Baywatch Bets 2011

[baywatch]

AFL UPDATE:

Huge Sunday and great way to round out roud 11 going 4-0 including my biggest play of the year for x5 units. All up added x10 units to my bank

Current Run: 5-0
AFL YTD: 53-42-2 (+28.41 @ 55.8%)
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Nice winner Today adding +2 units with Miami holding on this time

Current Run: 16-7
NBA YTD: 131-97-1 (+26.6 @ 57.5%)
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[baywatch]

NRL

Tigers win to complete my double and end round 13 @ 3-3-1 but most importantly with a profit of +1.73u. Has been a struggle in the NRL this season. Closing in on erasing my intial losses early.

Current Run: 9-4-1
NRL YTD: 30-32-2 (-4.32 @ 48.4%)
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NBA FINALS GAME 4
ATS - HEAT +3 (x2)
Write up - http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/201...l-play_07.html

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NBA FINALS GAME 5
1ST H - HEAT +0.5 (x3)
Write up - http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/201...l-play_09.html

NBA YTD: 131-97-2 (+26.6 @ 57.5%)

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NRL Round 13
ML - DRAGONS (x1.5)
Write up - http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/201...l-play_09.html

NRL YTD: 30-32-2 (-4.32 @ 48.4%)

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AFL Round 11
ATS - SAINTS -11.5 (x4)
Write up - http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/201...l-play_09.html

AFL YTD: 53-42-2 (+28.41 @ 55.8%)

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Unlucky loss in the NBA and the Dragons lost their way in the second half in the NRL..... but a huge x4 unit win in the AFL

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DOUBLE - CATS ML / SWANS ML (x4)
ATS - SUNS +21.5 (x2)
write up @ http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

AFL YTD: 54-42-2 (+32.46 @ 56.2%)

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Added Live quarter time
ATS - SUNS +24.5 (x3)
(0.3u @ 11.0 @ Sportingbet)

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NRL

MARGIN- TIGERS 1-12 (x2)
ML - RAIDERS (x1)
write up @ www.baywatchbets.blogspot.com

NRL YTD: 30-33-2 (-6.07 @ 47.6%)

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AFL SUNDAY

PLAYER EXOTICS - DREAMTEAM H2H
N. LOWER (FREO) OVER A. WELSH (ESS) (x1)

Don't play many of these player exotic bets but this one jumped out to me. We have Andrew Welsh of Essendon playing his first game of the year on the the longest road trip @ the wide open spaces of Patterson Stadium in the West up against Docker Nick Lower. Lower has a season avg of 74.1 and has been in good touch with scores of 89, 83 & 119 in his last 3 games with an avg of 97. Tough ask for Welsh in his 1st game, you wonder how much gametime he will play. Last year Welsh averaged 71. Lower for me to win this head 2 head battle.

(1.3u @ 1.77 @ Centrebet)
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DOUBLE - CATS ML / SWANS ML (x4)
ATS - SUNS +21.5 (x2)
write up @ http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

Added Live quarter time
ATS - SUNS +24.5 (x3)
(0.3u @ 11.0 @ Sportingbet)

1-1 here adding +1.55u
AFL YTD: 55-43-2 (+34.01 @ 56.1%)
(x1 bet pending)

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Lower came through in the end with 79DT to Welsh's 47DT. About where I thought they would end up. Lower perhaps a little less but a good win adding x1u

AFL: Current Run: 8-1
AFL YTD: 56-43-2 (+35.01 @ 56.5%)

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NRL

MARGIN- TIGERS 1-12 (x2)
ML - RAIDERS (x1)
write up @ www.baywatchbets.blogspot.com

NRL YTD: 30-33-2 (-6.07 @ 47.6%)

Went 1-1 here in the NRL adding 0.9u to bank.

NRL YTD: 31-34-2 (-5.17 @ 47.7%)

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NBA FINALS SERIES RESULT - HEAT 4-3 (x3.5)

NBA FINALS GAME 6
1ST Q - HEAT -1.5 (x1)
PLAYER EXOTICS - JAMES TOTAL POINTS over 25.5 (x2)
write up @ http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/201...l-play_13.html

NBA YTD: 131-98-2 (+23.3 @ 57.2%)

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Adding
2ND H - HEAT -4.5 (x2)

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Disapointing end to what has been a good season in the NBA for me. dropping 9.25 units.... ending the year with a positive record of 131-102-2 (+14.15 @ 56.47%). Playoffs cost me as my end of regular season bank was +30.3u.

Credit to Dallas for an outstanding playoffs and Finals series. I for one did not pay this team enough respect in the post season. Which is strange because they were one of my most backed teams during the regular season. They suprised most by sweeping the Lakers and then dealing with the Thunder then finally Miami. Well deserved

See you all again next season but till then its full steam ahead in the footy!

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NRL MONDAY NIGHT

1ST H - STORM (x1.5)
ATS - STORM -2 (x1)
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NRL

STATE OF ORIGIN GAME 2
EXOTIC - TIME OF 1ST TRY - 11TH MINUTE OR LATER OR NO TRY (x1)
write up @ http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/201...l-play_15.html

NRL YTD: 33-34-2 (-2.64 @ 49.2%)

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NRL

STATE OF ORIGIN GAME 2
EXOTIC - TIME OF 1ST TRY - 11TH MINUTE OR LATER OR NO TRY (x1)
write up @ http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/201...l-play_15.html

Winner here in Origin adding x1 unit! On a 4-0 run

Onto Round 15 NRL

DOUBLE: TITANS +12.5 / STORM +10.5 (x2)
(Buying points)
ST.G @ BRIS EXOTIC - TIME OF 1ST TRY - 11TH MINUTE OR LATER OR NO TRY (x1)
write up @ www.baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

NRL YTD: 34-34-2 (-1.64 @ 50%)

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AFL ROUND 13

DOUBLE MARGIN: BULLDOGS 1-39 / CATS 1-39 (x5)
write up @ www.baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

Current Run: 8-1
AFL YTD: 56-43-2 (+35.01 @ 56.5%)

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AFL SATURDAY:

ATS - BOMBERS -7.5 (x3)
1ST Q - LIONS (x2)
write up @ www.baywatchbets.blogspot.com/
(Also have Cats 1-39 as 2nd leg of double tonight)

YTD: 56-43-2 (+35.01 @ 56.5%)

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DOUBLE: TITANS +12.5 / STORM +10.5 (x2)
(Buying points)
ST.G @ BRIS EXOTIC - TIME OF 1ST TRY - 11TH MINUTE OR LATER OR NO TRY (x1)

0-2 here in the NRL dropping -3.5 units

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Just one play today in the NRL

ATS - COWBOYS -4.5 (x1.5)

ytd: 34-36-2 (-5.14 @ 48.6%)

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Just one play today in the NRL
ATS - COWBOYS -4.5 (x1.5)

Nice winner with the Cowboys adding +1.52u

NRL SUNDAY/MONDAY DOUBLE

DOUBLE: STORM +10.5 / SEA EAGLES ML (x2)
write up @ http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/201...l-play_19.html
YTD: 35-36-2 (-3.63 @ 49.3%)

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DOUBLE MARGIN: BULLDOGS 1-39 / CATS 1-39 (x5)

ATS - BOMBERS -7.5 (x3)
1ST Q - LIONS (x2)

2-1 so far in round 13 +3.77u

AFL SUNDAY

ML - DOCKERS (x4)
ATS - SWANS +24.5 (x2)
PORT @ WCE PLAYER EXOTIC: MOST GOALS H2H - J.KENNEDY OVER M.LECRA (x1)
write ups @ www.baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

YTD: 58-44-2 (+38.78 @ 56.9%)

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AFL

ADDING QTR time
ATS - DOCKERS +36.5 (x2)

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AFL ROUND 14
ATS - HAWKS -9.5 (x2)


The Hawks enter tonight match against arch rivals Essendon without both of their big forwards Buddy and Roughhead! This will be a huge task for the remainder of the side to lift and the likes of Hale to really step up! But The way Hawthorn play I think they can still come out on top of the out of form Bombers. The Hawks have won 4 of their last 5 losing only to Geelong by under a goal while Essendon is on a 4 game losing streak. Looking closer in the last month they have lost to North, Freo, Melbourne and Richmond! hardly world beaters this lot! The Bombers also have a horrendous record at the MCG. Having lost their past 8 matches in a row. The last time they were able to sing the song was over 12 months ago in round 9 last year.

Hawthorn will press hard and catch the flat footed bombers out with their run and carry tonight. Look for the likes of Suckling, Sheils, Savage, Smith, Burgoyne and little Cyril to run the bombers off their feet just as the fitter Kangaroos did last week. I am also a little surprised to see the Bombers go with all 3 big men Ryder, Bellchambers and Hille? The Hawks have had an issue with height over the past few years and will play a game style that suits their speed tonight. Hawks to win and cover.

AFL YTD: 58-47-2 (+31.43 @ 55.2%)
http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

NRL ROUND 16

DOUBLE - RABBITOHS +12.5 / SHARKS +12.5 (x2)
ATS - BULLDOGS -2.5 (x1.5)
write up @ www.baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

NRL YTD: 36-36-2 (-1.61 @ 50%)

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AFL ROUND 14
ATS - HAWKS -9.5 (x2)
The Hawks enter tonight match against arch rivals Essendon without both of their big forwards Buddy and Roughhead! This will be a huge task for the remainder of the side to lift and the likes of Hale to really step up! But The way Hawthorn play I think they can still come out on top of the out of form Bombers. The Hawks have won 4 of their last 5 losing only to Geelong by under a goal while Essendon is on a 4 game losing streak. Looking closer in the last month they have lost to North, Freo, Melbourne and Richmond! hardly world beaters this lot! The Bombers also have a horrendous record at the MCG. Having lost their past 8 matches in a row. The last time they were able to sing the song was over 12 months ago in round 9 last year.

Hawthorn will press hard and catch the flat footed bombers out with their run and carry tonight. Look for the likes of Suckling, Sheils, Savage, Smith, Burgoyne and little Cyril to run the bombers off their feet just as the fitter Kangaroos did last week. I am also a little surprised to see the Bombers go with all 3 big men Ryder, Bellchambers and Hille? The Hawks have had an issue with height over the past few years and will play a game style that suits their speed tonight. Hawks to win and cover.

AFL YTD: 58-47-2 (+31.43 @ 55.2%)
http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

Nice x2 unit winner here with Essendon failing to turn up yet again . Liking a few today giving away the points.

ATS - W.BULLDOGS -33.5 (x2)
ATS - DOCKERS -32.5 (x2)
ATS - MAGPIES -33.5 (x4)
write ups for all @ www.baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

AFL YTD: 59-47-2 (+33.43 @ 55.7%)

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ADDING:
AFL PLAYER EXOTIC - DT H2H - S.HIGGINS over D.CROSS (x1)

After having a close look at the player exotic markets, I have found one that I feel offers good value. Shaun Higgins to post more DT points than Daniel Cross. Since returning from injury, Rocket has moved Higgins to the back half in a more quarterback type role which really suits as he is a great user of the pill. His DT scores have gone 73, 84, 95 & 105 in the last 4 weeks. So as you can see he is getting better each week. This is the game he will love and should get plenty of ball all over the ground. The last time the Dogs played the Suns, Higgins scored 126! Cross has been a reliable servant for the dogs but over the past month has had scores of 56, 91, 51 & 86. So a bit below average for him. with odds of 1.97 for Higgins and 1.82 for Cross, I feel they have them the wrong way round. Higgins to have a big game against the smaller bodies of the suns

(1.05u @ 1.97 @ Centrebet)

Also placed future bet @ start of round: COLEMAN MEDAL: J.KENNEDY x2 UNITS @ $10

[baywatch]

NRL

ML - EELS (x1.5)
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[baywatch]

NRL

2-1 so far this round and finally back in the black

Just one today
ML - STORM (x1)

Current Run: 7-3
YTD: 38-37-2 (+0.75u @ 50.7%)

https://www.baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

Terrible day yesterday.... All 3 teams win but fail to cover moving on I like 3 today:

ADEL @ GEEL
PLAYER EXOTIC: MOST GOALS H2H - PODSIADLY over TIPPETT (x1)
ATS - EAGLES +27.5 (x2)
ATS - KANGAROOS +12.5 (x2)

YTD: 59-51-2 (+23.43 @ 53.6%)
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