Flea Hotel's Life Redefining NBA Totals

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  • Flea Hotel
    Restricted User
    • 08-31-16
    • 1732

    #36
    Got a winner for tonight...
    YTD (7-4, 3.4u)

    Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies OVER 198.5 (-105) 1.05u to win 1u
    Comment
    • Flea Hotel
      Restricted User
      • 08-31-16
      • 1732

      #37
      Whatever...

      I'm retiring this thread, I'm having way more success with hockey and want to dedicate all my time to it since my form of statistical modelling works much better with hockey. Like the NFL, the refs have too much influence and screw up my variables and raise variance to a frustrating degree. I can make way more winning picks on my two hockey threads. At least the thread is being retired with a profit.

      YTD (7-5, 2.35u)
      Comment
      • knicksrulez
        SBR Sharp
        • 10-26-16
        • 391

        #38
        Love the discipline, I already quit betting NFL and NBA, was just following you here, for some reason I couldn't place the wager last night, but at last it worked, maybe it was sign, whatever..

        NFL and NBA are just not worth the time, at the end you'll broke even at best, my only bet probably is gonna be an action play on the Super Bowl, but that's it

        Originally posted by Flea Hotel
        Whatever...

        I'm retiring this thread, I'm having way more success with hockey and want to dedicate all my time to it since my form of statistical modelling works much better with hockey. Like the NFL, the refs have too much influence and screw up my variables and raise variance to a frustrating degree. I can make way more winning picks on my two hockey threads. At least the thread is being retired with a profit.

        YTD (7-5, 2.35u)
        Comment
        • Flea Hotel
          Restricted User
          • 08-31-16
          • 1732

          #39
          I think NBA totals can be winnable but NHL is better suited to my models. I just don't have time for both. I still bet NBA and am winning. Not a lot but up. Might revisit a NBA thread after the all-star break once my ref stats are more complete.
          Originally posted by knicksrulez
          Love the discipline, I already quit betting NFL and NBA, was just following you here, for some reason I couldn't place the wager last night, but at last it worked, maybe it was sign, whatever..

          NFL and NBA are just not worth the time, at the end you'll broke even at best, my only bet probably is gonna be an action play on the Super Bowl, but that's it
          Comment
          • Flea Hotel
            Restricted User
            • 08-31-16
            • 1732

            #40
            Due to public outcry demand, I have resurrected this thread. Mainly Team Totals. Some occasional 1H's and game totals. All lines are 5Dimes. Where were we?
            YTD (7-5, 2.35u)

            Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 103.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
            Brooklyn Nets UNDER 104 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
            Last edited by Flea Hotel; 01-13-17, 02:08 PM.
            Comment
            • DU46
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-09-09
              • 368

              #41
              Thanks for spreading the wealth Flea!
              Comment
              • Flea Hotel
                Restricted User
                • 08-31-16
                • 1732

                #42
                People might wanna observe these plays for a few days before betting cash money on them. My brain is so NHL centered that it might take a few days to shake off the rust.
                Originally posted by DU46
                Thanks for spreading the wealth Flea!
                Comment
                • DU46
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-09-09
                  • 368

                  #43
                  Good call, definitely don't want this taking away from the success of your NHL model!
                  Comment
                  • thekoreanmang
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-17-14
                    • 1422

                    #44
                    Good luck, Flea.
                    Comment
                    • JoeDeagan
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-19-16
                      • 143

                      #45
                      Flea Hotel, I followed you from the NHL thread. I'm brand new to sports betting, I've started betting about three weeks. Before that, I have never entertained sports betting because I am not an avid sports fan. But I need extra money to pay off mortgage and things like that. I was introduced to sports betting from a trip to Vegas with a sports betting friend just last year. He seems to be winning every time he goes to Vegas to bet on sports so I decided to bring some money to tail his bets in NFL. I watched a little bit of the NBA so I thought I could make my own picks. The first day was a winner, but after that, it was a total disaster. I had a taste of how difficult it is to bet on sports.

                      But I didn't give up, I searched for forums like this for advice and "expert" picks to bet online. I know and heard about bank roll management but chose to ignore all of that stuff because I really wanted to win a lot of money. The last couple weeks has been a roller coaster ride. I was literally up huge and then took a dive to almost loosing everything. Luckily, I've found some good pickers recently in this forum. I still have all my deposits with a little extra. It was a fun, frustrating, disappointing and learning experience.

                      I just want to say thank you for all you've done for people and hope to tail you to earn extra income to pay for bills and things. I've read most of your posts and I find them very entertaining. It is refreshing to read "I like hot Asian girls and cash money" in the middle of a discussion.
                      Comment
                      • Flea Hotel
                        Restricted User
                        • 08-31-16
                        • 1732

                        #46
                        0-2, -2.2u
                        YTD (7-7, 0.15u)

                        Comment: Well... shit.
                        Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                        Due to public outcry demand, I have resurrected this thread. Mainly Team Totals. Some occasional 1H's and game totals. All lines are 5Dimes. Where were we?
                        YTD (7-5, 2.35u)

                        Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 103.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
                        Brooklyn Nets UNDER 104 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
                        Comment
                        • Flea Hotel
                          Restricted User
                          • 08-31-16
                          • 1732

                          #47
                          It's a slow grind, I try to make it fun. I think most people had an off night/week but stick to betting within your limits and there are enough good cappers here that should do exactly what you want: make some extra cash money. Just remember, If you win 60% of the time, you're gonna lose 40%. Some nights you'll win 8/9, but others you'll win 2/9. Not letting the swings affect your betting methodology is just as important as making the right picks. I can't talk about girls for four more days due to a lost bet but I'll be back with winners later today and the other thing in four long days.
                          Originally posted by JoeDeagan
                          Flea Hotel, I followed you from the NHL thread. I'm brand new to sports betting, I've started betting about three weeks. Before that, I have never entertained sports betting because I am not an avid sports fan. But I need extra money to pay off mortgage and things like that. I was introduced to sports betting from a trip to Vegas with a sports betting friend just last year. He seems to be winning every time he goes to Vegas to bet on sports so I decided to bring some money to tail his bets in NFL. I watched a little bit of the NBA so I thought I could make my own picks. The first day was a winner, but after that, it was a total disaster. I had a taste of how difficult it is to bet on sports.

                          But I didn't give up, I searched for forums like this for advice and "expert" picks to bet online. I know and heard about bank roll management but chose to ignore all of that stuff because I really wanted to win a lot of money. The last couple weeks has been a roller coaster ride. I was literally up huge and then took a dive to almost loosing everything. Luckily, I've found some good pickers recently in this forum. I still have all my deposits with a little extra. It was a fun, frustrating, disappointing and learning experience.

                          I just want to say thank you for all you've done for people and hope to tail you to earn extra income to pay for bills and things. I've read most of your posts and I find them very entertaining. It is refreshing to read "I like hot Asian girls and cash money" in the middle of a discussion.
                          Comment
                          • Flea Hotel
                            Restricted User
                            • 08-31-16
                            • 1732

                            #48
                            No plays today. Focusing on NHL plays and watching NFL.
                            Comment
                            • Flea Hotel
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-31-16
                              • 1732

                              #49
                              Three plays for today.
                              YTD (7-7, 0.15u)

                              Dallas Mavericks UNDER 99 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u WINNER
                              Atlanta Hawks OVER 104.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u WINNER
                              Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 105.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
                              Last edited by Flea Hotel; 01-15-17, 06:25 PM.
                              Comment
                              • reed_barrington
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 10-05-15
                                • 136

                                #50
                                good luck flea!
                                Comment
                                • Flea Hotel
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 08-31-16
                                  • 1732

                                  #51
                                  Thanks, already on house's money.
                                  Originally posted by reed_barrington
                                  good luck flea!
                                  Comment
                                  • Flea Hotel
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 08-31-16
                                    • 1732

                                    #52
                                    3-0, +2.7u
                                    YTD (10-7, 2.85u)
                                    Comment
                                    • Catchn_Picks
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-02-11
                                      • 2984

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                      3-0, +2.7u
                                      YTD (10-7, 2.85u)
                                      Can't you be better than perfect?
                                      Comment
                                      • Flea Hotel
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 08-31-16
                                        • 1732

                                        #54
                                        All my threads are now in the green, even my MMA thread! Let's get a heater going and get that cash money.
                                        Originally posted by Catchn_Picks
                                        Can't you be better than perfect?
                                        Comment
                                        • reed_barrington
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 10-05-15
                                          • 136

                                          #55
                                          amazing job flea!
                                          Comment
                                          • Flea Hotel
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 08-31-16
                                            • 1732

                                            #56
                                            Only tail if you like cash money.
                                            YTD (10-7, 2.85u)

                                            Utah Jazz OVER 104.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
                                            Comment
                                            • Housemoney
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-17-09
                                              • 3912

                                              #57
                                              That 3rd quarter helped.
                                              Comment
                                              • Flea Hotel
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 08-31-16
                                                • 1732

                                                #58
                                                WINNER! I'm not sure what y'all do but I'm all about cash money.
                                                YTD (11-7, 3.85u)
                                                Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                Only tail if you like cash money.
                                                YTD (10-7, 2.85u)

                                                Utah Jazz OVER 104.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
                                                Comment
                                                • Housemoney
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-17-09
                                                  • 3912

                                                  #59
                                                  Nice hit!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Flea Hotel
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 08-31-16
                                                    • 1732

                                                    #60
                                                    TY, Didn't look good at half time but you're right, good 3rd and good last 2mins.
                                                    Originally posted by Housemoney
                                                    Nice hit!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • reed_barrington
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 10-05-15
                                                      • 136

                                                      #61
                                                      Thank you flea! Close call! Vegas knows NBA
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Catchn_Picks
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-02-11
                                                        • 2984

                                                        #62
                                                        In Flea we trust!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Flea Hotel
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 08-31-16
                                                          • 1732

                                                          #63
                                                          Tail only if you like cash money. If you're into stitch and bitching, there's a good thread or two in the NCAAB sub-thread.
                                                          YTD (11-7, 3.85u)

                                                          Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 115.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Housemoney
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-17-09
                                                            • 3912

                                                            #64
                                                            Already dropped to 114, Flea knows when to bet it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Don_Omarion
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-23-15
                                                              • 2635

                                                              #65
                                                              way to go Flea, I like Denver ML here but can not trust the process of Lakers losing last 4 games and Denver winning last 2 games
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Flea Hotel
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 08-31-16
                                                                • 1732

                                                                #66
                                                                I notice a lot of touts are on the Lakers but I'm on this TT and Denver ML. You never really know in these battle of the donks.
                                                                Originally posted by Don_Omarion
                                                                way to go Flea, I like Denver ML here but can not trust the process of Lakers losing last 4 games and Denver winning last 2 games
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Flea Hotel
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 08-31-16
                                                                  • 1732

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Weird...I'm not sure what being abducted by aliens feels like (yet) but whenever I have a losing day..
                                                                  YTD (11-8, 2.75u)
                                                                  Originally posted by Flea Hotel
                                                                  Tail only if you like cash money. If you're into stitch and bitching, there's a good thread or two in the NCAAB sub-thread.
                                                                  YTD (11-7, 3.85u)

                                                                  Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 115.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Flea Hotel
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 08-31-16
                                                                    • 1732

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I hate the Raptors so I usually don't even pay much attention to them if I have to. This is an example of when I have to. Noels and Okafor should play, the Raptors are 1-5 in their last 6 ATS. One stat I don't like is Toronto has beat Philly the last 7 ATS, but all streaks must end, and their on the second of a B2B. I expect a lot of points tonight. I wouldn't be surprised if the 76ers win this game outright. I like the game total over but this is a team total thread. Might have one or two more later.
                                                                    YTD (11-8, 2.75u)

                                                                    Philadelphia 76ers OVER 104 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • slamuels2021
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 10-21-16
                                                                      • 201

                                                                      #69
                                                                      The million dollar question is: Embiid Playing? He's the difference maker. He should be playing, he just had two days off.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Flea Hotel
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 08-31-16
                                                                        • 1732

                                                                        #70
                                                                        He's playing but how many mins... I like that him and Noels are playing + the B2B for the Raptors on the road.
                                                                        Originally posted by slamuels2021
                                                                        The million dollar question is: Embiid Playing? He's the difference maker. He should be playing, he just had two days off.
                                                                        Comment
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