Baywatch Bets 2011

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NBA

No good yesterday...... Both dogs got up. Bulls were the biggest letdown. I always thought Dallas LA would be tight. Was tossing up playing 1ST Q or 1ST H..... Naturally I went the wrong option

Moving on to today! I expect I huge lift from the Celtics in a defensive struggle tonight. While not sure they can win outright, happy to take the points. GL all

DOUBLE - CELTICS +9.5 / TS UNDER 187.5 (x1.5)
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[baywatch]

Haven't had much luck last couple days..... Liking both favourites here on revenge to get it done @ home!

1ST H - BULLS -4.5 (x1)
DOUBLE - BULLS HT/FT / LAKERS ML (x2)
1ST H - LAKERS -3.5 (x2)

Well things didn't go as planed for both these teams in the opener of their round 2 matches with both starting off with a loss @ home as favorites. Both these teams are outright favorites in their divisions and while I still think Miami and Oklahoma City will play their part, they are deserving favorites.

Tonight both are on serious revenge! Getting beaten opening game on your home court! Lookout Hawks and MAVS here. Rose has just been officially named MVP for the season and rightly so he has been sensational! But he made it very clear in his conference that it's all about the next game! He did pull up sore after game one but he will be giving everything tonight right from the get go! More will come from Boozer and Deng tonight! And especially from their bench! I wouldn't be surprised to see a double digit lead at the half then they cruise to an easy win tonight!

The Lakers are in much the same boat here in game two @ home. While they did control most of game one the failed to finish. Kobe had two crucial errors in the last two plays. Trying to slip a pass which was cut off and then slipped up when trying to receive the ball on the final play! He will be dirty on himself and I expect a huge effort from number 24 tonight! Lamar and Gasol need to contain Dirk and I think they can. But what's more important is LA must go through those guys and Bynum and pressure Dirk on the defensive end! If he picks up early fouls Dallas are in all sorts! LA to come out strong and lead well early.

Both teams lead @ the half well and get their revenge evening up the series 1-1 tonight!

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

NRL TEST MATCH

ATS - KANGAROOS -11.5 (x1.5)

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NBA

ML - BULLS (x1.5)

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NBA

ATS - LAKERS +2 (x1.5)

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AFL ROUND 7

ATS - SWANS +6.5 (x2)
1ST Q - DOCKERS (x1)
ATS - DOCKERS -5.5 (1.5)
ATS - SUNS +49.5 (x1)

AFL YTD: 22-16-2 (+11.98 @ 57.9%)

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NRL ROUND 9

ATS - STORM -4.5 (x1.5)
ATS - TITANS -4.5 (x2)

NRL ATS: 17-23-1 (-10.08 @ 43%)

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AFL

ADDING: ADDED 2ND H - DOCKERS -4.5 (x1)

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Added 4th Q - DOCKERS -6.5 (x2)

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ATS - SWANS +6.5 (x2) WIN
1ST Q - DOCKERS (x1) LOSS
ATS - DOCKERS -5.5 (2.5) LOSS
4th Q - DOCKERS -5.5 (x2) LOSS
1ST Q - SUNS (x2)
ATS - SUNS +49.5 (x2)

AFL YTD: 22-16-2 (+11.98 @ 57.9%)
Updated and added play.

It's official Freo cannot win at the G! Pathetic effort that! Ni disrespect to the Tigers but if they were to be serious in September they need to win those games. Tigers on the improve. Fun team to watch

[baywatch]

Adding
4th Q - SUNS +11.5 (x1)

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NBA

ML - THUNDER (x2)

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Sorry guys will update all after Monday's sports! Very up and down week so far. Quick note..... Keep an open mind on my next play


ML - LAKERS (x1.5)
SERIES - LAKERS (x7)

Yes thats right I've had a small wager on LA beat all the odds and creating NBA history by winning the series 0-3 down. He's my logic..... I believe LA has seriously under achieved so far this series. Obvious statement. I thought they should have won both games 2 and 3 and again believe they have the ability to flick the switch and turn it on in game 4! Hence my ML bet. So if I believe they will keep the series alive in this game they will then be heavy favourites in game 5 @ home right? Now if this all plays out and yes I relize it's a huge if but roll with me here for a moment.... If they grab game 4 then win @ home in game 5, we then find ourselves with a 2-3 series. Still tough and gotta win away but I believe odds of 8-1 are to good not to have a small nibble at. Especially because I believe we will get to game 6 and then who Knows. Now I'm not saying get on its a sure winner but if u are still thinking this team has more to give and take game 4 and 5 then surely it's worth thought. LA to get that much needed win and keep their dream alive! Happy punting guys.

[baywatch]

ATS - BULLS -3.5 (x2)

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ML - SAINTS (x3)

Do or Die for the Saint here tonight! They are currently sitting on just one win for the season and are currently below the Suns on the ladder. While Carlton are getting plenty of praise for their good start but much of that is all because of C.Judd! Carlton return from a tough slog against the Swans in Sydney and have won just one of the last ten against the Saints. Not sure how being hot favorites will sit with the Blues? Look the Saints offer plenty of value @ over $3 and if Kosi and Roo can take a few early marks inside forward 50 they could be on their way to a much needed Victory. This is the one area I still feel the Blues can be exposed. Their lack of size in the back half. Jones will put the clamps on Judd and look for big games from Goddard, Montagna and Dal Santo. The Saints are back at the Dome the ground they have had the most success at and play their best Footy! Saints for me to Catch the Blues off guard and get the season back on track!

(1.4u @ 3.16 @ Centrebet)

[baywatch]

Adding extra 0.55u @ 6.5 1/2 time bet so my bet will return x6 units
(0.55 @ 6.5 @ Centrebet)

Still like St.Kilda's chances here. Minimal outlay for double return if come through.

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ATS - HEAT -1.5 (x2)
ATS - THUNDER +2 (x1.5)

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2ND H - HEAT -6 (x1.5)

NBA YTD: 118-91-1 (+19.70 @ 56.5%)

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NBA

ATS - BULLS -3.5 (x2)

YTD: 119-91-1 (+21.2 @ 56.7%)

[baywatch]

Winner today!

Nba update
ytd: 120-91-1 (+23.22 @ 56.9%)

[baywatch]

AFL CARD ROUND 8

ATS - CATS +13.5 (x1.5)
ML - KANGAROOS (x2)
ATS - SUNS +38.5 (x1)
ATS - SWANS -36.5 (x1)

AFL YTD: 26-20-2 (+12.11 @ 56.5%)

May have more as round unfolds.

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NRL ROUND 10

ATS - BRONCOS -5.5 (x2)

More to follow

NRL YTD: 18-24-1 (-10.77 @ 43%)

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ADDED

ML - CATS (x1) @ Quarter time

(1.3u @ 1.8 @ Sportingbet)

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ADDED @ 1/2 time:ML - CATS 0.5u @ 4.25

Small outlay for extra 1.7 units. Took the Cats at the wrong time earlier. This makes up for it if they get up of course.

So now effectively have:
ATS - CATS +13.5 (x1.5)
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
LIVE ML - CATS (x2.5)
(1.8 outlaid to return 2.75)

(3.45u to win 4.25)

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ADDED @ 1/2 time:ML - CATS 0.5u @ 4.25

Small outlay for extra 1.7 units. Took the Cats at the wrong time earlier. This makes up for it if they get up of course.

So now effectively have:
ATS - CATS +13.5 (x1.5)
(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)
LIVE ML - CATS (x2.5)
(1.8 outlaid to return 2.75)

(3.45u to win 4.25)

WINNER!!!! on all x3 plays! +4.25u

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NRL ROUND 10

ATS - BRONCOS -5.5 (x2) LOSS

More to follow

NRL YTD: 18-24-1 (-10.77 @ 43%)

BRONCOS very disappointing!

ATS - COWBOYS -5.5 (x1) (Buying x1 point)

[baywatch]

ML - THUNDER (x1.5)
(LIVE BET @ 3/4 TIME 1.0u @ 2.6 @ Centrebet)

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4TH Q - SUNS (x1.5)

(0.55u @ 3.8 @ Centrebet)
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[baywatch]

NRL

2ND H - STORM -6.5 (x2)

(Game line -2.5. Storm down 6-12 @ 1/2 time)

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AFL

2ND H - BOMBERS -14.5 (x1)

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NRL
ML - WARRIORS (x1.5)
(1.3u @ 2.15 @ Centrebet)

DOUBLE - WARRIORS +12.5 / TITANS +12.5 (x2)
(2.4u @ 1.83 @ Sportingbet)

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AFL
ML - TIGERS (x1.5)
(1.25u @ 2.2 @ Sportingbet)

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AFL (LIVE @ 1/4 TIME)

ATS - TIGERS +41.5 (x2)
ML - TIGERS (x2.5)

(2.3u @ 1.88 @ Sportsbet)
(0.4u @ 7.2 @ Sportsbet)
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[baywatch]

AFL
4TH Q - HAWKS -5.5 (x1)

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AFL
ML - DOCKERS (x1.5)
(1.7u @ 1.9 @ Centrebet)