Early look @ Miami (39-15) at Indiana (24-28)
Looked at this game quick. Mia only 5-5 point fav. What am I missing here? Should this line be close to 9-10? Let me know what ya think gang....Thanks in advance.
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Indiana at home.
Check their games against each other
Check their ATS recordsComment -
Really? You've been around since 2007 and you still dont know what you're missing?Originally posted by swaindexter
You know where they are playing this game?Comment -
Originally posted by demens
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Last time they played Miami had a close one at home against them...I believe it was within the last month or so. I had Miami teased and thought it may lose, but got lucky and covered by .5
I'll probably be riding Miami again, but on the ML and parlayed with something else.Comment -
And i'm the jerk. There is someone new every day that needs this explained to them. OMG Spurs are only -3 on the road, OMG Lakers only -2 on the road, shouldn't they be like -30? What am i missing?Originally posted by sanchez
You'd think someone thats been around for 4 years would figure it out by now.Comment -
Take the other side 82% on Miami it was like the kansas k state game k state was a easy winner.Comment -
i was at the heat game last tues against the pacers the heat was sluggish couldn't contain the post players. i might leave it aloneComment -
i know reallyOriginally posted by demens
people assume that the best teams in the league are just dominant over everyone else and that usually isnt the case. san antonio is like that this year, boston miami lakers all have losing recoards ATSComment -
Ok you mean to tell me IND is in the same class as Mia...do not think so.....Originally posted by demens
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Miami hung on by a 5 Point win last time they played 2/8/11 and were a -10.5 at Home. They did go down by 14 but King James had 41 that night. Pacers also won at Home against Miami this year by like 15+. Factor that and the -3 automatic for being the home team and, BAM!!! You get
-5.5. Some Scrub Teams just match up and play well against certain elites.
Good example would be the Kings vs HornetsComment -
Thank you for the useless post. Come on....Mia is a team that is expected to go deep in the playoffs.. Is Ind on the same plain????Originally posted by demensComment -
Mia is 27-26-1 ATS........Originally posted by sanchezComment -
Thats not the case, but the style of ball IND plays(under new coach) is the yin to the Heatles yang. They have big bodies who mash the ball, Chris Bosh is not a PF who matches up with that and the rest of the Heat big men don't play that style of ball well. I think the Celts showed that you cant battle the heatles the way they play, you have to play half court offense and dominate the boards.Originally posted by swaindexterOk you mean to tell me IND is in the same class as Mia...do not think so.....
Its not that any NBA owner would pick Indiana's roster over MIA, but the way they match up, 5.5 points is not a smart play on MIA on the road here.Comment -
Originally posted by swaindexter
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Mia is 19-10 straight up on the road, Ind is 15-11 at home straight up.
However, Ind has won their last three ( @ mil, Min at home and Char at home) but how good are these teams???
Mia coming off the loss to Bos 2 days ago.Comment -
You have to realize what Home Court advantage is and you get Automatic Points b/c of it. No doubt Miami is better, but they have gone 1-1 against the pacers this year and when Indy did beat them it was at Indy by like 15. I to shit my pants when they just played cause I Teased it to -.5 on a 4 team and they went down by 14 and were losing at the end of every quarter but the 4th. Pacers would of won that game if they didn't Get out played 27-15 in the fourth.Originally posted by swaindexterComment -
-6 on the road for Miami is giving alot of credit to the Heat. -10 would be an elite team playing the leagues worst.Comment -
SI and Bodoggie already have line moves up to 6. I am starting to think a ML wager may be the best here.
Ind plays tonight and on Wed then has 6 days off...I find this interesting.....
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I saw 26-27-1Originally posted by swaindexter
on http://www.basketballmatchups.com/NBA_ats.html
either way, its not like they beat the spread more than half the time
dude if you love Miami, bet them, there is always a decent chance they beat the spread. but i, and most here, think there is a better chance that indiana coversComment -
AZ I do understand HC advantage, maybe ML is the way to go on this one. I do not think Indy will will outright here. Mia did win @ home by 5 against Ind on the 8th of this month.Comment -
sanchez, not that I love Mia in this game...Hence I asked for what people thought as a open conversation. Looking for input on the game. Do not miss understand what I have written... Trying to see what everyones sees.... First look makes this game look like Mia is a good play, but must look at all the facts first....I have not capped this game yet,,,Starting to roll numbers now.
This game may even come up as a NO PLAY...will not know untill I finsh crunching the numbers.
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Chaz...Good point
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Didn't D Wade have the worse performance of his career during that game? Or at least his worst shooting performance and had mad turnovers. Either Pacers just matchup well with Wade (I don't really think so) or Wade is due to 'avenge' that performance. Lebron averages like 28 ppg against them. If all the heat is healthy and play, and Wade steps back up, I see the heat covering -5 against the 'surging' Pacers..Originally posted by redrumComment -
I only played it because i caught the line at +7Comment -
Very intersting points....Thank you......Originally posted by mrmann1
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You said that you think Miami should be a 10 point favorite so you really DONT understand HC advantage AT ALL.Originally posted by swaindexterComment -
Even if they Won by 5, Dud you watch the Game??
Another Reason why People need to get League Pass!
They were losing the entire game until the 4th Quarter. If the Spread was -5.5 on the 8th you would of lost Money!
Pacers Match Up Well Against Maimi. KEY Pacer Mismatch
Roy Hibbert
On Joel Anthony or Illgaskis
Hibbert had games on both. Mcroberts was also an X-Factor on the 8th.
Look at Indy fighting to get a playoff spot as where Miami sits comfy.
I love betting Miami but not when they don't match up wellComment -
Dude, I thank you for your input, however I have read about 15 of your posts in the last day...ALL ARE NEGATIVE....NOT looking to slam eachother here...Looking to help each other.Originally posted by demens
I have been capping for over 25 years...Think I know a little about this crap????????Comment -
Oh yeah by the way...my posted plays for Feb on here are 6-2...Yes I suck at this...
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[QUOTE=swaindexter;8830637]SI and Bodoggie already have line moves up to 6. I am starting to think a ML wager may be the best here.
Ind plays tonight and on Wed then has 6 days off...I find this interesting.....[/QU
AllStar Weekend!
Breaktime for the NBA
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[quote=AZ*SUN*iBET4FUN;8830894]Ha Ha Ha brain fart.............Originally posted by swaindexterSI and Bodoggie already have line moves up to 6. I am starting to think a ML wager may be the best here. Ind plays tonight and on Wed then has 6 days off...I find this interesting.....[/QU AllStar Weekend! Breaktime for the NBA
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Originally posted by swaindexter
Sorry bro, but someone thats been capping for 25 years doesn't say idiotic shit like this:
Originally posted by swaindexterLooked at this game quick. Mia only 5-5 point fav. What am I missing here? Should this line be close to 9-10? Let me know what ya think gang....Thanks in advance.
I AM trying to help you, you need to understand how incredibly wrong that statement is.Comment -
Only a few mins past 9am here....Comment -
demens, ESADComment
