$500 to $5000 in 6 Months - Part 3

[fbragasilva]

Yep, it's the same as my name here; thanks.

Awesome m8!! Keep killing the bookers!

[Kivo35]

LOL I didn't forget about you! I've been working on this totals system for the past 2 years. It originally started out looking for fixed matches (which is another story and something I will pursue again soon because I was hitting some nice +300 odds bets), but then I noticed a pattern on totals. I've refined it to the point where if the match doesn't fit the system 100% I don't play it, even if I'm confident the match will go over. That type of discipline is what I've lacked in the past, and it led to unnecessary losses. No system is perfect and there will definitely be losing streaks, but I've been doing this long enough now that I feel if I only bet pure system plays I (we!) should be well ahead at the end of the year.

Roag,
Following & tailing you for a moment, I know ENgland is your favorite. Do you apply this system only certain leagues like England/Spain?
BTW good to hear everything is OK w ur daughter,

best

[JBT]

Indeed, good news on all fronts!

[RoagBettor]

Roag,
Following & tailing you for a moment, I know ENgland is your favorite. Do you apply this system only certain leagues like England/Spain?
BTW good to hear everything is OK w ur daughter,

best

Thanks bro. The system works in England and Spain the best. Italy is good but not as strong, but the odds for the over in Italy matches are usually really good so don't have to hit as high a percentage. I've also used it in Portugal, Denmark, Brazil, Mexico, Australia and Sweden, but there's no sense in messing around with these other leagues because we have enough plays each week just in England and Spain.

I'm also working on my original system to find fixed matches; it takes a LOT of time though and I have to watch the lines constantly, I don't have that luxury right now. But last year I was hitting matches at +300 and higher (Czech Republic, Turkey, Poland, Romania and Russia for the most part)! And I'm still working on my Draw system but have been too busy these past few days to test it.

[Beefcakes]

gonna start upping my bets with your soccer plays

[Jimbo42]

Oswalt being pinch hit for in the 4th....Lasted only 3..giving up 5 runs in that time..

[RoagBettor]

Oswalt being pinch hit for in the 4th....Lasted only 3..giving up 5 runs in that time..

Nice call on that this morning; I think you're ready for a big run.

[RoagBettor]

Getting this now on 5Dimes, line should go up:

4/30/2011 10:00 AM England Soccer 110 Aston Villa (ENG-P)/West Bromwich (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -112 - $112 to win $100

[Gohard24]

Hey roags I follow you on twitter. I like your style and shoebox too. I know you post on here and twitter. Do you happen to know where he posts?

Gluck with your plays keep winning!

[Gohard24]

Hey roags I follow you on twitter. I like your style and shoebox too. I know you post on here and twitter. Do you happen to know where he posts?

Gluck with your plays keep winning!

[LucyTheApe]

Thanks Roag for all you picks, are you always this good?

[RoagBettor]

Hey roags I follow you on twitter. I like your style and shoebox too. I know you post on here and twitter. Do you happen to know where he posts?

Gluck with your plays keep winning!

shoebox is a professional handicapper and is with SoloBass now; you gotta pay to play but the guy is great at NBA; thanks buddy.

[RoagBettor]

Thanks Roag for all you picks, are you always this good?

Yeah I've always been able to pick, but the "old Roag" was pretty wild. Can someone really get sick of making money?

[gtboy]

Getting this now on 5Dimes, line should go up:

4/30/2011 10:00 AM England Soccer 110 Aston Villa (ENG-P)/West Bromwich (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -112 - $112 to win $100

fken bmaker has this at -130.

i withdraw most my cash from them and plan to deposit at 5d or pinnacle. bmaker line really sucks.

[RoagBettor]

fken bmaker has this at -130.

i withdraw most my cash from them and plan to deposit at 5d or pinnacle. bmaker line really sucks.

Yep, that's why I call them BookF*cker for soccer. Ugh. Get with 5Dimes or Pinny.

[ManBearPig]

Yep, that's why I call them BookF*cker for soccer. Ugh. Get with 5Dimes or Pinny.

Not to mention the shitty baseball lines...20-cent lines suck.

[Zahpeter]

But last year I was hitting matches at +300 and higher (Czech Republic, Turkey, Poland, Romania and Russia for the most part)!

Hmm, Romania. Pretty damn interesting to see my country capped on an American board ) Can't wait to see some local matches, because i have to agree, our internal matches suck big time. Best of luck, waiting to cash the last 3 teams for the 6 team teaser

[Yoinkerz]

just curious how close u to ur goal so far? half yet?

[RoagBettor]

Hmm, Romania. Pretty damn interesting to see my country capped on an American board ) Can't wait to see some local matches, because i have to agree, our internal matches suck big time. Best of luck, waiting to cash the last 3 teams for the 6 team teaser

I followed Romania (Division 1) a lot last year. Steaua, Dinamo, Timisoara - every once in a while you see something that doesn't make sense (like when a line drops from +800 to +400 in 5 minutes LOL).

I'll be sweating out the NBA tonight; I loved the Bulls and Lakers to cover last night should have just played them straight up (especially the Bulls). If LeChoke kills my teaser I'm going to be pissed!

[RoagBettor]

just curious how close u to ur goal so far? half yet?

I'll update after tonight; have a $500 teaser pending and need Miami to cover -2.5. That game will make a huge impact on the project balance.

[ncsubowen]

I'll update after tonight; have a $500 teaser pending and need Miami to cover -2.5. That game will make a huge impact on the project balance.

Have you considered hedging that bet?

[Rick22]

Best of luck on your parlay Roag. Don't play many parlays myself - but I am enjoying the blind a** tailing in soccer - LOL

[RoagBettor]

Have you considered hedging that bet?

I will most likely hedge $200 of it, that's the prudent thing to do. I'd like to get +11 or better on the Sixers so let's see what the line does today.

[dume walker]

Not just a hedge, but with the first 2 legs of the teaser in the bag, wouldn't that be an opportunity for a middle with an 8 point range?

[RANDAZZO]

any leans on the barcelona v real madrid match?

[RoagBettor]

Not just a hedge, but with the first 2 legs of the teaser in the bag, wouldn't that be an opportunity for a middle with an 8 point range?

Yep, it's possible we could middle it. Still waiting to see if I can get +11.

[RoagBettor]

any leans on the barcelona v real madrid match?

I really hate Cup matches; if I had to bet it I'd play the over but don't feel strongly about it either way.

[LittleTramp]

It seems that the grasshopper learnt his lesson

[RoagBettor]

It seems that the grasshopper learnt his lesson

Holy crap! Where the hell have you been?

You better start posting some soccer winners my friend!

[LittleTramp]

Been pretty busy with the Bank Will start a thread soon enough

[RoagBettor]

Been pretty busy with the Bank Will start a thread soon enough

Sweet! Looking forward to it my mon ami!

[SlaytheBook]

thanks Roag for what you contribute. I wanted to share that I went to check on my England soccer score from your post last night..only to find out that the game is played in 4 days from now. All I saw was a 10am game...sharp as a marble. LOL.

Lets continue to SlaytheBook

[RoagBettor]

thanks Roag for what you contribute. I wanted to share that I went to check on my England soccer score from your post last night..only to find out that the game is played in 4 days from now. All I saw was a 10am game...sharp as a marble. LOL.

Lets continue to SlaytheBook

Thanks buddy. Yeah, I wanted to get on this one early, I think the line will go higher before Saturday.

[RoagBettor]

No hedge! I think the Heat have a better chance of covering the -2.5 tonight than the Sixers have of covering +10.5. Let the chips fall where they may!

[lawalahmed]

Hey Friend ( RoagBettor), How is your daughter now ?