Leans for Wednesday 12/17/08

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • danrman
    SBR MVP
    • 08-30-08
    • 2696

    #71
    spurs play nationally tv game the following day vs. orlando.. just sayin
    Comment
    • danrman
      SBR MVP
      • 08-30-08
      • 2696

      #72
      i see the new orleans game is on espn also
      Comment
      • peterpan19
        Restricted User
        • 11-02-08
        • 3377

        #73
        interesting det 1Q stats in decemer
        24-13 char
        32-26 ind
        29-14 was
        14-29 nyk
        25-19 phi
        17-22 spurs

        I really like the 1Q play here, there is no line yet for me, but should be round -3
        Comment
        • demize21
          SBR MVP
          • 11-03-08
          • 3541

          #74
          Originally posted by Spoon
          I have two rules:

          #1 Bet with the Magic or don't bet them at all. They are my #1 money machine.
          #2 Bet with the Celtics or don't bet them at all. They are a great ball club and you never know when they feel like lighting up the other team.

          So far, these two simple rules have made me ridiculous money this season.

          agree with you 100% with the magic they've been my little money tree Ive always wanted and got!
          Comment
          • CTS5
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-02-08
            • 223

            #75
            1 Q pistons looks like the play of the day tomorrow. I'm going to jump on that line as soon as it hits.
            Comment
            • NBA Hero
              SBR MVP
              • 12-05-08
              • 1886

              #76
              clippers is still clippers. davis throws to many bricks. rose will have a hard time covering him and with the weak interior of bulls which wont matter..... the problem is will davis feel like driving to the rim.

              bulls, rose and hughes shot the ball horribly last night. but hughes, deng and nocioni played sparringly so dont expect that they wont be able to run down the court with the clips. this is not the old and ageless spurs. bulls are a young team which doesnt know how to close games and defend wisely.

              wont touch this pick cause this are two teams which play inconsistent.

              like cavs fans, will ride this pick. still waiting for the boston line. Expect best actor pierce to play not coz he is a warrior but due to a phantom injury.
              Comment
              • indeed
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-17-08
                • 224

                #77
                Hey everyone .. new to the board, but hope i have something to contribute ..

                Mavericks -2
                Josh Howard got some PT on Monday and is looking like he's returning to form. He might even start, which could give the Mavericks a nice scoring punch. The Raptors have nothing on the perimeter to stop Howard if he's playing well and I think Nowitzki can take Bosh out of his comfort zone.

                Clippers +4.5
                As noted earlier, Clips have a short flight from OKC and are feeling good after three in a row. Bulls have a long flight after overtime and should be feeling pretty dejected after losing that one, especially since they held a lead. If I trusted Del Negro's ability to motivate, I'd take the Bulls, but I don't.

                Nets +3
                Jazz are likely to be without Boozer and Kirilenko is a game-time decision. I love how tough the Jazz play, but Deron Williams is still working his way back and Devin Harris is fire. They'll cancel each other out .. hopefully Vince can take it from there.

                Sixers -4.5
                Team has had some time to work under DiLeo and I don't think they've got a much stronger inside game than the Bucks, who should be getting fatigued .. expect Dalembert to hopefully neutralize Bogut

                Pacers/Warriors Under 229
                No TJ ford, probably, and Dunleavy is out until january .. this line is being pushed by the Warriors' small ball lineup (starters are a hurt Stephen Jackson, two undrafted guys in Watson and Morrow, Biedrins, and Jamal Crawford), but i think we'll see a 110-105 type score .. this is close, though

                Cleveland -10.5
                Closest thing to a lock there is tonight .. after last night, I need this one.


                Since I'm a small-time better, I do parlays .. as of now, I'm thinking Clippers, Cavs, Mavericks on one and the Warriors/Pacers under 229, Nets, Sixers on the other. But I'll check in later today to see what you guys are playing!
                Comment
                • tdotcotez
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-11-08
                  • 135

                  #78
                  regardless of the size of your bets, parlays are considered by sportsbooks sucker bets and they love people who parlay. if your gonna parlay keep it to 2-3 games but better than that, just play em all str8.

                  On another note, I'm seeing pierce and house as probable... eitherway the question should help us get a better line
                  Comment
                  • leopoldim86
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 11-14-08
                    • 29

                    #79
                    Originally posted by tdotcotez
                    smoke weed errrrrday
                    werdd up
                    Comment
                    • cocknocker
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-06-08
                      • 8001

                      #80
                      danrman,

                      You can't be serious. The word cock has different meanings in different communities. In Oakland it refers to the female genitalia "cocked" back for penetration. Get yourself a copy of 415 featuring Richie Rich and you will hear the word used in a different light than you probably use it in your circles. But to answer your question, yes I am a Black Male 41 years old with 3 kids and a wife 13 years younger than me
                      Comment
                      • tdotcotez
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-11-08
                        • 135

                        #81
                        i think the books are hesitant about dropping an early line because of how bad they got killed on the hornets yest
                        Comment
                        • cocknocker
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-06-08
                          • 8001

                          #82
                          indeed,

                          If you must parlay do it for pennies on the dollar, and you might as well throw 5 or 6 teams on it. The rate of success is less than 12% on anything over a three team parlay. The best way to hit one is to take three teams and guess or do the homework for the totals on each. Good luck, but don't do them for anything over $25.00
                          Comment
                          • cocknocker
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-06-08
                            • 8001

                            #83
                            Okay boys and girls and shoe throwers, Here's my spin on the Spurs and Hornets game tonight

                            I don't think that the Hornets is the play tonight, but that's just my spin. They aren't as deep this year for whatever reason, and Mo Pete is not getting the minutes he should be getting with James Posey on the team. I also think that the back to back situation is not being taken into account by prospective bettors. I do however think that the Hornets will take the 1st half with the carry over effect working in their favor. But make no mistake about it, with the addition of Roger Mason Jr., the Spurs are a little more deeper than the Hornets this year, who did very little to upgrade their team over the off season. The Hornets need to give their bench players a little more time on the floor for the hard times. I absolutely can't stand Hilton Armstrong. He is a plus/minus nightmare. It seems that everytime he comes into the game it's at least one or more turnovers, one or two missed freethrows, and one or more stupid fouls. It is simply amazing the amount of times he comes into the game and the Hornets lose part of the lead that they have built up. Everytime he comes into the game, I find myself saying, "Oh no, here we go again..." Tyson Chandler's free throw shooting is suspect at best, and Peja As good as he is disappears for segments of games, and is not consistant.

                            With the Spurs, win or lose, if they are fully loaded, you already know what you're gonna get, and that's word.

                            Throw those shoes!
                            Comment
                            • hunt3rtheone
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-14-08
                              • 140

                              #84
                              go with the spurs +3 ! i got myself a nice ticket spurss +3 , warriors +7,5 and cleavland -10,5 !

                              Have a nice day guys !
                              Comment
                              • tdotcotez
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-11-08
                                • 135

                                #85
                                boston line is too low, laying off
                                Comment
                                • tdotcotez
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-11-08
                                  • 135

                                  #86
                                  INDIANA PACERS -7 (-110) (buy +1pts)=-6
                                  NEW ORLEANS HORNETS -3½ (-110) (buy +1½pts)=-2 on NBA
                                  DALLAS MAVERICKS -2½ (-110) (buy +1pts)=-1½ on NBA
                                  NEW JERSEY NETS +2½ (-110) (buy +1½pts)=+4 on NBA
                                  CHICAGO BULLS -4½ (-110) (buy +½pts)=-4 on NBA
                                  Comment
                                  • joanapoker
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 12-09-08
                                    • 2275

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by cocknocker

                                    I am surprised tht only one fellow is on the Cavs for tomorrow.... Did you see that power ranking for them?

                                    I'm on the Cavs -9.5!
                                    Also pounding the Spurs +2.5 I think they will continue a series of good results and will start today by upseting NO!

                                    Yesterday I totaly failed by sticking with my trends on the OVER @MEM and @OKC!! just bad!!
                                    Comment
                                    • shoebox
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 11-26-08
                                      • 5710

                                      #88
                                      Clippers now down to +4 I like it, got em at +6 riding on the CK train
                                      Comment
                                      • mundane
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-25-08
                                        • 3592

                                        #89
                                        pacers -6.5 *-6 in some places already! prolly bcoz of tj ford being out(?)

                                        pacers love coming back home. they normally play good. teams that they beat at this situation are the celtics, nets and hawks. losses came on 2 overtimes (bobcats & celtics) and a 2 pt loss to 76ers. to sum that up, it's either a big win (against good teams) or a close-game loss. with that said, im already liking them at this spot against these stumbling warriors. add the after effect of that beat down they did to wizards on the road and SU win by pacers is as solid as it can get. with pacers 5-4 home ats and gsw 5-9 away ats, also pacers being the scrappier of the two... u have ur reason on taking chances on them to win ATS. the only way i see gsw covering is if they get 20+ pts from s.jackson (which he hasnt done in recent games as he is actually playing through pain), other than that, pacers will have their way as every team does with these backboneless warriors.

                                        but not to belittle (so much the gsw) here's an angle for gsw backers. gsw will give it their 'bestest' effort to get a win in indiana. it's their 1st of 5 road games (within 7 days). so really the next four is just gonna get tougher for them. so yeah, they'll gonna bring their A game but without maggette and not a 100% s.jackson, they'll falter in the end. but if it gets close, hopefully the 84.3ft% (last 5 games) will pull indiana to get the cover.

                                        just my 2 cents. bol to all!
                                        Comment
                                        • Spoon
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-21-08
                                          • 592

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by shoebox
                                          Clippers now down to +4 I like it, got em at +6 riding on the CK train
                                          I'm off the Clippers now. I don't like this at all. It doesn't feel right.
                                          Comment
                                          • Spoon
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-21-08
                                            • 592

                                            #91
                                            Where are these 1Q lines, Shoe. I need to place my bets!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • Spoon
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 11-21-08
                                              • 592

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by indeed
                                              Hey everyone .. new to the board, but hope i have something to contribute ...SNIP
                                              Welcome to the board, Indeed.

                                              Me personally, I don't like the Sixers, Nets, or Clippers, but I do like the Mavs -2, Jazz -2, and Cavs -9.

                                              However, there are a lot of people who like your picks.

                                              GL
                                              Comment
                                              • BigMoneyMan
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-14-08
                                                • 925

                                                #93
                                                Well over the last few days I have heard either praise or despair over picks in here. I think you need to do own handicapping because I have quietly been racking it up!! My picks are posted within a hour of game time so you may want to check back but there is a reason for that. GL today
                                                Comment
                                                • shoebox
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-26-08
                                                  • 5710

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by Spoon
                                                  Where are these 1Q lines, Shoe. I need to place my bets!!!

                                                  Not out yet but im hopping on Detroit 1q.
                                                  How could you not like the line movement I just shaved two points by getting in early. This means that im beating the market when the books close. If I can beat the market price everytime my winning percentages increase. I always look to beat the books close everyday

                                                  GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bigdog3580
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-22-07
                                                    • 3675

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by peterpan19
                                                    interesting det 1Q stats in decemer
                                                    24-13 char
                                                    32-26 ind
                                                    29-14 was
                                                    14-29 nyk
                                                    25-19 phi
                                                    17-22 spurs

                                                    I really like the 1Q play here, there is no line yet for me, but should be round -3
                                                    Detroit -3.5 1st Quarter tonight against the Wizards.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • IrwinFletcher
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 11-10-08
                                                      • 96

                                                      #96
                                                      Can't believe nobody has mentioned the total for NJ/UT 199.5 save for the last two meetings between these two the total hasn't been set above 191.5. I have to look a bit deeper but at first take that under is looking like a good bet. Also, I read yesterday that Boozer was able to practice on Monday and the Sloan was looking into giving some playing time tonight depending on how he looked during pregame warmups/shoot around..

                                                      Thoughts?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Spoon
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-21-08
                                                        • 592

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by shoebox
                                                        Not out yet but im hopping on Detroit 1q.
                                                        How could you not like the line movement I just shaved two points by getting in early. This means that im beating the market when the books close. If I can beat the market price everytime my winning percentages increase. I always look to beat the books close everyday

                                                        GL
                                                        Yeah, I'm curious to see the Pistons' 1Q. I'm thinking -2.5 or -3. I'm all over that if that's the case.

                                                        Regarding the Clippers, I don't know... I just don't feel it all of a sudden. I agree with your statement and @ +6 you and CK should be good to go, but I'm backing off this one for today will be in support mode for you guys.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • shoebox
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-26-08
                                                          • 5710

                                                          #98
                                                          clipps down to +3.5
                                                          Celtics -3.5 anyone??
                                                          Way lower than I anticipated
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Broncos9798
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-02-08
                                                            • 236

                                                            #99
                                                            Hey Shoebox,

                                                            Im looking at that game also. It scares me that the line is just -3.....looks like the trap that was set at the end of the Cleveland run. CK any advise on this?


                                                            Originally posted by shoebox
                                                            clipps down to +3.5
                                                            Celtics -3.5 anyone??
                                                            Way lower than I anticipated
                                                            pills11.com )
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shoebox
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-26-08
                                                              • 5710

                                                              #100
                                                              Bronco,
                                                              Looks like a no go for me was gonna pull the trigger on the hawks. Not at +3.5 though was hoping for +6 guess we will have to wait and see what kind of movement were gonna get.

                                                              Smells like a trap big time. Even wih Pierce questionable dont know that I agree with that line.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Spoon
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-21-08
                                                                • 592

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by IrwinFletcher
                                                                Can't believe nobody has mentioned the total for NJ/UT 199.5 save for the last two meetings between these two the total hasn't been set above 191.5. I have to look a bit deeper but at first take that under is looking like a good bet. Also, I read yesterday that Boozer was able to practice on Monday and the Sloan was looking into giving some playing time tonight depending on how he looked during pregame warmups/shoot around..

                                                                Thoughts?
                                                                What's the source for this information? According to the Salt Lake Tribune, Boozer is doubtful to play in tonight's game against the Nets even though he took part in the majority of practice on Monday and yesterday.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Spoon
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-21-08
                                                                  • 592

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by Broncos9798
                                                                  Hey Shoebox,

                                                                  Im looking at that game also. It scares me that the line is just -3.....looks like the trap ...SNIP

                                                                  pills11.com )
                                                                  Those are my sentiments exactly. The line looks a lot lower than I anticipated, therefore, I'm passing on this game personally.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • IrwinFletcher
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 11-10-08
                                                                    • 96

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by Spoon
                                                                    What's the source for this information? According to the Salt Lake Tribune, Boozer is doubtful to play in tonight's game against the Nets even though he took part in the majority of practice on Monday and yesterday.
                                                                    Thought it was Monday's SLC tribune.. It was before the Boston game.. It seems completely irrelevant though as Sloan was quoted in today's tribune that he is Doubtful tonight..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • maddogmadden86
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-08-08
                                                                      • 898

                                                                      #104
                                                                      with the cavs having not lost to the twolves since 05 cavs -10 is basically a gift with the cavs having time to rest and not having to travel very far this will be a blow out

                                                                      the CAvs outscore oppenents by 7.4 away
                                                                      the twolves get ouscored by 7.5 at home

                                                                      and in the last 5 games the cavs have been outscoring opponents by 11.8 and the twolves have been getting outscored by a total of 10.6 so with a line of -10 i'm taking the cavs heavy
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Spoon
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 11-21-08
                                                                        • 592

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Perhaps someone can explain this to me since I don't cap over/unders often. I can't understand why the O/U is 229 in the Indiana/GSW game. Indiana has 5 injuries (T.J. and Troy are out) and GSW has 2 injuries (Maggette is out). Why should we not hammer the under in this game?
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...