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they still will at times, it their nature. i hope they lose gm 3 so i can unload on them again in gm4..really cant trust this team until they in a must spot and you know you will get 100% effort, persoanlly dont know how anyone argues that any team can play w them when they go all out? cause it happens over and over again..Comment -
yea i think i am playing them gm 3 although feel much better about it after they lose..just cant trust these fukkers to bring it when they dont feel like they have too..i agree no way in hell they lose both cause obviously that would mean they lose 2 in a row and im never buying that.i would hate to pass on gm 3 tho and they win then im stuck waiting for them to lose gm 4 also....i think the 1st half over is gonna continue to be a solid bet all series, i screwed up gm1 and took gm over only to watch them score what 70 in the second half after a 101 1st? lol, adjusted for this one..seems like nature of both teams should lend itself to more scoring in the 1st halfs then dont have to worry about 1 team ratcheting up the d in the second..Comment -
i really didnt watch a ton tonight, know i cashed the 1st half over and never had a doubt bout heat so mostly watched the cards gm..GM1 there was a great pace in the 1st half then it grinded to a halt..think scoring in 1st should mostly push 100 in these gms in SA, hope so anyway..Comment -
who overreacting? i mean i would think at this point if you thought heat would win series (me) you should still feel same, i mean if yo were wrong and thought spurs could actually beat mia 4 times there really no reason to change cause of this gm, i mean you were wrong so it prob be wise to change but i mean if i actually believed it before this gm it wouldnt change my mind..oph and 6 is impossible cause that would mean spurs would have to win 2 in a row at some point which def not happening, way more sure of that than actual winner of series..Comment -
Theres no answer to Spurs's offense @ San Antonio.
Seto where are you now you clown? See how it works out? Spurs dominating on the offensive end and Wade/Bosh underdelivering like always. Theres simply no way that the Heat can win more than 2 games this series. You should of read my posts carefully.Comment -
Seto, you seem to really like to compare current series to past ones (just something I've noticed, I do it a lot too). Here's a good one:
This series compared to Pacers/Knicks:
Pacers steal game 1.....Spurs steal game 1.
Knicks go on ridiculous run at end of 3rd quarter til end of game to win by 20+ in game 2......Heat do the exact same in game 2.
Series swings back home and Pacers dominate Knicks in game 3.....Series swings back home in game 3 and Spurs dominate.
Other than that 15 minutes stretch of game 2, Heat have either been dominated or have played Spurs evenly.
G/L on your Heat wager, it's gonna be close. I honestly think their best chance to steal a game in SA was game 3, but we'll see. Right now you gotta think the Heat are focused on just winning one game in SA, and hoping to sweep in games 6 and 7 back home.Comment -
Yeah I do that often. And obviously the 33-5 run was a flashback to that Knicks game.
I do see a big difference though, the Pacers dominated game 1, they didn't really steal it. They led from early in the 2nd and went into the 4th with a 15-pt lead. Spurs stole game 1.
I think the Heat will win game 4. I could still hedge if I wanted to, Spurs series is only -140 last I checked, and my Heat series bets combined (before game 1 and before game 2) amount to -115 or so. I could eat up the juice.
But I probably won't for 2 reasons:
1) At the end of the day it's only 1 game, I can't let it drastically change my view of the series unless I saw anything major I didn't expect, but other than LeBron not showing up and the Spurs going nuts from 3 (just when I said I didn't think their perimeter game would improve, they shoot 50% from 3 in 2 straight games lol), not much to see.
2) This isn't the right time to take the Spurs. This could very well be the worst price on them all series, provided I still think the Heat take game 4. Even if I'm risking them losing game 4, I can't go against my instinct, even in a hedge.Comment -
this is going great..big ups to Neal for draining that 3 and cashing the 3rd str8 1st half over even if it didnt deserve to hit
...and so happy heat lost this one cause now gm 4 is heat pound town..
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i watched 1st half , once 1st half over cashed and was pretty clear heat were not bringing the A gm i did something else at halftime.. not sure what that has to do with anything in response to my post? you saying because of that heat dont win gm 4? ill take my chances, been working for some time, wait for heat to lose, bet heat next gm, not trying to reinvent the wheel, if it loses oh well been a nice profit doing it thus far and really doubt anything changes.Comment -
Cant speak for nc, I don't think heat lose series but I think it goes 7 either way. Pretty sure heat win gm4 and it easy to be sure cause heat always respond just like they don't go all out when they don't feel it a must. Letting how these teams look the previous gm will have ya all fukked up, I mean how did the heat look in gm2? Pretty good right? Gm1 was only gm that one of the teams didnt look bad. U think that pop packing the lane tonight and keeping bron out of it means bron can't figure it out? Or that heat won't ratchet up the defensive intensity and force more turnovers next gm? I mean what reason is there to think spurs just gonna roll heat now other than the last gm? How often did it look like Indy was better than heat only to lose next gm? Ill take best player w back against wall gm4. Then spurs prob win gm5, heat gm6, then u make the call. Heat zig zag heaven..Comment -
you guys probably right, i just can't see it. happens to me a lot in basketball
in fact, i'm gonna fade myself and bet heat next game just because i think i am probably wrong.Comment -
Some of you guys still think that the Heat are going to make it, because its a "must win and they cant go down 3-1"
Well let me tell you the Heat still have absolutely no answer to Spur's offense. Spoelstra should bench Wade immediately, because hes not only unable to score, but he is making a average player look like a superstar. Nobody could of ever thought that Danny Green is going to play more efficiently than Lebron James on the offensive end. Thats because Wade is gambling defensively and is basically losing the game for the Heat. LOL green has hit 16 of 23 three pointers. Wade is more concerned about his pregame outfit than defending Green with intensity. I used to love Wade, but hes a scrub this season and should come off the bench. Only then Lebron has a chance to be really assertive and the Heat might have a chance for game 7.Comment -
Better to look at the history of lots of series, then look for some reason why the historical trend is more likely or less likely to continue. Game 3 teams 1-1 at home for game 3 had a good record, Spurs were the play, though the ML was priced about right. Here are the game 4 records of teams in the Spurs situation, home after going win, loss, win:
All rounds: 33-19 (.635)
Finals round: 3-4 (.429)
This would suggest strong play on Spurs ML, but I think if you factor in the Heat bounce back factor and Parker's sprained knee probably not that strong a play. Definitely not a game to go big on either way IMO, unless it comes out Parker won't play.Comment -
This shit too easy
for those of u keeping score 1st half over is still perfect as well. Nba is cashtastic. Please lose gm 5 heat so I can unload on u again gm6..Comment -
It's unreal. Is anyone playing Heat on alt spreads too on those bounceback games I wonder. By double digits every time...Comment -
Sometimes it's better to be lucky than good.
Safe to say we won't see that parexa guy around again. Heard he's on "holiday" like after game 4
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You are 100% correct, at least not until he believes that everyone has forgotten about his weak predictions and elementary insights.
Dude is a real SCUMBAG!!!Comment -
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