Early look @ Miami (39-15) at Indiana (24-28)

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  • swaindexter
    SBR MVP
    • 02-27-07
    • 1228

    #1
    Early look @ Miami (39-15) at Indiana (24-28)
    Looked at this game quick. Mia only 5-5 point fav. What am I missing here? Should this line be close to 9-10? Let me know what ya think gang....Thanks in advance.
  • sanchez
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-02-11
    • 223

    #2


    Indiana at home.

    Check their games against each other

    Check their ATS records
    Comment
    • demens
      SBR MVP
      • 10-22-10
      • 2785

      #3
      Originally posted by swaindexter
      Looked at this game quick. Mia only 5-5 point fav. What am I missing here? Should this line be close to 9-10? Let me know what ya think gang.....
      Really? You've been around since 2007 and you still dont know what you're missing?

      You know where they are playing this game?
      Comment
      • sanchez
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-02-11
        • 223

        #4
        Originally posted by demens
        Really? You've been around since 2007 and you still dont know what you're missing?

        You know where they are playing this game?
        Comment
        • ngates815
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-01-09
          • 13845

          #5
          Last time they played Miami had a close one at home against them...I believe it was within the last month or so. I had Miami teased and thought it may lose, but got lucky and covered by .5

          I'll probably be riding Miami again, but on the ML and parlayed with something else.
          Comment
          • demens
            SBR MVP
            • 10-22-10
            • 2785

            #6
            Originally posted by sanchez
            And i'm the jerk. There is someone new every day that needs this explained to them. OMG Spurs are only -3 on the road, OMG Lakers only -2 on the road, shouldn't they be like -30? What am i missing?

            You'd think someone thats been around for 4 years would figure it out by now.
            Comment
            • 16johnnymac
              SBR MVP
              • 10-27-10
              • 3499

              #7
              Take the other side 82% on Miami it was like the kansas k state game k state was a easy winner.
              Comment
              • redrum
                SBR MVP
                • 02-13-08
                • 1903

                #8
                i was at the heat game last tues against the pacers the heat was sluggish couldn't contain the post players. i might leave it alone
                Comment
                • sanchez
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-02-11
                  • 223

                  #9
                  Originally posted by demens
                  And i'm the jerk. There is someone new every day that needs this explained to them. OMG Spurs are only -3 on the road, OMG Lakers only -2 on the road, shouldn't they be like -30? What am i missing?

                  You'd think someone thats been around for 4 years would figure it out by now.
                  i know really

                  people assume that the best teams in the league are just dominant over everyone else and that usually isnt the case. san antonio is like that this year, boston miami lakers all have losing recoards ATS
                  Comment
                  • swaindexter
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-27-07
                    • 1228

                    #10
                    Originally posted by demens
                    Really? You've been around since 2007 and you still dont know what you're missing? You know where they are playing this game?
                    Ok you mean to tell me IND is in the same class as Mia...do not think so.....
                    Comment
                    • AZ*SUN*iBET4FUN
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-04-11
                      • 1378

                      #11
                      Miami hung on by a 5 Point win last time they played 2/8/11 and were a -10.5 at Home. They did go down by 14 but King James had 41 that night. Pacers also won at Home against Miami this year by like 15+. Factor that and the -3 automatic for being the home team and, BAM!!! You get
                      -5.5. Some Scrub Teams just match up and play well against certain elites.

                      Good example would be the Kings vs Hornets
                      Comment
                      • swaindexter
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-27-07
                        • 1228

                        #12
                        Originally posted by demens
                        And i'm the jerk. There is someone new every day that needs this explained to them. OMG Spurs are only -3 on the road, OMG Lakers only -2 on the road, shouldn't they be like -30? What am i missing? You'd think someone thats been around for 4 years would figure it out by now.
                        Thank you for the useless post. Come on....Mia is a team that is expected to go deep in the playoffs.. Is Ind on the same plain????
                        Comment
                        • swaindexter
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-27-07
                          • 1228

                          #13
                          Originally posted by sanchez
                          i know really people assume that the best teams in the league are just dominant over everyone else and that usually isnt the case. san antonio is like that this year, boston miami lakers all have losing recoards ATS
                          Mia is 27-26-1 ATS........
                          Comment
                          • ThingsFallApart
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-24-10
                            • 880

                            #14
                            Originally posted by swaindexter
                            Ok you mean to tell me IND is in the same class as Mia...do not think so.....
                            Thats not the case, but the style of ball IND plays(under new coach) is the yin to the Heatles yang. They have big bodies who mash the ball, Chris Bosh is not a PF who matches up with that and the rest of the Heat big men don't play that style of ball well. I think the Celts showed that you cant battle the heatles the way they play, you have to play half court offense and dominate the boards.

                            Its not that any NBA owner would pick Indiana's roster over MIA, but the way they match up, 5.5 points is not a smart play on MIA on the road here.
                            Comment
                            • demens
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-22-10
                              • 2785

                              #15
                              Originally posted by swaindexter
                              Thank you for the useless post. Come on....Mia is a team that is expected to go deep in the playoffs.. Is Ind on the same plain????
                              Comment
                              • swaindexter
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-27-07
                                • 1228

                                #16
                                Mia is 19-10 straight up on the road, Ind is 15-11 at home straight up.

                                However, Ind has won their last three ( @ mil, Min at home and Char at home) but how good are these teams???

                                Mia coming off the loss to Bos 2 days ago.
                                Comment
                                • AZ*SUN*iBET4FUN
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-04-11
                                  • 1378

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by swaindexter
                                  Thank you for the useless post. Come on....Mia is a team that is expected to go deep in the playoffs.. Is Ind on the same plain????
                                  You have to realize what Home Court advantage is and you get Automatic Points b/c of it. No doubt Miami is better, but they have gone 1-1 against the pacers this year and when Indy did beat them it was at Indy by like 15. I to shit my pants when they just played cause I Teased it to -.5 on a 4 team and they went down by 14 and were losing at the end of every quarter but the 4th. Pacers would of won that game if they didn't Get out played 27-15 in the fourth.
                                  Comment
                                  • CHAZ
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-09
                                    • 4978

                                    #18
                                    -6 on the road for Miami is giving alot of credit to the Heat. -10 would be an elite team playing the leagues worst.
                                    Comment
                                    • swaindexter
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-27-07
                                      • 1228

                                      #19
                                      SI and Bodoggie already have line moves up to 6. I am starting to think a ML wager may be the best here.

                                      Ind plays tonight and on Wed then has 6 days off...I find this interesting.....
                                      Comment
                                      • sanchez
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 02-02-11
                                        • 223

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by swaindexter
                                        Mia is 27-26-1 ATS........
                                        I saw 26-27-1
                                        on http://www.basketballmatchups.com/NBA_ats.html

                                        either way, its not like they beat the spread more than half the time

                                        dude if you love Miami, bet them, there is always a decent chance they beat the spread. but i, and most here, think there is a better chance that indiana covers
                                        Comment
                                        • swaindexter
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-27-07
                                          • 1228

                                          #21
                                          AZ I do understand HC advantage, maybe ML is the way to go on this one. I do not think Indy will will outright here. Mia did win @ home by 5 against Ind on the 8th of this month.
                                          Comment
                                          • swaindexter
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-27-07
                                            • 1228

                                            #22
                                            sanchez, not that I love Mia in this game...Hence I asked for what people thought as a open conversation. Looking for input on the game. Do not miss understand what I have written... Trying to see what everyones sees.... First look makes this game look like Mia is a good play, but must look at all the facts first....I have not capped this game yet,,,Starting to roll numbers now.

                                            This game may even come up as a NO PLAY...will not know untill I finsh crunching the numbers.

                                            Comment
                                            • swaindexter
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-27-07
                                              • 1228

                                              #23
                                              Chaz...Good point
                                              Comment
                                              • mrmann1
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 02-04-11
                                                • 159

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by redrum
                                                i was at the heat game last tues against the pacers the heat was sluggish couldn't contain the post players. i might leave it alone
                                                Didn't D Wade have the worse performance of his career during that game? Or at least his worst shooting performance and had mad turnovers. Either Pacers just matchup well with Wade (I don't really think so) or Wade is due to 'avenge' that performance. Lebron averages like 28 ppg against them. If all the heat is healthy and play, and Wade steps back up, I see the heat covering -5 against the 'surging' Pacers..
                                                Comment
                                                • sanchez
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 02-02-11
                                                  • 223

                                                  #25
                                                  I only played it because i caught the line at +7
                                                  Comment
                                                  • swaindexter
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-27-07
                                                    • 1228

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by mrmann1
                                                    Didn't D Wade have the worse performance of his career during that game? Or at least his worst shooting performance and had mad turnovers. Either Pacers just matchup well with Wade (I don't really think so) or Wade is due to 'avenge' that performance. Lebron averages like 28 ppg against them. If all the heat is healthy and play, and Wade steps back up, I see the heat covering -5 against the 'surfing's Pacers..
                                                    Very intersting points....Thank you......
                                                    Comment
                                                    • demens
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-22-10
                                                      • 2785

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by swaindexter
                                                      AZ I do understand HC advantage, maybe ML is the way to go on this one. I do not think Indy will will outright here. Mia did win @ home by 5 against Ind on the 8th of this month.
                                                      You said that you think Miami should be a 10 point favorite so you really DONT understand HC advantage AT ALL.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • AZ*SUN*iBET4FUN
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-04-11
                                                        • 1378

                                                        #28
                                                        Even if they Won by 5, Dud you watch the Game??

                                                        Another Reason why People need to get League Pass!

                                                        They were losing the entire game until the 4th Quarter. If the Spread was -5.5 on the 8th you would of lost Money!

                                                        Pacers Match Up Well Against Maimi. KEY Pacer Mismatch

                                                        Roy Hibbert

                                                        On Joel Anthony or Illgaskis

                                                        Hibbert had games on both. Mcroberts was also an X-Factor on the 8th.

                                                        Look at Indy fighting to get a playoff spot as where Miami sits comfy.

                                                        I love betting Miami but not when they don't match up well
                                                        Comment
                                                        • swaindexter
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-27-07
                                                          • 1228

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by demens
                                                          You said that you think Miami should be a 10 point favorite so you really DONT understand HC advantage AT ALL.
                                                          Dude, I thank you for your input, however I have read about 15 of your posts in the last day...ALL ARE NEGATIVE....NOT looking to slam eachother here...Looking to help each other.

                                                          I have been capping for over 25 years...Think I know a little about this crap????????
                                                          Comment
                                                          • swaindexter
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-27-07
                                                            • 1228

                                                            #30
                                                            Oh yeah by the way...my posted plays for Feb on here are 6-2...Yes I suck at this...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • AZ*SUN*iBET4FUN
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-04-11
                                                              • 1378

                                                              #31
                                                              [QUOTE=swaindexter;8830637]SI and Bodoggie already have line moves up to 6. I am starting to think a ML wager may be the best here.

                                                              Ind plays tonight and on Wed then has 6 days off...I find this interesting.....[/QU

                                                              AllStar Weekend!

                                                              Breaktime for the NBA
                                                              Comment
                                                              • swaindexter
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-27-07
                                                                • 1228

                                                                #32
                                                                [quote=AZ*SUN*iBET4FUN;8830894]
                                                                Originally posted by swaindexter
                                                                SI and Bodoggie already have line moves up to 6. I am starting to think a ML wager may be the best here. Ind plays tonight and on Wed then has 6 days off...I find this interesting.....[/QU AllStar Weekend! Breaktime for the NBA
                                                                Ha Ha Ha brain fart.............
                                                                Comment
                                                                • demens
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-22-10
                                                                  • 2785

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by swaindexter
                                                                  Dude, I thank you for your input, however I have read about 15 of your posts in the last day...ALL ARE NEGATIVE....NOT looking to slam eachother here...Looking to help each other.

                                                                  I have been capping for over 25 years...Think I know a little about this crap????????

                                                                  Sorry bro, but someone thats been capping for 25 years doesn't say idiotic shit like this:
                                                                  Originally posted by swaindexter
                                                                  Looked at this game quick. Mia only 5-5 point fav. What am I missing here? Should this line be close to 9-10? Let me know what ya think gang....Thanks in advance.

                                                                  I AM trying to help you, you need to understand how incredibly wrong that statement is.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • swaindexter
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-27-07
                                                                    • 1228

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Only a few mins past 9am here....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • swaindexter
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-27-07
                                                                      • 1228

                                                                      #35
                                                                      demens, ESAD
                                                                      Comment
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