2K to 10K - Roag's 2011 WNBA Project

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  • Beefcakes
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-11-11
    • 368

    #701
    pinnacle latest lines for the teaser is 5.5pt/2 team - seattle-1 and phoenix-2 $240 to win $200, cant really gauge if i should dive in now or wait until the phoenix line drops down a bit more
    Comment
    • thefonzo
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-10-10
      • 671

      #702
      If you are not comfy taking the -2.5 or -2, you could just do a moneyline parlay. Books that give sh**ty teaser odds actually would cost less juice doing the parlay.
      Comment
      • thefonzo
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-10-10
        • 671

        #703
        WOW.... DSI can lick my hairy bean bag. The ML parlay is 5x to win 4x. The teaser at -1 and -1.5 is 7x to win 4x. Which one should I choose???
        Comment
        • Beefcakes
          SBR Sharp
          • 04-11-11
          • 368

          #704
          pinnacle is really bad for parlays and teasers
          Comment
          • Beefcakes
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-11-11
            • 368

            #705
            well, thing is roag has phoenix at -0.5..and i have it at -2..not sure how much its going to affect the outcome
            Comment
            • Beefcakes
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-11-11
              • 368

              #706
              ties = loss for teasers too right?, no pushes?
              Comment
              • RoagBettor
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-20-09
                • 8355

                #707
                Originally posted by thefonzo
                WOW.... DSI can lick my hairy bean bag. The ML parlay is 5x to win 4x. The teaser at -1 and -1.5 is 7x to win 4x. Which one should I choose???
                Yep, sometimes just parlaying the ML is the way to go instead of playing sh*tty teaser odds.
                Comment
                • RoagBettor
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-20-09
                  • 8355

                  #708
                  Wow, the Dream/Lynx and Silver Stars/Mercury are really steaming; I'm tempted to take every under tonight.
                  Comment
                  • ManBearPig
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-04-08
                    • 2473

                    #709
                    Originally posted by RoagBettor
                    Wow, the Dream/Lynx and Silver Stars/Mercury are really steaming; I'm tempted to take every under tonight.
                    I was just noticing that too because I'm still trying to decide how to play this PL you have up and I noticed it's gone up at least a point.
                    Comment
                    • Beefcakes
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 04-11-11
                      • 368

                      #710
                      these lines are so volatile, they keep shifting back and forth, i cant get a good spread on the phoenix game still
                      Comment
                      • lilb999
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-13-10
                        • 997

                        #711
                        Hey roag what u think about a 7 point teaser...storm +1, stars +15, stars/mercury under 187. I think it looks pretty solid, but then again I don't watch beaverball
                        Comment
                        • Just_Wynn_Baby
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 12-25-09
                          • 188

                          #712
                          How bout a 2 or 3 team teaser with your NY Liberty pick?
                          Comment
                          • RoagBettor
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-20-09
                            • 8355

                            #713
                            I think a 3 Team/8 Point teaser adding in the Liberty is a good play. I wouldn't touch a total tonight but I lean unders.
                            Comment
                            • lilb999
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-13-10
                              • 997

                              #714
                              I just don't see any way they get to almost 190 unless there's double OT
                              Comment
                              • Beefcakes
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 04-11-11
                                • 368

                                #715
                                anyone else waiting on phoenix spread to drop down to get the teaser play?
                                Comment
                                • ManBearPig
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-04-08
                                  • 2473

                                  #716
                                  Originally posted by Beefcakes
                                  anyone else waiting on phoenix spread to drop down to get the teaser play?
                                  Ya and it keeps going up. I might throw in the Liberty into a 3 team 8pt and get the Silver Stars at +16, is that big enough of a spread though? Will an 0-2 team playing a 3-0 team at home destroy the undefeated team? This is the WNBA so I know nothing.
                                  Comment
                                  • Beefcakes
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 04-11-11
                                    • 368

                                    #717
                                    need some advice from roag lol, i dont do WNBA and hes got a 4unit play on the teaser so i oughta be real careful with this one
                                    Comment
                                    • RoagBettor
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-20-09
                                      • 8355

                                      #718
                                      I like Phoenix to win the game outright tonight and I don't know by how much. Could be 1, could be 25. I think the line will drop back to 7.5 but not sure it'll go to 7. At this point you just need to wait it out, I think before the game starts you'll see it drop.
                                      Comment
                                      • RoagBettor
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-20-09
                                        • 8355

                                        #719
                                        Just went to 7.5
                                        Comment
                                        • Beefcakes
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 04-11-11
                                          • 368

                                          #720
                                          they dont offer a 6 point tease, roag should i take the -2.5 phoenix
                                          Comment
                                          • RoagBettor
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-20-09
                                            • 8355

                                            #721
                                            Originally posted by Beefcakes
                                            they dont offer a 6 point tease, roag should i take the -2.5 phoenix
                                            I thought you could do a 5.5 point teaser which would give you Phoenix -2?
                                            Comment
                                            • reppin_the_847
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-10-10
                                              • 1576

                                              #722
                                              I'm going to be outta town for the weekend and my money is gonna be tied up so I'm gonna pass on this weekend's plays. BOL to Roag and everyone else on here though!
                                              Comment
                                              • RoagBettor
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-20-09
                                                • 8355

                                                #723
                                                Thanks buddy, have a great weekend!
                                                Comment
                                                • Beefcakes
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 04-11-11
                                                  • 368

                                                  #724
                                                  i made a mistake, cause pinnacle does this for teasers 5pt(college/WNBA) 5.5pt(NBA) and 7pt(Totals).. I think in terms of teasers, this is where pinnacle sucks at
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ANGRYBLACK
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 03-16-10
                                                    • 1148

                                                    #725
                                                    Stars should stay within 12, NY should stay within 12, and Seattle should win SU. I'm just stating what SHOULD happen. Nothing's certain. That's why it's called gambling.

                                                    On another note, ALL three of my picks in my parlay gained a 1/2 point. I don't think that's a good sign...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                      • 8355

                                                      #726
                                                      Originally posted by Beefcakes
                                                      i made a mistake, cause pinnacle does this for teasers 5pt(college/WNBA) 5.5pt(NBA) and 7pt(Totals).. I think in terms of teasers, this is where pinnacle sucks at
                                                      You need to get another book bro. Pinny is good for a lot of things, but if you can't play teasers you're going to have a hard time making money with me in WNBA/NBA. Open an account with BookMaker, The Greek or 5Dimes.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Love The Action
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 10952

                                                        #727
                                                        Good luck on all your plays tonight
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RoagBettor
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-20-09
                                                          • 8355

                                                          #728
                                                          Thanks LTA, same to you!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JayRow
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-13-09
                                                            • 871

                                                            #729
                                                            how are we doing over here? what's the project balance at? i'm on em tonight roag!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Beefcakes
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 04-11-11
                                                              • 368

                                                              #730
                                                              line is back down to -7, so the teaser is seattle-1 and phoenix-2, anyone going to play it for the full amount or scale back on the units? any insight on how many units you'd play roag?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ManBearPig
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-04-08
                                                                • 2473

                                                                #731
                                                                I just bough them down to -.5 and -1.5 so it's all in gambling dogs hands now...im so sick of fukin losing in baseball I hope to get something. I swear that sport is impossible to friggin win at...well it could be that I just suck at it too
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Beefcakes
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 04-11-11
                                                                  • 368

                                                                  #732
                                                                  were you on pinnacle?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • suicidekings
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-23-09
                                                                    • 9962

                                                                    #733
                                                                    Originally posted by ManBearPig
                                                                    I just bough them down to -.5 and -1.5 so it's all in gambling dogs hands now...im so sick of fukin losing in baseball I hope to get something. I swear that sport is impossible to friggin win at...well it could be that I just suck at it too
                                                                    It's just that its so different than capping basketball. I'm having a really rough time with MLB so far this season as well.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                                      • 8355

                                                                      #734
                                                                      Nice choke job by the Liberty in the 3Q - beotches!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Jimbo42
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-04-09
                                                                        • 2076

                                                                        #735
                                                                        Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                        It's just that its so different than capping basketball. I'm having a really rough time with MLB so far this season as well.
                                                                        I hear ya homie...mlb rough for me as well this season...can't wait for coll fball season...my bread and butter. I have actually gone to betting series in mlb... I've developed a couple of systems that help identify good series plays. Also allows me to hedge and protect my money. When the going gets rough, got to adjust if/when you can.
                                                                        Comment
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