CK'S Back on the NBA Threads anthonydiamondLC Leans for Monday 2/9/09

[Dexter]

Good start with Utah...I was all over GS at home...Beidrins out isnt 1% of their offense...need more reason than that to take Utah on the road at GS


GS Warriors

of course a 13/12 guy is more than 1% of their offense.

cmon schaap - act like you've been in the winners circle before bud.

[Chi_archie]

who bet utah on the road?????? really? Utah?

[schaapattack]

Like i said...never saw the 2 mysterious wins....is that a bad question?

[texhooper]

short card, might be stretching here, but i'm leaning towards:

clippers - i'm liking the idea that we should take advantage of this team being hot as fire, healthy, and getting points against a slumping, injury plagued bobcats team (wow, i think i just sold my self even more on them)

rockets - own the bucks in milwaukee, the bucks have a few injuries of their own, and they played over their heads against the pistons and will come back down to earth against a rockets team who is playing good ball as of late and showing us that THEY ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE!!

76ers (especially if they're getting points, which i would expect) - really, it's just time to fade phoenix again, and the 76ers shall bring it. we all saw how well they fared on the road against a run and gun team in the warriors on wednesday, and i expect to see more of the same against philly. coming off two big time wins, are we going to finally see that the suns are who we thought they were? probably not.

and possibly the over in the grizz/hornets game, those two go over like crazy when they face each other, but i'll have to see what the linesmaker has in store for us, and also if pho3nix sees value in it.

we have a valuable totals resource on our hands in that guy.

[nonsense48]

i would think if a player averages 13ppg that's a bit more than 1% of their offense

[Chi_archie]

Like i said...never saw the 2 mysterious wins....is that a bad question?

what mysterious 2 wins?

[nonsense48]

he posted them on the ncaa site if i remember correctly

[The_Kid]

ok, no more talking about it. its time for to start playing the clippers. the bobcats will be on a btb, while the clips are rested and waiting in charl - hot off of 2 nice road wins. the clippers are 4-0 ats the last 4 trips to charl, and have won 3 of those games su. projected line of +2.5

-clippers (big)

Minute mixing will be in effect tomorrow with Vlad Rad coming over from LA too. Knowing how Vlad played in LA, he'll probably ruin Charlotte's offensive sets and defensive schemes too.

clippers - i'm liking the idea that we should take advantage of this team being hot as fire, healthy, and getting points against a slumping, injury plagued bobcats team (wow, i think i just sold my self even more on them)

I think Dex and yourself sold me on taking the Clippers too.

[Ceelo22]

I'm big on the Clips tomorrow.

[texhooper]

I'm big on the Clips tomorrow.

cool, i really like them too. i wrote about it earlier. glad to see we're on the same side.

[texhooper]

I think Dex and yourself sold me on taking the Clippers too.

this is the second time in three days that me and dex have been referred to in the same post about "our" recommendation. i swear to god on my soul, i'm not passing his plays off as my own!!!

the kid, thanks for adding a constructive post regarding capping and monday's card. let's get em.

[Dexter]

this is the second time in three days that me and dex have been referred to in the same post about how someone took them based on "our" recommendation. i swear to god on my soul, i'm not passing his plays off as my own!!!

the kid, thanks for adding a constructive post regarding capping and monday's card. let's get em.

did we win the other one?

i know your not doing that bro

[nonsense48]

DEX, are you touting and selling picks? lol

[texhooper]

yeah, pho3nix took the suns and thanked us.

but maybe he was just thinking he needed an excuse to take the suns. something about that guy tells me he might be biased...

[nonsense48]

tex, you think maybe huh. lol

[Cheme82]

Hey guys, I cap NFL and CFB. I had threads on both of those last season and did very well. Whenever I had someone coming over to post something dumb or to do some criticism that wasn't constructive I would either ignore them or respond to them once and that was it.

As a result of that my threads were relatively clean of trash and were short enough so that reading them wasn't a hassle. I believe the main problem here is that you guys keep fueling the fire by responding to them. A person that makes fun of someone else's lost plays just doesn't deserve the time and effort involved in typing a response to them.

Nonsense48 got it right, just ignore them and they will go away. Do it for your thread and to keep your space as clean as possible.

Just my opinion.

[nonsense48]

chem, i agree

[nonsense48]

look, it's 12:15 and already on pg.3 how sad

[texhooper]

well said, cheme82. i'm by no means a heavy hitter on this thread, but it has been an extremely valuable resource for me as i'm getting the hang of (as non says) "this thing we do", and it has become very polluted as of late, and i usually don't really even read pages 3-12 these days. let's get back to basics with the angles/leans/numbers/trends/gut feelings, etc that made this thread so valuable to all of us in the first place.

[pho3nix32]

Picked up another good win today guys and gals! Let's add another tomorrow:

line: lac@cha 195.5
pick: 195.5 over

Juicy trends that support my pick:

- The over for the Clips is 18-8 on road games.
- The over is 13-5 for the Clips in non-conference games.
- The over is 11-7 for the Bobcats in non-conference games.
- The over is 6-0 for both teams in the month of February.
- The over is 9-1 combined for both teams in the last 5 games.

I find both teams to be underrated scoring teams. The Clips are finally healthy and are getting some of their groove back. The Bobcats on the other hand lost Bell for a few games but had their rookie scorer Augustin back in form. They also got that powerless forward from the Lakers who can light it up from beyond the arc. The firepower will be more than enough: Clips - Bdiddy/Thornton/Zach/Gordon vs. Bobcats - Felton/Diaw/Vlad/Augustin. Expect both teams to get caught up in a defenseless game of basketball tomorrow my friends!

[texhooper]

pho3nix

this is a surprise, the over in this game, but man, if you're not convincing...

let's get em!!!!!!!!

[pho3nix32]

yeah, pho3nix took the suns and thanked us.

but maybe he was just thinking he needed an excuse to take the suns. something about that guy tells me he might be biased...

hahaha good one tex! actually im a suns fan since the barkley days but they have really sucked lately eversince that kerr took over! the glory days are over! i usually stay away from them this season in terms of betting. i just couldnt resist the home and home theory. you and dex just validated that pick.

fire steve kerr!!!

[shoebox]

hahaha good one tex! actually im a suns fan since the barkley days but they have really sucked lately eversince that kerr took over! the glory days are over! i usually stay away from them this season in terms of betting. i just couldnt resist the home and home theory. you and dex just validated that pick.

fire steve kerr!!!

thanks for the over pic, keep it up bud

[BrandonLaz]

Picked up another good win today guys and gals! Let's add another tomorrow:

line: lac@cha 195.5
pick: 195.5 over

Juicy trends that support my pick:

- The over for the Clips is 18-8 on road games.
- The over is 13-5 for the Clips in non-conference games.
- The over is 11-7 for the Bobcats in non-conference games.
- The over is 6-0 for both teams in the month of February.
- The over is 9-1 combined for both teams in the last 5 games.

I find both teams to be underrated scoring teams. The Clips are finally healthy and are getting some of their groove back. The Bobcats on the other hand lost Bell for a few games but had their rookie scorer Augustin back in form. They also got that powerless forward from the Lakers who can light it up from beyond the arc. The firepower will be more than enough: Clips - Bdiddy/Thornton/Zach/Gordon vs. Bobcats - Felton/Diaw/Vlad/Augustin. Expect both teams to get caught up in a defenseless game of basketball tomorrow my friends!

Nice write ups I have to say I like your way to pick out total lines that are weak. That is the hardest thing for me to research that is why 9 times out of 10 I am playing sides instead of totals. Keep up the good work I hope you keep on winning.

[pho3nix32]

let's get the win tomorrow guys im liking the clips play of dex. lets try get the most out of the thin line-up for tomorrow.

[LUNT101]

I'm on Clips and the over. LOVE the clips ML.

[BCaldwell32]

Never saw those posted anthony..lol

sounds like peachdog...post them after they are over

He posted those over in the NCAA thread earlier, I can vouch for him. I also believe calling anyone Peach Dog is like calling his mom a filthy whore which is not necessary to insult someone that bad!!

[kitsters2k]

6Parlay

817 FG PHOENIX SUNS +1½ -105 [107,97] 2/8/2009 8:06:00 PM
805 FG NEW YORK KNICKSOver +209½ -110 [108,109] 2/8/2009 6:05:00 PM
811 FG INDIANA PACERSOver +212 -114 [117,119] 2/8/2009 6:05:00 PM
819 FG UTAH JAZZOver +222½ -108 2/8/2009 9:06:00 PM
808 FG ORLANDO MAGICUnder +196 -116 [84,101] 2/8/2009 6:10:00 PM
814 FG NEW ORLEANS HORNETS -2½ -113 [97,101] 2/8/2009 7:06:00 PM

i came home thinking i won this parlay but i thought i had OKC over instead of GS over... ***k, i just wanted to share with guys. $100 would have paid $3900

[W0lfy]

I hope you didn't pay for everyone's tab thinking you won $3900 =]

[BREAKmyBOOKIE]

Picked up another good win today guys and gals! Let's add another tomorrow:

line: lac@cha 195.5
pick: 195.5 over

Juicy trends that support my pick:

- The over for the Clips is 18-8 on road games.
- The over is 13-5 for the Clips in non-conference games.
- The over is 11-7 for the Bobcats in non-conference games.
- The over is 6-0 for both teams in the month of February.
- The over is 9-1 combined for both teams in the last 5 games.

I find both teams to be underrated scoring teams. The Clips are finally healthy and are getting some of their groove back. The Bobcats on the other hand lost Bell for a few games but had their rookie scorer Augustin back in form. They also got that powerless forward from the Lakers who can light it up from beyond the arc. The firepower will be more than enough: Clips - Bdiddy/Thornton/Zach/Gordon vs. Bobcats - Felton/Diaw/Vlad/Augustin. Expect both teams to get caught up in a defenseless game of basketball tomorrow my friends!

Pho3nix 7th and last road game in the past 11 days for Clips...
have to admit you are hot with the totals....

[kitsters2k]

Damn i did, but its okay it was 90 bucks worth of drinks for my homies.

[kitsters2k]

I like the Bucks here +6.5


Rockets are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS win.
Rockets are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Rockets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. *

[anthonydiamondLC]

I see some people are liking the Clippers tomorrow...when I first saw the line and was reminded of the recent trade my gut sided with the clips, however they are such a horrid team and on an east coast road trip going up against a decent bobcats team. I dunno about this one. Morrison and Brown were only averaging 15 and 11 minutes respectively while doing a whole lot of nothing. I think there departures won't really change up much being that there trying to get the right players in the right roles right now working into Larry Brown's defensive system. L.A. is on the end of a long road trip, winning the last two of this road trip there playing with house money I can see a big flop in this spot. Bobcats are on a skid here but this is the team you wanna play to rectify things, especially at home.

[SlowRoll]

I appreciate the educated posts from my fellow sports enthusiast.

SlowRolls NBA Picks Feb,9,2009

LAC- +2.5
LAC- OVER
NO- Spread
NO- OVER

[BCaldwell32]

Before you guys jump all over the over in the Clippers game tomorrow check out these numbers:

league average points scored:99.29
Clippers PPG:94.23 Opponents PPG:101.84
Charlotte PPG:91.93 Opponents PPG:94.34

While the Clippers have been playing better, they are finishing off a long 7 game road trip that spans back 10 days. The Clippers recent success scoring 121 @ Atl and 126 @ Memphis although impressive was against 2 struggling teams. Prior to that they have only scored 100+ 4 other times all year!!! Charlotte has lost 5 games in a row and has not reached 100 points in any of those games averaging 89.6. They are allowing 100.2 PPG in that 5 game stretch but against very solid teams (Port, Den, Utah, Atl and Miami). So with this information I see the final score of this game being:

Clippers 96
Charlotte 93