JR007-
All the "professional nba cappers" are making Celtics -2.5 their "game of the year"
All the "professional nba cappers" are making Celtics -2.5 their "game of the year"
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Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
Over or under points
Kobe 30
pierce 21
gasol 21
rondo 16.5
rondo 10 (assists)
all opinions welcomed!Comment -
Under
Under
Over
under
underComment -
want to bet 50 points that Pierce drops over that Paco?Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
LB, PACO......wassup????? All's good here... I've been real busy lately with work, coaching basketball, and I haven't had the time to check in.... My capping lately is slightly off... game 1 I'm on the celtics......... LOSS! Game 2, instead of doubling up on The Celtics, I went the lakers.....LOSS! Now its game 3..... I'm not feeling another loss..... ya feel me? Can you give me your angle on why you are taking the Lakers tonight? Thanks...Comment -
Goat, fvck it, why not. I'll take Pierce Under for 50 points.Comment -
Dang it! Y couldn't y'all just agree!Comment -
what type of game will kobe play tonight???Comment -
Ex has over 1h and for game. Does this present a prob?Comment -
What y'all think about the 1H line at Boston -1.5 o/u 96?
Where's that guy Expertcapper??Comment -
Lol nevermindComment -
good luck to all tonightComment -
CELTICS BRING HOME COURT ADVANTAGE
BACK TO BOSTON FOR TONIGHTS GAME THREE
That was a quick turnaround!
The key question for handicappers...was it a 'sustainable' turnaround? The Boston Celtics surely had a great game Sunday Night in Los Angeles scoring an outright upset as a six-point underdog. We outlined overall series disadvantages for Boston heading into that game in our Sunday NOTEBOOK. Of note:
*The POINT GUARD situation took a dramatic turn for the better as Rajon Rondo came up huge despite his balky back. He still wasn't at 100%. But, he was a lot more of a plus than the Lakers point guards...running down long rebounds (he had a triple double)...hitting red hot Ray Allen for three-point jumpers...and being more of a defensive influence than he was in Game One.
*The SHOOTING GUARD edge that Kobe Bryant usually enjoys disappeared! He was in uncharacteristic foul trouble (leading to cries of 'FIX' among the Lakers faithful who were sure a series sweep was at hand). Allen set all time championship series records by making seven straight three-pointers in the first half, and ultimately eight for the game. The Lakers were searching for edges at any position. They ended winning these two spots on the floor in dramatic fashion.
If Rondo can't be a factor, Boston has no chance in the series. He became a factor. Does Boston need Allen to outplay Kobe three more times if they're going to win the series? That certainly seems likely given how invisible the Boston frontline of Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett have become against the tall, long, big Lakers in the paint. Boston has to win at the guard position. Pierce will certainly play better than he did in Game Two as the series develops. So will Ron Artest, who was just as bad from the floor as Pierce was. Gasol vs. Garnett? Garnett's tank is empty, and that's a potential mismatch. It's all about the GUARDS because so many other factors either cancel out, or favor the Lakers.
As you handicap the rest of the series, you'll need to keep a close eye on Rondo's capabilities. Bad backs are fickle, and can become problems at the worst possible times. Kobe Bryant is furious that Allen (and the refs) got the best of him Sunday. It will be fascinating to see how Bryant vs. Allen plays itself out in the coming days.
Let's see what the oddsmakers think about tonight's Game Three...
GAME TWO: BOSTON AT LOS ANGELES
LOS ANGELES leads 1-0
Vegas Line: Boston by 2.5, total of 192.5
This is a fairly standard move from the Lakers -6 on their home floor. Home court advantage us usually worth 4-5 points. Oddsmakers are saying they have the Lakers about 1.5 to 2 points better on a neutral court.
Our talks with our Wise Guy connections are suggesting a fascinating dynamic in play for this one. The general public tends to bet the Lakers, particularly as an underdog. Professional wagerers tend to bet the bounce back off a loss, particularly with a defending champion. So, this may be a game where both sets of bettors are on the same team. That creates inbalanced action. But...the LAST time the Lakers played the Celtics in the league championships...the same thing happened and sportsbooks cleaned up! The Lakers were defined by the market as a few points better than Boston. Once the games were played, Boston was the better team. Will we see the same thing here?
If you think Boston is the better team, you're only laying 2.5 on your home floor! If you think the Lakers are going to bounce back strong, you don't have to lay any points at all. You could lose a nailbiter and still cash your bet. This is going to be a BIG MONEY game, and JIM HURLEY'S NETWORK resources will help you make the right move this afternoon.
Note the total is about the same spot as where it settled on game day Sunday. When we want to press, Vegas had lowered the number down to 190.5 or 191. Game day steam lifted it to 192 or 192.5. With the game landing on 197, and the two games so far landing on 191 and 197...we're probably in the range we're going to see for awhile pending new developments.
In terms of betting the total, we'll be looking at Unders later in the series when the refs start to swallow their whistles. Right now, they're calling EVERYTHING, and a total of 67 free throws have been shot in both games.
Here's a review of Sunday Night's scoring...
BOSTON 103, LA LAKERS 94
Three-Point Scoring: Boston 33, Lakers 15
Two-Point Scoring: Boston 50, Lakers 48
Free Throw Scoring: Boston 20, Lakers 31
You can see it was all three-pointers for Boston. They went from 3 to 33 in one game! That's the nature of long range shooting in this sport. You can go 1 for 10 one day, then 11 out of 16 the next. Boston trailed by as many as 20 in Game One because Ray Allen wasn't getting open looks. They looked like true champions in Game Two because the Lakers were a step or two (or seven) slow on denying his shots.
If you throw out treys, you see that the Lakers have the edge.
INSIDE SCORING (one's and two's)
Lakers 90, Boston 86
Lakers 79, Boston 70
And, that's with Lamar Odom being a non-entity because of persistent foul trouble. That's an average of 6.7 points per game. Should that hold up the rest of the way:
*Boston must win treys by two-per-game just to get back to even.
*Boston must win treys by three or more to finish on top
*When the Lakers win treys, they should pull away to easy victories.
Don't assume Boston is going to have an edge every time out. The Lakers outshot Phoenix in treys in the Western Finals...and Phoenix lives and dies by the three.
Lakers vs. Phoenix: 8-9-9-9-7-10 (52 total)
Phoenix vs. Lakers: 5-10-5-11-9-9 (49 total)
To this point Boston leads the category 12-9 in the Final s.Comment -
Goatie: I think that you take the analysis and go from there.......you have to look at all variables...including yours to make a intelligent decision...maybe the line movement is.....worked pretty good during reg seasonComment -
Lakerboy, whats the play tonighttt?Comment -
Over/under has fallen to 191. Almost 2 pt swing. Where is most of the $ on?Comment -
Does anyone think we'll get a good live line if we're going for the lakers?Comment -
I havent bet the under but i might.Comment -
I don't like the fact that the lakers series price just dropedComment -
Good luck to everyone tonight on their plays.Scared money don't make money
182-120-6 (60.26%) Final Total NBA Record over 308 plays
37-20-1 (65%) Record for the 2010 NBA PLAYOFFSComment -
Every1 is on the under
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Lakers /Celtics under 192.5 (3x)Comment -
good luck everyone ........
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I've got Lakers for 5x at +3 (caught it a few hours ago when it crept up). Also parlayed a Celtics ML (-140) and Under 192 - hopefully the under hits, so that I've got some hedge in case Celtics beat Lakeshow bad. Got a bit of a middle too if Lakeshow lose by <3. GO SHOW!Comment -
Bodog is a joke- No moneyline for finals games...are you fvcking kidding me?
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Goat: one final thought on game 2....that celtics were 4-1 ats after a loss was a valuable piece of info.....Comment -
Good feeling about under guys, shouldn't be that many easy points tonight.Comment
