I believe the Pacers will beat the Jazz tonight. Here is my write up:
Jazz:
1.) avg points last 4 games: 90.25
2.) avg points last 4 home games: 100.75
3.) avg points last 4 road games: 100.5
4.) avg points last 2 meetings: haven’t played this year
5.) average rebounds last 4 meetings: 42.5
6.) average offensive rebounds last 4 games:11.75
7.) free throw % last 4 games: 72.9
8.) avg turnovers last 4 games: 14.75
9.) avg points allowed last 4 games: 96
Pacers:
1.) avg points last 4 games: 93
2.) avg points last 4 home games: 94.75
3.) avg points last 4 road games: 88.5
4.) avg points last 2 meetings: Haven’t played this year
5.) avg rebounds last 4 games: 47.25
6.) avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 12.5
7.) free throw % last 4 games: 73.33
8.) avg turnovers last 4 games: 15.5
9.) avg points allowed last 4 games: 85.25
The Pacers are ahead in 5 out of 9 categories. For my spread calculations I take the (avg points last 4 games - avg points allowed last 4 games) and then i subtract the lowest number (the Jazz's -5.75) from the highest (the Pacer's 7.75) to arrive at my personal spread of Pacers -13.5 (7.75 --5.75). For home team advantage for this game, I gave 1 point (though it could be argued that books already factor in a so-called home team advantage in games, if such an advantage exists in the NBA). So I now arrived at a spread of Pacers -14.5 (-13.5 - 1). This is more than the 5Dimes line of -3.5, so I think Pacers is the play. Appreciate any info on my write-up. I do not call this a lock, because the only locks I care about are watching "Carl's Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week" (for comedic purposes only, not for serious advice of course). Ride with me if you choose.
Jazz:
1.) avg points last 4 games: 90.25
2.) avg points last 4 home games: 100.75
3.) avg points last 4 road games: 100.5
4.) avg points last 2 meetings: haven’t played this year
5.) average rebounds last 4 meetings: 42.5
6.) average offensive rebounds last 4 games:11.75
7.) free throw % last 4 games: 72.9
8.) avg turnovers last 4 games: 14.75
9.) avg points allowed last 4 games: 96
Pacers:
1.) avg points last 4 games: 93
2.) avg points last 4 home games: 94.75
3.) avg points last 4 road games: 88.5
4.) avg points last 2 meetings: Haven’t played this year
5.) avg rebounds last 4 games: 47.25
6.) avg offensive rebounds last 4 games: 12.5
7.) free throw % last 4 games: 73.33
8.) avg turnovers last 4 games: 15.5
9.) avg points allowed last 4 games: 85.25
The Pacers are ahead in 5 out of 9 categories. For my spread calculations I take the (avg points last 4 games - avg points allowed last 4 games) and then i subtract the lowest number (the Jazz's -5.75) from the highest (the Pacer's 7.75) to arrive at my personal spread of Pacers -13.5 (7.75 --5.75). For home team advantage for this game, I gave 1 point (though it could be argued that books already factor in a so-called home team advantage in games, if such an advantage exists in the NBA). So I now arrived at a spread of Pacers -14.5 (-13.5 - 1). This is more than the 5Dimes line of -3.5, so I think Pacers is the play. Appreciate any info on my write-up. I do not call this a lock, because the only locks I care about are watching "Carl's Stone Cold Lock of the Century of the Week" (for comedic purposes only, not for serious advice of course). Ride with me if you choose.
