On a losing streak and trying to turn it around

[MrXYZ]

Going through a tough stretch in the NBA. I'm no expert capper, just another guy doing this for a hobby. Here's my last 6 plays. All were bet at 1.90 / -110:

Blazers/Lakers - over 204.0 $50 LOSS

Pelicans/Celtics - Pelicans -5.0 $50 LOSS

Spurs/Wizards - Spurs +1.0 $50 LOSS

Mavs/Kings - Mavs -5.0 $50 LOSS

Blazers/Clippers - Blazers -3.5 $50 LOSS

Thunder/Rockets - Thunder +1.0 $50 LOSS

Down $300 for the week. The only positive is I've stuck to being disciplined and haven't chased losses by doubling up.

Here's today's play:

HAWKS/RAPTORS RAPTORS +2.0 @1.90/-110 $50

If I get trolled, so be it. Losing streaks are part of the game. Gonna use this thread to track my plays for the rest of the season.

Tail or fade, good luck everyone.

[Emf66]

Going through a tough stretch in the NBA. I'm no expert capper, just another guy doing this for a hobby. Here's my last 6 plays. All were bet at 1.90 / -110:

Blazers/Lakers - over 204.0 $50 LOSS

Pelicans/Celtics - Pelicans -5.0 $50 LOSS

Spurs/Wizards - Spurs +1.0 $50 LOSS

Mavs/Kings - Mavs -5.0 $50 LOSS

Blazers/Clippers - Blazers -3.5 $50 LOSS

Thunder/Rockets - Thunder +1.0 $50 LOSS

Down $300 for the week. The only positive is I've stuck to being disciplined and haven't chased losses by doubling up.

Here's today's play:

HAWKS/RAPTORS RAPTORS +2.0 @1.90/-110 $50

If I get trolled, so be it. Losing streaks are part of the game. Gonna use this thread to track my plays for the rest of the season.

Tail or fade, good luck everyone.

your plays werent easy and when you do for a hobby you are going to get smacked at times sometimes
severely. Make fewer plays and easier ones so you get positive momentum going. A great rule of thumb to getting started is setting a goal which seems ridiculously ease – Make $5 a week – and achieve it. Why? Because if you cant make $5 then you need to work on every aspect or you will lose
and lose. The good news? If you can make $5 you are off and running because everything scales. I learned all the above as a currency day trader and it completely applies to sports betting. Hope that helps

[MrXYZ]

Thanks for the insightful reply. I've been sports betting for a while but mostly Aussie sports. Set aside some cash to go a full season of NBA but it's gone downhill fast. Hawks can't miss so it's another loser today.

[MrXYZ]

Twolves/Suns SUNS -13.5 @1.90/-110 $50

[MrXYZ]

HAWKS/RAPTORS RAPTORS +2.0 @1.90/-110 $50 LOSSTwolves/Suns SUNS -13.5 @1.90/-110 $50 LOSS

Today: 0-2 -$100
Running total: 0-8 -$400

So the NBA losing streak is now at 8.

Raptors was a bad play, no excuses. Hawks showed why they're the best in the East. They led all the way and shot 60%. Meanwhile the Suns went scoreless for the last 2 minutes of the game to kill any hope for the spread. Sickening.

Back tomorrow for more fun.

[johnnymapalo]

Dude!

Your plays suck!!! Sorry to say but from looking at your plays, I can tell your throwing darts at the wall when making your plays. You need help! Just play Clippers today against the Kings to re-coup your funds. Thank me afterwards!

[Spudymatt]

Dang that is some bad luck!
Maybe try the opposite picks mate. Don't be afraid to back the teams you are scared to.
Worked for me

[Emf66]

Your plays suck!!! Sorry to say but from looking at your plays, I can tell your throwing darts at the wall when making your plays. You need help! Just play Clippers today against the Kings to re-coup your funds. Thank me afterwards!

Mr X, Im going to repeat what I just posted in another thread as it relates to Johnnys thoughts. I hate Sac but read what I wrote about the Clips from last nights game before firing in. See below



I watched this game full 2^nd half, here are my thoughts comments welcome

1. Docs coaching had a huge impact - Clippers up 8/comfortable, Cavs start hack a shaq with Jordan and he isnt able to convert enough ft's. Cavs get momentum and close gap – Clippers slide back
   Subs Austin for Paul – he proceeds to shoot bricks, gets picked by Irving and shows exactly why the Pelicans Execs are moonwalking after his trade complete. He is not NBA ready
   By this time Irving is rolling and you have to say the way he was playing offensively – inside and out – was as good as there is in the NBA. His shooting was off the chart and ability to create for himself unstoppable. The Clippers stopped any offensive rebounding – ghost town under the basket on many shots – and their defense on Lebron and Irving was laughable. Repeatedly fouling isnt in Basketball 101 defense chapter the last time I looked. Worse yet fouling a shooter to soft so they get repeated baskets and the ft is a firing offense. That happened on at least 4 occassions as I recall.
   In summary I feel the Clippers are a dangerous pick because their line is always inflated severely and they have giant holes which can become glaring and exposed
   

[Emf66]

Today: 0-2 -$100
Running total: 0-8 -$400

So the NBA losing streak is now at 8.

Raptors was a bad play, no excuses. Hawks showed why they're the best in the East. They led all the way and shot 60%. Meanwhile the Suns went scoreless for the last 2 minutes of the game to kill any hope for the spread. Sickening.

Back tomorrow for more fun.

MrX - see below, cheers

[MrXYZ]

Mr X, Im going to repeat what I just posted in another thread as it relates to Johnnys thoughts. I hate Sac but read what I wrote about the Clips from last nights game before firing in. See below



I watched this game full 2^nd half, here are my thoughts comments welcome

1. Docs coaching had a huge impact - Clippers up 8/comfortable, Cavs start hack a shaq with Jordan and he isnt able to convert enough ft's. Cavs get momentum and close gap – Clippers slide back
   Subs Austin for Paul – he proceeds to shoot bricks, gets picked by Irving and shows exactly why the Pelicans Execs are moonwalking after his trade complete. He is not NBA ready
   By this time Irving is rolling and you have to say the way he was playing offensively – inside and out – was as good as there is in the NBA. His shooting was off the chart and ability to create for himself unstoppable. The Clippers stopped any offensive rebounding – ghost town under the basket on many shots – and their defense on Lebron and Irving was laughable. Repeatedly fouling isnt in Basketball 101 defense chapter the last time I looked. Worse yet fouling a shooter to soft so they get repeated baskets and the ft is a firing offense. That happened on at least 4 occassions as I recall.
   In summary I feel the Clippers are a dangerous pick because their line is always inflated severely and they have giant holes which can become glaring and exposed

good analysis, Clippers start to the season was terrible and they have been trying to get their act together ever since. They seem frustrated and disinterested at times. The 5 game stretch from late December is telling: they lost to the Raptors, barely won against the Jazz, beat up Knicks & 76ers, the lost to the Hawks. The championship window is over for this group and they need to make some trades.

[MrXYZ]

Pacers/Hornets PACERS -1.5 @1.85/-115 $50

Found this number at Tabsportsbet.

[Emf66]

Pacers/Hornets PACERS -1.5 @1.85/-115 $50

Found this number at Tabsportsbet.

Mr X, whats the thought process here? cheers

[NavsPicks]

Pacers/Hornets PACERS -1.5 @1.85/-115 $50

Found this number at Tabsportsbet.

I'm on hornets ml.. Don't feel so great anymore . Your luck has to turn around sooner or later

[Emf66]

I'm on hornets ml.. Don't feel so great anymore . Your luck has to turn around sooner or later

remember Kemba is out

[NYSportsGuy210]

Pacers/Hornets PACERS -1.5 @1.85/-115 $50

Found this number at Tabsportsbet.

What else ya got?

[MrXYZ]

9 losses in a row. I'll be back tomorrow for another fade.

[jay89]

I was on the HORNETS, but I admit I got lucky after it was announced that kemba was being held out. However, the Pacers have nothing going for them. I have no idea what got you on them...

Otherwise, today's card was fairly easy. atlanta, memphis, clippers were easy picks. golden state/houston over was no sweat. You gotta be following the sport for the while to know how teams play. take the time to do some research on the picks...at least 5 minutes.

[Ant2nv]

Tabsportsbet..u must be aussie right?

I"ll give u my lil secret, play Portland Team totals over, when they have a low scoring (under 50 or so) 1st half.. they always explode in the 3rd or 4th qtr..its easy money!!
But u have to ring up and play in the run, but if u follow portland you"ll be laughing.. dont think ppl on here relise how good port are 2nd halves :-)

[Ant2nv]

Today woke up late had 1 play, saw Port 42pts first half.. rang up for TT over 93.5pts, they started the 3rd qtr sooo slow but still hit 98pts..

anywayz man i dont post much, but def keep an eye out for Port 2nd halves..

you"re luck is bound to turn around soon..once u break the losing streak the wins will flow thru!!

[MrXYZ]

I was on the HORNETS, but I admit I got lucky after it was announced that kemba was being held out. However, the Pacers have nothing going for them. I have no idea what got you on them...

Otherwise, today's card was fairly easy. atlanta, memphis, clippers were easy picks. golden state/houston over was no sweat. You gotta be following the sport for the while to know how teams play. take the time to do some research on the picks...at least 5 minutes.

Easy to talk Sh*t about 'easy cards' after the games are over.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Some laughable posts in here---"easy plays." Post game analysis. So many clowns.

Op, we all go through losing streaks. Ignore the baboons and gl tomorrow.

[MrXYZ]

Pacers/Hornets PACERS -1.5 @1.85/-115 $50 LOSS

Found this number at Tabsportsbet.

Today: 0-1 -$50
Running total: 0-9 -$450

Getting my next play in now. My summer holidays are over. It's back to work, got an early start so won't have time to post in the morning.

OKC Thunder / Orlando Magic Game total OVER 210.5 @1.90/-110 $50

This could go on...16 or 18 losses in a row. Where does it end? Aside from Toronto, any of those plays could've hit. Have not had such a bad run in 3 years of sports betting. I won't be reloading after this debacle. Maybe it's time to close my accounts.

Thanks to Emf66, NavsPicks, Ant2nv, Spudymatt, High3rEl3m3n for your comments.

[crackerjack]

I was on the HORNETS, but I admit I got lucky after it was announced that kemba was being held out. However, the Pacers have nothing going for them. I have no idea what got you on them...

Otherwise, today's card was fairly easy. atlanta, memphis, clippers were easy picks. golden state/houston over was no sweat. You gotta be following the sport for the while to know how teams play. take the time to do some research on the picks...at least 5 minutes.

Pacers led the entire game until the final few minutes. I don't agree Hornets were the obvious play ... I was on them +2.5 but I felt super lucky to win.

I do agree that you have to know nba is a grind for the players and some games they phone it in. You have to be able to predict some of this...

[johnnymapalo]

Today: 0-1 -$50
Running total: 0-9 -$450

Getting my next play in now. My summer holidays are over. It's back to work, got an early start so won't have time to post in the morning.

OKC Thunder / Orlando Magic Game total OVER 210.5 @1.90/-110 $50

This could go on...16 or 18 losses in a row. Where does it end? Aside from Toronto, any of those plays could've hit. Have not had such a bad run in 3 years of sports betting. I won't be reloading after this debacle. Maybe it's time to close my accounts.

Thanks to Emf66, NavsPicks, Ant2nv, Spudymatt, High3rEl3m3n for your comments.

Dude!! You deserve to lose and get your legs broken by your bookie. I told you to go with the Clippers (spread was at -6.5 at the time) and thank me later and you just did what you always do. Place another losing bet!! Buds, your not good at this. I think you need to start blindly tailing someone and fast.

[crackerjack]

Dude!! You deserve to lose and get your legs broken by your bookie. I told you to go with the Clippers (spread was at -6.5 at the time) and thank me later and you just did what you always do. Pick another losing pick!! Buds, your not good at this. I think you need to start blindly tailing someone and fast.

What a dick.

[johnnymapalo]

What a dick.

I'm not being a dick! It's obvious this guy has no clue what he's doing. He's picking losers on a daily basis. Seems to me he's just throwing darts on a board and making plays without doing any research or capping. He should start tailing and fast if he wants to re-coup some of his loses.

[crackerjack]

I'm not being a dick! It's obvious this guy has no clue what he's doing. He's picking losers on a daily basis. Seems to me he's just throwing darts on a board and making plays without doing any research or capping. He should start tailing and fast if he wants to re-coup some of his loses.

Saying someone should have their legs broken is a dick thing to say and you know it...

[trobin31]

I hope you get one today.

Where are you at that it's summer time ? S. Anerica, Africa, Australia?

[johnnymapalo]

Saying someone should have their legs broken is a dick thing to say and you know it...

Well, go eat a dick then!! You must have nearly gotten your legs broken. Lol. Seems like that statement hit you in your soft spot.

[Emf66]

Easy to talk Sh*t about 'easy cards' after the games are over.

Mr X, relax & dont get to worked up. Back to basics, if you have been betting for three years then you
must be doing the standard requirements – knowledge / cash management / selection etc – reasonably enough. To me the gap must be purely in your experience on the NBA so the solution is to demo bet
only for one month or at least until you are breaking even over the course of 1 week. That is actually
advice I would give to anyone regardless of situation. In my opinion if you cant make successful picks
without money you will definitely be able to when you money/emotion to the mix. The last point is
time allocated, if you arent very structured and putting in a strong amount of hours and focus it will
be a hard road to haul so match expectation with hours input ie low hours = low expectation. Im sure
you will realize many of these points but sometimes its good getting a refresher. Best of luck, relax and
keep the chin up

[Emf66]

correction! lol

In my opinion if you cant make successful picks
without money you will definitely NOT be able to when you money/emotion to the mix

[JOHON8]

if you're emotions play a role in your bets, you will always lose. go release some of your emotions, bust a nut in a chick or something, then come back.

[riskyProps]

It'll probably end soon. Getting 16 in a row wrong is just as hard as getting 16 in a row right.

[MrXYZ]

Dude!! You deserve to lose and get your legs broken by your bookie. I told you to go with the Clippers (spread was at -6.5 at the time) and thank me later and you just did what you always do. Place another losing bet!! Buds, your not good at this. I think you need to start blindly tailing someone and fast.

Yeah whatever. You little keyboard tough guy.

BTW gambling on sports is perfectly legal in Australia, we don't sneak around placing bets with some guy named Vinnie.

[MrXYZ]

correction! lol

In my opinion if you cant make successful picks
without money you will definitely NOT be able to when you money/emotion to the mix

I work for a Forex company and 'practice accounts' are popular way to draw in noob currency traders. They get some confidence in making trades and most lose with real money.