NBA Playoffs: Magic Too Deep for Celtics

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  • Chance Harper
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-20-07
    • 788

    #1
    NBA Playoffs: Magic Too Deep for Celtics
    NBA Playoffs: Magic Too Deep for Celtics

    Did the Celtics beat the Cavaliers or did Cleveland simply choke against Boston? As so often is the case, more is being made about the losers of the most recently completed NBA playoff series than the winners. In the end it really wouldn't have mattered since Dwight Howard and the Magic would have taken out LeBron James and the Cavs in the next round. Game 1 is Sunday from Orlando's Amway Arena.

    It’s kind of funny how it all seemed inevitable after a while. The Boston Celtics finished off the Cleveland Cavaliers in six games with Thursday’s 94-85 victory, cashing in as 1½-point home favorites, and it came as no surprise given how the series had been going.



    LeBron James was not healthy for the Cavaliers, and they had no answer for point guard Rajon Rondo. Neither of those things changed in Game 6: James had nine turnovers to spoil a triple-double, and Rondo had five steals to go with 21 points and 12 assists.

    The rejuvenated Celtics get full marks for eliminating the former NBA title favorites, especially at 4-2 ATS and without the benefit of home-court advantage. But it only gets harder from here.

    The best team in the NBA right now, without the shadow of a doubt, is the Orlando Magic at 28-3 SU and 23-7-1 ATS since the end of February. The Magic have won all eight of their playoff contests, and they got paid in each of their last seven. They swept the Atlanta Hawks by 25.2 points per game.

    Chalk, as you have gathered, has not been an issue in Orlando. The first wave of betting odds after Thursday night’s Celtics victory had the Magic pegged at -260 to win the Eastern Conference for the second year in a row. Last year, Orlando beat the Celtics in seven games at 4-3 ATS, then upset Cleveland for the Eastern crown, both without home-court advantage. This Sunday, the Magic and their upgraded roster get to start things off at Amway Arena as 6-point favorites. Boston’s series price is +230.

    Rondo (19.18 PER plus great defense) is the emerging leader of the Boston Celtics and finally getting some recognition as the best player on his team, in light of the aging (however graceful) of the Big Three. But Rondo hasn’t truly been tested in these playoffs. The best point guard the Miami Heat could throw at him was Carlos Arroyo (12.38 PER), and Rondo made Mo Williams (16.18 PER) look decidedly mortal in the Eastern semis.

    The free ride ends here. Jameer Nelson (15.55 PER) has fully recovered from early-season knee surgery, judging by the way he made a meal of Mike Bibby (12.77 PER) in the second round. Nelson was an All-Star last year and he’s playing like one right now with 20.5 points and 5.3 assists per game during the postseason. And being a generous 6-feet tall isn’t as much of a liability for Nelson going up against the 6-foot-1 Rondo, although Rondo does have unusually long arms.

    Rondo is still the better point guard on paper, but it isn’t by leaps and bounds as it was against Miami and Atlanta. Nelson only has to slow Rondo down enough for Orlando to take advantage of its superior talent level at just about every other spot on the floor.

    The Celtics were completely unable to stop Dwight Howard (24.07 PER) from grabbing every rebound in sight last year. This year, Orlando also has Vince Carter (17.11 PER) to add scoring punch alongside Rashard Lewis (14.03 PER), who shot 47.4 percent against Boston from long range during the regular season as the Magic went 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS.

    The Magic also boast the deepest and most talented bench in the NBA. This was supposed to be one of Cleveland’s strengths, but players like Zydrunas Ilgauskas, J.J. Hickson and Daniel Gibson were virtually invisible in the second round. Orlando has nothing but quality players up and down the roster. That’s the engine behind their giant margins of victory.

    Boston's bench has gotten good results of late from Tony Allen and Rasheed Wallace, and they could presumably unleash Nate Robinson (16.41 PER) if they wanted. But they’re still a few good men short in this series.
  • cadillac pete
    SBR MVP
    • 01-15-06
    • 1675

    #2
    Agreed. The Magic are on a mission. There has been no let down in their game this post season.
    Comment
    • thebertshow
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-30-07
      • 645

      #3
      I don't think so. Celtics looking very good.
      Comment
      • woody78
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-18-08
        • 502

        #4
        I like magic in 5.
        Comment
        • tsn101
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-11-09
          • 148

          #5
          The media is not respecting Boston throughout the playoffs.
          Comment
          • rbeats1
            SBR Rookie
            • 05-13-10
            • 5

            #6
            boston will not win.
            Comment
            • Bostongambler
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 02-01-08
              • 35581

              #7
              Boston +240 for the series is a steal and you are crazy if you don't take it.
              Comment
              • obamaismyuncle
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-31-08
                • 17801

                #8
                Its hard to say what will happend. I lean to the Magic winning in 5 or 6, but can ORL keep rolling like they have been? How tired are the Celtics after the Cavs series? Will there be a big let down for Boston?
                Comment
                • obamaismyuncle
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-31-08
                  • 17801

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Bostongambler
                  Boston +240 for the series is a steal and you are crazy if you don't take it.

                  I wouldn't touch that bet myself.
                  Comment
                  • Bostongambler
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-01-08
                    • 35581

                    #10
                    Pierce vs. Barnes= Edge Celts
                    Rajon vs Nelson = Edge Celts
                    Perkins vs Howard = Edge Magic
                    Garnett vs Lewis = Edge even if not Garnett
                    Allen vs Carter = Edge Celts

                    Coaching and bench about even. I will take my chance at more than a 2/1 dog
                    Comment
                    • playa420
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-09-08
                      • 881

                      #11
                      agree, magic look unstoppable right now
                      Comment
                      • Bostongambler
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-01-08
                        • 35581

                        #12
                        Until they meet the better team, which they just did. especially at that price.
                        Comment
                        • Chateaugay
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 10-29-09
                          • 137

                          #13
                          nive post thks for sharing
                          Comment
                          • Bostongambler
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-01-08
                            • 35581

                            #14
                            Yeah, have another Gayguy
                            Comment
                            • stealthyburrito
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-12-09
                              • 21562

                              #15
                              this should be a great series, the best series in last year's playoffs imo.
                              Comment
                              • paco
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-07-09
                                • 62873

                                #16
                                I like the Celtics getting 6.5-7
                                Comment
                                • eberetta1
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-27-09
                                  • 1157

                                  #17
                                  So you are saying, it took the Magic seven games to beat the Celtics while Garnett was on the bench last year...and this year Garnett is healthy. Mmm, should be a great matchup.
                                  Comment
                                  • blix177
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-20-08
                                    • 1520

                                    #18
                                    I take Celtics all day.
                                    Comment
                                    • Capybara
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-17-08
                                      • 11803

                                      #19
                                      Wrong.

                                      Celtics are healthy and clicking right now. You can't stop a team with four stars. Orlando is Superman and then some nice pieces... Celtics are three healthy hall-of-famers and a young All-Star leading the attack. Even the Celtics bench is playing at a high level now with Tony Allen an underrated defender and Wallace a very capable player.
                                      Comment
                                      • tkim8404
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-28-10
                                        • 622

                                        #20
                                        Very nice write up. I have to agree 100%. 5-6 Players on Orlando can shoot the lights out so I'm not even worried about 1 or 2 having an off shooting night. I would have to say Orlando in 6 games.
                                        Comment
                                        • StraitShooter
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-22-09
                                          • 10464

                                          #21
                                          celts are as deep as anyone in play offs
                                          Comment
                                          • THE HITMAN
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 06-16-07
                                            • 2394

                                            #22
                                            Jameer Nelson is gonna run Rondo ragged
                                            Comment
                                            • Brocc
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-25-09
                                              • 1660

                                              #23
                                              BOSTON: 2-11 ATS Away after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7
                                              ORLANDO: 8-1 ATS after 7+ consecutive wins
                                              BOSTON is 41-50 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games this season.
                                              BOSTON is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
                                              ORLANDO is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games this season.
                                              ORLANDO is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
                                              ORLANDO is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games this season.
                                              ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
                                              ORLANDO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a division game this season.
                                              ORLANDO is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
                                              ORLANDO is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                                              ORLANDO is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

                                              12 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                                              Magic continue their domination
                                              Comment
                                              • Bostongambler
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-01-08
                                                • 35581

                                                #24
                                                Huh? Barnes is having back spasms, Carter will now cover Pierce it is being reported.
                                                Comment
                                                • cadillac pete
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-15-06
                                                  • 1675

                                                  #25
                                                  The only concern I have is the lay off endured by the Magic for this first game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DrunkHorseplayer
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-15-10
                                                    • 7719

                                                    #26
                                                    Celtics win this in six; got them at +250 for the series.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • tsn101
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 01-11-09
                                                      • 148

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by cadillac pete
                                                      The only concern I have is the lay off endured by the Magic for this first game.
                                                      It's good if they make Dwight the scorer at first and see how that goes.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • SRBI
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-20-09
                                                        • 8393

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by THE HITMAN
                                                        Jameer Nelson is gonna run Rondo ragged
                                                        can we please vote this "the stupidest fukkin comment made by anyone on SBR forum" it would def. win.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • richyrich8478
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 05-08-10
                                                          • 296

                                                          #29
                                                          i agree with both. celtics are playing real good with stellar defense. beat the cavs when most said they wouldn't. but orlando matches up real good against the celtics. I think its going to be a great series and will think it will go 6 or 7 games. Celtics big key is keeping perkins out of foul trouble and the magics key is keeping howard out of foul trouble and hit their perimiter shots. If they can't do either then celtics are going to take series. If celtics can't defend howard and if pierce does't play great then celtics don't have a chance. Watch garnett for celtics and rashard for orlando to be big in he series
                                                          Comment
                                                          • samdapatriotsfan
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-10-08
                                                            • 1585

                                                            #30
                                                            I'm with you SRBI, Rajon Rondo is a freakin' nightmare for defenses. Orlando will find this out. The Celtics are playing good ball at the right time.

                                                            ORL has had a bit of a cakewalk so far and I don't believe they will have the emotion they need to cover the spread against BOS today.

                                                            As a Pats fan, I know about being undefeated and then running into a team you are supposed to steam roll. I'm just sayin................

                                                            BOS +255 for the series.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SRBI
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 10-20-09
                                                              • 8393

                                                              #31
                                                              Magic my ass. Celtics or nada baby...and I would still take Boston for the series at -105
                                                              Comment
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