LTA's NBA Plays

[apurvaas]

What do you think of the total here? line is currently at 190.5..

I feel game will go U
got at -192 from local

[NOREGRETS]

Total is at 193 boys.

[PS3]

I feel game will go U
got at -192 from local

I got over 190.5 for this one already.

[pokerwhiz90]

i can see this one going either way - traditionally the spurs have played the bulls tough and scored well, however thibs might be steaming after last night and theyll play amazing defense, who knows

[JM92]

I really like Wiz-Magic over and Detroit - 5.5

[mikea33]

Who is detroit to be laying 5.5

[WalkingLuckCharm]

On the bulls too. Good luck everyone!

[mcduggly]

Who is detroit to be laying 5.5

Obviously the Bobcats haha.

[NOREGRETS]

Bulls down to +1.5.

[rjp322]

I will be on the bulls. I have a local book so I hope alot of money comes in onthe Spurs so I get a better line

[apurvaas]

Line move in Knicks Cle Game from 192.5 to 195.5
It went to 193.5, dropped back to 192.5 and now jumped to 195.5

I like Under in this game but this jump scares me

[MindGames]

LTA I am on the bulls as well.. Luckily got it at 2 1/2 this morning. I am also taking the U 188 in the Wolves/Lakers game. I feel like a lot of people are banking on another high scoring night from the T-wolves that I just don't forsee against a stingy lakers defense. Kobe isn't playing and Love is banged up from what I have read. In your opinion how is the total affected when two studs aren't playing. Tempo, shots, etc.

[Les_Nuts]

How about the line movement in Bucks/Celtics game? I like the under here and it opened at 184.5 now its up to 186 which to me represents great value but the line movement is holding me back

[ghislaine]

Hilarious LTA
Making money for me, so let`s get it !!

Don't tail

Although, if you are tailing, you should be 1-2 and no 0-2.

[apurvaas]

I got over 190.5 for this one already.

BOL.. I am on U at 192

[JM92]

How about the line movement in Bucks/Celtics game? I like the under here and it opened at 184.5 now its up to 186 which to me represents great value but the line movement is holding me back

I liked the over on that one before that jump actually. We now the Bucks can light it up, last night they got a really big motivation win that probably inflicted that confidence, even if it was against Washington. Celtics actually passed from the slowest team in the league to 26... its not much, but they have been playing a little faster lately. That Bradley kid sure loves to run.

[dynasty27]

Line move in Knicks Cle Game from 192.5 to 195.5
It went to 193.5, dropped back to 192.5 and now jumped to 195.5

I like Under in this game but this jump scares me

I am very tempted to take this under regardless of the line movement...I know that is not generally accepted but, I liked this game under at the opener. Cleveland has had touble producing offense lately, and the Knicks D has been overall solid. We might see a faster pace, but I foresee some rust on New Yorks side. Do not see this game getting over 190 total...just my opinion

[Notorious_Donk]

Bulls down to +1.5.

Bulls still +2 at some books (5Dimes, Pinnacle, etc.) Could very well be dropping soon so if you are tailing LTA, hit it asap!

[jordanchu93]

Is it worth going at the bulls at +1.5?

[YouHave2outs]

Is it worth going at the bulls at +1.5?

LTA has it handicapped at +1, which he posted along with a small writeup. It is up to you to make the decision. If you are going purely off of LTAs numbers, you have a half point of value. It is amazing how often questions like this come up, especially when LTA posts the exact number he has handicapped it at.

[WalkingLuckCharm]

I'm going to hop on the spurs instead ...

[jordanchu93]

LTA has it handicapped at +1, which he posted along with a small writeup. It is up to you to make the decision. If you are going purely off of LTAs numbers, you have a half point of value. It is amazing how often questions like this come up, especially when LTA posts the exact number he has handicapped it at.

I read his write up, I was just questioning was it worth it though? It sounds stupid to say it cause gambling is a risk, but was thinking +1.5 would be too risky..... I know people have mentioned point spreads at +2, i'd rather be safer on that but I can't seem to find a bookies that does +2..... Sorry if I didn't justify my point for questioning the point spread....

[YouHave2outs]

sorry to clutter thread lta. in response to jordan, i guess i was just wondering what kind of response you were hoping for.

[jordanchu93]

sorry to clutter thread lta. in response to jordan, i guess i was just wondering what kind of response you were hoping for.

Was looking for a constructive view on it either I go with bulls +1.5 or I could go with OKC -3.0, I know that has been mentioned a few times around these forums.

[Notorious_Donk]

Is it worth going at the bulls at +1.5?

I think +1.5 is still worth it, because I have them winning SU. But it would be better to buy a 1/2 pt to get it up to +2 if you are questioning it.

[Love The Action]

NBA 2011-2012 Regular Season 2/29/2012

Play #1

Bulls (+2.5) 1x (Locked)

I suspect a lot of SBR "sharpies" will be on SA in this game because of the Bulls b2b situation. However, I don't think SA gets it done and I also do not expect this to go to 3, so I'm locking it in now. The Bulls dominate the Spurs quantitatively on both offense and defenses. It is on defense that the Bulls have the true advantage. With the Spurs playing without Ginobli and Leanord and Ford, Neal and Splitter all questionable, I think the Bulls might be in a little better situation with their bench despite the b2b. The Bulls have played well on the road and I expect them to give SA a very tough game. I have the Bulls set at +1 in this game giving us almost a full fg of value. Based on the foregoing, I am rolling with the Bulls for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Sixers (+3.5) 1x (Locked)

I contemplated buying the hook up to +4 here, but I dont deem it wise in this spot just like I avoided that strategy with the bulls play. Bottom line is that I expect both of our "barking dogs" to win outright because of their dominant defense, but will settle for the points because of the value afforded thereby from the premium the books are charging both favorites. In this game, philly holds a solid advantage on defense with the home court advantage to boot. In addition, philly's best defenders in iggy and holiday will be facing off against durant and westbrook in a game okc might just be a little rusty. Okc gives up way too many turnovers and philly excels at causing them. With the allstar break and blowout last night, I do not expect fatigue to be an issue for philly. In fact, I view last nights game as more of a tune up while okc sat idly by since their last game 5 days ago. This is a statement game for philly and I think they step up tonight. I have the sixers set at +1.5, giving us a full fg of value. Based on the fotegoing, I am rolling with the sixers for 1x. Good luck.

[Speedy88]

Good luck on the sixers, I like them as well.

[Hw101]

Love the slicers play I think they win by 3 tonight

[pokerwhiz90]

darn im already on okc - just by looking at their past matchups, this is gonna be a good one though! best of luck!

[YouHave2outs]

was hoping to throw down 110 or more on one of your totals tonight. i may not even make a single bet today of a full unit. bol everyone tonight

[ClausensHands]

Big game for the 76ers and they love to take down heavyweights in their house. Took the U too, let's get it.

[NOREGRETS]

LTA. Let's get 'em boys!!!

[chief42]

that is a tall task for the Sixers tonight! BOL, I'm not sure if the Sixers can play up to the quality of ball that Thunder have.

[remypom]

I agree w sixers call. Seem like trap for okc

[YouHave2outs]

Big game for the 76ers and they love to take down heavyweights in their house. Took the U too, let's get it.

hmm, at home theyve beaten los angeles lakers, chicago, and orlando...and the hawks twice if it counts.

they've lost at home to miami, san antonio, los angeles clippers, and dallas. seems like theyre about .500 at home vs contenders.

not disagreeing with any of LTAs plays ever, as I'm in no position to, just the bolded.

and whatever on semantics, obviously every team 'loves to take down heavyweights in their own house'. i was responding to whether or not they do.