****. 14 threes. If they do anything in the 1st Q, it cashes. Will keep riding it because this game again showed that the shooters once they hit, can make this prop a winner. ****ing Ray Allen. 3 for 19.
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Ray Allen was non-existent today.
Next game, we'll have Alston to help out the 3 point barrage.
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Game 3: Denver@Dallas
1) Nene Total Points/Rebounds OVER 21.5 (-145)
2) Dirk Total Points/Rebounds OVER 34.5 (-145)
I think both have excellent chances to cash and at worst, I believe you get a split with those. Both Game 1 & Game 2, Nene & Dirk have gotten past these numbers. On the season, Nene would have cashed in 4 of the 5 games he's played against Dallas & Dirk would have cashed at this total in 5 of 6. Probably will wait for them to go up a half each to 22 & 35 to get some juice reduction and still feel confident in getting past those numbers as well. See ya Saturday afternoon homies.Comment -
Short on time so no write ups. Might be back for more later today. Good luck, gentlemen.
Nene Hilario -8.5 Points + Rebounds vs Erick Dampier
Dirk Nowitzki OVER 12 Rebounds + AssistsComment -
Settled on ...
Nowitzki Total Points/Rebounds OVER 35.5 (-110)
Trusting Dirk to score more than Nene on the road. Still like Nene to cash that prop, but there's always a possibility of him producing a little less on the road. Denver might have that one clunker still in them somewhere in this series like they did against New Orleans. Dirk has to do everything for the Mavericks to even keep the game close and will probably be in there for around 40 minutes of PT again. He's taken 20 shots in each of the first two games and gotten to the line 18 times (13 in Game 2). Should be good for 8-10 rebounds, so 28 points would get it done in my book. I don't expect all the off-court distractions to effect Dirk's game whatsoever as he knew about all of that before Game 2 and had another strong game. Nuggets seem perfectly fine letting Dirk get his, knowing there isn't much else on the team that will hurt them with Josh Howard ailing.Comment -
Dirk-olicious, 21 & 9 at the half. Looking good.
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Looking good, EP. If Nene could actually make a layup, I'd feel a lot better too.Comment -
tailed you on the over 12 rebounds and assist the Kid.. looking good my man..Comment -
Dirk is doneski. Woot.Comment -
what do you think about Cavs game,i like James on the road all the season..the team always needed him,but tonight i dont know about the injuries in Atlanta..if it will be a though game ,James can easily go over 39.5 reb and pointsComment -
Game 3: Cavaliers/Hawks Largest Lead OVER 16.5 (-130)
Let's be blunt. Cleveland decimated Atlanta in Games 1 & 2 with a healthy Joe Johnson. Now, there is a possibility and likelihood I think that Johnson, Al Horford & Marvin Williams will play tonight. But we are talking about three players who will be at less than 100% against a team clicking on all cylinders right now. I think the Cavs are in the same mind-frame as they were against Detroit in Round 1. Let's get this series over with, get some more rest and hope Orlando & Boston beat each other up for 7 games. I think LeBron smells blood in the water and I don't expect the foot to come off the collective throats of the Hawks in Game 3. The Cavs took the will of Atlanta back in Cleveland and now they can rip their hearts out in front of their home crowd. With no strategy on defense and whomever Mike Bibby "guards" continually blowing past him, Cleveland should have a chance for a big lead again. And there is always the outside shot that Atlanta's home crowd does pump them up, Cleveland comes out a little flat or loose, and the Hawks actually open up somewhat of a big lead. Much more likely IMO though that the Cavs lay the smack down.Comment -
LeBron props are scary to me man. Look at the last game, Cleveland demolished Atlanta and he had a solid game again, but didn't come close to this number (39.5). I think a points prop by itself would probably be the only way to go with LeBron because assists and rebounds are tough to predict - although before the last game, he had been a rebounding machine. Also have to gauge what you think the blowout possibility is because that means less minutes.Comment -
That was f-ing sweet. Took 47 minutes to get a 17 point lead.
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Game 4: Kobe Bryant Total Points OVER 29 (-120)
Five straight post-season games Kobe has gone over 30. He's averaging 28 shot attempts per game in this series and has made it to the line 15 times in the last two games. With no shot blocker in the middle with Yao out, Kobe also now should have more room to slash to the rack for points. I expect Artest might spend a little less time on Kobe to conserve energy because the Rockets now need him to be an offensive force if they want to keep this game close. That could mean more Battier and others on Kobe. It really doesn't matter. Kobe still got his points in Game 3 despite an 11/28 shooting night. The X-factor here is can the Rockets keep the game close? I don't think they show any worse than they did in any of the first 3 games, meaning Kobe should get his 40 minutes or so and have a shot at going 30+ .... not to mention with his competitive nature, you have to imagine he'd like to make a run at LeBron's 47 from last night just to remind everyone that he's still a bad ass mother forker.Comment -
Hell of a spreadsheet Eagles, you seem to be a very similar capper to myself.
I like the Kobe play and something about the Ray Allen OVER 17.5 points looks very tempting!
Good luckComment -
Good luck if you play Allen. He's been horrible this series vs. Orlando, especially from 3. I mean he's got to get hot if Boston is going to compete, but I've been saying that for three games now. I can still see it though - he's gotten some good looks, just not hitting. Probably still gonna ride that 3 point prop in the Magic-Celtics game, but gonna wait and see.Comment -
I threw a unit on Kobe, gonna play either Boston ML or that Ray Allen prop later today........Good luck today and keep up the great thread!Comment -
Pau Gasol OVER 28.5 Points + Rebounds
With Yao out, I expect Gasol to be able to do what he wants on the offensive end. The Rockets are clearly undersized now so I don't know they're going to deal with the size of Bynum, Gasol, and Odom up front. The Lakers should take advantage of this and I expect Gasol to get more touches than usual. He has only gone over this total three times in the playoffs, but I can easily see a 20/10 game today.Comment -
Damn what a total cluster **** by the Lakers. Picked the one game when everyone didn't play worth a crap, including Kobe. He looks about as disinterested as the rest of these Fs.Comment -
Game 4: Celtics/Magic Largest Lead OVER 16 Points
In the first three games of this series, one team or the other has lead by 20+ points at some point during the game. Magic led by 28 in Game 1. Celtics by 26 in Game 2. Magic by 25 in Game 3. Game 4 has the definite potential to see another big lead and it probably shakes down one of two ways.
#1: The Celtics are as tired as they appear to be. Ray Allen & Paul Pierce continue to struggle. The Magic roll.
#2: Boston digs deep. Ray Allen starts dropping shots. Paul Pierce learns from the 2nd half of Game 3 and takes the ball to the hole and lives on the foul line. Celtics play defense.
Both teams are prone to lapses defensively and the Celtics especially can really get in a hole if they continue to count on jump shots being their best weapon since this series, it has not been. How the teams adapt to the refs will also be big in this game. Game 3 was ridicilously loaded with fouls, but none of the big men really seemed to sense how tight the game was being called. Having Perkins or Davis on the bench or both would let Howard run rampant. Losing Howard obviously is always a big turning point for Orlando. Should be fun to see how this one plays out.
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I had no idea either. I was very happy to see him play in the 4Q though!
He put Kobe in with like 4 minutes too and I was scratching my head on that one as well.
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Tough loss on Kobe today but the way that game started I had a bad feeling.........plenty of time to clean em up!
Good luck tonight Kid and EaglesComment -
Rajon Rondo -7.5 Points + Assists vs. Rafer AlstonComment -
Should have gone with my first gut choice of Paul Pierce Over 25.5 on pts/asts. Damn. Another case of second guessing myself. Poop.Comment -
booked
CLE @ ATL total 3FG made OVER 13.5 @ 205
40 3FGA in G3, 13 made
CLE 6/22 ( LBJ 5-10, Mo 1-6 )
ATL 7/18 ( Murray 3/6 )
series is over, if the game is over mid 3rd / early 4th I'd expect a shooting exercise rather than a ball game by the bench players. If for any reason the game should be close - all the better.
bol,
MrisComment -
Anderson Varejao OVER 15.5 Points + Rebounds
You'd have to think the Hawks will try everything in their power to get the ball out of Lebron's hands and make other players beat them. If anything, the Hawks should go down fighting IF they have any pride at all. With the defense focusing on Lebron, that should open up more opportunities for everyone else. That means Varejao should get a lot of easy buckets and open looks. He totaled only 6 points and 10 rebounds last game but in Game 2, he totaled 12 points and 8 rebounds. In Game 1, he only shot 2-8 from the field and that was the only game in which he did not surpass this total this series. Also he's grabbed at least 8 rebounds in all three games. I expect the Hawks to put up a little fight and that should mean more minutes for Varejao as well.
Good luck tonight, gentlemen.
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I like this Kid... been getting burned on the 3PT props lately think I may just stay away from them tonight and put a little on this one.
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Game 4: Joe Johnson OVER 17.5 (-110)
Game 3 showed that Johnson was healthy enough to contribute as he picked up 21 points, taking 19 shots in the process. If the Hawks have any shot of keeping this game competitive, Johnson has to show up and have a big game. With an extra couple days for treatment, the ankle should again be a non-factor. To get past this number, Johnson must be aggressive. Take the ball to the hole and get to the FT line. He's probably the best FT shooter for Atlanta at around 79% this season, but he was only averaging 5 trips to the line during the regular season. In this SERIES, he only has 5 free throws attempts. That shows too much of a willingness to settle for jump shots. JJ has to look to move immediately when he gets the ball to not allow the double team to catch him. Split it and take it to the rack or shoot/dish quickly and get some positive results to make the Cavs think twice about doing it. He's averaging 15 shot attempts per game in the playoffs, but only shooting 42%. I think he has to be selfish and get close to 20 shots up tonight. Getting to the line would be HUGE.
Game 4: Carmelo Anthony Total Points/Assists OVER 26.5 (-130)
Even when he played under 30 minutes in Game 1, Melo topped this number at 28. In Game 2, he had 25/5 & 31/2 in Game 3. He has done this with an easy recipe, get a high volume of shots (20+ in Games 2/3) and getting to the line (30 attempts this series). Game 4 figures to be chippy again with the controversy surrounding the non-call on the intentional foul at the end of Game 3 that allowed Melo to drain the game winner. So as long as he asserts himself, he should get to the line plenty again. Quite frankly, the Mavs have no solution for Melo this year. He only missed this number once in three regular season games and that was a close 23/2 performance. In the post-season, he has beaten this number in 7 straight. I think Melo comes up big again tonight in a potential close-out game. He had 34 against New Orleans to KO the Hornets in Round 1. He might get this done on points alone.Comment -
i like JoJo and Dirk tonightComment -
By the way, just so no one blindly plays anything I play or thinks I am good at this. 6-5 last week that I tallied up, net loss of a unit plus some change. 4-1 start, craptacular finish to the week.
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Wasn't pretty, but Johnson gets it done.
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