Nba road system 2010 - 11

JW Cash · 02-11-11, 08:54 PM

Originally posted by jas19illini

Sorry to spread my bad luck to you guys. Ever since i started this system it went downhill.

...in that case...do you feel that you might owe us all some money...

JJV · 02-11-11, 09:26 PM

Well there's always tomorrow and another day

jas19illini · 02-11-11, 09:40 PM

Originally posted by JW Cash

...in that case...do you feel that you might owe us all some money...

How can i pay if im losing all my money!? LOL. Anyways, IND and TOR managed to pull through in the 2nd half. That takes some pressure off.

oklahoma · 02-11-11, 09:41 PM

though it wouldve been nice if they actually won the game, ill gladly take the 2nd half cover

isg2010 · 02-12-11, 08:22 AM

What was the 2nd half line? I thought the game started an hour later so missed the 2nd half.

playr101 · 02-12-11, 08:26 AM

think it was -1 2h
i missed it too... :/

-playr101

bulichme · 02-12-11, 08:40 AM

I missed 2nd half of Tor by 1 min.

thebestthereis · 02-12-11, 08:51 AM

anybody think of just taking a bankroll, say $1000 (assuming you are going to lose it), and going all in on a series as it comes up. this way you can choose teams that are bad in general and not playing well. you will obviously have less plays but you are increasing your chances of never hit an 0-6 streak (where if you go all in it is gone).

bauerranch · 02-12-11, 09:33 AM

I assume we have all thought it however in my past when I do things like this they come back to bite me

Like I would forget to bet one series and that would be the one that won!

Dbear13 · 02-12-11, 10:45 AM

Originally posted by playr101

think it was -1 2h i missed it too... :/ -playr101

it was -1..I just got it in, I thought the game started an hour later too.

Newbie1825 · 02-12-11, 10:56 AM

Ha I see I am not the only one that has happened too. Now I have my betting alarm so I don't miss any bets

jas19illini · 02-12-11, 11:23 AM

That SA/WAS game has me really worried tonight. Especially after that horrible loss by SA last night.

thelimit0310 · 02-12-11, 01:40 PM

Solaman, I would still like to know how you determine whether or not a team will return home on their trip and when to eliminate a series based on that information. Do you just make a guess by how many days apart the games are? If you could please share the answer with me it would be appreciated.

SOLAMAN · 02-12-11, 02:28 PM

Originally posted by thelimit0310

Solaman, I would still like to know how you determine whether or not a team will return home on their trip and when to eliminate a series based on that information. Do you just make a guess by how many days apart the games are? If you could please share the answer with me it would be appreciated.

Thelimit....

It depends on the location and how many days between games. I have no proof if a return home is made but in some cases it seems likely. It is just an educated guess. If it questionable, the series is in play.

oklahoma · 02-12-11, 02:42 PM

Originally posted by jas19illini

That SA/WAS game has me really worried tonight. Especially after that horrible loss by SA last night.

i like the wizards here actually. theyre piss on the road so they have to make up their wins somewhere. spurs lost to philly last night and the raps almost beat them a few days ago as well. this could be a rare slump for san antonio.
lets go wizards +3.5 -108

jas19illini · 02-12-11, 02:57 PM

I screwed up and shouldve taken WAS +4 earlier, now its down to +3.5 and it wont move back up.

SOLAMAN · 02-12-11, 03:38 PM

NBA ROAD SYSTEM
HALVES / ATS
STARTING 2/7
UPDATE THRU 2/9
NET UNITS +1.0

PLAN A : SINGLE PLAY OPTION (-110)

LINE 1 / 3 LINE LABBY / P1/P4
4. 02/12....2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4 - 6.6 ......8.8 TO WIN 8.0 (sa @ wa /1h)???
3. 02/11....2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4...............6.6 TO WIN 6.0 (por @ tor /1h) ..LOSS (-6.6 UNITS)
2. 02/09.....2.2 - 2.2 .....................4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (dal @ sac / 1h).. LOSS (-4.4 UNITS)
1. 02 /07....2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 ...4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (chi @ por / 1h)...WIN / 4 UNITS

LINE 2 / 3 LINE LABBY / P2/P5
3. 02/12....2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2........4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (sa @ wa /2h)??? (if no 1h cover)
2. 02/11....2.2 - 2.2.......................4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (por @ tor /2h)..WIN / 4 UNITS
1. 02/09....2.2 - 2.2 . 2.2 - 2.2 .....4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (dal @ sac / 2h)..WIN / 4 UNITS

LINE 3 / 3 LINE LABBY / P3/P6
1. XXX....2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 ........4.4 TO WIN 4.0 ???

*P = PLAY OF SERIES

Comments: The above is an optional method and this is only one version of the labby with my attempt to adjust it to the road system. Because of the input of others I have decided to show a multiplay option on the same line as well for comparison and will reduce this option from two to one unit.

PLAN B : MULTIPLAY OPTION
NET UNITS +0.5

LINE 1 / 3 LINE LABBY / P1/P4
5. 02/12....1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2 - 3.3 ......4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (phi @ mn / 1h)....???
4. 02/12....1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2 - 3.3 ......4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (sa @ wa / 1h)....???
3. 02/11....1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2...............3..3 TO WIN 3.0 (por @ tor /1h)....LOSS (-2.2)
2. 02/09.....1.1 - 1.1 .....................2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (dal @ sac / 1h).. LOSS (-2.2 UNITS)
1. 02 /07....1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 ...2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (chi @ por / 1h)...WIN / 2 UNITS

LINE 2 / 3 LINE LABBY / P2/P5

4. 02/12....1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 ......2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (phi @ mn / 2h)....??? (if no 1h cover)
3. 02/12....1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 ......2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (sa @ wa / 2h)....??? (if no 1h cover)
2. 02/11....1.1 - 1.1.......................2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (por @ tor /2h)..WIN / 2 UNITS
1. 02/09....1.1 - 1.1 . 1.1 - 1.1 .....2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (dal @ sac / 2h)..WIN / 2 UNITS

LINE 3 / 3 LINE LABBY / P3/P6
1. XXX ......1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 .....2.2 TO WIN 2.0 ???

*P = PLAY OF SERIES

thelimit0310 · 02-12-11, 03:46 PM

Thanks for the info Solaman

madmiek · 02-12-11, 03:50 PM

Yeah thanks

bombCanada · 02-12-11, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by Newbie1825

Ha I see I am not the only one that has happened too. Now I have my betting alarm so I don't miss any bets

There's an alarm clock available for free... go to the ESPN website and set it to send you an alert at halftime.

funnyman · 02-12-11, 04:40 PM

Much appreciated, Solaman

jas19illini · 02-12-11, 07:28 PM

Anyone playing the SA/WAS game?

oklahoma · 02-12-11, 09:03 PM

Originally posted by jas19illini

Anyone playing the SA/WAS game?

as in betting them outside of this system? no. ill be playing the 2nd half, but the line will prob be -7 or something. up 30 by halftime

spurs are just shooting the lights out tonight.

jas19illini · 02-12-11, 09:26 PM

Originally posted by oklahoma

as in betting them outside of this system? no. ill be playing the 2nd half, but the line will prob be -7 or something. up 30 by halftime

spurs are just shooting the lights out tonight.

I meant playing this game using the road system, but yeah that was a scary first half. Glad i laid off of it.

oklahoma · 02-12-11, 10:23 PM

and wiz miss the 2nd half cover by 1 point.

JJV · 02-13-11, 12:25 AM

Wizards got murdered tonight, it be a surprised if they end covered a quarter at the rate they were playing.

bulichme · 02-13-11, 06:42 AM

We will cover today.

bauerranch · 02-13-11, 08:33 AM

BOL to all today!

SOLAMAN · 02-13-11, 08:40 AM

NBA ROAD SYSTEM
HALVES / ATS
STARTING 2/7
UPDATE THRU 2/12
NET UNITS (-12.5)

PLAN A : SINGLE PLAY OPTION (-110)

LINE 1 / 3 LINE LABBY / P1/P4
5. 02/13 ...2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4 - 4.4 - 4.4 ....6.6 TO WIN 6.0 (mia @ bos /1h)
4. 02/12....2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4 - 6.6 ......8.8 TO WIN 8.0 (sa @ wa /1h)... LOSS (-8.8 UNITS)
3. 02/11....2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4...............6.6 TO WIN 6.0 (por @ tor /1h) ..LOSS (-6.6 UNITS)
2. 02/09.....2.2 - 2.2 .....................4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (dal @ sac / 1h).. LOSS (-4.4 UNITS)
1. 02 /07....2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 ...4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (chi @ por / 1h)...WIN / 4 UNITS

LINE 2 / 3 LINE LABBY / P2/P5
4. 02/13....2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4 - 4.4 - 4.4...6.6 TO WIN 6.0 (mia @ bos) ???
3. 02/12....2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2........4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (sa @ wa /2h)...LOSS (-4.4)
2. 02/11....2.2 - 2.2.......................4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (por @ tor /2h)..WIN / 4 UNITS
1. 02/09....2.2 - 2.2 . 2.2 - 2.2 .....4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (dal @ sac / 2h)..WIN / 4 UNITS

LINE 3 / 3 LINE LABBY / P3/P6
1. XXX....2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 ........4.4 TO WIN 4.0 ???

*P = PLAY OF SERIES

Comments:
LINE 1... 2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4 - 6.6 - 8.8
LINE 2 .. 2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 -2.2 - 4.4
LINE 3....2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2

LINE ADJUSTMENT/ CONVERSION TO:

LINE 1... 2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4 - .4.4 - 4.4
LINE 2 .. 2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4 -4.4. - 4.4
LINE 3....2.2 - 2.2 - 2.2 - 4.4

PLAN B : MULTIPLAY OPTION
NET UNITS (-11.6)

LINE 1 / 3 LINE LABBY / P1/P4
8. 02/13 ...1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2 - 3.3 - 4.4....5.5 TO WIN 5.0 (lal @ orl/1h)
7. 02/13....1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2 - 3.3 - 4.4....5.5 TO WIN 5.0 (mia @ bos/1h)
6. 02/13....1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2 - 3.3 - 4.4 ...5.5 TO WIN 5.0 (den @ mem/1h)
5. 02/12....1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2 - 3.3 ......4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (phi @ mn / 1h)....LOSS (-4.4)
4. 02/12....1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2 - 3.3 ......4.4 TO WIN 4.0 (sa @ wa / 1h)....LOSS (-4.4)
3. 02/11....1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2...............3..3 TO WIN 3.0 (por @ tor /1h)....LOSS (-2.2)
2. 02/09.....1.1 - 1.1 .....................2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (dal @ sac / 1h).. LOSS (-2.2 UNITS)
1. 02 /07....1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 ...2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (chi @ por / 1h)...WIN / 2 UNITS

LINE 2 / 3 LINE LABBY / P2/P5
7. 02/13 ...1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2....3.3 TO WIN 3.0 (lal @ orl/2h) ???
6. 02/13....1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2....3.3 TO WIN 3.0 (mia @ bos/2h) ???
5. 02/13....1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 2.2 ...3.3 TO WIN 3.0 (den @ mem/2h)???
4. 02/12....1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 ......2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (phi @ mn / 2h)....LOSS (-2.2)
3. 02/12....1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 ......2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (sa @ wa / 2h).....LOSS (-2.2)
2. 02/11....1.1 - 1.1.......................2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (por @ tor /2h)..WIN / 2 UNITS
1. 02/09....1.1 - 1.1 . 1.1 - 1.1 .....2.2 TO WIN 2.0 (dal @ sac / 2h)..WIN / 2 UNITS

LINE 3 / 3 LINE LABBY / P3/P6
1. XXX ......1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 - 1.1 .....2.2 TO WIN 2.0 ???

*P = PLAY OF SERIES

COMMENTS: This trial run of the labby is off to a slow start but in one way it may be good and see if it can recover. This progression requires a higher winning percentage but the risk can be less. Both games last night were extended to the 3rd play of the series. Feb is off to a rough start and only one first play cover out of 7 series this month.

Newbie1825 · 02-13-11, 11:00 AM

Well I am sure we will do better soon

Vinotinto · 02-13-11, 01:58 PM

Hi Solaman I've been reading this post since last night trying to understand everything. It's very interesting your model, however I would like to ask you something:

1- Aren't you updating the results from the "original" model?
2- Can you please explain a litle bit more the results from the two models you are updating lately?

Thanks in advance for your time and information.

Kind regards

JJV · 02-13-11, 02:00 PM

Does anyone know what the first half spread of the miami/bos game was I'm not sure if they covered or not since I missed the play

He_Who_Forgets · 02-13-11, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by JJV

Does anyone know what the first half spread of the miami/bos game was I'm not sure if they covered or not since I missed the play

i just got onto this thread. BOS +1.5 is what i got and it didn't cover obviously

Vinotinto · 02-13-11, 02:05 PM

Originally posted by jjv

does anyone know what the first half spread of the miami/bos game was i'm not sure if they covered or not since i missed the play

-1,5 mia

oklahoma · 02-13-11, 02:07 PM

february is turning out to be a bitch for this system. gone are the days of 1half covers, lots of good teams on the road this month.

celtics +0.5 2ndhalf. pierce better break outta this 0-7 funk.