******* ****

**jas19illini** · 04-12-12, 09:53 PM

Maaaan, another ot game!? Grrr

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 09:56 PM

These coaches in the NBA are so ******* dumb.

There up 3 with 4 seconds left got korver trapped then the passs to boozer then the pass to watson. WHY NOT ******* FOUL.

Not to mention LBJ is the biggest choke artist in NBA history.

Never thought he was til now

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 10:04 PM

have never seen worse luck in a 2 month stretch.
its sickening.
as korver hits a 90 ft 3 pointer.

**Arty** · 04-12-12, 10:06 PM

The under still hit lol

**meader99** · 04-12-12, 10:06 PM

Watcha guys sweatin about????

**meader99** · 04-12-12, 10:08 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Good luck to you as well. However just because teams scored 190 & 208 does not mean this game goes over. Thats a ridiculous assertion. The books knew about those results and yet opened this game at 187 well below the 190+ openers of the previous games. Why do think that is? You gotta look beyond obvious trends and past results because those are not long term winning angles. Moreover, the rest of the market is at 185.5, down from the 187 I bought, despite the majority on the over. That alone implies a better than 50/50 shot at hitting this play if you calculate the expected value. GL, hope you end the season strong as well.

Great job LTA!!! This is the second night in a row you realeased a total play on the under and a poster came in and brought up how the teams previous matchups have gone way over. I think the next time this happens, I'm going to double down and make it a 2x play.

**beebest** · 04-12-12, 10:09 PM

The Under is Under Control... $$$$

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 10:10 PM

Originally posted by meader99

Watcha guys sweatin about????

LOL.........only a couple hundred bucks lmao

Just frustrating more than anything, and to be honest i dont want to wake my family up because of my degenerate gambling so i come on ehre and rant haha

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 10:11 PM

I commend your efforts so far this week LTA (Not that I always don't)
Despite even more variance, we still hit 2 unders DESPITE OT.
Thats remarkable

**ses_d** · 04-12-12, 10:18 PM

**Dexter** · 04-12-12, 10:19 PM

i may have to get on this under train come playoff time - OT cant even get these games over. we did it in college football (overs)....

anyone know how over/unders did in the playoffs the last few years?

**Les_Nuts** · 04-12-12, 10:23 PM

Incredible how our last 3 under plays have gone to OT and we have survived 2 of them

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 10:34 PM

You Bulls fans could not have dreamed of a better night (excluding a wetty)

**bmur714** · 04-12-12, 10:38 PM

Grindin away!

Thank you LTA!!

**Arty** · 04-12-12, 10:41 PM

Originally posted by mikea33

You Bulls fans could not have dreamed of a better night (excluding a wetty)

Wasn't that great of a night. As a Bulls fan, I really don't like seeing Rose struggling that hard, that he had to be benched in the final minutes of the game + OT.

**mikea33** · 04-12-12, 10:45 PM

What do you expect? He's limping around with Wade and LeBron all over him........the fact that there depth could beat a HEALTHY Heat team TWICE.......without D Rose is like very scary as a celtics fan........

**ifiwaspresident** · 04-12-12, 11:13 PM

Last night I was ecstatic because LTA capped it right with Hawks/Celts and we avoided the OT screwjob hitting the under anyway. Tonight LTA capped it so well that it wasn't even close to the number and we had miles of room to spare. Then the OT screwjob again. I had a decent idea that the under would still hit even when it went into OT, but honestly for some reason I don't even feel like I WON this bet. I feel like I escaped it. Great job again LTA. Your picks are doing wonders for my bank account, but half my winnings are going to buy Just for Men in bulk. Sweating these out is giving me more gray hair than my three children.

**yankeekansan** · 04-12-12, 11:48 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 4/12/2012

Play #1

Heat/Bulls under (187) 1x (Locked)

I like this with or without rose and have this game set at 184 so I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

I bought up to 186.5 to be like LTA when 5dimes offered it up at 185... I paid -124 and when that game went into OT, was glad that I did. Thanks for the 184 projection LTA... really appreciate it. I went 3X just because you are so overdue for a solid run of games via your variance meter. Please tell your wife, that my wife says thanks for lending us your insight.