Leans for Wednesday 12/17/08

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  • maddogmadden86
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-08-08
    • 898

    #141
    hey ck have you ever seen the moneylines for the winning margin prop bets with your scoring models those look very enticing
    Comment
    • cocknocker
      Restricted User
      • 11-06-08
      • 8001

      #142
      Yeah, maddog, I have seen those, but the answer is no. I only like baseball props...
      Comment
      • cocknocker
        Restricted User
        • 11-06-08
        • 8001

        #143
        spal2811,

        You should not bet anything more than $50.00 to $60.00 a night with a bankroll of $200.00, and you should not parlay for anything over $5.00 and no less than 5 teams total when you do, and do not pay any vigorish. For instance, if a bet is -110, then make your risk amount $20.00 to make 18.18. If you see a bet that is +100, then it is okay to put up the $20.00 to win $20.00.
        Comment
        • strybie
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-08-08
          • 588

          #144
          Hello, here are mine for today

          PHI -3.5 (they play at home, and think they are a bit better then MIL)
          BOS -3.5 (they are playing very strong, so I should not bet against them right now, line is low because ATL surprised last year in the play offs; think they will win by 10)
          DAL -2.5 (DAL is the better team, with the better players)
          UTA -2.5 (Nets only 4 - 7 at home and didn't convince me yet this season)
          DET -10 (lot to cover, but think they will cover. They have the potential, good players and WAS is only 4-18)
          CLE - 10 (maybe cle not at full strength, but think they will be motivated after last game's loss. MIN is also only 2 - 9 at home)
          LAC ML (clippers having a winning streak and I bet them till the next loss, CHI just lost an overtime game versus CHA which is a weaker team then LAC)
          NO -2 (2 good teams, but here I go for the home advantage)
          GS @ IND under 227 : I know two teams which score easy , but I hope they have a weak quarter so the score will be under 227. GS scores 106 ppg and ING 100 ppg. Could be high scoring game, but I think under 227

          Parlay :

          Phi ML
          Bos ML
          LAC +3
          NO ML
          Comment
          • BigMoneyMan
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-14-08
            • 925

            #145
            Early card is the Bucks and Marshall. I also may put short bets on Ill State and Rider. Gl
            Comment
            • IrwinFletcher
              SBR Hustler
              • 11-10-08
              • 96

              #146
              thanks for the feedback
              Comment
              • t-bone
                SBR MVP
                • 03-18-08
                • 3732

                #147
                [/quote]ck. i have about $200 in my account now as i just cashed out $100. how much do you think i should be betting a day to keep my bankroll healthy. i find myself betting nearly half of it by tipoff usually, then get caught up in haltime lines in the late games.[/quote]

                hey man, money management is the key......with that amount left i would stay between 20-30 a bet. only straights, no parlays!!!!!

                good luck bud
                Comment
                • BigMoneyMan
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-14-08
                  • 925

                  #148
                  OK some more tasties. New Jersey, Cleveland 1st and game. After a loss in Minny. They will bury i mean bury this team. They beat them by 10 twice last year in there house. Wow

                  BTW I also think Washington covers but I can't take them. Detoit after the trade sould never be a 10 point favorite.
                  Comment
                  • peterpan19
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-02-08
                    • 3377

                    #149
                    dont know if already looked at thursdays games, but phx +5 looks good
                    5-0 ats and su in port last 5
                    what do you think ?
                    Comment
                    • Spoon
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-21-08
                      • 592

                      #150
                      Final Plays...

                      Sixers 1q -1
                      Detroit 1q -3
                      Cavs -9
                      Mavs -2
                      Jazz -2
                      Celtics -3 (rule #2 in effect) Small Play
                      Add: Under 230 - Indiana/GSW

                      GL Everyone

                      EDIT: Forgot to add my under game. Give me some love, CK.
                      Comment
                      • BigMoneyMan
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-14-08
                        • 925

                        #151
                        Well guys its time LETS GET IT ON!!!!!!!!!
                        Comment
                        • showtime2000
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-09-08
                          • 1054

                          #152
                          Just got in....Wow look at how nets have owned jazz and yet piblic all over the Jazz. Let's cash tonight boys! BigMoney ready for the 2nd plays tonight too!
                          Comment
                          • strybie
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-08-08
                            • 588

                            #153
                            Originally posted by Spoon
                            Final Plays...

                            Sixers 1q -1
                            Detroit 1q -3
                            Cavs -9
                            Mavs -2
                            Jazz -2
                            Celtics -3 (rule #2 in effect) Small Play
                            Add: Under 230 - Indiana/GSW

                            GL Everyone

                            EDIT: Forgot to add my under game. Give me some love, CK.
                            totally agree !
                            Comment
                            • ediamonds2001
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 01-12-08
                              • 65

                              #154
                              Well just for shits and giggle i spent the "change" on my account on a little parlay



                              NEW JERSEY+120
                              CLEVELAND-625
                              LA CLIPPERS+130
                              SAN ANTONIO+120BOSTON -175

                              8.77 PAYS 169.19

                              ANY THOUGHTS?

                              LOOKS GOOD TO ME. BUT DON'T THEY ALWAYS LOOK GOOD?
                              Comment
                              • headphones.ink
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 12-15-08
                                • 18

                                #155
                                Watching some of Dallas-Tor and Raptors on to an early lead.

                                I still like Dallas but annoyed that I didn't factor Dallas complete inability to play D more.

                                Even struggling Toronto have a decent chance when they get that many easy shots and layups.
                                Comment
                                • Spoon
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-21-08
                                  • 592

                                  #156
                                  Sixers gave me a nice quick $100 loss - hope this is not an indicator of how tonight's games will pan out.

                                  CK, man don't I wish I would have stayed off the under. 69 points 1st quarter is really, really, bad news.
                                  Comment
                                  • headphones.ink
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 12-15-08
                                    • 18

                                    #157
                                    Well the fact that Ridnour can't guard anyone gives Philly some hope.

                                    Andre Miller wisely taking matters into his own hands so far in this one.

                                    76ers are really bad though. It just doesn't work for them.
                                    Comment
                                    • BigMoneyMan
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-14-08
                                      • 925

                                      #158
                                      I really don't know why I post in here. No one listens. Anyway adding Austin Pey +7. This is a really good road team. And teasing Citadel and SMU together. That is allot of points to give decent Citadel team and a rivalry game.
                                      Comment
                                      • LUNT101
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 03-12-07
                                        • 919

                                        #159
                                        Detroit is awful I am never betting on them again
                                        Comment
                                        • Spoon
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-21-08
                                          • 592

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by BigMoneyMan
                                          I really don't know why I post in here. No one listens... SNIP
                                          Listens?

                                          Anyway, looks like the Pistons can't hold a lead in the 1st quarter all of a sudden. They were ahead 12-2 and they allow Washington to come back.

                                          Did I seriously play the Jazz. Seriously...7 points in the 1st? SO far it looks like I'll be giving all the money I made yesterday back to the book.
                                          Comment
                                          • ManBearPig
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-04-08
                                            • 2473

                                            #161
                                            That IND/GS game looks like it will go over they almost put up 70/ea in the first half...I didn't take that one though becuase too iffy. Regretting leavig NJ out of my plays up 31-15 in the 2nd...thats like the 3rd time I've done that with NJ. Maybe they'll make the cut next time and lose for me
                                            Comment
                                            • wangichu
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-07-08
                                              • 946

                                              #162
                                              so far so good, although i would have prefered it if they had finished the half strong, but this is just how the hawks do things, they come back if they're down and keep it close if they're up.
                                              Comment
                                              • headphones.ink
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 12-15-08
                                                • 18

                                                #163
                                                The Iverson trade has just destroyed the once upon a time good Detroit defense. So many opposing guards have had one of their best games of the season when up against him.

                                                Detroit way worse now.

                                                Denver way better now.
                                                Comment
                                                • wangichu
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-07-08
                                                  • 946

                                                  #164
                                                  Originally posted by BigMoneyMan
                                                  I really don't know why I post in here. No one listens. Anyway adding Austin Pey +7. This is a really good road team. And teasing Citadel and SMU together. That is allot of points to give decent Citadel team and a rivalry game.
                                                  for what it's worth, i always listen to your picks and frequently put a little money on them blindly. I remember all the gems of wisdom you dropped on us over at covers.

                                                  i just don't always get your plays early enough to make them myself
                                                  Comment
                                                  • wangichu
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-07-08
                                                    • 946

                                                    #165
                                                    Originally posted by ediamonds2001
                                                    Well just for shits and giggle i spent the "change" on my account on a little parlay



                                                    NEW JERSEY+120
                                                    CLEVELAND-625
                                                    LA CLIPPERS+130
                                                    SAN ANTONIO+120BOSTON -175

                                                    8.77 PAYS 169.19

                                                    ANY THOUGHTS?

                                                    LOOKS GOOD TO ME. BUT DON'T THEY ALWAYS LOOK GOOD?
                                                    personally i think you lose that thing on boston, but what do i know... i played NJ/LAC MLs myself, and played cleveland with the spread, might play SA if the early games keep looking good.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Spoon
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-21-08
                                                      • 592

                                                      #166
                                                      Originally posted by headphones.ink
                                                      The Iverson trade has just destroyed the once upon a time good Detroit defense. So many opposing guards have had one of their best games of the season when up against him.

                                                      Detroit way worse now.

                                                      Denver way better now.
                                                      I couldn't agree with your assessment more. They must have thought A.I. = Win instead of realizing it's a team and synergy is needed.

                                                      This team is trash. I didn't bet on them the (entire game) last game or this game and never will again this season because they blew 4 games straight for me personally. However, I truly believed they would cover -3 in the 1Q since they have been so hot out of the gate. It's usually not until the 3rd that they see signs of a pre-meltdown ready to take place and then the 4th the complete meltdown is in effect - full throttle.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #167
                                                        Philly has more total rebounds 20-17 and more offensive rebounds 7-3, and is shooting a little worse 46-53%, and they have missed 4 free throws while Milwaukee has missed only 3 out of 8. The story behind them being behind a the half is turnovers, which is surprising given Andre Millers' mastery with the ball. They have 6 turnovers to the Bucks 2. That being said they are in a good position to get the cover still if they cut down on the turnovers.

                                                        Dallas as expected is down at the break, but outscored the Raptors 23-16 in the 2nd quarter. All things considered, they are both in the ballgames and I look for them to both pick it up in the second half.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • maddogmadden86
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-08-08
                                                          • 898

                                                          #168
                                                          same here bigmoney we appreciate your insight man dont worry about those that just hop in here take a pick and then bitch and wine if a team is down after the firt quarter, basketball has 4 quarters in it anything can happen just sit back and drink a beer homies and relax CK knows wht he is doing and if u listn to Wang and Big money you will be sipping the high class beers eventually
                                                          Comment
                                                          • headphones.ink
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 12-15-08
                                                            • 18

                                                            #169
                                                            If they stop allowing layups Dallas will definitely be fine.

                                                            And hopefully Bargnani will play lots of minutes.

                                                            That's insta value for the opposing team.

                                                            edit: oh no he is in foul trouble!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ManBearPig
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-04-08
                                                              • 2473

                                                              #170
                                                              Dam there is pretty much no defense being played in that IND game. They are gonna have 90 by the 4th. I still think IND covers...for my sake
                                                              Comment
                                                              • leopoldim86
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 11-14-08
                                                                • 29

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by maddogmadden86
                                                                same here bigmoney we appreciate your insight man dont worry about those that just hop in here take a pick and then bitch and wine if a team is down after the firt quarter, basketball has 4 quarters in it anything can happen just sit back and drink a beer homies and relax CK knows wht he is doing and if u listn to Wang and Big money you will be sipping the high class beers eventually
                                                                when are you makin a trip up to the port kid
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cocknocker
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                                  • 8001

                                                                  #172
                                                                  I actually did a small parlay for

                                                                  Utah-3.5 2nd half
                                                                  Utah/NewJersey over 103 2nd half
                                                                  Detroit-2 2nd half

                                                                  $50.00 to win $300.00
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • wangichu
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-07-08
                                                                    • 946

                                                                    #173
                                                                    wow... no kidding about that celtic love from officials... the hawks would be blowing them out if they weren't getting so much help... well still winning, but damn these games are tense to watch
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • maddogmadden86
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-08-08
                                                                      • 898

                                                                      #174
                                                                      leopoldi not sure man are you still up there or in brooklyn
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ManBearPig
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-04-08
                                                                        • 2473

                                                                        #175
                                                                        dammit...only FT will save me now nice no defense INDY. This is crapola...
                                                                        Comment
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