Baywatch Bets 2011

[baywatch]

AFL

ATS - BLUES -32.5 (x1)

AFL YTD: 40-30-2 (+20.15 @ 57.1%)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

ATS - SWANS -1.5 (x1)

Sydney will be without man mountain Mumford for this clash which will hurt, but are lucky to have capable back up in Seaby waiting in the wings. He will grab this opportunity with both hands and I expect a huge performance from the former eagle. North regain a couple of handy ball carriers in Anthony and Greenwood but just how will their fair first game back? North let last weeks game slip up in Brisbane and I think this just proves the point that this young side don't know how to close out games, they haven't learnt how to win!

The Swans have a good record against the Roos winning their past 4 by an average of 5 goals. Goodes has also enjoyed matching up against Nth. Look for him to lead from the front and get the Swans back on track here today. Sydney has won its past 2 here under the roof and have not fared well @ home so perhaps a game on the road is just what the doctor ordered? Sydney to control the tempo of this one and win comfortably. 4-5 goals!

(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)

AFL YTD: 41-30-2 (+21.16 @ 57.7%)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

NRL

DOUBLE - COWBOYS ML / STORM -2.5 (x1)
(1.05 @ 1.98 @ Centrebet)

NRL YTD: 25-28-1 (-6.95 @ 47.2%)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

Adding LIVE 1/4 time
ML - DOCKERS (x1.5)
(0.6u @ 3.5 @ Centrebet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

ADDING
2ND H - DOCKERS -2.5 (x1.5)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL Round 10

1ST H - CATS -33.5 (x2)
ATS - CATS -63.5 (x1)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

Adding LIVE quarter time

ATS - CATS -17.5 (x4)

(4.55u @ 1.88 @ Sportsbet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

NRL

DOUBLE - STORM -2.5 / TIGERS +12.5 (x1)

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/05/nrl-official-play_29.html

[baywatch]

AFL SUNDAY x2 PLAYS

ATS - EAGLES +29.5 (x1.5)

West Coast are one of the hot teams in the comp right now! Coming off a demolition of the Dogs last week they are on fire! This is a huge test, playing Collingwood at the MCG! Are this young group up to the challenge? Most definately! Collngwood got out of jail last week with a last quarter rush! They are seriously missing Jolly and now with Brown still out also are struggling to be competitive in the ruck. Up against the Eagles this is not the area you want to be struggling. Cox and Nic Nat will work young wood over and try to deny the Magpies on ball brigade first use. Another area West Coast have the upper hand is with their tall forwards Lynch, Darling and Kennedy! All three are in good form and will require close attention. Not something the Magpies backs really like doing. Reid and Tarrant yes will do a job but Maxwell or O'Brien will have to man up on the other.

Collingwood at home should have enough to get over the line but I really like the Eagles chances here for reasons stated earlier. I think they can win and am happy have a 5 goal start.

(1.65u @ 1.92 @ Centrebet)


DOUBLE - LIONS +39.5 / DOGS +39.5 (x1.5)

Brisbane travel to Adelaide in an unusual situation, coming off a win! On the back of the return of J.Brown the Lions notched up their first win of the year against Nth @ the Gabba. While the Crows played some of their best Footy for 3 quarters against the Magpies. Then an avalanche of goals in the last crushed the crows! How will that affect this group who have stuggled for much of the year. Their confidence would be shot! The Lions quite the opposite, getting that first win and have Brown inside the forward 50 will give the young Lions enormous confidence! While the Crows should win at home, I don't think they will have it their own way. lions to give them a scare and keep this one close.

2nd up I like the Bulldogs to respond from one of the worst performances in the clubs history! They were pathetic in the second half last week against the Eagles. They have recalled Lake, Hall and have give Gilbee a reprieve whic is a positive move. Lake and Hall in particular will give them structure and take a little pressure off the younger players who have been trying to fill those rolls. Lake is an interesting one, he has been seriously out of form but insisted he be played today. Given he has a terrific record on Buddy this could prove a master stoke! If anything it may play on the mind of the Hawthorn champ. While I'm not sure the dogs can get the points I expect a huge lift in effort here today! Take the Dogs and the points.

(1.55u @ 1.98 @ Centrebet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

*

[baywatch]

Adding
2ND H - EAGLES +15.5 (x1)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

ATS - BULLDOGS +23.5 (x1.5)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

2ND H - BULLDOGS +16.5 (x2)
(Game line +48.5)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

NRL Monday Night Footy

I see a bit of value in the Bunnies here in what should be a low scoring game in the wet.

DOUBLE - RABBITOES +4.5 / TOTAL SCORE UNDER 34.5 (x2.5)

(1.2u @ 3.15 @ Sportingbet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

NBA FINALS GAME 1
ATS - HEAT -4 (x1.5)

Rolling with the Heat @ home here in Game 1! Miami and the big 3 has been super impressive in this finals campaign. James the standout! He has done it all. Scoring, clutch shooting and his defense! Simply outstanding! And if he is having a rare off night, look out for Wade! Bosh has also stepped up with a few outstanding performances. To many weapons here. With Bibby and Anthony just doing a job and Miller finding his range the "others" are contributing also. For me the big bonus for Miami has been the return of Haslem. He gives that energy and desperation this team lacked from the bench!

Make no mistake this series will not be all one way traffic! Dallas has been outstanding and well deserved in their own right. Dirk is almost unstoppable. Their other pieces aren't as lethal as Miami's big 3 but they're have a lot more depth. Kidd, Chandler, Marion, Terry and that little man Berea. Dallas got over the Lakers 4-0 and put the Thunder away 4-1, both convincingly! Dirk has been shooting out of this world! And the team as a whole also, especially from beyond the arc.

For me Miami has won it's last 5 here @ home. The different roles James played through out the Chicago series really impressed! Expect him at some stage to lock down on Dirk! And expect Miami as a whole to pressure Dallas's Shooters. This will be the difference as Miami can score from anywhere and if one don't get ya the other 2 will! Miami to win and cover at home in game one!
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

Nice winner in game one tonight adding +1.5 units!!!

Current Run: 15-6
NBA YTD: 130-96-1 (+26.8 @ 57.5%)

[baywatch]

QUICK UPDATE

AFL
Current Run: 34-27
YTD: 45-37-2 (+19.88 @ 55%)

NRL
Current Run: 6-1
YTD: 27-29-1 (-6.13 @ 48%)

[baywatch]

NBA FINALS GAME 2
ATS - HEAT -4.5 (x2)
WRITE UP - http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/201...l-play_03.html

NBA YTD: 130-96-1 (+26.8 @ 57.5%)

[baywatch]

Ouch...... Up 15 with 6mins to go and lose that hurts

[baywatch]

NRL FRIDAY

DOUBLE - DRAGONS ML / BRONCOS ML (x2)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

Adding something a little different in the Dragons v Para match. Betting no try scored in the first 8 mins. Dragons tend to take the shot at goal after a penalty and a fierce on defense.

EXOTIC - STG V PARA TIME OF 1ST TRY - after 8 min (x1.5)
(2.0u @ 1.75 @ Sportsbet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL LIVE QUARTER TIME
ATS - BOMBERS -21.5 (x2)
(2.3u @ 1.88 @ Centrebet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

Adding 4TH Q - BOMBERS -6.5 (x2)
(2.2u @ 1.90 @ Sportingbet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL SATURDAY

DOUBLE - CATS -24.5 / MAGPIES -15.5 (x3)
1ST Q - SUNS +15.5 (x1)
ATS - SUNS +67.5 (x1)
ML - SWANS (x1.5)

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

NRL SATURDAY

ATS - TITANS -2 (x1.5)
ML - WARRIORS (x1)

[baywatch]

AFL

4TH Q - CATS -10.5 (x1.5)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

4TH Q - SUNS (x3)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

NRL

2ND H - TITANS -1.5 (x1)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

4TH Q - MAGPIES -9.5 (x1)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL SUNDAY

DOUBLE - HAWKS -15.5 / BLUES -15.5 (x5)
(4.5u @ 2.12 @ Sportsbet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[h3da]

I guess you are also from Australia. Not a huge fan of AFL but I think Cowboys has a good chance against Canberra

[baywatch]

NRL SUNDAY

DOUBLE - COWBOYS +12.5 / TIGERS ML (x2)
(2.25u @ 1.89 @ Centrebet)

HT/FT - STORM (x2)
(2.05u @ 1.99 @ Centrebet)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

2ND H - HAWKS -16.5 (x2)
(Hawks down by 11. Match line -5.5)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

ATS - BLUES -24.5 (x2)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

AFL

2ND H - BLUES -15.5 (x1)
__________________

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/

[baywatch]

NBA FINALS GAME 3
ATS - HEAT +2.5 (x2)

http://baywatchbets.blogspot.com/2011/06/nba-official-play_06.html