Shevabets WNBA - 1H/2H

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Last year I tracked 1H bets but most of my record went 'unpublished' so you'd be right to take it with some scepticism. Regardless, I'll go ahead and post this record anyway:

1st half (pre Olympic) +35-34 (51%)
2nd half (post Olympic) +38-23 (62%)
overall 2012 WNBA first halves: 73-57 (56%)

One of my findings was that home favorites did a hell of a job covering first halves - but only during the stretch run of the season. Also, amazingly, my cross-conference game first half ATS wagers hit at a much higher rate (both before and after the Olympics)... East was right around 50% both before and after, West was +12-18 before and +14-5 after the break for a small overall win. But CC games were just sooooo good to me.

Needless to say, I watched games - although a lot less than I did in 2011 when I lost a small fortune betting this league. I gambled. I bet stupid **it... don't we all? I had Minnesota to win it all in 2012 and Atlanta in 2011. So if you're looking for a proven winner to tail - please feel free to close the thread now.

This year I've done better in 1H betting before the All-Star break; and I also added 2H betting to my arsenal... and made even more money there. My 1H and 2H WNBA wagers for June-July can be found... I won't say on which forum, but if you care enough to google it, you'll find it... and once you find the thread it will become very obvious that's me...

So: YTD +0-0=0

1) Wed 7/31 NYL@IND first half
New York Liberty +3.5 $100/102*

(this just means I'm betting 100 to win 102, the price is +102 obviously... I'll be using pinnacle lines only)

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2) NYL@IND second half
Under 72.0 $105/100

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YTD +1-1=0, -$3

Coach Thibault got outplayed this time. New York was more physical in both halves - could Braxton do for this team what Cambage did for Tulsa a few weeks back? I'll probably look to back both of these teams in their next games - the Mystics will have a fire burning under them (Thib doesn't take losing lightly, no sir!) and the Liberty are finally making more assists than turnovers... the uptempo game could well be the solution to this team's woes.

It's also possible that this game was just an anomaly. We'll know soon enough. I like Indiana to score 80+ in Connecticut tonight.

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Catchings is out so Indiana won't be scoring 80... however I like this:

3) Thu 8/1 IND@CON first half
Over 69 $109/100


Also, yesterday's bets were obviously not NYL@IND but NYL@WAS...just a typo

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4) IND@CON second half
Under 69 $106/100

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I think Seattle wins this game; no bet.

YTD +1-3=0, -$218

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5) SAT 8/2 CON@NYL first half
New York Liberty (-2.5) $108/100

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6) ATL@PHO first half
Phoenix Mercury (-2.0) $108/100

Last time Atlanta played after a loooong layoff they got destroyed at the KeyArena, as favorites. Can they do better as underdogs at Phoenix? I think they get stuffed

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7) CHI@IND second half
Under 72 $102/100
Indiana ML $100/124

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those were ##7-8

9) ATL@PHO second half
Atlanta ML $100/214

Wild swings in this first quarter so I'm going with a more fundamentally solid defensive team; can Griner stay on the court long enough to discourage McCoughtry layups?

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And the answer to that is a resounding YES. 30 minutes for 'the best male athlete of the year' in which she only scored 9 points but blocked 3 shots and discouraged countless drives to the basket. If she plays 20 minutes, they lose. Oh well!

YTD +3-6=0, -$410

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Sunday. This is the first meeting between Tulsa and San Antonio in 2013.
Last season they averaged 165+ in the first 3 H2H games and around 155 in the final two meetings (which were as non-competitive as they get; San Antonio was locked into 3rd seed in the West and Tulsa was out of playoff contention)

Tulsa's FT and PF differential in the last 5 games is amazing. They get fouled on average 6 times more per game (15-21) and shoot 4 more free throws than the opponent (22-18). Considering they are at least as good as San Antonio woman-for-woman, the sign that this team is finally defending better and going to the basket more aggressively... is just as bad as it gets for San Antonio.

Also, SA played three home games following 20+ point blowout losses this season. They lost all three of these home games, on average of 10+ points ATS. I'm looking for the game to be over quite early. Tulsa scores 80+

##10-11
SUN 8/4 TUL@SAS first half
Tulsa Shock (-0.5) $102/100
Over 74.5 $107/100

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#12-13
LAS@WAS second half
Los Angeles ML $100/159
Over 76.0 108/100

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#14 TUL@SAS second half
Tulsa Shock (-1.0) $106/100

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#15 SEA@MIN second half
Under 74.5 $106/100

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Heroic effort by San Antonio combined with 12 missed free throws by Tulsa... plus R.Williams didn't play which was a dealbreaker. Shouldn't have taken them 2H - my mistake.

YTD +5-10=0, -$578

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16) TUE 8/6 LAS@CON first half
Connecticut ML $100/131

I also like LA TT under 40.0 for first half but won't bet/count it for the purposes of this thread - because Pinnacle doesn't offer this bet

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17) 1H Minnesota (-5.5) $117/100 - also like SA TT Under 36.0
18) 1H Chicago (-3.5) $105/100
19) 2H Los Angeles ML $111/100

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eight straight losers!

20) 2H Minnesota (-5.0) $105/100
21) Under 77.5 $110/100

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21) 1H SEA@PHO Phoenix (-5.5) $110/100
22) Over 77.0 $108/100

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23) 2H Seattle ML $100/326

They did it in Los Angeles. They are on TV again - why wouldn't they do it in Phoenix?

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24) THU 8/8 LAS@IND first half
Indiana (-1.0) $110/100

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YTD +7-17=0, -$908

Before we get to that stage I'd like to announce that I'll have 10-12 bets that will be double size. This has nothing to do with chasing. They will be bets that I think will hit at well over 55%. 'I don't mind having lots of small losers; I just need my winners to be big'. Nothing crazy - I won't try to wipe out a bad week with a single bet; but you'll see me risk $200-$250 per bet about a dozen times before the end of the season.

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32-20 LA....took inplay Sparks at -6.5 (I expect this to be a better wager than what I'm going to get at HT)
this won't count towards my record

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that was expected! now on to the official play
25) 2H Los Angeles ML $100/239

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Once Ogwumike returns on the floor, LA should dominate again; added some more at LA -5.5 inplay (again, this won't count)

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Indiana trying to push it and getting a shot off (or getting fouled) within 10 seconds after taking possession of the ball... this couldn't possibly work with Clarendon and Breland playing... hopefully it won't work with Catchings and January either. Two FTs missed by the latter and L.A. leading by 14. Can't wait for Parker to make an appearance. This should be a 20pt blowout.

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Well, close enough. One more long shot
26) 2H Washington ML 100/900

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27 and 28
Phoenix -1 $115/100
San Antonio +7 214/200

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YTD +8-19=1, -$908

Really close, but still not good enough. First 2-unit wager of the season an easy winner; will try to build on that

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#29 2H New York Liberty ML $100/346
#30 2H New York Liberty +7 $100/100
#31 2H Minnesota -1.5 $210/200
#32 2H Phoenix ML $100/145

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Can't complain but with a few points here and there it's a +800 night. As it is, just +136

#33 2H Seattle ML $100/127
#34 2H Under 69 $108/100

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remove spam plz

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ytd +11-22=1, -$772

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36) 2H CHI@LAS Chicago $100/210