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  • Killa Cam
    SBR Hustler
    • 01-03-13
    • 84

    #3606
    thanks sando!!
    Comment
    • Killa Cam
      SBR Hustler
      • 01-03-13
      • 84

      #3607
      Originally posted by kilrathi
      thx sando for the picks... what are do u think of lakers +13.5?
      i know they suck right now but i dont think they will lose that high again?

      and even tho i know that u are in nba mode right now, are there some tennis tips available soon?

      bol dude
      It looks like a trap to me...anybody else feel the same way? I generally stay away from the lakers because of their high unpredictability.
      Comment
      • davopnz
        SBR MVP
        • 02-12-12
        • 1736

        #3608
        any thoughts on gsw? only thing putting me off is suspicious line movement
        Comment
        • Bostongambler
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-01-08
          • 35581

          #3609
          gl Sal Bando
          Comment
          • sando
            SBR MVP
            • 04-30-12
            • 3723

            #3610
            Originally posted by dsaewra
            I think parlaying the moneyline gives you roughly the same payout.

            5Dimes currently:
            1. 1/9/2013 7:05 PM NBA Basketball 704 Toronto Raptors* -190 vs Philadelphia 76ers
            2. 1/9/2013 7:35 PM NBA Basketball 708 Boston Celtics* -485 vs Phoenix Suns
            3. 1/9/2013 8:05 PM NBA Basketball 716 Chicago Bulls* -230 vs Milwaukee Bucks
            Risking $1.50 To Win $2.46
            Actually yeah that does look better, no need to give up the extra 3 points for the Celtic's. The +0.5 on the Raptors is obviously wasted, I just wanted to throw my favorite three picks together for a little bit of extra action. Good find.


            Originally posted by davopnz
            any thoughts on gsw? only thing putting me off is suspicious line movement
            Tough game to pick. Wasted half an hour coming up with reasons why both teams can win. Have absolutely no lean in either direction.

            Originally posted by Killa Cam
            It looks like a trap to me...anybody else feel the same way? I generally stay away from the lakers because of their high unpredictability.
            I deleted my pick on the Lakers +13.5, was the last one to go. I'd say you summed it up perfectly.

            Originally posted by kilrathi
            thx sando for the picks... what are do u think of lakers +13.5?
            i know they suck right now but i dont think they will lose that high again?

            and even tho i know that u are in nba mode right now, are there some tennis tips available soon?

            bol dude
            See above. Working on the Tennis now.

            Originally posted by thewhiteguy
            Hey Sando that totals teaser is a 5 pointer not 7 right?
            It is 7 points however a 5 point teaser in sides is the equivalent of a 7 point teaser in totals.
            Last edited by sando; 01-09-13, 05:53 PM.
            Comment
            • thewhiteguy
              SBR MVP
              • 11-21-12
              • 1082

              #3611
              Originally posted by sando
              Thanks boys.

              Got some leans on a bunch of totals but not sure if I'm going to lock anything in, might just post my leans for now and see how they hold up.

              Houston/NO Over 200.5
              Denver/Orlando Over 204.5
              LA/SA Over 214.5
              Philly/Toronto Over 189
              Utah/Charlotte Under 198
              Clippers/Dallas Under 201

              5 point NBA Teaser (that I'm playing tonight)

              Celtics -4
              Bulls -0.5
              Raptors +0.5


              +160 @ Pinnacle. Risking 1.5 units to win 2.4

              NBA Totals Teaser (7 points)

              Jazz/Bobcats Under 202.5
              Magic/Nuggets Over 197
              Mavericks/Clippers Under 208.5

              +150 @ Pinnacle. Risking 1unit to win 1.5.
              Hey Sando that totals teaser is a 5 pointer not 7 right?
              Comment
              • thewhiteguy
                SBR MVP
                • 11-21-12
                • 1082

                #3612
                Originally posted by thewhiteguy
                Hey Sando that totals teaser is a 5 pointer not 7 right?
                The odds on 5dimes for this is -110 thats why im asking
                Comment
                • wguan2
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-13-11
                  • 814

                  #3613
                  Originally posted by sando
                  Thanks boys.

                  Got some leans on a bunch of totals but not sure if I'm going to lock anything in, might just post my leans for now and see how they hold up.

                  Houston/NO Over 200.5
                  Denver/Orlando Over 204.5
                  LA/SA Over 214.5
                  Philly/Toronto Over 189
                  Utah/Charlotte Under 198
                  Clippers/Dallas Under 201

                  5 point NBA Teaser (that I'm playing tonight)

                  Celtics -4
                  Bulls -0.5
                  Raptors +0.5


                  +160 @ Pinnacle. Risking 1.5 units to win 2.4

                  NBA Totals Teaser (7 points)

                  Jazz/Bobcats Under 202.5
                  Magic/Nuggets Over 197
                  Mavericks/Clippers Under 208.5

                  +150 @ Pinnacle. Risking 1unit to win 1.5.
                  Teasing totals? You know I respect your capping so don't take this the wrong way. First, you may have a typo in the Jazz/Bobcats total since if it's a 7 point tease, it should be under 205.5. Secondly, imo variance on totals are so large that teasing them is a -ev play. Even when points are much more significant in the NFL, it is considered a -ev play so I'm very surprised you decided on a tease here especially with 3 teams.

                  I think all 3 plays are good plays actually (except maybe for the mavs/clips) at their original number. Just my two cents. Hope you don't take this as pick-thrashing.
                  Comment
                  • blanco
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 03-06-12
                    • 876

                    #3614
                    agree with wguan about the variance involved with totals
                    Comment
                    • sando
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-30-12
                      • 3723

                      #3615
                      Originally posted by wguan2
                      Teasing totals? You know I respect your capping so don't take this the wrong way. First, you may have a typo in the Jazz/Bobcats total since if it's a 7 point tease, it should be under 205.5. Secondly, imo variance on totals are so large that teasing them is a -ev play. Even when points are much more significant in the NFL, it is considered a -ev play so I'm very surprised you decided on a tease here especially with 3 teams.
                      I think all 3 plays are good plays actually (except maybe for the mavs/clips) at their original number. Just my two cents. Hope you don't take this as pick-thrashing.
                      Not at all mate. I'm open to any and all constructive criticism from you anytime. This is the first totals teaser I have played all season. It's just the 1 unit for a bit of fun. I don't record teasers/parlays on my official record, although I do keep track of the results underneath it. Had a whole bunch of totals i liked today but didn't feel comfortable pulling the trigger on any of them, so thought I would play the 1 unit teaser for a bit of fun. And yes I just edited the mistake (205.5, not 202.5) Cheers.
                      Comment
                      • wguan2
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-13-11
                        • 814

                        #3616
                        Originally posted by sando
                        Not at all mate. I'm open to any and all constructive criticism from you anytime. This is the first totals teaser I have played all season. It's just the 1 unit for a bit of fun. I don't record teasers/parlays on my official record, although I do keep track of the results underneath it. Had a whole bunch of totals i liked today but didn't feel comfortable pulling the trigger on any of them, so thought I would play the 1 unit teaser for a bit of fun. And yes I just edited the mistake (205.5, not 202.5) Cheers.
                        Gotcha. Didn't see that it was more of an action wager than anything else. Well good luck man! Great pick on Indiana last night, was following your thread and everything and just couldn't pull the trigger but I'm glad you got a good hit on that one. Cheers
                        Comment
                        • mvanja
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 12-17-11
                          • 250

                          #3617
                          Sando why are u staying away from Hou?
                          Comment
                          • sando
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-30-12
                            • 3723

                            #3618
                            Tennis

                            Great pick to start the ball rolling

                            ATP Sydney

                            Istomin v Anderson
                            Istomin +2.5 (-123, $1.81 Pinnacle) 1.5x
                            Istomin m/l (+160, $2.60 Pinnacle) 1x *Very generous price.

                            Seppi v Granollers

                            Granollers m/l (+120, $2.20 Pinnacle) 1.5x
                            *Seppi garbage on hard courts (16-34 last 50) and at the beginning of the year. Granollers has won the last 2 meetings including their only encounter on hardcourts. 60/40 in Granollers favor.

                            ATP Aukland

                            Querry v Levine
                            Querry 2-0 (or -1.5 Sets) (-110, $1.90 Pinnacle) 1.5x
                            *Same bet, different opponent. Again the odds are very generous. Those that have been following this tennis thread since the start know that I am a huge Querry fan. American's best male tennis player and one to watch out for this season. Has the potential to crack the top 10 this year (If Tipsarevic can then anyone can).

                            Monfils v Haas
                            Over 22.5 (-111, $1.91 Pinnacle) 1x

                            WTA Sydney

                            Radwanska v Li
                            Li m/l (-125, $1.80 IAS/Sportsbet) 1.5x
                            *3 matches played on hard courts in 2012, 3 straight set beat-downs by Li. If Li can keep the errors down and attack the weak Agi second serve then it should be a formality as when Li is hitting significantly more winners than UE's, she is arguably the 2nd best hardcourt player (behind you know who) in the WTA. What is not arguable is that Li is the superior hardcourt player to Radwanska. Li showed plenty of fight against the dangerous Keys yesterday so she must have some interest in winning the tournament. Li controls her agression and she will hit Agi off the court.
                            Last edited by sando; 01-09-13, 07:05 PM.
                            Comment
                            • sando
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-30-12
                              • 3723

                              #3619
                              Originally posted by mvanja
                              Sando why are u staying away from Hou?
                              Because I believe Nola will win that game straight up, however I refuse to back against Houston (not profitable lately) = avoid.
                              Comment
                              • mvanja
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-17-11
                                • 250

                                #3620
                                ok thx
                                Comment
                                • davopnz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-12-12
                                  • 1736

                                  #3621
                                  Istomin? :O was leaning Anderson. got some stats?
                                  Comment
                                  • needalifeline
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 01-08-13
                                    • 7

                                    #3622
                                    What does +2.5 mean in tennis. I can only get M/L
                                    Comment
                                    • Vinnie Paz
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-27-12
                                      • 12177

                                      #3623
                                      How do you feel about raptors first half? They seem to always blow late leads....
                                      Comment
                                      • BigL28
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-05-13
                                        • 10

                                        #3624
                                        Originally posted by needalifeline
                                        What does +2.5 mean in tennis. I can only get M/L
                                        It's the spread of game totals for each opponent : Anderson -2.5 will win by at least 2+5 games, Isotmin +2.5 will win or lose by less than 2.5 games.
                                        Ex 1 : Anderson wins 6/4 6/4 = Anderson -2.5 cashes
                                        Ex 2 : Istomin wins 7/6 0/6 7/6 = Anderson - 2.5 cashes
                                        Comment
                                        • thewhiteguy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-21-12
                                          • 1082

                                          #3625
                                          Still a go at +2
                                          Comment
                                          • mvanja
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-17-11
                                            • 250

                                            #3626
                                            01/09/13 03:31:42pm Pacific
                                            NBA: Game 501-502
                                            (ORN# 2105-2106)
                                            Injury Status <center> Games </center> <center> PTS </center> <center> REB </center> <center> AST </center> <center> STL </center> <center> BLK </center>
                                            New York <center> F </center> Carmelo Anthony suspension OUT 28 29.0 6.1 2.3 1.0 0.5
                                            is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Indiana.
                                            Comment
                                            • NYCWinner
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-30-12
                                              • 206

                                              #3627
                                              Hey Sando!..I know this is late notice. But what do you guys think about the Over 189 Sixers vs Raptors tonight? I thinking about going ahead with this parlay ..$66 to win $496

                                              Raptors -5
                                              6ers v Raptors Over 189
                                              Bulls -6
                                              Spurs ML
                                              Clippers ML
                                              Comment
                                              • mvanja
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 12-17-11
                                                • 250

                                                #3628
                                                sam querrey 2-0 bet 365 @ 1.66 fkn bandits
                                                Comment
                                                • MacVPTgod
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 01-06-13
                                                  • 22

                                                  #3629
                                                  Originally posted by mvanja
                                                  sam querrey 2-0 bet 365 @ 1.66 fkn bandits
                                                  I feel your pain.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sando
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-30-12
                                                    • 3723

                                                    #3630
                                                    Originally posted by MacVPTgod
                                                    I feel your pain.
                                                    Originally posted by mvanja
                                                    sam querrey 2-0 bet 365 @ 1.66 fkn bandits

                                                    04:30 PM 8354 S. Querrey (-1.5 Sets) <input class=" textInputIE" name="M2_283832493_0" maxLength="15" size="6"> o 1.885<input name="selM2_283832493_0" value="-113" type="hidden"> (Pinnacle)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • davopnz
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-12-12
                                                      • 1736

                                                      #3631
                                                      Whats the reasoning behind istomin?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mvanja
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 12-17-11
                                                        • 250

                                                        #3632
                                                        [QUOTE=sando;17430048]
                                                        04:30 PM 8354 S. Querrey (-1.5 Sets) <input class=" textInputIE" name="M2_283832493_0" maxlength="15" size="6"> o 1.885<input name="selM2_283832493_0" value="-113" type="hidden"> (Pinnacle)
                                                        I know what ur saying, waiting for a money to open Pinacle account, didn't plan to bet on tennis before I found ur tread... THX
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MacVPTgod
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 01-06-13
                                                          • 22

                                                          #3633
                                                          Originally posted by mvanja
                                                          sam querrey 2-0 bet 365 @ 1.66 fkn bandits
                                                          I feel your pain.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sando
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-30-12
                                                            • 3723

                                                            #3634
                                                            Originally posted by davopnz
                                                            Whats the reasoning behind istomin?
                                                            No value with Anderson at -170, should no way be that short. Clear value on istomin at +160. Of course "value" doesn't win you money, so here's something more tangible. Both serve bombs yet Istomin is the superior returner (crucial in a tiebreak, i.e two big servers). that's all i got time for.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • slikec
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-11-11
                                                              • 1032

                                                              #3635
                                                              Sando you make so many plays in no order for tournaments so is hard to check which play you added last. I would really love if you put numbers before plays(first play 1. second 2. etc.) so i would see much faster if there is a new play and which one. Thank you and keep up the good work
                                                              Comment
                                                              • steveq
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-22-12
                                                                • 661

                                                                #3636
                                                                anyone heard of stake my odds suck querry is 3.5 play it?? all i have
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thorny
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-10-12
                                                                  • 351

                                                                  #3637
                                                                  Originally posted by steveq
                                                                  anyone heard of stake my odds suck querry is 3.5 play it?? all i have
                                                                  Querry -3.5 isn't a bad play or under total games...but I wouldnt stake as much, just in case of a tiebreaker etc...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • slikec
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-11-11
                                                                    • 1032

                                                                    #3638
                                                                    Another tennis capper that i follow also likes Li and Istomin. He also likes Nieminen +4 and Cibulkova +3,5 any thoughts?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thorny
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-10-12
                                                                      • 351

                                                                      #3639
                                                                      Sando,

                                                                      B Tomic vs J Nieminen...I know you have been backing Tomic lately. So have I. But odds for Nieminen here seem good.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • sando
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 04-30-12
                                                                        • 3723

                                                                        #3640
                                                                        Originally posted by thorny
                                                                        Sando,

                                                                        B Tomic vs J Nieminen...I know you have been backing Tomic lately. So have I. But odds for Nieminen here seem good.
                                                                        If there is a play then it would have to be Nieminen (in my opinion).

                                                                        Originally posted by slikec
                                                                        Another tennis capper that i follow also likes Li and Istomin. He also likes Nieminen +4 and Cibulkova +3,5 any thoughts?
                                                                        I like those plays. Who is this guy?
                                                                        Comment
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