Flea Hotel's Life Redefining NBA Totals

**Surfjack** · 01-28-17, 12:19 AM

Originally posted by Surfjack

I like the miami call, not sure about the grizzlies

hey Flea Hotel, let's make a two-factor prediction system in this NBA totals thing, I think we'll do fairly well

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 06:54 AM

1-1, -0.1u.

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

Throwing out a team total due to mainly the NHL break. I like this one.
YTD (13-10, 2.55u)

Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 103.5 (-110) 1.10u to win 1u
Miami Heat OVER 98 (-110) 1.1u to win 1

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 06:56 AM

How about you start your own thread and share your insight with the rest of us?

Originally posted by Surfjack

hey Flea Hotel, let's make a two-factor prediction system in this NBA totals thing, I think we'll do fairly well

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 08:23 AM

My -0.1u night was one of the best for SBR cappers last night. Hell, I might even take a stab at another NBA TT today.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 09:02 AM

I must be drunk on life or too high on chronic to do this.. an NCAAB Team Total. Maybe an NBA one later.
YTD (13-10, 2.55u)

Iowa State OVER 72.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
Oregon OVER 75 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u

**Joe'Dad** · 01-28-17, 10:40 AM

Don't usually bet on college basketball; however I been watching Georgia Tech. They lost on the road to Virginia and Notre Dame got killed at home against Virginia. Georgia Tech have been beating ranked teams. Georgia Tech plays similar to Virginia. I would take the points (6.5) however I think Tech can upset Notre Dame outright.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 11:20 AM

Not only do I know nothing about CBB, I can't stand watching it. I just ran a few games through the FleaTech™ V2.01 and got these two team totals. I watched darts on TV last night and found it much more entertaining than most of the CBB games I've watched this year. I can't believe how bad some of the players/coaches are.

Originally posted by Joe'Dad

Don't usually bet on college basketball; however I been watching Georgia Tech. They lost on the road to Virginia and Notre Dame got killed at home against Virginia. Georgia Tech have been beating ranked teams. Georgia Tech plays similar to Virginia. I would take the points (6.5) however I think Tech can upset Notre Dame outright.

**juicername** · 01-28-17, 11:32 AM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

Not only do I know nothing about CBB, I can't stand watching it. I just ran a few games through the FleaTech™ V2.01 and got these two team totals. I watched darts on TV last night and found it much more entertaining than most of the CBB games I've watched this year. I can't believe how bad some of the players/coaches are.

Haha yeah, I used to think CFB was duckshit compared to NFL, but CBB compared to NBA is just on a whole other level.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 11:50 AM

I can handle CFB because I've never played football, but I have and still do play basketball and when I see dudes miss countless free throws, lay-ups and heinous coaching at the end of the game (not calling time outs or fouling properly), I start losing it. The new one are these donks pretending to be Steph Curry and taking needlessly long threes and not even coming close. Some game I was tailing the other day had the over at 123 and I thought that'd be easy money. It was 32-12 at half time, and ended up 54-52 in OT or something ridiculous...

Originally posted by juicername

Haha yeah, I used to think CFB was duckshit compared to NFL, but CBB compared to NBA is just on a whole other level.

**v0id125** · 01-28-17, 11:50 AM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

I must be drunk on life or too high on chronic to do this.. an NCAAB Team Total. Maybe an NBA one later.
YTD (13-10, 2.55u)

Iowa State OVER 72.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
Oregon OVER 75 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u

Oregon state is showing me Over 58.5 (-110)

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 12:09 PM

That's because Oregon State isn't Oregon.

Oregon State is playing Utah U, Oregon is playing Colorado at 9:30PM EST....

Originally posted by v0id125

Oregon state is showing me Over 58.5 (-110)

**slamuels2021** · 01-28-17, 12:26 PM

Dam Dog! sipping on Mimosa's or Bloody Mary's this morning? Get some!

Originally posted by v0id125

Oregon state is showing me Over 58.5 (-110)

**Surfjack** · 01-28-17, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

How about you start your own thread and share your insight with the rest of us?

I did yesterday, started a TOTALs thread ; )

**Surfjack** · 01-28-17, 01:05 PM

Seriously now bra, do you have a script or something to calculate the PDFs of these totals in matlab or Python or something like that?
I'm doing all my analysis by hand, it's not pretty 😭

**v0id125** · 01-28-17, 01:34 PM

Originally posted by slamuels2021

Dam Dog! sipping on Mimosa's or Bloody Mary's this morning? Get some!

Lmaoo... maybe I should start, might as well

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 02:28 PM

cool, where's the link, i love new threads. I use Maxstat for school stuff but I don't have a script yet for my sports stuff, it's all by hand and it's super not pretty. we keeps it real!

Originally posted by Surfjack

I did yesterday, started a TOTALs thread ; )

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 03:54 PM

Am I the only one who thinks having a couple bloody mary's with breakfast every weekend is sorta fine? Doesn't the tomato juice and celery offset the vodka?

Originally posted by slamuels2021

Dam Dog! sipping on Mimosa's or Bloody Mary's this morning? Get some!

**slamuels2021** · 01-28-17, 04:45 PM

I think its a requirement.

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

Am I the only one who thinks having a couple bloody mary's with breakfast every weekend is sorta fine? Doesn't the tomato juice and celery offset the vodka?

**Big John Studd** · 01-28-17, 04:47 PM

Pathetic end to that half by Iowa State

**weekndornah** · 01-28-17, 05:53 PM

Cash dat Iowa State, how bow dah

**Big John Studd** · 01-28-17, 05:55 PM

Don't know how that happened but I'll take it!

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 10:21 PM

Come on Oregon you dumb ducks, I don't want back to back -0.1u nights..

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 10:24 PM

Officially impossible to watch, I'll check the result in my sportsbook later. I've seen more travelling calls watching NCAAB today than I have in my entire life in the NBA.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 10:58 PM

Should have taken the GSW TT.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 11:12 PM

CBB sucks some major dick. Oregon has scored 1 point in the past three days.

**weekndornah** · 01-28-17, 11:18 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

CBB sucks some major dick. Oregon has scored 1 point in the past three days.

Bruh I need your NHL winners! I'm bleeding here with all these stupid fukking upsets

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 11:40 PM

Wow, today was the first and last day I ever spend watching a lot of NCAAB. Horrible. Oregon missed over 300 shots and still got 65 points. LMFAO
1-1, -0.1u
YTD (14-11, 2.45u)

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

I must be drunk on life or too high on chronic to do this.. an NCAAB Team Total. Maybe an NBA one later.
YTD (13-10, 2.55u)

Iowa State OVER 72.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u
Oregon OVER 75 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u

**Flea Hotel** · 01-28-17, 11:41 PM

Just a couple more days left and normalcy returns. CBB is a joke.

Originally posted by weekndornah

Bruh I need your NHL winners! I'm bleeding here with all these stupid fukking upsets

**Surfjack** · 01-28-17, 11:46 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

Wow, today was the first and last day I ever spend watching a lot of NCAAB. Horrible. Oregon missed over 300 shots and still got 65 points. LMFAO
1-1, -0.1u
YTD (14-11, 2.45u)

I made a few observations with CBB Totals, bra. All I can say is: it's a mess! I mean, didn't spend that much time, but still...

**PokeyAristocrat** · 01-29-17, 02:45 AM

Haven't had a good day since the NHL break. Can't wait to hop on the cash train once NHL returns. You da man Flea.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-29-17, 07:49 AM

The problem with trying to cap totals or sides with college sports in the incredibly wide variance in performance due to the teams, even the good ones, each having their own wide variance in consistency. Half the games I watched yesterday looked like high school games. Many teams went around or even under 50% from the foul line, and all the missed lay ups, travelling calls, bad inbound passes, etc. I have respect for all sports and I'm sure NCAAB's popularity can't hurt that their seem to be hundreds of teams but I have no idea how people can watch that. To each their own.

The NHL will be back soon. Even a fourth liner doesn't fall down on a two on one or miss the net on a wide open break away. I didn't even drink yesterday and I feel hungover from watching all that CBB. I'd love to see last night's Oregon Ducks vs the Golden State Warriors.

**Flea Hotel** · 01-29-17, 12:22 PM

Passing today. Was going to take the Raptors 1H TT over if Derozan was playing but I don't think he is. I'm gonna tail a few CBB games and take the girlfriend out for "a drive".

NHL back on Tuesday, thank god.

**v0id125** · 01-29-17, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

Passing today. Was going to take the Raptors 1H TT over if Derozan was playing but I don't think he is. I'm gonna tail a few CBB games and take the girlfriend out for "a drive".

NHL back on Tuesday, thank god.

Looking fwd to your Tuesdays pick. Enjoy the weekend

**Surfjack** · 01-29-17, 02:45 PM

Originally posted by Flea Hotel

The problem with trying to cap totals or sides with college sports in the incredibly wide variance in performance due to the teams, even the good ones, each having their own wide variance in consistency. Half the games I watched yesterday looked like high school games. Many teams went around or even under 50% from the foul line, and all the missed lay ups, travelling calls, bad inbound passes, etc. I have respect for all sports and I'm sure NCAAB's popularity can't hurt that their seem to be hundreds of teams but I have no idea how people can watch that. To each their own.

The NHL will be back soon. Even a fourth liner doesn't fall down on a two on one or miss the net on a wide open break away. I didn't even drink yesterday and I feel hungover from watching all that CBB. I'd love to see last night's Oregon Ducks vs the Golden State Warriors.

couldn't say it any better, exactly my thoughts HI VAR sucks deeekz

**Flea Hotel** · 01-30-17, 12:38 PM

My ~~hopefully~~ last NCAAB Team Total I ever post. My model is 2-2 for -0.2u with NCAAB, I don't like having any of my picks in the negative.
YTD (14-11, 2.45u)

SIU Edwardsville OVER 63.5 (-110) 1.1u to win 1u