Originally posted by THE HITMAN
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good win. i didnt take it but you got a great price and a W
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i went 1-1 on the first games.
Duncan o10 rebs (-155)
Nash o16.5 pts (+110)
Duncan should get 37 minutes, and the spurs let Nash shoot more that other teams
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Good call on Nash. He pretty much beat that in the 1st quarter. Stoudemire isn't very involved in this game. Of course when the Spurs can't stop Nash & Richardson, why bother?
Looks like 0-2 for me. F-ing LeBron probably would have gotten into the 30s if he was looking for his shot early. Seemed like he was looking to defer a lot - be it because of the elbow or what have you. When he put his head down and went to work in the 4th ... he was getting his points.Comment -
Another prop missed by one.
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wow. that is very unlucky. two pretty good picks. the lebron one i cant believe he was so hesitant, and the stoudemire one the spurs got away with a lot of hacking on him. regular season he goes to the line 12+ times in a game like that, but in the playoffs they let them play more physical i guessOriginally posted by EaglesPhan36Another prop missed by one.
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Originally posted by tealish
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Updated Record: 13-9 [+2.60]Comment -
Prop #23: [Game 1] Hawks-Magic Total Three Pointers Made OVER 15.5 [-120]
Been waiting patiently to get this series underway as the three point prop with the Magic is perhaps my favorite postseason play. In the Charlotte series, the number started at 15 and fluctuated to 16 and then stayed steadily in that range all series. In the brief 4 games series, just one game featured less than 16 threes made. Atlanta is in about the same category as Charlotte, they take about 17 threes per game and make about 6. In their series with Milwaukee, the Hawks had some poor three point shooting nights, but hit around their average of 6 more often than not. That was also the case in the season series with Orlando where they netted 25 threes in the four meetings. Orlando hit double digit threes against Atlanta in two of the four meetings. Again as with the 1st round series involving Orlando, when you have one team capable of hitting for 10 or more threes every night ... it's difficult to advocate the under on this prop. So once more, I'll be riding the OVER on this one ... sink or swim.
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they played 4 times this season. they combined to average 15.1 made on 43.3 attempts (34%). that is a lot of attempts and i see no reason why the Hawks wouldnt shoot very close to 20 tonight............id say the o.u for attempts would be 42.0.......so its all about if they can drain some in succession. to get to 16 someone needs to go 4-7 in order to bring the whole close to 40%..........im going to lay off this one though cause i think playoff basketball the players are a little more hesitantComment -
I've got this one capped as very tight. Got a busy night tonite, so it will be a last minute decision on my part. Over & out.
GL..........THE HITMAN
Best I found was 15.5 - 115 @ Carib.
Would love to jump on a Howard over prop, but the way the refs have been riding him, he may be fouled out bt the 3rd quarter. Chit.Comment -
ya that 15.5 is very close. could be getting some better defense than the reg season, im laying off of it as i need some 3's by Rashard Lewis anyways.........
R.Lewis pts o13.5 (-125)
J.Johnson -3.5 (pts) vs V.Carter (+115)
K.Bryant u27.5 pts (-105)
Penguins u35.5 shots (-115)
Nothing else looks that good except Artest o14 p+r+a (-170), very juicy, im going to see how my other props go. but the stats all point to an over on this, if i win some early games ill put a chunk on this spicy lineComment -
Prop #24: [Game 2] Derek Fisher Total Points OVER 9.5 [-120]
Last year, Fisher was a non-factor in the Jazz series. This year, he seems well rested and he's getting more minutes as a result. He's not going to get a ton of shots, we know that. But 10 points for a guy who is likely to play 35-40 minutes if the game stays close ... I'll jam with that. Faderade.
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Updated Record: 13-11 [+0.20]
Ice cold.
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me too. i took the late artest bet cause it stayed at -170 at my book but went to a crazy -230 at 5dimes, so i figured some ppl must have heard artest would be getting looks tonight and he did...............Kobe suprised me by shooting a lot and i lost on the fisher bet as well. he only scores when you dont expect him 2Comment -
Looks like everyone is passing tonite. I think I will, too. Can't find anything worthy of more than lunch money. Gotta think San rebounds, tho.Comment -
Prop #25: [Game 2] Jason Richardson Total Points OVER 18.5 [-110]
It really comes down to a question of who does San Antonio adjust to in Game 2 to try and slow down, Steve Nash or Jason Richardson? Amar'e Stoudemire is going to be left i believe to get what he gets and the Spurs will live with him getting 23=25 points. The key is holding the fort down on the other two high profile Suns. I don't think there is anyway that Coach Pop doesn't do something to slow down Steve Nash - whether it's simply challenging George Hill & Tony Parker to nut up on defense or commit to a different defensive scheme. Whatever the case, my money is that Nash being the key cog to the Suns attack will be the one the Spurs look to slow somewhat tonight. Richardson has done well vs. SA this season with three of four meetings seeing him hit 20 points or better. The only game he missed that mark was the first meeting in which he was nursing a sore hand and had just three points. Much has been made about Richardson being the X factor to the Suns success in their postseason wins and the stats back it up. For the Spurs, it's simply a bad match-up. Richard Jefferson did not contain him in Game 1. When they switched George Hill off Nash, the Suns posted Richardson for easy buckets. With the attention that Nash & Stoudemire command, Richardson may continue to be the guy who has the best opportunity to get points on a consistent basis. I also think the Suns need to continue to feed the ball to J-Rich and keep him fresh in the Spurs minds as a real threat to put up 20 in every game of the series.
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Updated Record: 14-11 [+1.20]
Looked like it was destined to be another horribly close loss after Richardson missed a layup, but nails a jumper to get it done.
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Prop #26: [Game 2] Jameer Nelson Total Points OVER 15.5 [-135]
While most are focusing on the mismatch Dwight Howard caused against the Hawks bigs in Game 1, don't forget that Atlanta really has no answer for Jameer Nelson. Nelson torched Mike Bibby and others for 19 points in 25 minutes. It continued a strong string of games this postseason for Nelson who now has 18 points or better in 4 of the Magic's 5 playoff games in 2010. As long as Bibby plays, Nelson has the advantage and should continue to attack. When Bibby takes to the bench, the Hawks have tried Joe Johnson & Jamal Crawford on Nelson. The problem there is that leaves the Magic to exploit a smaller defender at the 2nd guard spot with someone like Vince Carter on a smaller defender. So pick your poison Atlanta. Nelson has taken at least 11 shots in all five Orlando playoff games and is making a staggering 51% from the field, including 15 of 33 from beyond the arc. If he can get back to his ways from the Charlotte series of getting to the FT line [26 attempts] after not getting a FT in Game 1, that could only help.
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what more can u ask for? a pick and a write up! very nice! win or lose, u bud are doing a great service to this board!
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If anybody is considering the over 3's tonite, most everybody is at 15.5 @-110 or 115. However Greek is at 16 +150. Probably worth a split bet here, sacrificing the 1/2 three will get you plus 60-65 more. And you push the tie @ 16, not lose.
GL.............THE HITMAN
Go Jameer for Eagles.Comment -
Held off on the 3s. Don't believe the Hawks are going to contribute enough this series after all or wanted them to show they could. Figures I get Nelson's worst playoff game so far. 2 for 8 from the floor right now. Blah.Comment -
Updated Record: 15-11 [+2.20]
Well that came quick and out of left field. Nelson banks home a 3 and has 17!
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nice callOriginally posted by EaglesPhan36Comment -
tailed u on this one! i believe jameer just got his 17 pts!
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Prop #27: [Game 3] Kevin Garnett Total Points OVER 15.5 [-130]
The foot injury to KG in Game 2 appears to be a minor inconvenience that has gotten better in the time off between games, so full speed ahead for the Celtics emotional leader tonight. Garnett has been getting a ton of opportunities in this series with 41 shots taken. He's scored 18 points in each of the first two games. This season, KG has put up at least 16 on the Cavs in 4 of their 6 meetings, including 4 straight. KG has been a solid contributor in the postseason for Boston, averaging just over 16 ppg. Since his Game 2 suspension against the Heat, "The Big Ticker" has scored 16 or more in 4 of the last 5 games. If he keeps out of foul trouble and the Celtics continue to feed him, he should have an opportunity to beat this number tonight especially in front of the home crowd - expect KG to be amped up.
Prop #28: [Game 3] Steve Nash Total Points OVER 15.5 [-125]
A real solid prop here as Nash has put up 52 points in the 1st two games of this series. Nash has taken advantage of his match-up with George Hill early in games to get off to good starts and then he's picked his spots against Tony Parker to add on more points. Looking at his season vs. San Antonio, Nash hit for at least 18 points in all five of their match-ups [including the playoffs]. Getting this to where 16 points wins seems like a real good shot so long as Nash and the Suns remain aggressive tonight.
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I like both plays. Garnett is really taking a lot of shots and Nash will have to be a stud in order for the suns to keep it close........these are my picks tonight:
Lebron o29.5 pts (-130) Its now or never Lebron
Bruins u29.5 shots (-120) B's should keep it tight with sturm/krecji outComment -
Clev/Bos 3pt o12.5 (-115)
They took 40 attempts last game which is good. However Lebron is icy from the outside with the elbow and i dont feel that great about this pick but its always been my favorite prop to watch, so why not put a unit on it tonight
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I was going to take the 3 point prop, but only at 12. Just feels like it might be a close one again. With the hot start on threes last game, they should have finished with over 15. Books readjusted half from 12 to 12.5 based on that I suppose. I'm not too worried about Boston shooting and getting maybe a half dozen or better, but Cleveland has been really poor in this series compared to their regular season numbers and until they start hitting more than four a game ... hard to talk me into it. Good luck with LeBron if he's talked himself into jsut playing and not F-ing listening to the elbow talk, he'll get 30. Unfortunately, he's looked hesitant until too late in games to pull off enough points. He's got to start out looking for points instead of that BS distributing to teammates stuff. Good luck Kolzig!Comment -
Shaq u16.5 pts - First prop bet in the playoffs. Saw this thread and made me want to wager.Comment -
GL tonite, guys. Light nite for me, I have O'neill rebounds over 6.5 and San/PNX under 207. Will give Nash over 15.5 a look later.Comment -
only 3 makes in the first halfOriginally posted by EaglesPhan36
............taking this bet was my old-stlyle wagering, which is taking things im iffy on just for action..........stupid stupid stupid. and now that i see it was 12 at a lot of places im really dissapointed with myself.
going with Stoudemire o22.5 pts (-120). he certainly wont be going to the line 13 times like he did last game. but i think they will need to lean on him on the road and should give him around 18 shots.
i might take the nash bet as well. not sure yet, like amare he might need to carry the Suns at times tonight, so ill probably take itComment -
Nice work so far Eagle!Comment -
Stoudemire owns the Spurs, but it's been close to that number both games so far. I was surprised he made it to 23 in the last game, did not seem like Phoenix was feeding him enough - but they got him going in the 2nd half.
Man I was yelling at the TV on that last possession to get it to KG. Saw Rasheed getting ready to check in and I was guessing KG is done for the night when he comes out, just got it! LeBron owned it tonight, finally.Comment -
Fuk it. No more prop bets for me
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Updated Record: 17-11 [+4.20]
Sweet sneaky win for the Nash prop. Suns big run in the 4th looked like it was going to make Nash playing again a moot point, but he got back in for just enough PT.
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