AFL
2ND H - DOCKERS -1.5 (x2)
LIVE MARGIN - DOCKERS 1-39 (x3.5)
(2.3u @ 1.88 @ Sportsbet)
(0.35u @ 11.0 @ Sportsbet)
2ND H - DOCKERS -1.5 (x2)
LIVE MARGIN - DOCKERS 1-39 (x3.5)
(2.3u @ 1.88 @ Sportsbet)
(0.35u @ 11.0 @ Sportsbet)
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ML - BULLS (x1.5)
(1.95u @ 1.77 @ Sportsbet)Comment -
AFL UPDATE:
Had a lot going on on Sunday for not much benifit but end the day infront. Good Round in all!
8-4 +7.85 UNITS! Year starting to take shape
AFL YTD: 35-24-2 (+19.95u @ 59.3%)Comment -
Nice Winner on the Bulls today! This makes for an interesting Series.....Originally posted by baywatch
NBA YTD: 121-92-1 (+23.7u @ 56.8%)
The NBA is coming to a close with the Thunder advancing to meet Dallas in the West and Chicago already a game up on the Heat in the East. My prediction earlier in the piece was these two to be where they are and a Miami v Oklahoma Final. While I still think this may eventuate I must admit I not as confident. Dallas has a huge advantage now with the rest they have had and Chicago were convincing in game 1. I did bet on that game however. May look into Miami series price now?
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NRL MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
ML - TITANS (x1.5)
Rolling with the Gold Coast here in Monday Night Football! More of a gut instinct than anything. The Titans are up against it this season after a terrible start. They are playing well below the standard's we all expect. They are at home and have actually won 3 of the last 4 against Manly. The Titans have received a boost with Bailey back this week and Mino gets back in the starting line up which looks alot better. Also much prefer G.Bird in the Back Row, he adds that go forward and unpredictability that could spark this team. He has great ball playing ability and also takes on the line. He will be up for a big one tonight after being named for the Blues yesterday!
Manly have been dealt a blow with B.Stewart ruled out. While they are in good form the Sea Eagles this game is a huge danger! Travelling up North I think they may find this one tough. The Titans can score plenty of points and I think they steal this one! Titans win outright!
(1.05u @ 2.45 @ Sportsbet)Comment -
NBA
ATS - THUNDER +6 (x1)
Dallas giving up to many points in this one for my liking. This price has been inflated IMO by the way the Mavs handed or dismantled the Lakers in 4! they have had 9 days off! that's an eternity in NBA terms, will this help or hinder? I believe it will help the older players likes of J.Kidd but hinder the momentum and may come out a little rusty tonight. They are up against a young team with two out and out stars of the game in Durant and Westbrook. They are coming off a tough 7 game series against Memphis. I actually feel this will do this young group wonders! Westbrook may not have his way against Kidd so he must distribute! Just as he did in game 7, this is the key, getting Durant more of the ball. Also Perkins and Ibaka must be aggressive and put pressure on Dirk. I don't think they can stop Dirk but they have plenty of players to rotate on to him at any point of the game with Perkins, Ibaka & Collison.
Thunder for me to keep this one close.
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)
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0-1 and -1.1u yesterday.... Thunder just could not stop Dirk! and Westbrook didn't fire a shot! with the numbers these two put up I was surprised OKC was still in the game as long as they were....
Current Run: 5-2
NBA YTD: 122-92-1 (+22.63 @ 56.5%)
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On to Tonights Game 2: Miami @ Chicago
1ST H - HEAT +1 (x1.5)
ML - HEAT (x1)
Miami to bounce back in a big way here tonight in game 2! or more importantly L.James! Lebron was terrible in game one both offensively and defensively! He was out hustled and smashed on the boards by Noah, Deng and Gibson. He is to good a player not to learn from that performance and will bounce back! James was not alone, Wade too was out played and fell away in the second half. I expect these two in particular to come back strong tonight and put up closer to 65 between them. Miami were the best 1st Half side in the regular season and were right in game one up until 3/4 time. This is a huge game for Miami as they will not want to head home for game 3 down 0-2! Chicago were ranked 9th in 1st Halves.
While Miami 1st Half is my strong lean I also feel that Miami must respond here and with James now fit and healthy and Wade looking to respond the value is with the Heat ML @ $2.23! so small wager on Miami to square up the series also here tonight!
(1.6u @ 1.95 @ Sportingbet)
0.8u @ 2.23 @ Centrebet)
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2-0 today adding 2.5 units!
Miami turn it on as they had too.... Lead at the half and winning outright! L.James leading the way with 29 and 10! Miami win the battle of the boards also 45 - 41! Now head home for Game 3 with series locked 1-1.
Current Run: 7-2
NBA YTD: 123-93-1 (+25.13 @ 57%)
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NRL FRIDAY:
ATS - BULLDOGS -5.5 (x1.5)
The Bulldogs will be to strong for the injury hit Raiders here tonight! Canberra while coming off a huge upset win against the Storm in Melbourne, will have to field a very inexperienced side and are missing players in vital spots with Duggan missing with origin duties at fullback and Orford, Shillington, Leroy-Lars and of course Campo all out with injury. The dogs surprisingly have almost a full strength side ready to run out tonight with Ennis the only missing. The Dogs have far to much fire power with Barba, Idris, and Morris. Also an inform forward back lead by Tolman and Pritchard to set the standard for the night. Their new halves are gelling well and will carve up Canberra tonight! Huge letdown spot for the Raiders, this one could get ugly!
(1.5u @ 2.0 @ Sportsbet)
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AFL FRIDAY
ATS - CATS -15.5 (x2)
Geelong are Flying! After being written off after last year this team has tweaked it's game style slightly and is on fire! Normally you would suggest a team coming off a huge win like geelong over the Pies would be in line for a letdown. But this Geelong outfit has done all this before. They won't be getting carried away with a big win in May. Carlton have impressed and are looking a likely top 4 team. I still have doubts on their defense and if Judd doesn't fire they do tend to drop off. Carlton will go in to this one having had recent success over the Cats. But those 2 loses were at the MCG, looking through the stats the Geelong has not fair as well at the G as they have at home and at The dome! And this one is at Etihad! Geelong has won all 8 matches between these two sides at the Dome and play under the roof extremely well.
Just going back to the Blues back half, the inclusions for Geelong could prove very smart additions. Taylor Hunt will take one of the Blues quicks down back, Milburn can play small or tall forward or back and the young ruck man on debut Vardy will most definately be pushed forward along with Ottens to really stretch the Blues back half. Jamison and Thorton will be occupied by Pods and Hawkins, who takes the next tall? Then you have S.Johnson, Chapman, Bartel, And Stokes roaming through there.... Headaches are on the cards for the Blues!
Geelong just seem to have the Blues covered in all match ups and as they play this ground as well as the do Skilled Park they have the edge! Will the passing of one of Geelongs favourite sons in Bob Davis play any part? Who knows but Cats to win and cover here tonight. Geelong by 25+
(2u @ 2.0 @ Sportsbet)
AFL: Current Run: 23-11
AFL YTD: 35-24-2 (+19.95 @ 59.3%)
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Adding
AFL LIVE Qtr Time:
ATS - CATS -1.5 (x2)
(2.2u @ 1.9 @ Centrebet)Comment -
1-1 in the AFL tonight. Break-even. Carlton continue to impress.Comment -
AFL SATURDAY
ML - LIONS (x1.5)
1ST Q - BOMBERS -3.5 (x1)
AFL YTD: 36-25-2 (+19.95 @ 59%)
Write ups @ blog.
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NRL
Bulldogs disappointing! Failed to capitalize on their first half dominance....
One more play this round:
DOUBLE - TIGERS ML / EELS ML (x2)
Both these teams are desperate for a win and I think they both get one this week. The Tigers have so much talent but have been so inconsistent, you just don't know which team will show up? They have been struck down by injuries in the early part of this season which has really hurt them, and are still without Turquri, Lawrence, Gibbs and Ellis. However they still have plenty of match winners and will be looking to bounce back after a terrible performance last week. They face the Panthers who have just had the best 10 days of their season with Gus jumping on board and beating the Broncos! Lewis looked good in his first game back also. However this is a big letdown spot! Lewis second up may struggle, and after all the celebrations of finally getting a win I feel they may be a bit off in this one. With Farar out to prove a point for his origin snub and Benji looking to bounce back I see the tigers getting the points here in this one.
2nd game I'm on the Eels to find some form and get a win also. They face the Sharks minus their leader Gallan and have almost a full squad to pick from. Hayne will explode here tonight! Much the same reasons as Farrar in missing Origin! Add to that the experienced Hindy and playing at home they must win this one!
(2u @ 2.03 @ Sportsbet)
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AFL
4TH Q - DOCKERS -6.5 (x1)Comment -
AFL
ADDED 1/2 time
ML - TIGERS (x1.5)
Essendon up by 1pt at halftime
(1.0u @ 2.6 @ Centrebet)
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AFL
ADDED:
4th Q - TIGERS +4.5 (x1)
(1.1u @ 1.9 @ Sportingbet)Comment -
NBA
FUTURE FINALS MATCH UP - MIAMI V OKLAHOMA CITY (x7)
DAL @ OKC GAME 3
PLAYER POINTS - WESTBROOK OVER 23.5 (x1)
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AFL
Strange day yesterday with all teams I liked winning but I break-even yet again? X2 badly timed 4THQ PLAYS cost. Will have today's plays up shortyComment -
AFL SUNDAY
1ST H - MAGPIES -24.5 (x1)
MARGIN - SWANS 1-39 (x1.5)
DOUBLE - SWANS 1-39 / EAGLE 1-39 (x7)
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AFL
ADDING:
2ND H - MAGPIES -30.5 (x2)Comment -
AFL LIVE 2ND Q
ATS - EAGLES -34.5 (x2)
(2.2u @ 1.9 @ Centrebet)Comment -
NBA
2ND H - HEAT -2 (x1)Comment -
NRL MONDAY
ATS - EELS -5.5 (x1.5)
Buying 2 points
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NRL
Nice finish to the round going 2-1 +2.05 units
Current Run: 10-5
23-28-1 (-9.49 @ 45%)Comment -
AFL
Funny old round this week going 5-6 and slightly in the positive +0.2u
Current Run: 29-20
AFL YTD: 40-30-2 (+20.15 @ 57.1%)Comment -
NBA
2-0 last two 1unit plays adding +2.0 units
Current Run: 9-2
NBA YTD: 125-93-1 (+27.15 @ 57.3%)Comment -
NBA
PLAYER STATS - DURANT TOTAL REBOUNDS - OVER 6.5 (x1)
I see the Thunder bouncing back here @ home in what is a must win game 4! This has been the common trend in most playoffs so far this post season, loss one win one. OKC has responded in all games following a loss and I don't expect any different here. Dallas got out to a huge 20+ lead from as early as the 1st Q and held that till late in the 3rd. The Thunder charged home and reduced the margin to 6 several times but couldn't quite get it done. They will be out to deny Dallas such a start. Durant was a non factor in game 3. He did finish with 24 points but wasn't a real threat going 0-7 from the arc. This won't happen twice in a row! Expect a huge game from KD! I expect 35 - 10! have taken his total rebounds over 6.5 as I expect a huge lift in defense and attack on the ball in all areas. Durant shows up tonight and leads the Thunder to a victory! Leveling the series 2-2.
As you know I have OKC in a future bet to meet Miami in the Final so no point taking short odds here in game 4. I will however be watching closely and you can expect a small play if odds are right.
(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Sportsbet)
NBA YTD: 125-93-1 (+27.15 @ 57.3%)
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NBA
1ST H - BULLS +2.5 (x1)
ATS - BULLS +5 (x1.5)
PLAYER STATS - BOOZER POINTS - OVER 14.5 (x1)
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STATE OF ORIGIN GAME ONE
ATS - BLUES +7.5 (x1)
(Buying x1.5 points)
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NBA
ATS - THUNDER +6.5 (x1)Comment -
NBA
1ST Q - BULLS -1 (x1)
PLAYER STATS - BOOZER POINTS - OVER 14.5 (x1)
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Centrebet)
(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Sportsbet)Comment -
NRL
ATS - SEA EAGLES -4.5 (x1.5)
(buying x1.5 points)Comment
